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Background: Ulcerative colitis (UC) is a risk factor for colorectal cancer (CRC). However, available studies reflect older treatment and surveillance paradigms, and most have assessed risks for incident CRC without taking surveillance and lead-time bias into account, such as by assessing CRC incidence by tumour stage, or stage-adjusted mortality from CRC. We aimed to compare both overall and country-specific risks of CRC mortality and incident CRC among patients with UC.Methods: In this population-based cohort study of 96 447 patients with UC in Denmark (n=32 919) and Sweden (n=63 528), patients were followed up for CRC incidence and CRC mortality between Jan 1, 1969, and Dec 31, 2017, and compared with matched reference individuals from the general population (n=949 207). Patients with UC were selected from national registers and included in the analysis if they had two or more records with a relevant International Classification of Disease in the patient register (in the country in question) or one such record plus a colorectal biopsy report with a morphology code suggestive of inflammatory bowel disease. For every patient with UC, we selected matched reference individuals from the total population registers of Denmark and Sweden, who were matched for sex, age, birth year, and place of residence. We used Cox regression to compute hazard ratios (HRs) for incident CRC, and for CRC mortality, taking tumour stage into account.Findings: During follow-up, we observed 1336 incident CRCs in the UC cohort (1·29 per 1000 person-years) and 9544 incident CRCs in reference individuals (0·82 per 1000 person-years; HR 1·66, 95% CI 1·57-1·76). In the UC cohort, 639 patients died from CRC (0·55 per 1000 person-years), compared with 4451 reference individuals (0·38 per 1000 person-years; HR 1·59, 95% CI 1·46-1·72) during the same time period. The CRC stage distribution in people with UC was less advanced (p<0·0001) than in matched reference individuals, but taking tumour stage into account, patients with UC and CRC remained at increased risk of CRC death (HR 1·54, 95% CI 1·33-1·78). The excess risks declined over calendar periods: during the last 5 years of follow-up (2013-17, Sweden only), the HR for incident CRC in people with UC was 1·38 (95% CI 1·20-1·60, or one additional case per 1058 patients with UC per 5 years) and the HR for death from CRC was 1·25 (95% CI 1·03-1·51, or one additional case per 3041 patients with UC per 5 years).Interpretation: Compared with those without UC, individuals with UC are at increased risk of developing CRC, are diagnosed with less advanced CRC, and are at increased risk of dying from CRC, although these excess risks have declined substantially over time. There still seems to be room for improvement in international surveillance guidelines.Funding: The Swedish Medical Society, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm County Council, Swedish Research Council, Swedish Foundation for Strategic Research, Independent Research Fund Denmark, Forte Foundation, Swedish Cancer Foundation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) has been associated with hepatobiliary cancer, but existing evidence is poor. We evaluated risk of death from hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), and extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ECC) among patients with IBD., Methods: This Swedish/Danish population-based cohort study (1969-2017) followed patients with IBD and 1:10 matched population comparators from their diagnosis/match date until death, emigration, or end of follow-up., Results: Among the 97,496 patients with ulcerative colitis/963,026 comparators, we found 66/390 HCC-deaths, 120/173 ICC-deaths, and 91/220 ECC-deaths (median follow-up 10 years); the 10-year-mortality was 0.5‰ (per mille) for HCC, 0.6‰ for ICC, and 0.4‰ for ECC, which decreased to 0.3‰, 0.4‰, and 0.2‰, respectively, in 2003-2017. Overall hazard ratios (HR) were 1.83 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.41-2.38] for HCC-, 7.33 (95% CI, 5.81-9.25) for ICC-, and 4.46 (95% CI, 3.49-5.70) for ECC-deaths. A total of 22/66 HCC-deaths, 87/120 ICC-deaths, and 55/91 ECC-deaths occurred among patients with ulcerative colitis with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC), corresponding to 10-year-mortality of 6.7‰, 26.2‰, and 17.2‰, respectively. Among 47,399 patients with Crohn's disease (median follow-up 11 years), 10-year-mortality from HCC ( n = 28), ICC ( n = 28), and ECC ( n = 24) were 0.3‰, 0.1‰, and 0.3‰, respectively, and corresponding HRs were 1.96 (95% CI, 1.31-2.93), 3.33 (95% CI, 2.19-5.09), and 3.10 (95% CI, 1.97-4.87). One of 28 HCC-deaths, 14/28 ICC-deaths (10-year-mortality 19‰), and 12/24 ECC-deaths (10-year-mortality 14‰) occurred after PSC., Conclusions: Risk of HCC-, ICC-, and ECC-deaths was low in patients with IBD and decreased over time. However, a large proportion of deaths occurred after PSC., Impact: Guidelines on specific surveillance strategies for patients with IBD with PSC, but not those without PSC, are needed., (©2021 American Association for Cancer Research.)

Objective: Crohn's disease (CD) is associated with increased risk of small bowel cancer (SBC), but previous studies have been small. We aimed to examine the risk of incident SBC and death from SBC in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD)., Design: In a binational, population-based cohort study from Sweden and Denmark of patients with IBD during 1969-2017 and matched reference individuals from the general population, we evaluated the risk of incident SBC and death from SBC. Cox regression was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs)., Results: We identified 161 896 individuals with IBD (CD: 47 370; UC: 97 515; unclassified IBD: 17 011). During follow-up, 237 cases of SBC were diagnosed in patients with IBD (CD: 24.4/100 000 person-years; UC: 5.88/100 000 person-years), compared with 640 cases in reference individuals (2.81/100 000 person-years and 3.32/100 000 person-years, respectively). This corresponded to one extra case of SBC in 385 patients with CD and one extra case in 500 patients with UC, followed up for 10 years. The aHR for incident SBC was 9.09 (95% CI 7.34 to 11.3) in CD and 1.85 (95% CI 1.43 to 2.39) in UC. Excluding the first year after an IBD diagnosis, the aHRs for incident SBC decreased to 4.96 in CD and 1.69 in UC. Among patients with CD, HRs were independently highest for recently diagnosed, childhood-onset, ileal and stricturing CD. The relative hazard of SBC-related death was increased in both patients with CD (aHR 6.59, 95% CI 4.74 to 9.15) and patients with UC (aHR 1.57; 95% CI 1.07 to 2.32)., Conclusion: SBC and death from SBC were more common in patients with IBD, particularly among patients with CD, although absolute risks were low., Competing Interests: Competing interests: JA has served as a consultant for Aetion and BioFire diagnostics. OO has been PI on projects at Karolinska Institutet partly financed by investigator-initiated grants from Janssen and Ferring. He also reports a grant from Pfizer in the context of a national safety monitoring programme. None of those studies has any relation to the present study. The Karolinska Institutet has received fees for Olén’s lectures and participation on advisory boards from Janssen, Ferring, Takeda and Pfizer regarding topics not related to the present study. JA acts or has acted as PI for agreements between Karolinska Institutet and grants from AbbVie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Eli Lilly, Merck, Pfizer, Roche, Samsung Bioepis, Sanofi and UCB, mainly in the context of a national safety monitoring programme for immunomoduators in rheumatology (ARTIS). JLF coordinates a study unrelated to the present study on behalf of the Swedish IBD Quality Register (SWIBREG). That study has received funding from Janssen. JH has served as speaker and/or advisory board member for AbbVie, Celgene, Celltrion, Ferring, Hospira, Janssen, MEDA, Medivir, MSD, Olink Proteomics, Pfizer, Prometheus Laboratories, Sandoz/Novartis, Shire, Takeda, Tillotts Pharma, Vifor Pharma and UCB. He also has received grant support from Janssen, MSD and Takeda. The Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Aarhus University Hospital, receives funding for other studies from companies in the form of research grants to (and administered by) Aarhus University. None of these studies has any relation to the present study., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2021. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)

Background: Patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) have an increased risk of cancer., Aim: To assess the risk of pancreatic cancer in IBD compared to the general population., Methods: Patients with incident IBD 1969-2017 were identified in Danish and Swedish National Patient Registers and through biopsy data, and were matched to IBD-free reference individuals by sex, age, place of residence and year of IBD diagnosis. We linked data to Cancer and Causes of Death Registers and examined the absolute and relative risks of pancreatic cancer and pancreatic cancer death., Results: Among 161 926 patients followed for 2 000 951 person years, 442 (0.27%) were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer compared to 3386 (0.21%) of the 1 599 024 reference individuals. The 20-year cumulative incidence was 0.34% (95% confidence interval 0.30-0.38) vs 0.29% (0.28-0.30). The incidence rate was 22.1 (20.1-24.2)/100 000 person years in the patients (excluding the first year of follow-up: 20.8 [18.8-23.0]), and 16.6 (16.0-17.2) in the reference individuals. The hazard ratio (HR) for pancreatic cancer was increased overall: 1.43 (1.30-1.58), in subtypes (Crohn's disease: 1.44 [1.18-1.74]; ulcerative colitis: 1.35 [1.19-1.53]; IBD unclassified: 1.99 [1.50-2.64]) and especially in IBD patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis: 7.55 (4.94-11.5). Patients and reference individuals with pancreatic cancer did not differ in cancer stage (P = 0.17) or pancreatic cancer mortality (HR 1.07 [0.95-1.21])., Conclusions: Patients with IBD had an excess risk of pancreatic cancer, in particular patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis. However, the cumulative incidence difference after 20 years was small: 0.05%, that is, one extra pancreatic cancer per 2000 IBD patients., (© 2020 The Authors. Alimentary Pharmacology & Therapeutics published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background: Crohn's disease is a risk factor for colorectal cancer (CRC). However, available studies reflect older treatment and surveillance strategies, and most have assessed risks for incident CRC without taking surveillance and lead-time bias into account. Such biases can be accounted for by assessing CRC incidence by tumour stage and CRC mortality by tumour stage. We aimed to assess rates of incident CRC and CRC mortality among patients with Crohn's disease compared with the general population., Methods: For this nationwide register-based cohort study, we used International Classification of Disease codes in national patient registers and pathology reports to identify incident cases of Crohn's disease. In Denmark we searched for incident cases between January, 1977, and December, 2011, and in Sweden between January, 1969, and December, 2017. For each patient with Crohn's disease, we identified up to ten reference individuals in national population registers and matched them by sex, age, calendar year, and place of residence. Matched reference individuals had to be alive and free of inflammatory bowel disease at the start of follow-up of index patients with Crohn's disease, and stopped contributing to reference person-years if they were diagnosed with inflammatory bowel disease. Our main outcome was death from CRC (main or contributory cause of death) as captured in the cause-of-death registers. Our secondary outcome was incident CRC, as defined by the cancer registers. We used Cox regression to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for incident CRC and CRC mortality, taking tumour stage into account. We used a series of Cox models to estimate cause-specific HRs of the different competing outcomes (CRC diagnosis, CRC death, and other causes of death) and adjusted for tumour stage at CRC diagnosis., Findings: During the 1969-2017 study period, we identified 47 035 patients with incident Crohn's disease (13 056 in Denmark and 33 979 in Sweden) and 463 187 matched reference individuals. During follow-up, 296 (0·47 per 1000 person-years) CRC deaths occurred among individuals with Crohn's disease compared with 1968 (0·31 per 1000 person-years) in reference individuals, corresponding to an overall adjusted HR of 1·74 (1·54-1·96). 499 (0·82 per 1000 person-years) cases of incident CRC were diagnosed in patients with Crohn's disease compared with 4084 (0·64 per 1000 person-years) cases in reference individuals, corresponding to an overall adjusted HR of 1·40 (95% CI 1·27-1·53). Patients with Crohn's disease who were diagnosed with CRC were at increased risk of CRC mortality compared with reference individuals also diagnosed with CRC (HR 1·42 [1·16-1·75] when adjusted for tumour stage), and tumour stage at CRC diagnosis did not differ between groups (p=0·27). Patients with Crohn's disease who had follow-up of 8 years or longer or who were diagnosed with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) and hence were potentially eligible for CRC surveillance had an increased overall risk of CRC death (HR 1·40 [1·16-1·68]) or CRC diagnosis (HR 1·12 [0·98-1·28]). However, in patients potentially eligible for CRC surveillance we only found significantly increased risks in patients diagnosed with Crohn's disease before the age of 40 years, patients with disease activity in the colon only, or patients with PSC., Interpretation: Patients with Crohn's disease are at increased risk of CRC diagnosis and CRC death. Patients with Crohn's disease who have CRC have a higher mortality than patients without Crohn's disease who are also diagnosed with CRC. CRC surveillance should likely be focused on patients diagnosed with Crohn's disease before the age of 40 years, on patients with colon inflammation, and on those who have PSC., Funding: Swedish Medical Society, Karolinska Institutet, Regional Agreement on Medical Training and Clinical Research between Stockholm County Council and Karolinska Institutet (ALF), Forte Foundation, Swedish Cancer Foundation, and Independent Research Fund Denmark., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background: The genetic influence on disease course in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) remains unknown. We therefore aimed to study longitudinal concordance for clinical characteristics and longitudinal stability using the Montreal Classification in an IBD twin population., Methods: A total of 158 twins with ulcerative colitis (UC) (18 belonging to 9 concordant monozygotic pairs) and 141 twins with Crohn's disease (CD) (34 belonging to 17 concordant monozygotic pairs) were enrolled. Medical notes were scrutinized for clinical characteristics at diagnosis and after 10 years. Using the binominal distribution, we tested the hypothesis that clinical characteristics were independent within individuals in disease concordant monozygotic pairs., Results: In CD, location was identical in 11/17 monozygotic concordant pairs at diagnosis (P = 0.008) and in 11/16 pairs after 10 years (P = 0.02). Behavior at diagnosis was identical in 13/17 pairs (P = 0.03) and in 11/16 pairs after 10 years (P = 0.01). Monozygotic UC twins were concordant (within 5 years) for age at diagnosis (6/9 pairs; P < 0.001) and symptomatic onset (4/9 pairs; P = 0.02) but not for extent of disease at diagnosis or after 10 years. The Montreal Classification did not demonstrate longitudinal stability, either regarding location or behavior of CD or extent of UC., Conclusions: The high phenotypic concordance, both at diagnosis and longitudinally, in monozygotic twins with CD supports a genetic influence not only on disease occurrence but also on disease course. This contrasts with UC, where the genetic impact appears less. Montreal Classification characteristics changed over time and should be used cautiously.

Background: Genetics and environmental factors are implicated in the etiology of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). We studied environmental factors in a population-based Swedish-Danish twin cohort using the co-twin control method., Subjects and Methods: A questionnaire was sent to 317 twin pairs regarding markers of exposures in the following areas: infections/colonization and diet as well as smoking, appendectomy, and oral contraceptives. Odds ratios (OR) were calculated by conditional logistic regression. When confounding appeared plausible, multivariate conditional logistic regression was added. The questions were also divided into topic groups, and adjustment was made for multiple testing within each of the groups., Results: The response rate to the questionnaire was 83%. In consideration of the study design, only discordant pairs were included (Crohn's disease [CD], n = 102; ulcerative colitis [UC], n = 125). Recurrent gastrointestinal infections were associated with both UC (OR, 8.0; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.0-64) and CD (OR, 5.5; 95% CI, 1.2-25). Hospitalization for gastrointestinal infections was associated with CD (OR, 12; 95% CI, 1.6-92). Smoking was inversely associated with UC (OR, 0.4; 95% CI, 0.2-0.9) and associated with CD (OR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.2-7.1)., Conclusions: The observed associations indicate that markers of possible infectious events may influence the risk of IBD. Some of these effects might be mediated by long-term changes in gut flora or alterations in reactivity to the flora. The influence of smoking in IBD was confirmed.