4 results on '"Pedde, Simona"'
Search Results
2. Co-producing transformative visions for Europe in 2100: A multi-scale approach to orientate transformations under climate change
- Author
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Hölscher, Katharina, Frantzeskaki, Niki, Jäger, Jill, Holman, Ian, Pedde, Simona, Govern.of Urban Dynamics and Transitions, Planning Support Science, Govern.of Urban Dynamics and Transitions, and Planning Support Science
- Subjects
Decision Sciences(all) ,Sociology and Political Science ,Vision ,General Social Sciences ,General Decision Sciences ,Social Sciences(all) ,Development ,Transformation ,Envisioning ,Bodemgeografie en Landschap ,Scenarios ,Soil Geography and Landscape ,Climate change ,Sustainability transition ,Business and International Management ,Pathways - Abstract
Achieving sustainability and resilience transformations under climate change requires transformative and multi-scale visions to stimulate coherent thinking and action towards radically alternative futures. We present our approach to co-produce transformative visions contextualised in different regions across Europe, while exploring emergent ‘pan-European’ vision elements to guide transformative climate action across scales. We co-produced visions with stakeholders in four case studies: European, national (Scotland), transboundary river basin (Iberia) and two municipalities (Hungary). All visions share core aspirations for good living, justice and social and environmental wellbeing in Europe, while allowing contextualised interpretation to remain meaningful in view of context-specific needs, priorities, cultural perceptions and aspirations. The visions point to areas where deep transformations are required: in service provisioning from critical infrastructures like energy, food, health and education, and in lifestyles and governance. We discuss two key methodological considerations for the co-production of transformative visions across multiple scales. Firstly, the application of a systematic and comprehensive framework across all scales provided a guide to compare and ensure coherence between visions across multiple scales. Secondly, the creation of transformative spaces to co-produce the visions with stakeholders supported critical reflections and learning about the radical and multi-dimensional changes necessary in different regions in Europe.
- Published
- 2022
3. Transformative Change Needs Direction.
- Author
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Jacobs, Sander, Santos-Martín, Fernando, Primmer, Eeva, Boeraeve, Fanny, Morán-Ordóñez, Alejandra, Proença, Vânia, Schlaepfer, Martin, Brotons, Lluis, Dunford, Robert, Lavorel, Sandra, Guisan, Antoine, Claudet, Joachim, Harmáčková, Zuzana V., Liekens, Inge, Hauck, Jennifer, Kok, Kasper, Zinngrebe, Yves, Pedde, Simona, Czúcz, Bálint, and Solidoro, Cosimo
- Abstract
Comparing the impacts of future scenarios is essential for developing and guiding the political sustainability agenda. This review-based analysis compares six IPBES scenarios for their impacts on 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and 20 biodiversity targets (Aichi targets) for the Europe and Central Asia regions. The comparison is based on a review of 143 modeled scenarios synthesized in a plural cost–benefit approach which provides the distances to multiple policy goals. We confirm and substantiate the claim that transformative change is vital but also point out which directions for political transformation are to be preferred. The hopeful message is that large societal losses might still be avoided, and multiple benefits can be generated over the coming decades and centuries. Yet, policies will need to strongly steer away from scenarios based on regional competition, inequality, and economic optimism. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
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4. Advancing the use of scenarios to understand society's capacity to achieve the 1.5 degree target.
- Author
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Pedde, Simona, Kok, Kasper, Hölscher, Katharina, Frantzeskaki, Niki, Holman, Ian, Dunford, Rob, Smith, Alison, and Jäger, Jill
- Subjects
CLIMATE change mitigation ,CLIMATE change prevention ,HUMAN capital ,EQUALITY ,ECONOMIC development - Abstract
• We present a framework combining capitals and capacities within SSPxRCP scenarios. • Capitals and capacities are needed for society to move towards the 1.5 °C target. • Locally derived capitals and capacities complement global mitigation scenarios. • Social equality is more important than technological development to achieve the 1.5 °C target. • "Business-as-usual" SSP5 has potential only if capitals and capacities are high. With a range of potential pathways to a sustainable future compatible with the Paris Agreement 1.5 °C target, scenario analysis has emerged as a key tool in studies of climate change mitigation and adaptation. A wide range of alternative scenarios have been created, and core amongst these are five socio-economic scenarios (Shared Socio-economic Pathways or SSPs) and four emission scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathways or RCPs). Whilst mitigation scenarios (the Shared Policy Assumptions, or SPAs) have been developed for each SSP-RCP combination, describing the actions necessary to match the climate pathway of the RCP, there has not yet been a systematic approach to address whether and how these actions can be enabled in practice. We present a novel and transferable framework to understand society's capacity to achieve the 1.5 °C target, based on four participatory case studies using the SSP-RCP scenarios. The methodology builds on a framework for categorising different types of societal capitals and capacities and assessing their impact on the potential to implement different types of mitigation actions. All four case studies show that SSP1 has the highest potential to reach the target. Although environmental awareness is high in both SSP1 and SSP4, continued social inequalities in SSP4 restrict society's capacity to transform, despite economic growth. In the two least environmentally-aware SSPs, SSP3 and SSP5, the transformation potential is low, but the view on capitals and capacities nonetheless helps identify opportunities for actors to develop and implement mitigation actions. The study highlights that techno-economic assessments of climate strategies need to be complemented by consideration of the critical role played by social and human capital, and by societal capacity to mobilise and create these capitals despite different socio-economic trends. These capitals and capacities are essential to enable the rapid innovation, behavioural change and international co-ordination needed to achieve the 1.5 °C target. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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