1. Estimating the Exposure-Response Relationship between Fine Mineral Dust Concentration and Coccidioidomycosis Incidence Using Speciated Particulate Matter Data: A Longitudinal Surveillance Study.
- Author
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Weaver AK, Keeney N, Head JR, Heaney AK, Camponuri SK, Collender P, Bhattachan A, Okin GS, Eisen EA, Sondermeyer-Cooksey G, Yu A, Vugia DJ, Jain S, Balmes J, Taylor J, Remais JV, and Strickland MJ
- Subjects
- Humans, California epidemiology, Incidence, Longitudinal Studies, Air Pollutants analysis, Minerals, Coccidioides, Coccidioidomycosis epidemiology, Dust analysis, Particulate Matter analysis, Environmental Exposure statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Background: Coccidioidomycosis, caused by inhalation of Coccidioides spp. spores, is an emerging infectious disease that is increasing in incidence throughout the southwestern US. The pathogen is soil-dwelling, and spore dispersal and human exposure are thought to co-occur with airborne mineral dust exposures, yet fundamental exposure-response relationships have not been conclusively estimated., Objectives: We estimated associations between fine mineral dust concentration and coccidioidomycosis incidence in California from 2000 to 2017 at the census tract level, spatiotemporal heterogeneity in exposure-response, and effect modification by antecedent climate conditions., Methods: We acquired monthly census tract-level coccidioidomycosis incidence data and modeled fine mineral dust concentrations from 2000 to 2017. We fitted zero-inflated distributed-lag nonlinear models to estimate overall exposure-lag-response relationships and identified factors contributing to heterogeneity in exposure-responses. Using a random-effects meta-analysis approach, we estimated county-specific and pooled exposure-responses for cumulative exposures., Results: We found a positive exposure-response relationship between cumulative fine mineral dust exposure in the 1-3 months before estimated disease onset and coccidioidomycosis incidence across the study region [incidence rate ratio (IRR) for an increase from 0.1 to 1.1 μ g / m 3 = 1.60 ; 95% CI: 1.46, 1.74]. Positive, supralinear associations were observed between incidence and modeled fine mineral dust exposures 1 [ IRR = 1.13 (95% CI: 1.10, 1.17)], 2 [ IRR = 1.15 (95% CI: 1.09, 1.20)] and 3 [ IRR = 1.08 (95% CI: 1.04, 1.12)] months before estimated disease onset, with the highest exposures being particularly associated. The cumulative exposure-response relationship varied significantly by county [lowest IRR, western Tulare: 1.05 (95% CI: 0.54, 2.07); highest IRR, San Luis Obispo: 3.01 (95% CI: 2.05, 4.42)]. Season of exposure and prior wet winter were modest effect modifiers., Discussion: Lagged exposures to fine mineral dust were strongly associated with coccidioidomycosis incidence in the endemic regions of California from 2000 to 2017. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP13875.
- Published
- 2025
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