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This study proposes high-frequency container port congestion measures based on Automatic Identification System (AIS) data. Vessel movement information of 3,957 container ships from March 2017 to April 2017 is included. The world top 20 container ports' berth and anchorage areas are identified through Density Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise (DBSCAN) and convex hull methods, and their hourly port congestion statuses are depicted in terms of the traffic volume and turnaround time. The constructed congestion measures overcome the disadvantages of the traditionally used port or industry data, which is heterogenous, behind the time and not easy to obtain publicly. The higher frequency (hourly) of the proposed measures can effectively monitor any slight change in port performance. A Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network model is then proposed for congestion prediction using constructed congestion measures. Point prediction and sequence prediction are both performed. We innovatively introduce congestion propagation effects into the prediction model as input features. Using Shanghai, Singapore and Ningbo ports as case studies, results show that the inclusion of congestion propagation effect can improve the prediction performance especially for sequence prediction. This study provides significant implications and decision support for container shipping market participants. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

There are few data comparing the patient characteristics and outcomes of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and heart failure with reduced EF (HFrEF) in Asian cohorts. We aimed to evaluate the prevalence, clinical characteristics, and 1-year outcomes of a well-defined Southeast Asian HFpEF cohort in comparison to an HFrEF cohort. We conducted a retrospective observational study of 1,978 patients discharged from Changi General Hospital, Singapore with a primary diagnosis of HF from 2009 to 2013. About 29% of discharges had HFpEF. Patients with HFpEF were more likely to be women, older age, and have a higher prevalence of hypertension. There were no significant differences in the absolute rates of 30-day outcomes between the 2 groups. The absolute rate of death at 1 year was similar in HFrEF and HFpEF at 17% and 15%, respectively (p = 0.3). After multivariate adjustment, there was no difference in the outcomes of the 2 groups. Atrial fibrillation at baseline was a predictor of death or HF hospitalization in HFpEF but not HFrEF (interaction p = 0.003). In conclusion, in this study of a Southeast Asian population with well-defined HF, we found that the clinical profile of patients with HF was similar to that in the West and 30-day and 1-year mortality and morbidity were not significantly different between cohorts., (Copyright © 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)