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Understanding the strength of a plate coupling is critical for assessing potential seismic and tsunamic hazards in subduction zones. The interaction between an overriding plate and the associated subducting plate can be used to evaluate the strength of plate coupling by examining the mantle lithospheric buoyancy. Here, we calculate the mantle lithosphere buoyancy across the northern portion of the southern Ryukyu subduction zone based on gravity modeling with the constraints from a newly derived P-wave seismic velocity model. The result indicates that the strength of the plate coupling in the study area is relatively strong, which is consistent with previous observations in the southernmost Ryukyu subduction zone. Because few large earthquakes (Mw > 7) have occurred in the southern Ryukyu subduction zone, a large amount of energy is locked and accumulated by plate coupling, that could be released in the near future.

This paper presents the spatial variations in the crustal stress field for the Philippine region. Based on the stress configuration, we divided the stress regime in the area of the Philippines into four parts: (1) Trench-perpendicular compressive stress axes (σ1) with an intermediate plunge were observed along the eastern subduction systems of the Philippine Mobile Belt (PMB), which suggests that the subduction of the Philippine Sea Plate (PSP) is the primary factor controlling the stress distribution. (2) Characterized by systematically rotated σ1 with very shallow plunge, the central-western portion of the Philippines appears to be largely affected by the collision between the Palawan Block and the PMB. (3) The σ1 distribution in the northern part of Luzon Island (north of 14°N) is compatible with the plate motion of the PSP, whereas the extensional axes (σ3) has a fan-shaped stress signature with N-S direction at the south and a more spreading direction to the north, which implies its north escapement. (4) Bounded by the Scarborough Seamount, the northern and southern portions of the Manila Trench reveal a very distinct stress pattern with a trench-parallel σ3 to the north and a trench-perpendicular σ3 to the south. This observation may infer a potential effect caused by the presence of the oceanic bathymetric highs on the behavior of the subduction process. In addition to the identification of the four provinces with different stress regimes, we suggest that the Philippine Fault Zone may play an important role to alter the stress state in the region of the Philippines.

Summary The distribution of historic earthquakes in the Sumatra subduction zone reveals, in the fore-arc region, the intense seismic activity and frequent occurrences of Mw > 8 earthquakes throughout the whole area. In contrast, the neighboring region has less dense seismicity, and no large earthquake greater than Mw8 has been observed in the Java subduction zone. Such different seismic behaviors may be due to distinct degrees of the stress accumulation and release. In this study, the strength of plate coupling inferred from mantle lithosphere buoyancy (Hm) estimation is used to explain the seismogenic behavior in the Sunda-Andaman subduction zone. Strong and weak plate coupling status are obtained in the Sumatra and Java subduction zones, respectively. These results can explain the significant differences in seismogenic behaviors in the Sunda-Andaman subduction zone. In assessing the global implications of this finding, we observe that uplifted serpentinized fore-arc mantle peridotite is the critical phenomenon in weak plate coupling cases and leads to a limit on the width of the coupling zone. Strong plate coupling can cause a relatively low gravity anomaly as well as a negative trench-parallel gravity anomaly (TPGA) in the fore-arc regions and correlates well with the occurrence of large earthquakes, whereas weak plate coupling can cause a positive TPGA and constrain the potential occurrence of large earthquakes.

Located at the arc-continental collision region between the Eurasian (EP) and Philippine Sea Plates (PSP), Taiwan is usually considered to have a complex tectonic environment, particularly along the eastern coast of the island. To gain a better understanding of the geological evolution of the east Taiwan area, the data from 8 Ocean Bottom Seismometers (OBS) acquired during the Across Taiwan Strait Explosion Experiment in 2012 and 14 inland seismic stations were used to determine a more detailed and accurate distribution of marine earthquakes. Based on the 333 relocated earthquakes and available geophysical data, we suggest two main tectonic boundaries for eastern Taiwan. South of 23.25°N, the homogeneous distribution of earthquakes in the crustal portion for both the inland and offshore areas suggests an ongoing collisional process. North of this location, between approximately 23.25°N and 23.8°N, the abrupt increasing of seismicity depth infers that the underthrusted arc/fore-arc material is deforming due to the collisional compression at depth. In this segment, the subsidence of the arc/fore-arc area determines the transition from collision to subduction. North of 23.8°N, the northwestern dipping PSP is well illustrated by the seismicity both onshore and offshore, indicating a dominant subduction process.

In a complex geological environment, it is generally difficult to assimilate a complete understanding of the main stress regime without being distracted by various fault configurations. In this study, we examine the changes in radial seismic moment (Mrr) of earthquakes that occurred in the Sumatra area. This approach allows for simplification of the various focal mechanism solutions by compressive and extensional slip vectors. The results show that the epicenter of the 2004 mainshock is located near the area where the accumulated Mrr was highest during the inter-seismic period. Simultaneously, a pattern of negative accumulated Mrr observed at depths between 40 and 100 km suggests a down-dip extension mechanism caused by the slab pull effect, which could be strengthened by the locking procedure in shallow portions of the slab. Moreover, the right-lateral strike-slip Sumatra Fault and the left-lateral oceanic fracture zones exhibited positive and negative accumulated Mrr prior to and immediately after the 2004 mainshock. This transform of Mrr indicates stress release associated with the unlocking of the asperities during the earthquake. Therefore, the distinctly different Mrr patterns for the inter- and post-seismic period suggest that the occurrence of a substantial earthquake could change the intraplate stress state.

We undertook an investigation of the seismic behavior of large earthquake and estimated the crustal deformation state in the northern Philippine area in terms of the radial component of seismic moment tensors (Mrr) distribution. Based upon these two analyses, the seismic potential of the Manila Trench has been assessed. Regarding the seismic characteristics of large earthquakes, results show that both the overriding and the subducting plates are under compressive stress before the main large events but are characterized by an extensional regime after mainshocks. In the northern Manila Trench area, the broad zone of extensional seismic activity along the trench and its neighboring areas shows a stress environment distinct from that of the interseismic environment of large earthquakes, suggesting that the plates are in a relaxed state instead of accumulating tectonic stress. Thus, the coupling between the two plates could be weak. Along the central Manila Trench, even though only few extensional earthquakes occurred near the trench, numerous negative Mrr events in the overriding plate indicate that the crust is affected by a dilatational regime and also suggests a relatively low coupling environment. In the southern Manila Trench, with the exception of a few extensional events that occurred locally in the Central Valley Basin, most earthquakes show compressive mechanisms. We suggest that a relatively high plate coupling exists along this portion of the trench and results in stress accumulation not only along the plate interface but also in its vicinity, within the subducting and overriding plates.

A comparison of the geological and geophysical environments between the Himalaya-Sumatra and Taiwan-Ryukyu collision-subduction systems revealed close tectonic similarities. Both regions are characterized by strongly oblique convergent processes and dominated by similar tectonic stress regimes. In the two areas, the intersections of the oceanic fracture zones with the subduction systems are characterized by trench-parallel high free-air gravity anomaly features in the fore-arcs and the epicenters of large earthquakes were located at the boundary between the positive and negative gravity anomalies. These event distributions and high-gravity anomalies indicate a strong coupling degree of the intersection area, which was probably induced by a strong resistance of the fracture features during the subduction. Moreover, the seismicity distribution in the Ryukyu area was very similar to the pre-seismic activity pattern of the 2004 Sumatra event. That is, thrust-type earthquakes with a trench-normal P-axis occurred frequently along the oceanward side of the mainshock, whereas only a few thrust earthquakes occurred along the continentward side. Therefore, the aseismic area located west of 128°E in the western Ryukyu subduction zone could have resulted from the strong plate locking effect beneath the high gravity anomaly zone. By analogy with the tectonic environment of the Sumatra subduction zone, the occurrence of a potential Sumatra-like earthquake in the south Ryukyu arc is highly likely and the rupture will mainly propagate continentward to fulfill the region of low seismicity (approximately 125° E to 129° E; 23° N to 26.5° N), which may generate a hazardous tsunami.

[1] We applied an improved stress inversion method to a comprehensive data set of earthquake focal mechanisms to depict the pattern of crustal stress along the western convergent boundary of the Philippine Sea plate. Our results indicate that the crustal stress along the Ryukyu fore arc is segmented with boundaries at or near the places of seamount subduction, including the Tokara channel. An extensional stress regime is observed along the entire Ryukyu back arc, implying that back-arc rifting may have extended northward to Kyushu. A triangular area near the southernmost terminus of the Ryukyu arc is characterized by a unique stress signature. The eastern boundary of this Ryukyu-Taiwan Stress Transition coincides with the 123°E meridian where the Gagua ridge intercepts the Ryukyu trench; whereas its western boundary agrees remarkably well with the border between the postcollision and waning-collision domains in northern Taiwan. The Taiwan collision zone is dominated by compression that rotates locally according to the structural configuration of the Lukang Magnetization High (LMH), suggesting that the LMH may be critical in controlling the local stress distribution. The stress signature of the Luzon arc–Taiwan collision reaches as far south as 19.5°N. The tectonic stress along the Manila trench–Luzon fore arc is dominated by a complex regime of extension that cannot be explained by simple plate bending or in-slab membrane stress. Since this extensional regime is observed only south of ∼22°N, it probably marks the northern limit of the contemporary boundary between the subduction along the Manila trench and the collision in Taiwan.

To understand the generation mechanism of the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake, we analyzed the spatial and temporal distribution of the cumulative seismic moment (ΣM0) for all earthquakes along the Japan Trench listed in the global centroid moment tensor catalog between January 1976 and November 2011. Three areas with distinct characteristics of ΣM0 are identified: (1) in the 2011 Tohoku-Oki source area, the ΣM0 released in the down-dip portion (≥30 km) was greater than that in the up-dip portion (