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Objective: To predict the 3-months mortality in permanently bedridden medical non-oncologic inpatients., Patients and Methods: 2788 consecutive patients admitted in 5 Italian Internal Medicine units from January 2016 through January 2017 were prospectively screened; 644 oncologic patients were excluded; 2144 non-oncologic patients (1021 female) were followed-up for mortality for 6 months. Main outcome was 3-months mortality in permanently bedridden inpatients with at least 2 of: creatinine clearance <35 ml/min; albumin < 2.5 g/dl; at least 2 hospital admissions in the previous 6 months. Advanced dementia and dysphagia were also recorded., Results: Mean age of the 2144 patients was 73.9 (SD, 14.9) years; 374 (17%) were permanently bedridden, 435 (20%) had a creatinine clearance <35 ml/min, 217 (10%) albumin <2,5 g/dl, 112 (5%) at least 2 hospital admissions in the previous 6 months. Seventy-seven (4%) patients were permanently bedridden with at least 2 of the above mentioned items, and 48 of them died within 3 months (62%) (p < 0.001;95% CI 51-73%). Regression coefficients of the variables associated with 3-months mortality in multivariate analysis in 998 patients of unit 1 (training cohort) were used to create a simple score, which was validated in the 1146 patients of the other units (validation cohort) and performed well in predicting the 3-months mortality (https://www.ejcrim.com/beclap/)., Conclusions: Approximately two out of three non-oncologic medical patients permanently bedridden having 2 of the abovementioned items are dead 3 months after index admission; a simple score including bedridden status, creatinine clearance, albumin, dysphagia, age and sex may help discuss management priorities., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest None., (Copyright © 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background: Prognostic factors affecting outcome of traumatic brain injury (TBI), despite their importance, are still under discussion. The purpose of this study was to describe risk factors of in-hospital mortality and outcome at 1 year in a homogeneously treated population of patients with moderate/severe TBI., Methods: A total of 193 consecutive patients with moderate or severe TBI (Glasgow Coma Scale [GCS] score 13-3, including patients with initial GCS score of 13 at high risk for subsequent neurologic deterioration), admitted to the intensive care unit, were retrospectively analyzed. In-hospital mortality and unfavorable outcome at 1 year, based on a Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended score ≤4, were considered as primary and secondary outcomes., Results: At 1 year, unfavorable outcome occurred in 47.2%, including an in-hospital mortality of 19.7%. Increasing age, GCS motor score <3, coagulation disorders, and intracranial hypertension were acute risk factors of in-hospital mortality. In the 155 remaining survivors, Oxford Handicap Scale (OHS), posttraumatic cerebral infarction, cerebrospinal fluid disturbances, and length of intensive care unit stay were associated with unfavorable outcome at 1 year, in univariate analysis. A cutoff OHS score ≥3 discriminated the probability of an unfavorable outcome (area under the curve, 0.87; P < 0.001; specificity, 74%; sensitivity, 84%). Combining the effect of acute and subacute variables in a multivariate analysis, increasing age and OHS score were independent predictors of outcome., Conclusions: The results of this retrospective study confirmed age as the main acute risk factor and identified OHS as new potential subacute predictor of unfavorable outcome in moderate and severe TBI., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Most studies in polycythemia vera (PV) include patients with both remote and most recent diagnostic periods and are therefore vulnerable to inaccurate interpretation of time-dependent data. We addressed the particular issue by analyzing presenting characteristics and outcome data among 1,545 patients with WHO-defined PV stratified by a diagnosis period of before or after 2005, which coincides with the first description of JAK2V617F as the molecular marker of PV. Patients diagnosed after 2005 displayed lower hemoglobin values (P < 0.0001) and older age (P = 0.007) at diagnosis; we suggest ease of diagnosis offered by a molecular marker enabled earlier diagnosis and broader application across older age groups that is further enhanced by recent trends in increased attention and health monitoring for the elderly. Post-2005 diagnosed patients were also more or less likely to receive aspirin and cytoreductive therapy, respectively, and, despite their older age distribution, displayed significantly lower risk of thrombosis in high risk disease. Regardless of the contributing factors to the latter phenomenon, our observations underscore the need to reassess current demographics and frequencies of thrombosis in clinical trial designs including thrombosis prevention in PV., (© 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.)

To investigate the characteristics and clinical course of cerebral vein thrombosis (CVT) in patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) we compared 48 patients with MPN and CVT (group MPN-CVT) to 87 with MPN and other venous thrombosis (group MPN-VT) and 178 with MPN and no thrombosis (group MPN-NoT) matched by sex, age at diagnosis of MPN (±5 years) and type of MPN. The study population was identified among 5,500 patients with MPN, from January 1982 to June 2013. Thrombophilia abnormalities were significantly more prevalent in the MPN-CVT and MPN-VT than in MPN-NoT group (P = 0.015), as well as the JAK2 V617F mutation in patients with essential thrombocythemia (P = 0.059). Compared to MPN-VT, MPN-CVT patients had a higher rate of recurrent thrombosis (42% vs. 25%, P = 0.049) despite a shorter median follow-up period (6.1 vs. 10.3 years, P = 0.019), a higher long-term antithrombotic (94% vs. 84%, P = 0.099) and a similar cytoreductive treatment (79% vs. 70%, P = 0.311). The incidence of recurrent thrombosis was double in MPN-CVT than in MPN-VT group (8.8% and 4.2% patient-years, P = 0.022), and CVT and unprovoked event were the only predictive variables in a multivariate model including also sex, blood count, thrombophilia, cytoreductive, and antithrombotic treatment (HR 1.97, 95%CI 1.05-3.72 and 2.09, 1.09-4.00, respectively)., (© 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.)

Background: Although it is well known that a variety of antibacterials may incidentally cause malignant arrhythmia, the list of drugs causing arrhythmia and the impact of these adverse effects are still uncertain. We investigated on this topic by using a large prescription database with different observational designs., Methods: Prescription data on all incident users of several antibacterial and antiarrhythmic drugs over the period July 1997 through December 1999 were retrieved from the Drug Prescription Database (DPD) of the Italian Province of Varese. The association between the use of antibacterial and antiarrhythmic drugs was investigated by applying prescription sequence symmetry, cohort and nested case-control designs., Results: Lower proarrhythmic effects were on an average obtained from prescription sequence symmetry approach with respect to both cohort and nested case-control. Evidence of association between exposure to drugs (erythromycin and ciprofloxacin) and the risk of arrhythmia was consistently found by the three approaches. No other signals were generated from the prescription sequence symmetry analysis. Two drugs (clarithromycin and levofloxacin) showed patterns compatible with an arrhythmic effect according to both cohort and nested case-control designs., Conclusions: Prescription databases are useful tools to explore drug safety through both conventional and emerging observational designs. In spite of its appealing features, prescription sequence symmetry design shows lower sensitivity with respect to conventional designs. Evidence about the association between the use of certain macrolides and fluoroquinolones and the onset of arrhythmia is confirmed by this study., (Copyright (c) 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.)