1. Tell Me What You Want, What You Really, Really Want: What Can We Learn about the Demand for Educational Professionals from District Job Postings?
- Author
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Society for Research on Educational Effectiveness (SREE) and Wesley Morris
- Abstract
Background: Over the past several years, numerous news stories have highlighted school districts' struggles in attracting personnel to adequately staff their schools. While these stories provide important anecdotes, there is little comprehensive work that documents school districts' demand for teachers, paraprofessionals, and other essential employees required for daily school operations. Further, there are considerable reasons to believe that schools' demand for staff may be changing. For instance, the COVID-19 pandemic posed unprecedented challenges, prompting schools to potentially expand or invest in new supports aimed at aiding students' learning recovery, altering instructional modalities, and enhancing mental and physical health support. Additionally, many schools are experiencing substantial changes in student enrollment overall and shifts in the demographic composition of their student populations, potentially altering these schools' needs for educators and school support staff. This scarcity of research describing the demand side of the educator labor market can primarily be attributed to the lack of readily available data documenting schools' precise needs for particular types of educators. While school districts and state administrative data have for years captured the population of teachers and staff employed within schools, and to a lesser extent the supply of educators newly licensed within each state, to my knowledge no state collects comprehensive data on the demand for school employees in each state. Several states do however report on school vacancies, either by utilizing existing administrative data or through surveys of school and district staff (Edwards et al, 2024). Additionally to my knowledge, at least one other team of researchers has characterized the demand for educators using job postings from districts (Goldhaber et al., 2023). It is well-documented that a myriad of educators have significant impacts on teachers' instruction as well as student behavior, cognition, and learning (Chetty et al., 2014b; Gershenson, 2016; Jennings & DiPrete, 2010; Kraft, 2019). Hence, for policymakers and researchers to fully comprehend the extent of students' equitable access to a high-quality education-- encompassing not only academic instruction but also a range of additional social supports--they must understand schools' and districts' demand for employees. Research Questions: This project aims to provide an extensive description of the demand for teachers and various school district employees, by documenting the attributes of positions sought after by school districts. Moreover, I aim to document trends in how demand changes over time and investigate the extent to which districts' needs for staff vary based on their characteristics. Specifically this research focuses on the following questions: 1. Which specific roles or positions exhibit the highest demand across school districts? 2. How does the demand for teachers, educators, and other school employees change throughout the school year? 3. How does the demand for teachers, educators, and other school employees differ based on observable characteristics of districts, such as the student demographics they serve, their geographical locations, and other labor market conditions? Setting and Data Collection: To address the primary data limitations observed in previous studies characterizing educator demand, I scrape data from 115 public school districts across North Carolina, starting in October 2023. Each job posting website was visited and scraped twice each week, capturing comprehensive snapshots of available job listings within each North Carolina Public School District. Subsequently, these collected data were cleaned and categorized based on job titles into distinct position types. For analysis, these datasets were combined with publicly available information concerning students and school characteristics at the district, county, and when possible, the school level. A full list of data sources and the covariates of interest from each source can be found below: 1. Common Core of Data: Student enrollment; student enrollment by race, sex, grade, ELL, FRPL, and IDEA status; total FTE teachers and staff; Urbanicity 2. American Community Survey: Economic, housing, social, and demographic characteristics of NC counties 3. North Carolina Teacher Working Conditions Survey: teachers' reports of school climate and working conditions, as well as aggregate reports of teachers perceptions of support within their schools, and self-reports of how likely they are to continue in the teaching profession. Research Design: This paper primarily utilizes descriptive statistics to characterize school districts' demand for educators, including teachers, paraeducators, and various school personnel. I employ an inductive approach utilizing job titles to code job postings into specific categories. To standardize the number of vacancies considering district size, job postings per district are scaled by both the number of full-time equivalent employees and the total student population, separately. The analysis summarizes the number and type of job postings both overall and how trends change over time. Additionally, cross-tabulations are calculated to show the variation in job postings based on district characteristics. Finally, Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression is employed to predict the proportion of job postings overall, as well as within individual job categories, based on the set of covariates outlined above. Preliminary Findings, and Conclusions: Data collection began in early October 2023 and has occurred twice each week since. The initial months of data collection provided valuable insights into the demand for teachers across the state and a pilot for improving data collection in the future. Currently, the data that has been collected has been cleaned and analyzed to begin to characterize job postings. However, it is important to note that the data collected thus far represents within school year potential job postings and thus may be very different from the kind of job postings I see posted in the Summer of 2024 (which I hope to include in my eventual conference presentation). Preliminary results show that approximately 30% of job postings are for teaching positions within these North Carolina school districts. Further, these postings disproportionately advertise for teachers in traditionally in-demand subject areas such as STEM, Mathematics, and EC. However, still, teachers do not account for the majority of job postings. Transportation staff represent the next most posted job opening, followed by paraprofessionals, and administrative staff (see Table 1). Finally preliminary results point towards moderate correlations between the socioeconomic makeup of districts (such as the percent of students on FRPL and county median income) and the number of job postings per student.
- Published
- 2024