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Short-term wind power prediction is challenging due to the chaotic characteristics of wind speed. Since, for wind power industries, designing an accurate and reliable wind power forecasting model is essential, we deployed a novel composite deep learning-based evolutionary approach for accurate forecasting of the power output in wind-turbine farms, which is developed in three stages. At the beginning stage (pre-processing), the k-means clustering method and an autoencoder are employed to detect and filter noise in the SCADA measurements. In the Next step (decomposition), in order to decompose the SCADA time-series data, we proposed a new hybrid variational mode decomposition (HVMD) method, that consists of VMD and two heuristics: greedy Nelder-Mead search algorithm (GNM) and adaptive randomised local search (ARLS). Both heuristics are applied to tune the hyper-parameters of VMD that results in improving the performance of the forecasting model. In the third phase, based on prior knowledge that the underlying wind patterns are highly non-linear and diverse, we proposed a novel alternating optimisation algorithm that consists of self-adaptive differential evolution (SaDE) algorithm and sine cosine optimisation method as a hyper-parameter optimizer and then combine with a recurrent neural network (RNN) called Long Short-term memory (LSTM). This framework allows us to model the power curve of a wind turbine on a farm. A historical dataset from supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) systems were applied as input to estimate the power output from an onshore wind farm in Sweden. Two short time forecasting horizons, including 10 min ahead and 1 h ahead, are considered in our experiments. The achieved prediction results supported the superiority of the proposed hybrid model in terms of accurate forecasting and computational runtime compared with earlier published hybrid models applied in this paper. • A novel deep learning-based evolutionary forecasting model is proposed. • A new hybrid decomposition method is introduced. • A Fast and effective hyper-parameters tuning algorithm proposed, hybrid SCA and SaDE. • The performance of the proposed model is validated on two case studies SCADA data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A cost-effective and efficient wind energy production trend leads to larger wind turbine generators and drive for more advanced forecast models to increase their accuracy. This paper proposes a combined forecasting model that consists of empirical mode decomposition, fuzzy group method of data handling neural network, and grey wolf optimization algorithm. A combined K-means and identifying density-based local outliers is applied to detect and clean the outliers of the raw supervisory control and data acquisition data in the proposed forecasting model. Moreover, the empirical mode decomposition is employed to decompose signals and pre-processing data. The fuzzy GMDH neural network is a forecaster engine to estimate the future amount of wind turbines energy production, where the grey wolf optimization is used to optimize the fuzzy GMDH neural network parameters in order to achieve a lower forecasting error. Moreover, the model has been applied using actual data from a pilot onshore wind farm in Sweden. The obtained results indicate that the proposed model has a higher accuracy than others in the literature and provides single and combined forecasting models in different time-steps ahead and seasons. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]