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• India is vulnerable to Compound Dry and Hot Extremes (CDHEs) yet lacks attention. • A shift in studying individual extremes to a compound perspective is paramount. • We reviewed recent advances in CDHEs characterization, drivers, and prediction. • Discusses the challenges and future directions of CDHEs research in India. Compound Dry and Hot Extremes (CDHEs) is gaining attention compared to individual dry or hot extremes, due to their amplified impacts on both the population and ecosystems in India. This underscores the importance of transitioning from studying individual extremes to adopting a compound perspective. Despite this, investigation of CDHEs during the Indian summer monsoon remain limited, and a comprehensive review of methodologies for the investigation of CDHE is absent. This review systematically synthesizes recent literature, covering concepts of CDHE with illustrative examples, including identification, characterization, drivers, and prediction. It illustrates three widely used methods for the identification of CDHEs along with their advantages and disadvantages. Furthermore, it describes concepts with illustrative examples to investigate the characteristics (frequency, spatial extent, timing, duration, severity, and likelihood), explores drivers using event coincidence analysis and a complexity-based framework, and discusses the strengths and weaknesses of a logistic regression model for predicting the occurrence of CDHE. In light of the growing significance of CDHEs, we suggest future directions for Indian CDHE research, including an improved characterization of CDHEs across multiple temporal and spatial scales, a deep understanding of the physical mechanism, a robust evaluation of climate models, attribution and projection, and a comprehensive impact assessment. CDHEs are the new normal, and there is an urgent need to advance research on CDHEs in vulnerable regions like India to combat and mitigate their effects. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Compound extremes exhibit greater adverse impacts than their univariate counterparts. Studies have reported changes in frequency and the spatial extent of extremes in India; however, investigation of compound extremes is in the infancy state. This study investigates the historical variation of compound dry and hot extremes (CDHE) and compound wet and cold extremes (CWCE) during the Indian summer monsoon period from 1951 to 2019 using monthly data. Results are analyzed for 10 identified homogeneous regions for India. Our results unravelled that CDHE (CWCE) frequency has increased (decreased) by 1–3 events per decade for the recent period (1977–2019) relative to the base period (1951–1976). Overall, the increasing (decreasing) pattern of CDHE (CWCE) is high across North-central India, Western India, North-eastern India and South-eastern coastlines. Our findings help in identification of the parts of the country affected by frequent and widespread CDHE during the recent period, which is alarming. More detailed assessments are required to disentangle the complex physical process of compound extremes to improve risk management options. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Compound dry and hot extremes (CDHE) are periods of prolonged dry and hot weather. Their joint occurrence typically impacts society and nature stronger compared to the occurrence of the single hazards. Understanding the likelihood, variability and drivers of CDHE is challenging due to the complexity of the climate system involving interactions and feedbacks among atmosphere-land processes. In this study, we first investigate the role of the dependence between precipitation and temperature for the likelihood of CDHEs. We demonstrate that both the dependence strength and its type, i.e. the degree of tail dependence, substantially affect the CDHE likelihood. We then analyze the space-time variation of CDHE characteristics during the Indian Summer Monsoon across India for the period 1961–2014. We find strong negative association and substantial tail dependence between precipitation and temperature in some regions. Event coincidence analysis reveals that low soil moisture preconditioned by dry extremes is responsible for 55–65% of CDHE occurrence. Our analysis of the temporal evolution of CDHE characteristics finds an increasing negative association between precipitation and temperature leading to a 2 to 3-fold rise of CDHE frequency for some regions of India. • CDHE likelihood depends strongly on the type and strength of precipitation-temperature dependence. • Dependence between low precipitation and high temperature exhibits strong space-time variation. • Low soil moisture preconditioned by dry extremes contributes to CDHE occurrence and its spatial diversity. • CDHE frequency shows a 2 to 3-fold rise for some regions for the period 1961–2014. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Spatiotemporal dependence between soil moisture (SM) and precipitation (P) over India investigated using Tail Dependence and Event Coincidence Analysis. • The precursor coincidence rate quantifies the fraction of P extreme events happening after SM has already attained extreme state. • Basin-scale analysis of temporal evolution of precursor coincidence revealed distinct patterns for major river basins over India. • Higher SM anomalies triggering P extremes is explored using trigger coincidence rate. Anthropogenic climate change has impacted almost all phases of the global water cycle. Growing consensus asserts that extreme precipitation events will only rise in the years to come. However, an increase in extreme precipitation events does not necessarily correspond to higher flood risk. Much onus lies on the antecedent conditions before the storm events. Despite the importance of Soil Moisture (SM) – Precipitation (P) dependence in runoff generation, relatively few studies have unraveled the SM – P dependence. Previous studies were constrained by the direct trivial relationship existing between SM and P, and hence there is a need to understand direction and dynamical interdependency. We employed Event Coincidence Analysis (ECA) to identify and quantify the preconditioning of P extremes by soil moisture (SM) anomalies. High precursor coincidence rate (greater than45%) was obtained for traditional flash flood-prone areas over India - Ganga river basin, West-flowing rivers of Kutch and Saurashtra including Luni, inland drainage of Rajasthan and Narmada river basin, indicating the robustness of the approach. The trigger coincidence rate reveals strong SM-P coupling over central India. Our results indicate the applicability of ECA in characterizing the spatiotemporal patterns of SM-P dependence over India. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Proposed framework investigates the effectiveness of BMP/LID in managing urban surface runoff volume. • Coupled SWMM with NSGA-II for the optimal numbers of BMPs/LIDs with respect to the cost. • The optimization for minimizing cost and for maximizing benefit was simulated. • Optimization strategy employed for implementing BMPs/LIDs shows 24–26% reduction in urban flood volume. Urban surface runoff management via best management practices (BMP) and low impact development (LID) has earned significant recognition owing to positive environmental and ecological impacts. However, due to the complexity of the parameters involved, the estimation of LID efficiency in attenuating the urban surface runoff at the watershed scale is challenging. A planning analysis of employing Green Roofs and Infiltration Trenches as BMPs/LIDs practices for urban surface runoff control is presented in this study. A multi-objective optimization decision-making framework is established by coupling SWMM (Storm Water Management Model) with NSGA-II models to check the performance of BMPs/LIDs concerning the cost-benefit analysis of LID at the watershed scale. Two urbanized areas belonging to Central Delhi in India were used as case studies. The results showed that the SWMM model is useful in simulating optimization problems for managing urban surface runoff. The optimum scenarios efficiently minimized the urban runoff volume while maintaining the BMPs/LIDs implementation costs and size. With BMPs/LIDs implementation, the reduction in runoff volume increases as expenses increase initially; however, there is no noticeable reduction in flood volume after a certain threshold. Contrasted with the haphazard arrangement of BMPs/LIDs, the proposed approach demonstrates 22%–24% runoff reductions for the same expenditures in watershed 1 and 23%–26% in watershed 2. The result of the study provides insights into planning and management of the urban surface runoff control with LID practices. The proposed framework assists the hydrologists in optimum selection and placements of BMPs/LIDs practices to acquire the most extreme ecological advantages with the least expenses. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Accelerating climate change is causing considerable changes in extreme events, leading to immense socioeconomic loss of life and property. In this study, we investigate the characteristics of extreme climate events at a regional scale to -understand these events' propagation in the near future. We have considered sixteen extreme climate indices defined by the World Meteorological Organization's Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices from a long-term dataset (1951–2018) of 53 locations in Gomati River Basin, North India. We computed the present and future spatial variation of theses indices using the Sen's slope estimator and Hurst exponent analysis. The periodicities and non-stationary features were estimated using the continuous wavelet transform. Bivariate copulas were fitted to estimate the joint probabilities and return periods for certain combinations of indices. The study results show different variation in the patterns of the extreme climate indices: D95P, R95TOT, RX5D, and RX showed negative trends for all stations over the basin. The number of dry days (DD) showed positive trends over the basin at 36 stations out of those 17 stations are statistically significant. A sustainable decreasing trend is observed for D95P at all stations, indicating a reduction in precipitation in the future. DD exhibits a sustainable decreasing trend at almost all the stations over the basin barring a few exceptions highlight that the basin is turning drier. The wavelet power spectrum for D95P showed significant power distributed across the 2–16-year bands, and the two-year period was dominant in the global power spectrum around 1970–1990. One interesting finding is that a dominant two-year period in D95P has changed to the four years after 1984 and remains in the past two decades. The joint return period's resulting values are more significant than values resulting from univariate analysis (R95TOT with 44% and RTWD of 1450 mm). The difference in values highlights that ignoring the mutual dependence can lead to an underestimation of extremes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Accounted for temporal variability and magnitude to identify homogeneous regions of precipitation in India. • Coupling of self-organizing map with SVI reveals unique seasonal distribution of precipitation for each cluster. • South-central India; South-eastern coastlines; Konkan Coast exhibit stable clusters independent of temporal variability. • The temporal evolution of clusters unravels a new emerging pattern of Indian Summer Monsoon across Central India. Precipitation regionalization deals with an investigation of the seasonality and its temporal variability and is useful for a wide variety of applications in hydro-meteorology. The d homogeneous regions can be used as a basis for transforming the information from gauged to ungauged sites and can reduce the uncertainty in estimating the seasonal characteristics of precipitation across India. Despite several studies stressing the importance of seasonality and temporal variability to the environment, there is a lack of studies on accounting for temporal variability in regionalization. Precipitation regionalization must account for both the precipitation magnitude and its temporal variability at multiple time-scales to extract the seasonality of a region representing coherent local and inter-annual variability. Therefore, in this study, we propose a framework for precipitation regionalization, considering both precipitation magnitude and its temporal variability. High resolution (0.25° × 0.25°) gridded daily precipitation time series over the period 1901–2013 from Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) was used for the evaluation of the framework. First, the historical daily time series was transformed into multiple time scales, i.e., annual, seasonal, and monthly time scales. Entropy-based standardized variability index was used to measure the inter-annual variability of precipitation at each time scale. Regionalization of grid points was performed using self-organizing maps, an artificial neural network. Ten distinct regions were identified that can be tied back to two general categories, such as climate characteristics and physical characteristics. Coupling of the self-organizing map with standardized variability index reveals unique seasonal distribution of precipitation for each region. The temporal evolution of clusters unravels a new emerging pattern across Central India. Consideration of temporal variability plays an insignificant role in the shape, size and stability of south-central India, south-eastern coastlines, and Konkan Coast. Intriguingly, separate Rain-belt and Rain-shadow Western Himalayas are formed due to the difference in topography and seasonal characteristics of precipitation. The temporal evolution of clusters unravels a significant change in the occurrence of the 50th percentile monsoon after the 1940s across the north-western region; a significant increase in the 50th percentile monsoon after the 1940s across western India, and decrease in the 50th percentile monsoon after the 1980s in the north-central Region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• A normalized entropy measure, Standardized Variability Index, is proposed. • Trend analysis shows one-third of the country experienced a significant increase. • More extreme rainfall events in the near future are anticipated. Understanding the spatiotemporal variability of rainfall is vital for water resources planning and management, flood and drought mitigation, and erosion control, among others. Despite the progress in this direction, through proposal of many different approaches and their applications to rainfall data at various regions around the world, our knowledge of the spatiotemporal variability of rainfall remains limited. Studies in this direction have largely focused on the amount of rainfall and its spatial patterns, and investigations of spatiotemporal variability at multiscale are limited. In this study, we introduce a novel measure, Standardized Variability Index (SVI), based on the concept of entropy to investigate the spatiotemporal variability of gridded rainfall in the Indian subcontinent at different timescales. The results show distinct spatial patterns in the inter-annual rainfall variability at all timescales. Also, the intra-annual variability of rainfall amount, as well as rainy days, is found to increase from east to west of India. The Mann-Kendall trend test at different timescales reveals significant increase in rainfall variability. In addition, coupling the mean annual rainfall with SVI enables a relative assessment of the water resources availability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]