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Background: To study the additive value of radiomics features to the BCLC staging system in clustering HCC patients. Methods: A total of 266 patients with HCC were included in this retrospective study. All patients had undergone baseline MR imaging, and 95 radiomics features were extracted from 3D segmentations representative of lesions on the venous phase and apparent diffusion coefficient maps. A random forest algorithm was utilized to extract the most relevant features to transplant-free survival. The selected features were used alongside BCLC staging to construct Kaplan–Meier curves. Results: Out of 95 extracted features, the three most relevant features were incorporated into random forest classifiers. The Integrated Brier score of the prediction error curve was 0.135, 0.072, and 0.048 for the BCLC, radiomics, and combined models, respectively. The mean area under the receiver operating curve (ROC curve) over time for the three models was 81.1%, 77.3%, and 56.2% for the combined radiomics and BCLC models, respectively. Conclusions: Radiomics features outperformed the BCLC staging system in determining prognosis in HCC patients. The addition of a radiomics classifier increased the classification capability of the BCLC model. Texture analysis features could be considered as possible biomarkers in predicting transplant-free survival in HCC patients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives: We aimed to evaluate the independent predictive role of baseline imaging biomarkers for overall survival (OS) and transplant-free survival (TFS) in patients with HCC and assess the incremental value of these biomarkers to current staging systems. Methods: In this retrospective IRB approved study, the clinical, laboratory, and imaging parameters of 304 HCC patients were collected. Cox regression model was utilized to identify the potential predictors of survival. Recursive partitioning test was utilized to identify the optimal ADC cutoff for stratifying patients' OS. Patients were stratified based on Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) and Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP). Binary ADC value (above vs. below the cutoff) and tumor margin (well- vs. ill-defined) were integrated into BCLC and CLIP. OS and TFS was compared for patients based on standard criteria with and without imaging biomarkers. Results: At baseline, patients with low tumor ADC and well-defined tumor margin (favorable imaging biomarkers) had longer survival, as compared to those with high ADC and ill-defined tumor margin (unfavorable imaging biomarkers) (median OS of 43 months vs. 7 months, respectively) (p < 0.001). Tumor ADC and tumor margin remained strong independent predictors of survival after adjustment for demographics, BCLC and CLIP staging, and tumor burden. Incorporating ADC and tumor margin improved performance of OS prediction by 9% in BCLC group and 6% in CLIP group. Conclusion: Incorporating ADC and tumor margin to current staging systems for HCC significantly improve prediction of OS and TFS of these criteria. Key Points: • ADC and tumor margin are predictors of overall survival in HCC patients, independent of clinical, laboratory, and other imaging variables. • Adding ADC and tumor margin improved the prognostic value of BCLC and CLIP criteria by 9% and 6%, respectively. • High ADC and ill-defined tumor margin at baseline predicted poor survival, regardless of patient's liver function and general health status. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]