Search

Accurate quantification of evapotranspiration (ET) at the watershed scale remains an important research challenge for managing water resources in arid and semiarid areas. In this study, daily latent heat flux (LE) maps at the kilometer scale were derived from the two-source energy budget (TSEB) model fed by the MODIS leaf area index (LAI), land surface temperature (LST) products, and meteorological data from ERA-Interim reanalysis from 2001 to 2015 on the Tensift catchment (center of Morocco). As a preliminary step, both ERA-Interim and predicted LE at the time of the satellite overpass are evaluated in comparison to a large database of in situ meteorological measurements and eddy covariance (EC) observations, respectively. ERA-Interim compared reasonably well to in situ measurements, but a positive bias on air temperature was highlighted because meteorological stations used for the evaluation were mainly installed on irrigated fields while the grid point of ERA-Interim is representative of larger areas including bare (and hot) soil. Likewise, the predicted LE was in good agreement with the EC measurements gathered on the main crops of the region during 15 agricultural seasons with a correlation coefficient r = 0.70 and a reasonable bias of 30 W/m2. After extrapolating the instantaneous LE estimates to ET daily values, monthly ET was then assessed in comparison to monthly irrigation water amounts provided by the local agricultural office added to CRU precipitation dataset with a reasonable agreement; the relative error was more than 89% but the correlation coefficient r reached 0.80. Seasonal and interannual evapotranspiration was analyzed in relation to local climate and land use. Lastly, the potential use for improving the early prediction of grain yield, as well as detecting newly irrigated areas for arboriculture, is also discussed. The proposed method provides a relatively simple way for obtaining spatially distributed daily estimates of ET at the watershed scale, especially for not ungauged catchments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

After 15 years, the Système Pour l'Observation de la Terre (SPOT)-VEGETATION (VGT) program reached the end of its life in May 2014 and was replaced by the Project for On-Board Autonomy-Vegetation (PROBA-V) mission. Exploiting the period of overlap between instruments, this study compares the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) of two instruments from the point of view of the user interested in operational crop monitoring. The comparison is performed for Morocco, Algeria, and Tunisia, where NDVI is used to derive anomaly maps, temporal profiles, and cereal yield forecasts. A relevant scatter due to unexplained unsystematic variability exists between anomaly values. A mismatch between anomaly classes is observed for 20%–30% of the crop area. However, when the NDVI is averaged over cropland and administrative units to derive temporal profiles, the two data sources show a high agreement. Results for yield estimation comparison indicate an overall high agreement, and both the (null) hypotheses that the model predictions and the root mean square error (RMSE) in yield estimation are not different, when using PROBA-V instead of SPOT-VGT, cannot be rejected in all cases for Morocco and Algeria. On the contrary, in Tunisia, where RMSE is lower using PROBA-V, the hypothesis of no difference in RMSE is rejected. These findings therefore indicate that yield estimation performances are not affected (Morocco and Algeria) or improved (Tunisia) by the source transition. Finally, despite the same nominal spatial resolution, the different spatial quality of the sensors was found to have an effect on yield estimation in areas characterized by sharp transitions between cropland and desert. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

In Morocco, cereal production shows high interannual variability due to uncertain rainfall and recurrent drought periods. Considering the socioeconomic importance of cereal for the country, there is a serious need to characterize the impact of drought on cereal yields. In this study, drought is assessed through (1) indices derived from remote sensing data (the vegetation condition index (VCI), temperature condition index (TCI), vegetation health ind ex (VHI), soil moisture condition index (SMCI) and soil water index for different soil layers (SWI)) and (2) key land surface variables (Land Area Index (LAI), soil moisture (SM) at different depths, soil evaporation and plant transpiration) from a Land Data Assimilation System (LDAS) over 2000–2017. A lagged correlation analysis was conducted to assess the relationships between the drought indices and cereal yield at monthly time scales. The VCI and LAI around the heading stage (March-April) are highly linked to yield for all provinces (R = 0.94 for the Khemisset province), while a high link for TCI occurs during the development stage in January-February (R = 0.83 for the Beni Mellal province). Interestingly, indices related to soil moisture in the superficial soil layer are correlated with yield earlier in the season around the emergence stage (December). The results demonstrate the clear added value of using an LDAS compared with using a remote sensing product alone, particularly concerning the soil moisture in the root-zone, considered a key variable for yield production, that is not directly observable from space. The time scale of integration is also discussed. By integrating the indices on the main phenological stages of wheat using a dynamic threshold approach instead of the monthly time scale, the correlation between indices and yield increased by up to 14%. In addition, the contributions of VCI and TCI to VHI were optimized by using yield anomalies as proxies for drought. This study opens perspectives for the development of drought early warning systems in Morocco and over North Africa, as well as for seasonal crop yield forecasting. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]