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Background: To carry out a whole genome sequencing (WGS)-based investigation on the emergence and spread of the largest multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR TB) outbreak that has been thriving among HIV-negative patients, Tunisia, since the early 2000s. Methods: We performed phylogeographic analyses and molecular dating based on a WGS dataset representing 68 unique Mycobacterium tuberculosis isolates, covering almost the entire MDR TB outbreak for the time period 2001–2016. Results: The data indicate that the ancestor of the MDR TB outbreak emerged in the region of Bizerte, as early as 1974 (95% CI 1951–1985), from where it spread to other regions by 1992 (95% CI 1980–1996). Analysis of a minimum spanning tree based on core genome Multilocus Sequence Typing (cgMLST) uncovered the early spill-over of the fitness-compensated MDR TB strain from the prison into the general population. Indeed, cases with history of incarceration were found to be directly or indirectly linked to up to 22 new outbreak cases (32.35%) among the non-imprisoned population. By around 2008, the MDR TB outbreak strain had acquired additional resistance, leading to an XDR phenotype. Conclusions: WGS allowed refining our understanding of the emergence and evolution of the largest MDR TB outbreak in Tunisia, whose causative strain has been circulating silently for almost 26 years before. Our study lends further support to the critical role of prisons-related cases in the early spread of the outbreak among the general population. The shift to an XDR phenotype of such an epidemic clone prompts an urgent need to undertake drastic control measures. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Introduction: The Latin American and Mediterranean sublineage (L4.3/LAM) is the most common generalist sublineage of Mycobacterium tuberculosis lineage 4 (L4), yet certain L4.3/LAM genotypes appear to be confined to particular geographic regions. This is typically the case of a L4.3/LAM clonal complex (CC), TUN4.3_CC1, which is the most preponderant in Tunisia (61.5% of L4.3/LAM). Methods: Here, we used whole-genome sequencing data of 346 globally distributed L4 clinical strains, including 278 L4.3/LAM isolates, to reconstruct the evolutionary history of TUN4.3_CC1 and delineate critical genomic changes underpinning its success. Results and Discussion: Phylogenomic coupled to phylogeographic analyses indicated that TUN4.3_CC1 has evolved locally, being confined mainly to North Africa. Maximum likelihood analyses using the site and branch-site models of the PAML package disclosed strong evidence of positive selection in the gene category "cell wall and cell processes" of TUN4.3_CC1. Collectively, the data indicate that TUN4.3_CC1 has inherited several mutations, which could have potentially contributed to its evolutionary success. Of particular interest are amino acid replacements at the esxK and eccC2 genes of the ESX/Type VII secretion system, which were found to be specific to TUN4.3_CC1, being common to almost all isolates. Because of its homoplastic nature, the esxK mutation could potentially have endowed TUN4.3_CC1 with a selective advantage. Moreover, we noticed the occurrence of additional, previously described homoplasic nonsense mutations in ponA1 and Rv0197. The mutation in the latter gene, a putative oxido-reductase, has previously been shown to be correlated with enhanced transmissibility in vivo. In sum, our findings unveiled several features underpinning the success of a locally evolved L4.3/LAM clonal complex, lending further support to the critical role of genes encoded by the ESX/type VII secretion system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Propensity for rapid transmission of the L4.1.2.1 sublineage in northern Tunisia. • The L4.1.2.1 sublineage is the primary cause of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis outbreaks in northern Tunisia. • A single L4.1.2.1 ancestor clone fuels the overall multidrug-resistant tuberculosis epidemic. We sought to capture the evolutionary itinerary of the Mycobacterium tuberculosis L4.1.2.1/Haarlem sublineage in northern Tunisia, where it caused a major multidrug-resistant (MDR) tuberculosis outbreak in a context strictly negative for HIV infection. We combined whole genome sequencing and Bayesian approaches using a representative collection of drug-susceptible and drug-resistant L4.1.2.1/Haarlem clinical strains (n = 121) recovered from the outbreak region over 16 years. In the absence of drug resistance, the L4.1.2.1/Haarlem sublineage showed a propensity for rapid transmission as witnessed by the high clustering (44.6%) and recent transmission rates (25%), as well as the reduced mean distance between genome pairs. The entire pool of L4.1.2.1/Haarlem MDR strains was found to be linked to either the aforementioned major outbreak (68 individuals, 2001-2016) or to a minor, newly uncovered outbreak (six cases, 2001-2011). Strikingly, the two outbreaks descended independently from a common ancestor that can be dated back to 1886. Our data point to the intrinsic propensity for rapid transmission of the M. tuberculosis L4.1.2.1/Haarlem sublineage in northern Tunisia, linking the overall MDR tuberculosis epidemic to a single ancestor. These findings bring out the important role of the bacillus' genetic background in the emergence of successful MDR M. tuberculosis clones. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• The Mycobacterium tuberculosis L4.3/Latin American and Mediterranean (LAM) sublineage is the most prevalent in Tunisia. • The success of L4.3/LAM is mainly driven by a single clonal complex: TUN4.3_CC1 (61.5%). • Unlike the much less prevalent TUN4.3_CC2 (14.68%), TUN4.3_CC1 lacks the RD115 deletion. • Genotypic and genomic data reveal that TUN4.3_CC1 is long established in Tunisia. • Compelling evidence suggests that TUN4.3_CC1 has evolved locally. To explore the evolutionary history of Mycobacterium tuberculosis Latin American and Mediterranean (L4.3/LAM) sublineage in Tunisia, where it predominates. High-resolution genotyping of 252 L4.3/LAM clinical strains was undertaken, and whole-genome sequencing was performed on 31 representative isolates. Genotyping data coupled with Bayesian analyses split the Tunisian L4.3/LAM strain collection into two divergent entities (65.07% vs 34.92%): a major subpopulation, dominated by a single clonal complex (CC), TUN4.3_CC1 (94.51%); and a minor subpopulation, dominated by TUN4.3_CC2 (42.04%). TUN4.3_CC1 is clearly thriving in Tunisia, accounting for 61.5% of the L4.3/LAM sublineage. TUN4.3_CC1 displayed higher mean allelic richness compared with TUN4.3_CC2 and predominated throughout the entire region, indicating a long-established history. The very low proportion of drug resistance among TUN4.3_CC1 isolates is indicative of their intrinsic ability to spread successfully in the host population. Genomic analyses further confirmed the clear genetic separation between the two main CCs (pairwise fixation index 0.56), and suggested the relatively ancient origin of TUN4.3_CC1. Consistent with its successful expansion, TUN4.3_CC1 showed reduced mean pairwise genetic distance between genomes. These findings link the successful expansion of L4.3/LAM in Tunisia to a single long-established clone. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: To infer the origin and spread of the Mycobacterium tuberculosis Latin American and Mediterranean (L4.3/LAM) sublineage in a Mediterranean country, Tunisia, where it predominates., Methods: We combined Bayesian (STRUCTURE) and maximum likelihood (MIGRAINE) estimation approaches based on a global 24-loci mycobacterial interspersed repetitive units-variable numbers of tandem repeats (MIRU-VNTR24) genotyping dataset consisting of 1573 L4.3/LAM clinical strains from four continents, including 252 isolates originating from Tunisia., Results: Phylogenetic analyses coupled with Bayesian estimations suggested that the most predominant L4.3/LAM subpopulation in Tunisia (65.07%), which is dominated by a single clonal complex, TUN4.3_CC1 (94.51%), has evolved from an ancestral pool that is restricted to Europe and Africa, contrasting with the remaining L4.3/LAM subpopulations whose ancestry was traced all over the word. Maximum likelihood analysis revealed that TUN4.3_CC1 has been undergoing a demographic expansion since 131 years ago (CI95%: 90.7-205), thus explaining its preponderance relative to the second most predominant CC, TUN4.3_CC2, whose population was found under contraction., Conclusions: The preponderance of L4.3/LAM in Tunisia stems from a 130-year expansion process of a locally evolved clone., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest., (Copyright © 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)