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Indoor fungal is of great significance for human health. The kernel-based extreme learning machine is employed to determine the most important parameters for predicting the concentration of indoor culturable fungi (ICF). For model training and statistical analysis, parameters that contained indoor or outdoor PM10 and PM2.5, RH, Temperature, CO2 and ICF were measured in 85 residential buildings of Baoding, China, from November 2016 to March 2017. The variable selection process contains four different cases to identify the optimal input combination. The results indicate that root mean square error of the optimal input combinations can be improved 5.6% from 1 to 2 input variables, while that could be only improved 1.9% from 2 to 3 input variables. However, considering both precision and simplicity, the combination of indoor PM10 and RH provides a more suitable selection for predicting the ICF. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Three factors are ascertained to measure the effects of disruptions. • Real-time prediction requirements are particularly considered in the model. • The model shows high accuracy in predicting the effects of disruptions. • The model shows strong generalizability on two different high-speed railway lines. Based on the Bayesian network (BN) paradigm, we propose a hybrid model to predict the three main consequences of disruptions and disturbances during train operations, namely, the primary delay (L), the number of affected trains (N), and the total delay times (T). To obtain an effective BN structure, we first analyze the dependencies of the involved factors on each station and among adjacent stations, given domain knowledge and expertise about operational characteristics. We then put forward four candidate BN structures, integrating expert knowledge, the interdependencies learned from real-world data, and real-time prediction and operational requirements. Next, we train the candidate structures based on a 5-fold cross-validation method, using the operational data from Wuhan-Guangzhou (W-G) and Xiamen-Shenzhen (X-S) high-speed railway (HSR) lines in China. The best performing structure is nominated to predict the consequences of disruptions and disturbances in the two HSR lines. Comparisons results show that the proposed model outperforms three other commonly used predictive models, reaching an average prediction accuracy of 96.6%, 74.8%, and 91.0% on the W-G HSR line, and 94.8%, 91.1%, and 87.9% on the X-S HSR line for variables L , N , and T , respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Model accuracy and running speed are the two key issues for flood warning in urban areas. Traditional hydrodynamic models, which have a rigorous physical mechanism for flood routine, have been widely adopted for water level prediction of rainwater pipe network. However, with the amount of pipes increasing, both the running speed and data availability of hydrodynamic models would be decreased rapidly. To achieve a real-time prediction for the water level of the rainwater pipe network, a new framework based on a machine learning method was proposed in this paper. The spatial and temporal autocorrelation of water levels for adjacent manholes was revealed through theoretical analysis, and then a support vector machine (SVM)-based machine learning model was developed, in which the water levels of adjacent manholes and rivers-near-by-outlets at the last time step were chosen as the independent variables, and then the water levels at the current time step can be computed by the proposed machine learning model with calibrated parameters. The proposed framework was applied in Fuzhou city, China. It turns out that the proposed machine learning method can forecast the water level of the rainwater pipe network with good accuracy and running speed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]