1. Assessment of changes in monthly streamflow using innovative polygon trend analysis in the South Indian Rivers.
- Author
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Gupta, Neha and Chavan, Sagar Rohidas
- Subjects
STREAMFLOW ,TREND analysis ,POLYGONS ,GLOBAL warming ,TIME series analysis - Abstract
This study focuses on a hydro-meteorological variable, streamflow, and its vulnerability to global warming. In this study, we analyze monthly streamflow in 40 catchments across four major South Indian River basins: Cauvery, Godavari, Krishna, and Mahanadi, within the Indian Peninsular region. The chosen catchments have available streamflow series records ranging from 41 to 49 years, spanning from 1970 to 2018. To uncover trends in the streamflow datasets, an innovative technique called Innovative Polygon Trend Analysis (IPTA) is used. IPTA detects trend transitions between successive time series parts and identifies possible trend pieces within a year, crucial for agricultural and irrigation practices. Results reveal diverse polygon patterns across different catchments, reflecting non-systematic streamflow variation. Non-systematic changes occur primarily in the Cauvery basin, followed by the Godavari, Krishna, and Mahanadi basins. Varied trends—increasing and decreasing—are dispersed across different catchments. Increasing trends were generally observed in the standard deviation of streamflow, while decreasing trends were more widespread in the mean of streamflow. Notably, the Godavari basin displays more prevalent decreasing trends in the majority of catchments for different months, followed by Cauvery and Krishna. Mahanadi basin has more catchments showing an increasing trend than other basins. The results of this study provide deeper insight into the streamflow dynamics within these four basins. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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