1. Simulation of winter wheat response to variable sowing dates and densities in a high-yielding environment
- Author
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Dueri, Sibylle, Brown, Hamish, Asseng, Senthold, Ewert, Frank, Webber, Heidi, George, Mike, Craigie, Rob, Guarin, Jose Rafael, Pequeno, Diego N.L., Stella, Tommaso, Ahmed, Mukhtar, Alderman, Phillip D., Basso, Bruno, Berger, Andres G., Mujica, Gennady Bracho, Cammarano, Davide, Chen, Yi, Dumont, Benjamin, Rezaei, Ehsan Eyshi, Fereres, Elias, Ferrise, Roberto, Gaiser, Thomas, Gao, Yujing, Garcia-Vila, Margarita, Gayler, Sebastian, Hochman, Zvi, Hoogenboom, Gerrit, Kersebaum, Kurt C., Nendel, Claas, Olesen, Jørgen E., Padovan, Gloria, Palosuo, Taru, Priesack, Eckart, Pullens, Johannes W.M., Rodríguez, Alfredo, Rötter, Reimund P., Ramos, Margarita Ruiz, Semenov, Mikhail A., Senapati, Nimai, Siebert, Stefan, Srivastava, Amit Kumar, Stöckle, Claudio, Supit, Iwan, Tao, Fulu, Thorburn, Peter, Wang, Enli, Weber, Tobias Karl David, Xiao, Liujun, Zhao, Chuang, Zhao, Jin, Zhao, Zhigan, Zhu, Yan, Martre, Pierre, Rebetzke, Greg, Écophysiologie des Plantes sous Stress environnementaux (LEPSE), Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Institut Agro Montpellier, Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro), The New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Limited [Auckland] (Plant & Food Research), Technische Universität Munchen - Université Technique de Munich [Munich, Allemagne] (TUM), Leibniz-Zentrum für Agrarlandschaftsforschung = Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF), Institut für Nutzpflanzenwissenschaften und Ressourcenschutz (INRES), Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn, Brandenburg University of Technology [Cottbus – Senftenberg] (BTU), Foundation for Arable Research (FAR), University of Florida [Gainesville] (UF), Earth Institute at Columbia University, Columbia University [New York], International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research [CGIAR] (CGIAR), Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU), Pir Mehr Ali Shah Arid Agriculture University = PMAS-Arid Agriculture University Rawalpindi (AAUR), Oklahoma State University [Stillwater] (OSU), Michigan State University [East Lansing], Michigan State University System, Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria (INIA), Georg-August-University = Georg-August-Universität Göttingen, Aarhus University [Aarhus], Institute of geographical sciences and natural resources research [CAS] (IGSNRR), Chinese Academy of Sciences [Beijing] (CAS), Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech [Gembloux], Université de Liège, Instituto de Agricultura Sostenible - Institute for Sustainable Agriculture (IAS CSIC), Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [Madrid] (CSIC), Universidad de Córdoba = University of Córdoba [Córdoba], Department of Agriculture, Food, Environment and Forestry (DAGRI), Università degli Studi di Firenze = University of Florence (UniFI), Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation [Bonn] (INRES), University of Hohenheim, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation [Canberra] (CSIRO), Global Change Research Centre (CzechGlobe), University of Potsdam = Universität Potsdam, Natural Resources Institute Finland (LUKE), Helmholtz Zentrum München = German Research Center for Environmental Health, German Research Center for Environmental Health - Helmholtz Center München (GmbH), Institute of Biochemical Plant Pathology (BIOP), Centro de Estudios e Investigación para la Gestión de Riesgos Agrarios y Medioambientales (CEIGRAM), Universidad Politécnica de Madrid (UPM), Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha = University of Castilla-La Mancha (UCLM), Centre for Biodiversity and Sustainable Land-use [University of Göttingen] (CBL), Rothamsted Research, Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC), Washington State University (WSU), Wageningen University and Research [Wageningen] (WUR), Zhejiang University, Nanjing Agricultural University (NAU), China Agricultural University (CAU), Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) Wheat Phase 4 and was supported by the French National Research Institute for Agriculture, Food (INRAE) and the International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) through the International Wheat Yield Partnership (IWYP, grant IWYP115)., metaprogram Agriculture and forestry in the face of climate change: adaptation and mitigation (CLIMAE) of INRAE, grant-aided support from the Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC) through Designing Future Wheat [BB/P016855/1] and Achieving Sustainable Agricultural Systems [NE/N018125/1] jointly funded with NERC, DivCSA project funded by the Academy of Finland (decision no. 316215)., National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 31761143006), financial support from BARISTA project (031B0811A) through ERA-NET SusCrop under EU-FACCE JPI, German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) through the BonaRes project ’’I4S’’ (031B0513I), German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) through the BonaRes Project 'Soil3' (FKZ 031B0026A), Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports of Czech Republic through SustES—Adaption strategies for sustainable ecosystem services and food security under adverse environmental conditions (CZ.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/16_019/000797), Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) under Germany’s Excellence Strategy – EXC 2070 – 390732324', German Research Foundation (DFG, Grant Agreement SFB 1253/1 2017), European Project: 618105,EC:FP7:KBBE,FP7-ERANET-2013-RTD,FACCE ERA NET PLUS(2013), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (France), International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center, International Wheat Yield Partnership, National Natural Science Foundation of China, European Commission, Federal Ministry of Education and Research (Germany), Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports (Czech Republic), German Research Foundation, Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (UK), Natural Environment Research Council (UK), and Academy of Finland
- Subjects
[SDV.SA]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Agricultural sciences ,Physiology ,Climate Change ,sowing date ,Plant Science ,CHINA ,Multi-model Ensemble ,New Zealand ,Sowing Date ,Sowing Density ,Tiller Mortality ,Tillering ,Wheat ,Yield Potential ,tillering ,wheat ,USE EFFICIENCY ,sowing density ,Life Science ,Biomass ,ADAPTATION ,PLANT-DENSITY ,Triticum ,METAANALYSIS ,Multi-model ensemble ,WIMEK ,CLIMATE-CHANGE ,tiller mortality ,PRODUCTIVITY ,Temperature ,CROP MODELS ,yield potential ,[INFO.INFO-MO]Computer Science [cs]/Modeling and Simulation ,ROTATION ,GROWTH ,Water Systems and Global Change ,Seasons - Abstract
Crop multi-model ensembles (MME) have proven to be effective in increasing the accuracy of simulations in modelling experiments. However, the ability of MME to capture crop responses to changes in sowing dates and densities has not yet been investigated. These management interventions are some of the main levers for adapting cropping systems to climate change. Here, we explore the performance of a MME of 29 wheat crop models to predict the effect of changing sowing dates and rates on yield and yield components, on two sites located in a high-yielding environment in New Zealand. The experiment was conducted for 6 years and provided 50 combinations of sowing date, sowing density and growing season. We show that the MME simulates seasonal growth of wheat well under standard sowing conditions, but fails under early sowing and high sowing rates. The comparison between observed and simulated in-season fraction of intercepted photosynthetically active radiation (FIPAR) for early sown wheat shows that the MME does not capture the decrease of crop above ground biomass during winter months due to senescence. Models need to better account for tiller competition for light, nutrients, and water during vegetative growth, and early tiller senescence and tiller mortality, which are exacerbated by early sowing, high sowing densities, and warmer winter temperatures., This study was a part of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) Wheat Phase 4 and was supported by the French National Research Institute for Agriculture, Food (INRAE) and the International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) through the International Wheat Yield Partnership (IWYP, grant IWYP115). SD and PM acknowledge support from the metaprogram Agriculture and forestry in the face of climate change: adaptation and mitigation (CLIMAE) of INRAE. YC and FT acknowledge support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 31761143006). RPR and GBM acknowledge financial support from BARISTA project (031B0811A) through ERA-NET SusCrop under EU-FACCE JPI. KCK was funded by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) through the BonaRes project ’’I4S’’ (031B0513I). AS and TG acknowledge funding by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) through the BonaRes Project “Soil3” (FKZ 031B0026A). KCK and JEO were supported by the Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports of Czech Republic through SustES—Adaption strategies for sustainable ecosystem services and food security under adverse environmental conditions (CZ.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/16_019/000797). FE acknowledges support by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) under Germany’s Excellence Strategy – EXC 2070 – 390732324”. TKDW was funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG, Grant Agreement SFB 1253/1 2017). MAS and NS at Rothamsted Research received grant-aided support from the Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC) through Designing Future Wheat [BB/P016855/1] and Achieving Sustainable Agricultural Systems [NE/N018125/1] jointly funded with NERC. TP and FT are supported by the DivCSA project funded by the Academy of Finland (decision no. 316215).
- Published
- 2022