1. Metabolic Surgery Diabetes Remission (MDR) Score: a New Preoperative Scoring System for Predicting Type 2 Diabetes Remission at 1 Year After Metabolic Surgery in the Singapore Multi-ethnic Asian Setting.
- Author
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Moh MC, Cheng A, Tan CH, Lim BK, Tan BC, Ng D, Sum CF, Subramaniam T, and Lim SC
- Subjects
- Adult, Asia, Body Mass Index, Child, Preschool, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Remission Induction, Retrospective Studies, Singapore epidemiology, Treatment Outcome, Bariatric Surgery, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 surgery, Gastric Bypass, Obesity, Morbid surgery
- Abstract
Purpose: The utility of available scoring systems for type 2 diabetes (T2D) remission prediction after metabolic surgery has not been defined in a multi-ethnic Asian population like Singapore. We sought to assess the predictive performance of the Asia-developed ABCD scoring system for T2D remission after metabolic surgery, and develop a new algorithm to improve prediction., Materials and Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of adults with T2D who underwent either Roux-en-Y gastric bypass or sleeve gastrectomy between 2007 and 2018, and followed for 1 year postoperatively (n = 114, mean age 46 ± 9 years, 48.2% men, body mass index 40.1 ± 6.6 kg/m
2 ). The primary outcome was complete T2D remission defined as HbA1c < 6% without the use of anti-diabetic medication at 1 year after surgery., Results: Complete T2D remission was observed in 47.4% of subjects at 1 year post-surgery. Stepwise logistic regression identified preoperative age, T2D duration, HbA1c, and β-cell function (estimated by the homeostasis model) as predictors of complete T2D remission. Based on these four variables, we constructed a new 10-point scoring system named Metabolic surgery Diabetes Remission (MDR) score. Compared with ABCD, MDR produced fewer misclassifications at the mid-high scores, achieving a predictive accuracy of 71-100% at 6 points and above. In addition, MDR achieved a higher area under the receiver operating characteristic curve than ABCD for the primary outcome (0.79 versus 0.67, P = 0.007)., Conclusion: MDR may serve as a useful clinical scoring system for predicting short-term T2D remission after metabolic surgery in Singapore's multi-ethnic Asian cohort.- Published
- 2020
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