1. Axial growth and refractive change in white European children and young adults: predictive factors for myopia.
- Author
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McCullough S, Adamson G, Breslin KMM, McClelland JF, Doyle L, and Saunders KJ
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Adult, Age of Onset, Child, Cohort Studies, Europe epidemiology, Female, Humans, Male, Myopia, Degenerative epidemiology, Prognosis, Risk Factors, Vision Tests, White People, Young Adult, Axial Length, Eye, Myopia, Degenerative diagnosis, Refraction, Ocular
- Abstract
This report describes development of spherical equivalent refraction (SER) and axial length (AL) in two population-based cohorts of white, European children. Predictive factors for myopic growth were explored. Participants were aged 6-7- (n = 390) and 12-13-years (n = 657) at baseline. SER and AL were assessed at baseline and 3, 6 and 9 years prospectively. Between 6 and 16 years: latent growth mixture modelling identified four SER classes (Persistent Emmetropes-PEMM, Persistent Moderate Hyperopes-PMHYP, Persistent High Hyperopes-PHHYP and Emerging Myopes-EMYO) as optimal to characterise refractive progression and two classes to characterise AL. Between 12 and 22-years: five SER classes (PHHYP, PMHYP, PEMM, Low Progressing Myopes-LPMYO and High Progressing Myopes-HPMYO) and four AL classes were identified. EMYO had significantly longer baseline AL (≥ 23.19 mm) (OR 2.5, CI 1.05-5.97) and at least one myopic parent (OR 6.28, CI 1.01-38.93). More myopic SER at 6-7 years (≤ + 0.19D) signalled risk for earlier myopia onset by 10-years in comparison to baseline SER of those who became myopic by 13 or 16 years (p ≤ 0.02). SER and AL progressed more slowly in myopes aged 12-22-years (- 0.16D, 0.15 mm) compared to 6-16-years (- 0.41D, 0.30 mm). These growth trajectories and risk criteria allow prediction of abnormal myopigenic growth and constitute an important resource for developing and testing anti-myopia interventions.
- Published
- 2020
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