Search

Climate‐driven alterations to disturbance regimes are increasingly disrupting patterns of recovery in many biomes. Here, we examine the impact of disturbance and subsequent level of recovery in live hard coral cover on the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) across the last three decades. We demonstrate that a preexisting pattern of infrequent disturbances of limited spatial extent has changed to larger and more frequent disturbances, dominated by marine heatwaves and severe tropical cyclones. We detected an increase in the impact (measured as coral loss) across 265 individual disturbance impacts on 131 reefs in a 36‐year dataset (1985–2022). Additionally, the number of survey reefs impacted by disturbance has increased each decade from 6% in the 1980s to 44% in the 2010s, as has the frequency of mass coral bleaching across the GBR, which has increased between 19% and 28% per year, and cyclones (3%–5% per year), resulting in less time for recovery. Of the 265 disturbance impacts we recorded, complete recovery to the highest levels of coral cover recorded earlier in this study (the "historical benchmark") occurred only 62 (23%) times. Of the 23% of disturbance impacts that resulted in complete recovery to historical benchmarks, 34/62 recovered to their benchmark in 2021 or 2022. Complete recovery was more likely when the historical benchmark was <25% live hard coral cover. The lack of recovery was attributed to recovery time windows becoming shorter due to increases in the frequency of cyclones and of thermal stress events that result in mass coral bleaching episodes. These results confirm that climate change is contributing to ecosystem‐wide changes in the ability of coral reefs to recover. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Cycles of disturbance and recovery govern the temporal dynamics of living coral cover on coral reefs. Monitoring the state of the Great Barrier Reef at regional and individual reef scales has been ongoing by the Long-Term Monitoring Program at the Australian Institute of Marine Science since 1986. After a period of relative stability between 1986 and 2010, the latest decade of surveys recorded increased frequency of intense, large-scale disturbance events and coral cover has reached unprecedented lows and highs in each region. Following the consecutive bleaching events in 2016 and 2017, widespread recovery occurred on the northern and central Great Barrier Reef between 2017 and 2022, which was halted in 2023. An examination of the effects of the 2022 bleaching event revealed that the direct and indirect impacts of this event, along with ongoing crown-of-thorns starfish outbreaks, notable incidences of coral disease, and the passage of a tropical cyclone all contributed to the most recent coral cover changes across the Great Barrier Reef. The prognosis for future disturbances suggests increasing and longer-lasting marine heatwaves, continuing severe tropical cyclones and the ongoing risk of outbreaks of crown-of-thorns starfish. Although the observed capacity for recovery is a cause for cautious optimism for the overall state of the Great Barrier Reef, there is increasing concern for its ability to continue to bounce back in the face of escalating climatic pressure. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Back‐to‐back marine heatwaves in 2016 and 2017 resulted in severe coral bleaching and mortality across the Great Barrier Reef (GBR). Encouragingly, some corals that survived these events exhibit increased bleaching resistance and may represent thermally tolerant populations that can better cope with ocean warming. Using the GBR as a natural laboratory, we investigated whether a history of minimal (Heron Island) or severe (Lizard Island) coral bleaching in 2016 and 2017 equates to stress tolerance in a successive heatwave (2020). We examined the genetic diversity, physiological performance, and trophic plasticity of juvenile (<10 cm) and adult (>25 cm) corals of two common genera (Pocillopora and Stylophora). Despite enduring greater cumulative heat stress (6.3°C week−1 vs. 5.6°C week−1), corals that experienced the third marine heatwave in 5 years (Lizard) exhibited twice as high survival and visual bleaching thresholds compared to corals that had not experienced significant bleaching in >10 years (Heron). Surprisingly, only one shared host–Symbiodiniaceae association was uncovered between locations (Stylophora pistillata–Cladocopium "C8 group") and there was no genetic overlap in Pocillopora–Cladocopium partnerships, suggesting turnover in species composition from recent marine heatwaves. Corals within the species complex Pocillopora that survived the 2016 and 2017 marine heatwaves at Lizard Island were the most resilient, exhibiting three times greater calcification rates than conspecifics at Heron Island. Further, surviving corals (Lizard) had distinct isotopic niches, lower host carbon, and greater host protein, while conspecifics that had not experienced recent bleaching (Heron) had two times greater symbiont carbon content, suggesting divergent trophic strategies that influenced survival (i.e., greater reliance on heterotrophy vs. symbiont autotrophy, respectively). Ultimately, while corals may experience less bleaching and survive repeated thermal stress events, species‐specific trade‐offs do occur, leaving open many questions related to the long‐term health and recovery of coral reef ecosystems in the face of intensifying marine heatwaves. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Great Barrier Reef (GBR) is a marine protected area subject to natural and anthropogenic disturbances. Water quality is critical for the health and protecting resilience of GBR coral ecosystems against the synergistic and cumulative pressures of tropical cyclones, marine heat waves, and outbreaks of crown-of-thorns starfish. The concentration of Total Suspended Solids (TSS) is a key water quality parameter measured at multiple spatio-temporal scales from in situ probes to satellite observations. High TSS concentrations can adversely impact coral and seagrasses on the inshore GBR. We present diurnal TSS derived from Himawari-8 Geostationary satellite observations at 10 min frequency and demonstrate its applicability for improved monitoring of GBR water quality. Diurnal TSS obtained from Himawari-8 observations were compared to TSS computed from in situ bio-optical measurements at the Lucinda Jetty Coastal Observatory (LJCO). The coastal waters at LJCO experience diurnal variability of TSS (~7 mg L−1), where magnitude peaks followed the slack tides, and the largest diurnal changes were associated with freshwater discharge residuals from the wet season. Exceedance maps revealed that TSS is above guideline thresholds in the open coastal and mid-shelf waters for ~60% of the valid monthly observations, including during dry season months. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Increasing ocean temperatures threaten coral reefs globally, but corals residing in habitats that experience high thermal variability are thought to be better adapted to survive climate-induced heat stress. Here, we used long-term ecological observations and in situ temperature data from Heron Island, southern Great Barrier Reef to investigate how temperature dynamics within various thermally variable vs. thermally stable reef habitats change during a marine heatwave and the resulting consequences for coral community survival. During the heatwave, thermally variable habitats experienced larger surges in daily mean and maxima temperatures compared to stable sites, including extreme hourly incursions up to 36.5 °C. The disproportionate increase in heat stress in variable habitats corresponded with greater subsequent declines in hard coral cover, including a three-times greater decline within the thermally variable Reef Flat (70%) and Deep Lagoon (83%) than within thermally stable habitats along sheltered and exposed areas of the reef slope (0.3–19%). Interestingly, the thermally variable Reef Crest experienced comparatively small declines (26%), avoiding the most severe tidal ponding and resultant heat stress likely due to proximity to the open ocean equating to lower seawater residence times, greater mixing, and/or increased flow. These results highlight that variable thermal regimes, and any acclimatization or adaptation to elevated temperatures that may lead to, do not necessarily equate to protection against bleaching and mortality during marine heatwaves. Instead, thermally stable habitats that have greater seawater exchange with the open ocean may offer the most protection to corals during the severe marine heatwaves that accompany a changing climate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Natural bleaching events provide an opportunity to examine how local‐scale environmental variation influences bleaching severity and recovery. During the 2020 marine heat wave, we documented widespread and severe coral bleaching affecting 75%–98% of coral cover throughout the Keppel Islands in the southern inshore Great Barrier Reef. Acropora, Pocillopora, and Porites were the most severely affected genera, while Montipora was comparatively less susceptible. Site‐specific heat‐exposure metrics were not correlated with Acropora bleaching severity, but recovery was faster at sites that experienced lower heat exposure. Despite severe bleaching and exposure to accumulated heat that often results in coral mortality (degree heating weeks ~4–8), cover remained stable. Approximately 94% of fate‐tracked Acropora millepora colonies survived, perhaps due to reduced irradiance stress from high turbidity, heterotrophic feeding, and large tidal flows that can increase mass transfer. Severe bleaching followed by rapid recovery and the continuing dominance of Acropora populations in the Keppel Islands is indicative of high resilience. These coral communities have survived a 0.8°C increase in average temperatures over the last 150 years. However, recovery following the 2020 bleaching was driven by the easing of thermal stress, which may challenge their recovery potential under further warming. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Coral bleaching events are more frequent and severe as global temperatures rise. However, analysis of the surface energy fluxes that substantially affect the thermoregulation of shallow reef environments is rare. Previous work on evaporative cooling in a humid reef environment led to the hypothesis that in proximity to desert regions, drier air enhances evaporative cooling of water overlying coral reefs, reducing the risk of extreme high‐water temperatures. Eddy Covariance measurements made over a shallow desert fringing coral reef in the Gulf of Eilat (Israel) during summer measured evaporation of 10.3 mm d−1 which is maintaining water temperature much lower than the overlying air temperature. In addition, measurements of the most severe marine heatwave that was ever documented in the region are presented as a case study for future reference to the processes that lead to and proceed a marine heatwave, which is induced by synoptic scale events that cause a ∼50% reduction in evaporation rate. Results are compared to similar measurements from a tropical coral reef, where a lower evaporation rate suppressed by higher humidity is unable to offset the heating of water overlying the reef. We conclude that evaporative cooling is a key mechanism protecting coral reefs located in deserts from extreme high‐water temperatures, thereby representing possible thermal refugium for corals against background global warming. Plain Language Summary: We examine the energy balance between water overlying coral reefs and the atmosphere in the desert and tropical coral reefs. We hypothesize that in drier regions higher evaporation rates will cool water overlying the reefs and by that protect the corals from extreme high‐water temperatures and bleaching. We show through rare direct measurements, that the cooling of water caused by sea water evaporation is a key mechanism in mitigating extremely high‐water temperatures that can cause coral bleaching and is especially dominant in coral reefs with strong and dry winds blowing above them. The results support the hypothesis that the meteorology of regions where coral reefs fringe arid deserts provides a thermal refugium for corals against future predicted global warming. Key Points: Evaporative cooling is a key mechanism in mitigating extreme increase in water temperatures and preventing coral bleachingFollowing a marine heatwave, surface energy partitioning varies with air humidity; in drier climates evaporative cooling takes larger roleThe Gulf of Eilat (Aqaba) is identified as an evaporative thermal refugium for the preservation of coral reefs in a warming World [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Sea surface temperature (SST) products that can resolve fine scale features, such as sub-mesoscale eddies, ocean fronts and coastal upwelling, are increasingly in demand. In response to user requirements for gap-free, highest spatial resolution, best quality and highest accuracy SST data, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) produces operational, real-time Multi-sensor SST level 3 products by compositing SST from Advanced Very-High-Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) sensors on Meteorological Operational satellite (MetOp)-B and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) 18, along with SST from Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) sensors on the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (Suomi NPP) and NOAA 20 polar-orbiting satellites for the Australian Integrated Marine Observing System (IMOS) project. Here we discuss our method to combine data from different sensors and present validation of the satellite-derived SST against in situ SST data. The Multi-sensor Level 3 Super Collated (L3S) SSTs exhibit significantly greater spatial coverage and improved accuracy compared with the pre-existing IMOS AVHRR-only L3S SSTs. When compared to the Geo Polar Blended level 4 analysis SST data over the Great Barrier Reef, Multi-sensor L3S SST differs by less than 1 ° C while exhibiting a wider range of SSTs over the region. It shows more variability and restores small-scale features better than the Geo Polar Blended level 4 analysis SST data. The operational Multi-sensor L3S SST products are used as input for applications such as IMOS OceanCurrent and the BoM ReefTemp Next-Generation Coral Bleaching Nowcasting service and provide useful insight into the study of marine heatwaves and ocean upwelling in near-coastal regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Great Barrier Reef has become one of the latest casualties of the climate crisis, suffering mass coral mortalities following three marine heat waves since 2016. Two new papers untangle the cumulative effects of these disturbances on the reef's resilience. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Widespread coral bleaching across the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) in 2016 is often reportedly caused by El Niño and/or global warming. However, the GBR is not in a region where it is straightforward to anticipate sea surface temperature (SST) warming during El Niño, and the role of climate change is unclear. This study uses a diverse range of observations to investigate the physical causes of SST anomalies that developed on the GBR in 2016. Warm SST anomalies developed in two stages. Initial warming was caused by El Niño shifting the global‐scale pattern of convection, increasing solar radiation in the Coral Sea. The warm anomaly was extended and amplified near the coast by a terrestrial heat wave propagating across eastern Australia, further warming the GBR through turbulent heat flux. It is concluded that El Niño caused the SST anomaly, and global warming increased its amplitude and extended it by several months. Key Points: A quantitative heat budget analysis of the 2016 marine heat wave in the Great Barrier Reef lights a path to large‐scale climate processesThe waning El Niño of 2015/2016 warmed regional seas with solar radiation; a terrestrial heat wave in Australia intensified coastal warmingLong‐term trends in marine and terrestrial records clarify role of global warming, widespread coral mortality in 2016 unlikely without it [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Great Barrier Reef (GBR) is the world's largest coral ecosystem and is threatened by climate change. This study investigated the impact of the 2016 Marine Heatwave (MHW) on plankton associated microbial communities along a ∼800 km transect in the GBR. 16S rRNA gene metabarcoding of archived plankton samples collected from November 2014 to August 2016 in this region showed a significant increase in Planctomycetes and bacteria belonging to the genus Vibrio and Synechococcus during and after the heatwave. Notably, Droplet Digital PCR and targeted metagenomic analysis applied on samples collected four months after the MHW event revealed the presence of several potential pathogenic Vibrio species previously associated with diseases in aquatic animals. Overall, the 2016 MHW significantly impacted the surface picoplankton community and fostered the spread of potentially pathogenic bacteria across the GBR providing an additional threat for marine biodiversity in this area. [Display omitted] • Impact of 2016 Marine Heatwave (MHW) was investigated in the Great Barrier Reef. • A retrospective metagenomic analysis of archived CPR samples was applied. • MHW fostered large-scale spread of potential pathogenic Vibrio species. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]