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This paper describes the large-scale atmospheric circulation associated with persistent generalized frosts (GFs; at least 75% of the stations report frosts) in the east-central region of Argentina known as the Wet Pampa. The GF events are grouped according to their persistence, and NCEP–NCAR reanalysis data are used to create daily composites of mass and wind field anomalies during the 1961–90 winters. The GFs are caused by an anticyclonic anomaly that enters South America, generating southerly wind anomalies and cold air advection that are strengthened by the meridional layout of a cyclonic anomaly over the South Atlantic Ocean. In the case of the more persistent events the wind anomaly grows during the previous days and becomes quasi-stationary. Also, the study identifies at 250 hPa a double train of eastward-moving Rossby waves along the subtropical and subpolar latitudes, respectively, of the Southern Hemisphere. The layout of both wave trains favors the development of an intense southerly wind anomaly in the entire southern cone of the continent. On the other hand, the propagation pattern during the less persistent GFs shows only one arc-shaped Rossby wave train that reaches South America, and then propagates northeastward. Additionally, there is a subtropical jet entrance/confluence over the western side of the continent that induces a secondary meridional circulation whose subsiding branch facilitates the equatorward displacement of the low-level anticyclone, particularly in the case of the less persistent events. In the case of the more persistent GFs the confluence is located farther east and sustains essentially zonal wave train propagation, so that the surface anticyclone is not able to achieve a major equatorward penetration. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The core crop region of the Humid Pampa is one of the most productive agricultural lands around the world and depends highly on climate conditions. This study assesses climate variability, climate extremes, and observed and projected climate changes there, using 1911–2019 observations and CMIP5 model simulations. Since 1970, the annual mean temperature has risen by 1 °C and the mean annual minimum and maximum temperatures by 2 and 0.5 °C, respectively. The frequency of warm days and nights increased, and cold days and nights decreased. Heatwaves became longer and more intense, and cold waves decreased with less frost events. Annual precipitation increased by 10% from 1911, mainly in summer, and years with excess precipitation outnumbered those with a deficit. Both intense precipitation events and consecutive dry days grew, suggesting more annual precipitation falling on fewer days. Projections show a warming of 1 °C by 2035, regardless of the scenario. From then on until 2100, mean temperature will increase by 2 and 3–3.5 °C in the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively. Annual precipitation will grow 8 and 16% from current values by 2100 in the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively. No major precipitation changes are projected in the RCP2.6 scenario. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]