1. The potential of a multiplex high-throughput molecular assay for early detection of first and second line tuberculosis drug resistance mutations to improve infection control and reduce costs: a decision analytical modeling study.
- Author
-
van't Hoog, A. H., Bergval, I., Tukvadze, N., Sengstake, S., Aspindzelashvili, R., Anthony, R. M., and Cobelens, F.
- Subjects
SPUTUM microbiology ,DRUG therapy for tuberculosis ,ANTITUBERCULAR agents ,CROSS infection prevention ,PREVENTION of communicable diseases ,CROSS infection ,DRUG resistance in microorganisms ,GENETIC mutation ,MYCOBACTERIUM tuberculosis ,RESEARCH funding ,HIGH throughput screening (Drug development) ,COST analysis ,EARLY diagnosis - Abstract
Background: Molecular resistance detection (MRD) of resistance to second-line anti-tuberculous drugs provides faster results than phenotypic tests, may shorten treatment and allow earlier separation among patients with and without second-line drug resistance.Methods: In a decision-analytical model we simulated a cohort of patients diagnosed with TB in a setting where drug resistant TB is highly prevalent and requires initial hospitalization, to explore the potential benefits of a high-throughput MRD-assay for reducing potential nosocomial transmission of highly resistant strains, and total costs for diagnosis of drug resistance, treatment and hospitalization. In the base case scenario first-line drug resistance was diagnosed with WHO-endorsed molecular tests, and second-line drug resistance with culture and phenotypic methods. Three alternative scenarios were explored, each deploying high-throughput MRD allowing either detection of second-line mutations in cultured isolates, directly on sputum, or MRD with optimized markers.Results: Compared to a base case scenario, deployment of high-throughput MRD reduced total costs by 17-21 %. The period during which nosocomial transmission may take place increased by 15 % compared to the base case if MRD had currently reported suboptimal sensitivity and required cultured isolates; increased by 7 % if direct sputum analysis were possible including in patients with smear-negative TB, and reduced by 24 % if the assay had improved markers, but was still performed on cultured isolates. Improved clinical sensitivity of the assay (additional markers) by more than 35 % would be needed to avoid compromising infection control.Conclusions: Further development of rapid second-line resistance testing should prioritize investment in optimizing markers above investments in a platform for direct analysis of sputum. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF