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The evolution of multiple sclerosis (MS) and the resulting disability are unpredictable. To identify clinical variables that could be potential prognostic factors, we followed a cohort of 288 patients diagnosed as having relapsing-remitting MS between 1990 and 2003. The end point was the first occurrence of a non-reversible EDMUS-GS score >or=3 (moderate disability). The impact of the number of MS attacks during the first 2 years of the disease as well as the first interattack interval were assessed in two Cox models, one using a fixed-in-time covariate, the other using a time-dependent covariate. Older age at onset and a higher number of MS attacks during the first 2 years of MS proved to be predictors of unfavourable prognosis. The first interattack interval had no influence on the evolution of the disability, conversely to the first relapse which had a short-term impact on the prognosis. We confirmed that the age at onset and the number of MS attacks during the first 2 years of MS are predictors of the evolution of the disability and demonstrated the importance of using time-dependent covariates.

Styrene represents nowadays one of the most used organic solvent. The current exposure limit proposed for this chemical differs significantly from country to country: the Threshold Limit Value-Time Weighted Average (TLV-TWA) proposed by the American Conference of Governmental Industrial Hygienists (ACGIH) is 50 ppm while the German, Finnish and Swedish occupational exposure limit is 20 ppm. Nevertheless, effects on the nervous system were recently reported in workers exposed at TWA styrene levels below the current TLV. Neuro-optic pathways have been shown to be particularly vulnerable to organic solvent exposure. Analysis and measurements of visual functions can provide important information on early neurotoxic effects. Previous studies support the hypothesis that styrene exposure can induce a dose-dependent color vision loss. The aim of this study is to assess a threshold level below which no detectable effect occurs for color vision. We applied a sub-application of the change point problem in two-phase regression considering one phase as a constant line. In accordance with this model the maximum-likelihood technique was used as a method to examine the dose- effect relationship between external styrene exposure and chromatic discrimination. The present article presents a joint analysis of data from two previously published studies, one carried out in Canada and the other in Italy. The age and seniority of the workers from both countries were remarkably similar, as were the process type, the chemicals used and the work-tasks of exposed subjects. The mathematical method presented here shows the existence of a statistically significant threshold. This finding shows that, in fiberglass-reinforced plastics industry, visual color impairment could be significantly detected above 4 ppm (upper limit of the confidence interval at 5% = 26 ppm). The exact clinical meaning of this effect, and also the progress of the impairment in exposed workers, is still to be assessed in further studies. The results of our study support the need of a reduction of the occupational limits for styrene in workplaces to values close to or lower than German, Finnish or Swedish exposure limits.