1. Tropical Pacific intensifies June extreme rainfall over Southwestern United States/Northwestern Mexico.
- Author
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Zhang, Honghai
- Subjects
- *
HUMIDITY , *RAINFALL , *OCEAN temperature , *ATMOSPHERIC circulation , *LAND-atmosphere interactions , *CLIMATE extremes - Abstract
Extreme rainfall over Southwestern United States/Northwestern Mexico (SWUNWM) has been mostly investigated during wet seasons, while no or little attention has been paid to extreme rainfall during dry seasons despite its vital importance for sustaining vegetation and ecosystems. Here we examine the top 1% rainfall over SWUNWM in June, the driest month on average, and assess how it is affected by the ocean with a 50 km-resolution global climate model. Comparing millennia-long simulations with and without the ocean, we find that the ocean does not change the pattern and magnitude of atmospheric circulation associated with June extreme rainfall, but significantly enhances rainfall intensity. This intensification is attributed to a larger variability of atmospheric moisture content enhanced mainly by the sea surface temperature (SST) in the tropical Pacific. The similarities in the atmospheric circulation associated with, and the temporal characteristics of, June extreme rainfall between the two simulations point to a dominant control of extreme rainfall dynamics by atmospheric intrinsic processes and atmosphere-land coupling. These modeling results imply that the predictability of occurrence of June extreme rainfall over SWUNWM is limited by atmospheric intrinsic dynamics and atmosphere-land coupling, while reliable predictions of its intensity likely require a faithful simulation of SST variability, especially in the tropical Pacific. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
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