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Abstract: Ozone is a harmful air pollutant at ground level, and its concentrations are routinely measured with monitoring networks. The network design problem aims at determining the optimal positioning of the monitoring stations. In this study, the background stations of the French routine pollution monitoring network (BDQA) are partially redistributed over France under a set of design objectives. These background stations report ozone variations at large spatial scale comparable with that of a chemistry-transport model (CTM). The design criterion needs to be defined on a regular grid that covers France, where in general no ozone observations are available for validation. Geostatistical ozone estimation methods are used to extrapolate concentrations to these grid nodes. The geostatistical criteria are introduced to minimize the theoretical error of those geostatistical extrapolations. A physical criterion is also introduced to measure the ability of a network to represent a physical ozone field retrieved from CTM simulations using geostatistical extrapolation methods. A third type of criteria of geometrical nature, e.g. a maximal coverage of the design domain, are based uniquely on the distance between the network stations. To complete the network design methodology, a stochastic optimization method, simulated annealing, is employed in the algorithm to select optimally the stations. Significant improvement with all the proposed criteria has been found for the optimally redistributed network against the original background BDQA network. For instance, the relative improvements in the physical criterion value range from 21% to 32% compared to randomly relocated networks. Different design criteria lead to different optimally relocated networks. The optimal networks under physical criteria are the most heterogeneously distributed. More background stations are displaced to the coast, frontiers, and large urban agglomerations, e.g. Paris and Marseilles. The ozone heterogeneous fields are not as well reconstructed from optimal networks under geostatistical or geometrical criteria as from the optimal network obtained with the physical criterion. The values of the physical criterion for the geostatistically and geometrically optimal networks show deteriorations of about 8% and 17% respectively compared to that of the physically optimal network. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abstract: Ozone is a harmful air pollutant at ground level, and its concentrations are measured with routine monitoring networks. Due to the heterogeneous nature of ozone fields, the spatial distribution of the ozone concentration measurements is very important. Therefore, the evaluation of distributed monitoring networks is of both theoretical and practical interests. In this study, we assess the efficiency of the ozone monitoring network over France (BDQA) by investigating a network reduction problem. We examine how well a subset of the BDQA network can represent the full network. The performance of a subnetwork is taken to be the root mean square error (rmse) of the hourly ozone mean concentration estimations over the whole network given the observations from that subnetwork. Spatial interpolations are conducted for the ozone estimation taking into account the spatial correlations. Several interpolation methods, namely ordinary kriging, simple kriging, kriging about the means, and consistent kriging about the means, are compared for a reliable estimation. Exponential models are employed for the spatial correlations. It is found that the statistical information about the means improves significantly the kriging results, and that it is necessary to consider the correlation model to be hourly-varying and daily stationary. The network reduction problem is solved using a simulated annealing algorithm. Significant improvements can be obtained through these optimizations. For instance, removing optimally half the stations leads to an estimation error of the order of the standard observational error (10 μg m−3). The resulting optimal subnetworks are dense in urban agglomerations around Paris (Île-de-France) and Nice (Côte d’Azur), where high ozone concentrations and strong heterogeneity are observed. The optimal subnetworks are probably dense near frontiers because beyond these frontiers there is no observation to reduce the uncertainty of the ozone field. For large rural regions, the stations are uniformly distributed. The fractions between urban, suburban and rural stations are rather constant for optimal subnetworks of larger size (beyond 100 stations). By contrast, for smaller subnetworks, the urban stations dominate. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abstract: In the event of an accidental atmospheric release of radionuclides from a nuclear power plant, accurate real-time forecasting of the activity concentrations of radionuclides is acutely required by the decision makers for the preparation of adequate countermeasures. Yet, the accuracy of the forecasted plume is highly dependent on the source term estimation. Inverse modelling and data assimilation techniques should help in that respect. However the plume can locally be thin and could avoid a significant part of the radiological monitoring network surrounding the plant. Deploying mobile measuring stations following the accident could help to improve the source term estimation. In this paper, a method is proposed for the sequential reconstruction of the plume, by coupling a sequential data assimilation algorithm based on inverse modelling with an observation targeting strategy. The targeting design strategy consists in seeking the optimal locations of the mobile monitors at time t + 1 based on all available observations up to time t. The performance of the sequential assimilation with and without targeting of observations has been assessed in a realistic framework. It focuses on the Bugey nuclear power plant (France) and its surroundings within 50 km from the plant. The existing surveillance network is used and realistic observational errors are assumed. The targeting scheme leads to a better estimation of the source term as well as the activity concentrations in the domain. The mobile stations tend to be deployed along plume contours, where activity concentration gradients are important. It is shown that the information carried by the targeted observations is very significant, as compared to the information content of fixed observations. A simple test on the impact of model error from meteorology shows that the targeting strategy is still very useful in a more uncertain context. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

The Institute of Radiation Protection and Nuclear Safety (France) is planning the set-up of an automatic nuclear aerosol monitoring network over the French territory. Each of the stations will be able to automatically sample the air aerosol content and provide activity concentration measurements on several radionuclides. This should help monitor the French and neighbouring countries nuclear power plants set. It would help evaluate the impact of a radiological incident occurring at one of these nuclear facilities. This paper is devoted to the spatial design of such a network. Here, any potential network is judged on its ability to extrapolate activity concentrations measured on the network stations over the whole domain. The performance of a network is quantitatively assessed through a cost function that measures the discrepancy between the extrapolation and the true concentration fields. These true fields are obtained through the computation of a database of dispersion accidents over one year of meteorology and originating from 20 French nuclear sites. A close to optimal network is then looked for using a simulated annealing optimisation. The results emphasise the importance of the cost function in the design of a network aimed at monitoring an accidental dispersion. Several choices of norm used in the cost function are studied and give way to different designs. The influence of the number of stations is discussed. A comparison with a purely geometric approach which does not involve simulations with a chemistry-transport model is performed. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]