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• Calibration and validation of a process-based ecosystem model at an Indian forest. • Modelled and observed annual GPP are 2433 gC m−2 y−1 and 2399 gC m−2 y−1. • Mismatch exists between empirically derived and modelled photosynthetic parameters. • Model simulated sensible and latent heat fluxes concur with direct observations. The ecosystem-atmosphere exchanges of terrestrial ecosystems are key drivers of global carbon, water, and energy cycles which are crucial to be measured accurately and represented in bottom-up biogeochemically and biogeophysically coupled ecosystem, Earth system, and climate models for improving the model predictions and impact assessment of climate change on these ecosystems. The diverse natural ecosystems in India are poorly represented in these models due to the absence any of integrated data-model framework and intercomparison study so far. To partially address this, we have used flux-tower measurements in this study to simulate the gross primary productivity (GPP), sensible (H), and latent heat fluxes (LE) of a moist semi-evergreen deciduous forest in the Kaziranga National Park in subtropical Northeast India using a process-based model ISAM. The model is calibrated using two years of measurement which improves its performance when subsequently run to simulate these fluxes for a year. The model produced annual GPP, mean maximum H, and LE are 2432.26 gC m−2 y−1, 29 and 82 W m−2 respectively as compared to their measured values i.e. 2398.47 gC m−2 y−1, 26 and 73 W m−2 correspondingly. Additionally, we report the calibrated model biogeochemical and biogeophysical parameters which will be useful to simulate the fluxes in this forest using the aforementioned models. [Display omitted] [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Forests are subjected to stress from climatic and non-climatic sources. In this study, we have reported the results of inherent, as well as climate change driven vulnerability assessments for Indian forests. To assess inherent vulnerability of forests under current climate, we have used four indicators, namely biological richness, disturbance index, canopy cover, and slope. The assessment is presented as spatial profile of inherent vulnerability in low, medium, high and very high vulnerability classes. Fourty percent forest grid points in India show high or very high inherent vulnerability. Plantation forests show higher inherent vulnerability than natural forests. We assess the climate change driven vulnerability by combining the results of inherent vulnerability assessment with the climate change impact projections simulated by the Integrated Biosphere Simulator dynamic global vegetation model. While 46% forest grid points show high, very high, or extremely high vulnerability under future climate in the short term (2030s) under both representative concentration pathways 4.5 and 8.5, such grid points are 49 and 54%, respectively, in the long term (2080s). Generally, forests in the higher rainfall zones show lower vulnerability as compared to drier forests under future climate. Minimizing anthropogenic disturbance and conserving biodiversity can potentially reduce forest vulnerability under climate change. For disturbed forests and plantations, adaptive management aimed at forest restoration is necessary to build long-term resilience. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim This study aims to improve the formulation and results of the Brazilian Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies Potential Vegetation Model (CPTEC-PVM) by developing a new parameterization for the long-term occurrence of fire in regions of potential savannas in the tropics. Compared with the relatively slow processes of carbon uptake and growth in vegetation, fast mortality and biomass consumption by fires may favour grasses and reduce tree coverage. Location The tropics. Methods For finding large-scale relationships between fires and other environmental factors, we made two main simplifying assumptions. First, lightning is the most important source of ignition for natural fires. Second, over continental areas in the tropics, lightning is mainly related to the zonal flux of moisture transport. Results The parameterization of fire occurrence was built based on a simple empirical relationship, combining information on mean and intra-annual variance of the zonal wind. Main conclusions The implementation of this new relationship improved the formulation and the results of the CPTEC-PVM. As a result of this new parameter, the accuracy of the model in allocating the correct vegetation (seasonal forests) instead of savannas for large regions in India and Southeast Asia is now substantially higher than in previous studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]