Search

Climate change and other anthropogenic stressors are converging on coastal ecosystems worldwide. Understanding how these stressors interact to affect ecosystem structure and function has immediate implications for coastal planning, however few studies quantify stressor interactions. We examined past and potential future interactions between two leading stressors on New England salt marshes: sea-level rise and marsh crab (Sesarma reticulatum) grazing driven low marsh die-off. Geospatial analyses reveal that crab-driven die-off has led to an order of magnitude more marsh loss than sea-level rise between 2005 and 2013. However, field transplant experimental results suggest that sea-level rise will facilitate crab expansion into higher elevation marsh platforms by inundating and gradually softening now-tough high marsh peat, exposing large areas to crab-driven die-off. Taking interactive effects of marsh softening and concomitant overgrazing into account, we estimate that even modest levels of sea-level rise will lead to levels of salt marsh habitat loss that are 3x greater than the additive effects of sea-level rise and crab-driven die-off would predict. These findings highlight the importance of multiple stressor studies in enhancing mechanistic understanding of ecosystem vulnerabilities to future stress scenarios and encourage managers to focus on ameliorating local stressors to break detrimental synergisms, reduce future ecosystem loss, and enhance ecosystem resilience to global change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Natural history gave birth to ecology and evolutionary biology, but today its importance is sometimes marginalized. Natural history provides context for ecological research, a concept that we illustrate using a consumer-driven vegetation die-off case study. For three decades, local predator depletion promoted the formation of high-density crab (Sesarma reticulatum) grazing and burrowing fronts, resulting in the spread of vegetation die-off through southern New England and Long Island marshes. We review results from a decade of research on this phenomenon and synthesize these findings with new field surveys, experiments, and historical reconstructions to test the hypothesis that the locations and processes of vegetation die-off and recovery are spatially predictable. We discovered that crab-driven die-off consistently begins on marsh creek heads, where peat and high flow conditions overlap, before spreading to inner creeks following peat availability, stunted cordgrass, and flow. Eventually, die-off eliminates most low marsh vegetation, leaving behind unvegetated substrate too soft to support burrows. Vegetation recovery exhibits the reverse patterns of die-off; it consistently begins in the low marsh within inner creeks, where soft substrate and low flow conditions overlap, before spreading to creek heads. This spatially explicit, substrate-dependent recovery eventually leads to ungrazed cordgrass abutting grazed cordgrass on the high marsh border. We present a conceptual model of die-off through recovery progression to provide managers and landowners with a diagnostic tool for identifying marsh die-off and recovery status. Collectively, this work illustrates the fundamental importance of long-term, natural history-based investigations of ecosystem dynamics in informing ecology, conservation, and management practices.