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Aim: To validate a recently proposed risk prediction model for chronic kidney disease (CKD) in type 2 diabetes (T2D)., Materials and Methods: Subjects from the German/Austrian Diabetes Prospective Follow-up (DPV) registry with T2D, normoalbuminuria, an estimated glomerular filtration rate of 60 ml/min/1.73m 2 or higher and aged 39-75 years were included. Prognostic factors included age, body mass index (BMI), smoking status and HbA1c. Subjects were categorized into low, moderate, high and very high-risk groups. Outcome was CKD occurrence., Results: Subjects (n = 10 922) had a mean age of 61 years, diabetes duration of 6 years, BMI of 31.7 kg/m 2 , HbA1c of 6.9% (52 mmol/mol); 9.1% had diabetic retinopathy and 16.3% were smokers. After the follow-up (~59 months), 37.4% subjects developed CKD. The area under the curve (AUC; unadjusted base model) was 0.58 (95% CI 0.57-0.59). After adjustment for diabetes and follow-up duration, the AUC was 0.69 (95% CI 0.68-0.70), indicating improved discrimination. After follow-up, 15.0%, 20.1%, 27.7% and 40.2% patients in the low, moderate, high and very high-risk groups, respectively, had developed CKD. Increasing risk score correlated with increasing cumulative risk of incident CKD over a median of 4.5 years of follow-up (P < .0001)., Conclusions: The predictive model achieved moderate discrimination but good calibration in a German/Austrian T2D population, suggesting that the model may be relevant for determining CKD risk., (© 2022 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Guidelines for the reduction of cholesterol to prevent atherosclerotic vascular events were recently released by the American Heart Association and the American College of Cardiology. The authors claim to refer entirely to evidence from randomized controlled trials, thereby confining their guidelines to statins as the primary therapeutic option. The guidelines derived from these trials do not specify treatment goals, but refer to the percentage of cholesterol reduction by statin medication with low, moderate, and high intensity. However, these targets are just as little tested in randomized trials as are the cholesterol goals derived from clinical experience. The same applies to the guidelines of the four patient groups which are defined by vascular risk. No major statin trial has included patients on the basis of their global risk; thus the allocation criteria are also arbitrarily chosen. These would actually lead to a significant increase in the number of patients to be treated with high or maximum dosages of statins. Also, adhering to dosage regulations instead of cholesterol goals contradicts the principles of individualized patient care. The option of the new risk score to calculate lifetime risk up to the age of 80 years in addition to the 10-year risk can be appreciated. Unfortunately it is not considered in the therapeutic recommendations provided, despite evidence from population and genetic studies showing that even a moderate lifetime reduction of low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol or non-HDL cholesterol has a much stronger effect than an aggressive treatment at an advanced age. In respect to secondary prevention, the new American guidelines broadly match the European guidelines. Thus, the involved societies from Germany, Austria and Switzerland recommend continuing according to established standards, such as the EAS/ESC guidelines.