32 results on '"Ball, S"'
Search Results
2. The extent and nature of need for mealtime support among adults with intellectual disabilities.
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Ball, S. L., Panter, S. G., Redley, M., Proctor, C.‐A., Byrne, K., Clare, I. C. H., and Holland, A. J.
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CAREGIVERS , *CHI-squared test , *STATISTICAL correlation , *DEGLUTITION disorders , *FISHER exact test , *NUTRITION for people with disabilities , *INTELLECTUAL disabilities , *PEOPLE with intellectual disabilities , *RESEARCH funding , *SOCIAL support , *DATA analysis software , *DESCRIPTIVE statistics - Abstract
Background For many adults with an intellectual disability (ID), mealtimes carry significant health risks. While research and allied clinical guidance has focused mainly on dysphagia, adults with a range of physical and behavioural difficulties require mealtime support to ensure safety and adequate nutrition. The extent of need for and nature of such support within the wider ID population has yet to be reported. Methods In this study, we have estimated the prevalence of need for mealtime support among people with ID in the UK, using a population of 2230 adults known to specialist ID services (in Cambridgeshire, UK, total population 586 900). In a sample ( n = 69, aged 19 to 79 years, with mild to profound ID), we characterised the support provided, using a structured proforma to consult support workers and carers providing mealtime support, and health and social care records. Results Mealtime support was found to be required by a significant minority of people with ID for complex and varied reasons. Prevalence of need for such support was estimated at 15% of adults known to specialist ID services or 56 per 100 000 total population. Within a sample, support required was found to vary widely in nature (from texture modification or environmental adaptation to enteral feeding) and in overall level (from minimal to full support, dependent on functional skills). Needs had increased over time in almost half ( n = 34, 49.3%). Reasons for support included difficulties getting food into the body ( n = 56, 82.2%), risky eating and drinking behaviours ( n = 31, 44.9%) and slow eating or food refusal ( n = 30, 43.5%). These proportions translate into crude estimates of the prevalence of these difficulties within the known ID population of 11.9%, 6.6% and 6.4% respectively. Within the sample of those requiring mealtime support, need for support was reported to be contributed to by the presence of additional disability or illness (e.g. visual impairment, poor dentition and dementia; n = 45, 65.2%) and by psychological or behavioural issues (e.g. challenging behaviour, emotional disturbance; n = 36, 52.2%). Conclusions These findings not only highlight the need for a multidisciplinary approach to mealtime interventions (paying particular attention to psychological and environmental as well as physical issues), but also signal the daily difficulties faced by carers and paid support workers providing such support and illustrate their potentially crucial role in managing the serious health risks associated with eating and drinking difficulties in this population. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2012
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3. An aircraft based three channel broadband cavity enhanced absorption spectrometer for simultaneous measurements of NO3, N2O5 and NO2.
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Kennedy, O. J., Ouyang, B., Langridge, J. M., Daniels, M. J. S., Bauguitte, S., Freshwater, R., McLeod, M. W., Ironmonger, C., Sendall, J., Norris, O., Nightingale, R., Ball, S. M., and Jones, R. L.
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SPECTRUM analysis instruments ,TRACE gases ,ATMOSPHERIC chemistry ,METEOROLOGICAL instruments ,RESEARCH aircraft ,ATMOSPHERIC research ,EQUIPMENT & supplies - Abstract
The article discusses the development of an aircraft-based broadband cavity enhanced absorption spectroscopy (BBCEAS) instrument for measuring atmospheric trace gases involved in oxidation chemistry and air quality in Great Britain. The instrument was deployed on board of the country's Facility for Airborne Atmospheric Measurements BAe 146-301 atmospheric research aircraft between December 2009 and January 2011. It further explores the assessment of the performance of the BBCEAS instrument.
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- 2011
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4. Coping and health service utilisation in a UK study of paediatric sickle cell pain.
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Anie, K. A., Steptoe, A., Ball, S., Dick, M., and Smalling, B. M.
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SICKLE cell anemia in children ,HOSPITAL utilization ,PEDIATRICS ,CHILDREN'S health ,HEMOGLOBINS - Abstract
Aims: To assess sickle cell pain and coping in children and to examine the relation between these factors and the utilization of health services. Methods: Cross sectional study involving 67 children with sickle cell disease attending three London hospitals. Interviews and questionnaires involved measures of pain, health service utilization, and coping responses (measured with the Coping Strategies Questionnaire (CSQ), revised for children with sickle cell disease). Medical data on complications, hemoglobin (Hb) levels, and foetal hemoglobin (HbF) percentage were also collected. Results: Pain accounted for about 24% of hospital service use, independent of age, sex, number of with sickle cell disease complications, and Hb levels. However, 42% of patients had not utilized hospital services in the past 12 months. Three higher order factors emerged from analysis of the CSQ (active coping, affective coping, passive adherence coping). Pain severity was predicted by passive adherence coping, while utilization of hospital services was predicted by active coping. Conclusions: Sickle cell disease in children involves severe recurrent pain leading to hospitalization in some cases. Psychological coping patterns are relevant to both pain experience, and the use of acute hospital services. It is likely that children would benefit from community based interventions that incorporate both medical and psychological assessments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2002
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5. NVQs and practice assessment in a pre-registration course.
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Lombardi T, Lovegrove J, Harfield D, Fuggle S, and Ball S
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NURSING standards ,JOB qualifications ,OCCUPATIONS ,MEDICINE ,NURSING schools - Abstract
In response to the government's strategic intentions for nursing outlined in Making a Difference (DoH 1999), the University of Brighton has used national vocational qualification (NVQ) standards to facilitate assessment of practice during the common foundation year of the pre-registration diploma in nursing. The aim of this initiative is to provide 'step on' and 'step off' points using a nationally recognised qualification to meet government requirements for a more flexible approach to nurse education. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2004
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6. Education policy and social class: editorial introduction.
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Ball, S.
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EDUCATION policy , *SOCIAL classes - Abstract
Provides an overview of the relationship between educational policy and social class in Great Britain. Formulation of educational policy in the nineteenth century; Variables causing societal fragmentation of educational policy; Impact of social class segmentation on the overall quality of education.
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- 2001
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7. An aircraft based three channel broadband cavity enhanced absorption spectrometer for simultaneous measurements of NO3, N2O5 and NO2.
- Author
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Kennedy, O. J., Ouyang, B., Langridge, J. M., Daniels, M. J. S., Bauguitte, S., Freshwater, R., McLeod, M. W., Ironmonger, C., Sendall, J., Norris, O., Nightingale, R., Ball, S. M., and Jones, R. L.
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SPECTRUM analysis instruments , *TRACE gases , *ATMOSPHERIC chemistry , *METEOROLOGICAL instruments , *RESEARCH aircraft , *ATMOSPHERIC research , *EQUIPMENT & supplies - Abstract
The article discusses the development of an aircraft-based broadband cavity enhanced absorption spectroscopy (BBCEAS) instrument for measuring atmospheric trace gases involved in oxidation chemistry and air quality in Great Britain. The instrument was deployed on board of the country's Facility for Airborne Atmospheric Measurements BAe 146-301 atmospheric research aircraft between December 2009 and January 2011. It further explores the assessment of the performance of the BBCEAS instrument.
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- 2011
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8. Research priorities of members of the British Association for Surgery of the Knee.
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Ahmed I, Metcalfe A, Baker P, Ball S, Beard D, Biant L, Blyth M, Gupte C, Hing C, McDonnell S, Murray J, Pandit H, Price A, Scott C, and Toms A
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- Humans, United Kingdom, Biomedical Research, Knee Joint surgery, Consensus, Surveys and Questionnaires, Research, Orthopedic Procedures, Delphi Technique, Societies, Medical
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Aims: This study aims to identify the top unanswered research priorities in the field of knee surgery using consensus-based methodology., Methods: Initial research questions were generated using an online survey sent to all 680 members of the British Association for Surgery of the Knee (BASK). Duplicates were removed and a longlist was generated from this scoping exercise by a panel of 13 experts from across the UK who provided oversight of the process. A modified Delphi process was used to refine the questions and determine a final list. To rank the final list of questions, each question was scored between one (low importance) and ten (high importance) in order to produce the final list., Results: This consensus exercise took place between December 2020 and April 2022. A total of 286 clinicians from the BASK membership provided input for the initial scoping exercise, which generated a list of 105 distinct research questions. Following review and prioritization, a longlist of 51 questions was sent out for two rounds of the Delphi process. A total of 42 clinicians responded to the first round and 24 responded to the second round. A final list of 24 research questions was then ranked by 36 clinicians. The topics included arthroplasty, infection, meniscus, osteotomy, patellofemoral, cartilage, and ligament pathologies. The management of early osteoarthritis was the highest-ranking question., Conclusion: A Delphi exercise involving the BASK membership has identified the future research priorities in knee surgery. This list of questions will allow clinicians, researchers, and funders to collaborate in order to deliver high-quality research in knee surgery and further advance the care provided to patients with knee pathology., Competing Interests: A. Metcalfe reports a number of grants from NIHR as Chief Investigator (START:REACTS, RACER, METEOR2, REPPORT) and others as co-investigator or supervisor both with his lead employer and with other universities. He is Chief/Co-investigator on three NIHR-funded trials (START:REACTS, RACER-Knee and RACER-Hip, RACER-Knee), for which Stryker have funded treatment costs and some imaging costs. For all of these studies, the full independence of the study team is protected by legal agreements. A. Metcalfe was also BASK research lead from December 2019 to May 2023, and the guidelines and research lead for the British Patellofemoral Society from 2019 to the present., (© 2024 The British Editorial Society of Bone & Joint Surgery.)
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- 2024
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9. Adoption by clinicians of electronic order communications in NHS secondary care: a descriptive account.
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Coleman JJ, Atia J, Evison F, Wilson L, Gallier S, Sames R, Capewell A, Copley R, Gyves H, Ball S, and Pankhurst T
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- Humans, Retrospective Studies, United Kingdom, Medical Order Entry Systems, Secondary Care, State Medicine
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Background: Due to the rapid advancement in information technology, changes to communication modalities are increasingly implemented in healthcare. One such modality is Computerised Provider Order Entry (CPOE) systems which replace paper, verbal or telephone orders with electronic booking of requests. We aimed to understand the uptake, and user acceptability, of CPOE in a large National Health Service hospital system., Methods: This retrospective single-centre study investigates the longitudinal uptake of communications through the Prescribing, Information and Communication System (PICS). The development and configuration of PICS are led by the doctors, nurses and allied health professionals that use it and requests for CPOE driven by clinical need have been described.Records of every request (imaging, specialty review, procedure, laboratory) made through PICS were collected between October 2008 and July 2019 and resulting counts were presented. An estimate of the proportion of completed requests made through the system has been provided for three example requests. User surveys were completed., Results: In the first 6 months of implementation, a total of 832 new request types (imaging types and specialty referrals) were added to the system. Subsequently, an average of 6.6 new request types were added monthly. In total, 8 035 132 orders were requested through PICS. In three example request types (imaging, endoscopy and full blood count), increases in the proportion of requests being made via PICS were seen. User feedback at 6 months reported improved communications using the electronic system., Conclusion: CPOE was popular, rapidly adopted and diversified across specialties encompassing wide-ranging requests., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2024. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2024
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10. Evaluation of NEWS2 response thresholds in a retrospective observational study from a UK acute hospital.
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Pankhurst T, Sapey E, Gyves H, Evison F, Gallier S, Gkoutos G, and Ball S
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- Adult, Hospitals, Humans, Intensive Care Units, Retrospective Studies, United Kingdom epidemiology, Early Warning Score
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Objective: Use of National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) has been mandated in adults admitted to acute hospitals in England. Urgent clinical review is recommended at NEWS2 ≥5. This policy is recognised as requiring ongoing evaluation. We assessed NEWS2 acquisition, alerting at key thresholds and patient outcomes, to understand how response recommendations would affect clinical resource allocation., Setting: Adult acute hospital in England., Design: Retrospective observational cohort study., Participants: 100 362 consecutive admissions between November 2018 and July 2019., Outcome: Death or admission to intensive care unit within 24 hours of a score., Methods: NEWS2 were assembled as single scores from consecutive 24-hour time frames, (the first NEWS2 termed 'Index-NEWS2'), or as all scores from the admission (termed All-NEWS2). Scores were excluded when a patient was in intensive care, in the presence of a decision not to attempt cardiopulmonary resuscitation, or on day 1 of elective admission., Results: A mean of 4.5 NEWS2 were acquired per patient per day. The outcome rate following an Index-NEWS2 was 0.22/100 patient-days. The sensitivity of outcome prediction at Index-NEWS2 ≥5=0.46, and number needed to evaluate (NNE)=52. At this threshold, a mean of 37.6 alerts/100 patient-days would be generated, occurring in 12.3% of patients on any single day. Threshold changes to increase sensitivity by 0.1, would result in a twofold increase in alert rate and 1.5-fold increase in NNE. Overall, NEWS2 classification performance was significantly worse on Index-scores than All-scores (c-statistic=0.78 vs 0.85; p<0.001)., Conclusions: The combination of low event-rate, high alert-rate and low sensitivity, in patients for cardiopulmonary resuscitation, means that at current NEWS2 thresholds, resource demand would be sufficient to meaningfully compete with other pathways to clinical evaluation. In analyses that epitomise in-patient screening, NEWS2 performance suggests a need for re-evaluation of current response recommendations in this population., Competing Interests: Competing interests: TP, HG, FE and SG report no conflicts of interest. SB and GG report grant funding from HDR-UK during the conduct of the study. GG further acknowledges the support of the NIHR Birmingham ECMC, the NIHR Birmingham SRMRC and the Nanocommons H2020-EU (731032). ES reports grants from HDR-UK, during the conduct of the study; grants from Medical Research Council, grants from NIHR, grants from Wellcome Trust, grants from British Lung Foundation, grants from Alpha 1 Foundation, outside the submitted work., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2022. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2022
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11. A scoping review protocol: Investigating the extent and legal process of cauda equina syndrome claims for UK physiotherapists.
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Leech RL, Selfe J, Ball S, Greenhalgh S, Hogan G, Holway J, Willis E, and Yeowell G
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- Delivery of Health Care, Humans, Research Design, United Kingdom, Review Literature as Topic, Cauda Equina Syndrome diagnosis, Cauda Equina Syndrome therapy, Physical Therapists
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Introduction: Cauda equina syndrome (CES) is a condition where early identification and treatment is crucial to avoid potentially devastating effects. There is a high number of litigation cases linked with CES given it is a relatively rare condition. This scoping review protocol proposes to explore the extent and process of CES litigation in UK healthcare context cases amongst UK physiotherapists., Methods and Analysis: The methodological framework recommended by Arksey and O'Malley, Levac et al. and the Joanna Briggs Institute will be used throughout this review to aid reporting and transparency. A patient and public involvement (PPI) group meeting was convened at the beginning of the review process in order to provide knowledge exchange to inform the search strategy and propose resources to be used during the scoping review. Two reviewers will independently review the literature in order to apply the inclusion and exclusion criteria. Once the studies to be included have been identified, the data from these studies will be extracted and charted. Results will show quantitative data of the studies included in the review and a narrative synthesis of the literature., Dissemination: This scoping review will evaluate the existing knowledge relating to CES and litigation and will map the key concepts around this topic. Results will be disseminated to practitioners and policy-makers through peer-reviewed publications, conferences, reports and social media. This method may prove helpful to others who are investigating extent and processes relating to medicolegal cases involving healthcare practitioners., Registration: The current paper is registered with OSF registries (DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/MP6Y3)., (© 2021 The Authors. Musculoskeletal Care published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
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- 2021
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12. A scoping review: Investigating the extent and legal process of cauda equina syndrome claims for UK physiotherapists.
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Leech RL, Selfe J, Ball S, Greenhalgh S, Hogan G, Holway J, Willis E, and Yeowell G
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- Delivery of Health Care, Humans, United Kingdom, Cauda Equina Syndrome, Physical Therapists
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Introduction: Cauda Equina Syndrome (CES) is a condition where early identification and treatment is crucial to avoid potentially life changing devastating effects. This paper reviews the extent and process of CES litigation amongst UK physiotherapists., Methods: A well-established framework by Arksey and O'Malley was followed when completing the current scoping review. Records were identified via a comprehensive search of three databases as well as website and grey literature searching. Data was extracted and a descriptive analysis and thematic summary were formed., Results and Discussion: A total of N = 1639 records were identified, following removal of duplicates and screening of titles and abstracts N = 211 full text records were screened and N = 39 were included for full analysis., Conclusions: This study is the first to investigate the extent and process of CES litigation for physiotherapists in the UK. Our data suggest that between 2009 and 2021 there were 15 CES claims recorded against physiotherapists which is 0.7% of all CES claims recorded in the UK. In terms of the legal process for CES claims, there is currently limited information for physiotherapists and what steps they would need to take once they receive notification they are being sued., Registration: The current paper is registered with OSF registries (DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/6FCXN)., (Copyright © 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2021
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13. Acute Illness and Death in Children With Adrenal Insufficiency.
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Worth C, Vyas A, Banerjee I, Lin W, Jones J, Stokes H, Komlosy N, Ball S, and Clayton P
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- Adolescent, Adrenal Insufficiency complications, Anti-Inflammatory Agents administration & dosage, Child, Child, Preschool, Emergency Medical Services statistics & numerical data, Female, Humans, Hydrocortisone administration & dosage, Infant, Male, Retrospective Studies, United Kingdom epidemiology, Young Adult, Adrenal Insufficiency mortality
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Background: Adrenal Insufficiency (AI) can lead to life-threatening Adrenal Crisis (AC) and Adrenal Death (AD). Parents are trained to prevent, recognise and react to AC but there is little available information on what parents are actually doing at home to manage symptomatic AI., Methods: Three approaches were taken: (A) A retrospective analysis of patient characteristics in children and young people with AD over a 13-year period, (B) An interview-aided questionnaire to assess the circumstances around AC in children currently in our adrenal clinic, and (C) a separate study of parent perceptions of the administration of parenteral hydrocortisone., Results: Thirteen patients died (median age 10 years) over a thirteen-year period resulting in an estimated incidence of one AD per 300 patient years. Those with unspecified adrenal insufficiency were overrepresented ( P = 0.004). Of the 127 patients contacted, thirty-eight (30%) were identified with hospital attendance with AC. Responses from twenty patients (median age 7.5 years) with AC reported nausea/vomiting (75%) and drowsiness (70%) as common symptoms preceding AC. All patients received an increase in oral hydrocortisone prior to admission but only two received intramuscular hydrocortisone. Questionnaires revealed that 79% of parents reported confidence in the administration of intramuscular hydrocortisone and only 20% identified a missed opportunity for injection., Conclusions: In children experiencing AC, parents followed 'sick day' guidance for oral hydrocortisone, but rarely administered intramuscular hydrocortisone. This finding is discrepant from the 79% of parents who reported confidence in this task. Local training programmes for management of AC are comprehensive, but insufficient to prevent the most serious crises. New strategies to encourage use of parenteral hydrocortisone need to be devised., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2021 Worth, Vyas, Banerjee, Lin, Jones, Stokes, Komlosy, Ball and Clayton.)
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- 2021
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14. Early observations on the impact of a healthcare worker COVID-19 vaccination programme at a major UK tertiary centre.
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Garvey MI, Wilkinson MAC, Holden E, Shields A, Robertson A, Richter A, and Ball S
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- Health Personnel, Humans, SARS-CoV-2, United Kingdom, Vaccination, COVID-19, COVID-19 Vaccines
- Abstract
Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interests None.
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- 2021
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15. Clinical guideline for retained button batteries.
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Houston R, Powell S, Jaffray B, and Ball S
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- Child, Preschool, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Otolaryngology, Practice Guidelines as Topic, State Medicine, United Kingdom, Emergency Treatment standards, Foreign Bodies surgery, Pediatric Emergency Medicine standards
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Objective: To design a clinical guideline for the emergency management of retained button batteries (RBBs) through analysis of UK National Health Service hospital guidelines and published literature., Method: 49 acute hospitals were contacted, and their guidelines were analysed. A consensus guideline was then created with multidisciplinary input. The final guideline was independently peer reviewed by the British Association of Otorhinolaryngology and Head and Neck Surgery (ENT UK) clinical guidelines committee., Results: 40 (82%) trusts responded. 28 had a guideline for the management of a RBB in the aerodigestive tract. Significant variation between guidelines assessment, investigation and management of a RBB was identified., Conclusion: A single-page guideline was designed to improve frontline healthcare professional's immediate investigation and management of a RBB on presentation to emergency care. This has been published by ENT UK as a clinical guideline., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2021. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2021
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16. Evaluation and improvement of the National Early Warning Score (NEWS2) for COVID-19: a multi-hospital study.
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Carr E, Bendayan R, Bean D, Stammers M, Wang W, Zhang H, Searle T, Kraljevic Z, Shek A, Phan HTT, Muruet W, Gupta RK, Shinton AJ, Wyatt M, Shi T, Zhang X, Pickles A, Stahl D, Zakeri R, Noursadeghi M, O'Gallagher K, Rogers M, Folarin A, Karwath A, Wickstrøm KE, Köhn-Luque A, Slater L, Cardoso VR, Bourdeaux C, Holten AR, Ball S, McWilliams C, Roguski L, Borca F, Batchelor J, Amundsen EK, Wu X, Gkoutos GV, Sun J, Pinto A, Guthrie B, Breen C, Douiri A, Wu H, Curcin V, Teo JT, Shah AM, and Dobson RJB
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- Aged, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 virology, Cohort Studies, Electronic Health Records, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Pandemics, Prognosis, SARS-CoV-2 isolation & purification, State Medicine, United Kingdom epidemiology, COVID-19 diagnosis, Early Warning Score
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Background: The National Early Warning Score (NEWS2) is currently recommended in the UK for the risk stratification of COVID-19 patients, but little is known about its ability to detect severe cases. We aimed to evaluate NEWS2 for the prediction of severe COVID-19 outcome and identify and validate a set of blood and physiological parameters routinely collected at hospital admission to improve upon the use of NEWS2 alone for medium-term risk stratification., Methods: Training cohorts comprised 1276 patients admitted to King's College Hospital National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust with COVID-19 disease from 1 March to 30 April 2020. External validation cohorts included 6237 patients from five UK NHS Trusts (Guy's and St Thomas' Hospitals, University Hospitals Southampton, University Hospitals Bristol and Weston NHS Foundation Trust, University College London Hospitals, University Hospitals Birmingham), one hospital in Norway (Oslo University Hospital), and two hospitals in Wuhan, China (Wuhan Sixth Hospital and Taikang Tongji Hospital). The outcome was severe COVID-19 disease (transfer to intensive care unit (ICU) or death) at 14 days after hospital admission. Age, physiological measures, blood biomarkers, sex, ethnicity, and comorbidities (hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular, respiratory and kidney diseases) measured at hospital admission were considered in the models., Results: A baseline model of 'NEWS2 + age' had poor-to-moderate discrimination for severe COVID-19 infection at 14 days (area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) in training cohort = 0.700, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.680, 0.722; Brier score = 0.192, 95% CI 0.186, 0.197). A supplemented model adding eight routinely collected blood and physiological parameters (supplemental oxygen flow rate, urea, age, oxygen saturation, C-reactive protein, estimated glomerular filtration rate, neutrophil count, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio) improved discrimination (AUC = 0.735; 95% CI 0.715, 0.757), and these improvements were replicated across seven UK and non-UK sites. However, there was evidence of miscalibration with the model tending to underestimate risks in most sites., Conclusions: NEWS2 score had poor-to-moderate discrimination for medium-term COVID-19 outcome which raises questions about its use as a screening tool at hospital admission. Risk stratification was improved by including readily available blood and physiological parameters measured at hospital admission, but there was evidence of miscalibration in external sites. This highlights the need for a better understanding of the use of early warning scores for COVID.
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- 2021
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17. Monitoring indirect impact of COVID-19 pandemic on services for cardiovascular diseases in the UK.
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Ball S, Banerjee A, Berry C, Boyle JR, Bray B, Bradlow W, Chaudhry A, Crawley R, Danesh J, Denniston A, Falter F, Figueroa JD, Hall C, Hemingway H, Jefferson E, Johnson T, King G, Lee KK, McKean P, Mason S, Mills NL, Pearson E, Pirmohamed M, Poon MTC, Priedon R, Shah A, Sofat R, Sterne JAC, Strachan FE, Sudlow CLM, Szarka Z, Whiteley W, and Wyatt M
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- Cardiovascular Diseases diagnosis, Cross-Sectional Studies, Emergency Service, Hospital trends, Humans, Patient Admission trends, Retrospective Studies, Time Factors, United Kingdom, COVID-19, Cardiology Service, Hospital trends, Cardiovascular Diseases therapy, Delivery of Health Care, Integrated trends, Health Services Needs and Demand trends, Needs Assessment trends
- Abstract
Objective: To monitor hospital activity for presentation, diagnosis and treatment of cardiovascular diseases during the COVID-19) pandemic to inform on indirect effects., Methods: Retrospective serial cross-sectional study in nine UK hospitals using hospital activity data from 28 October 2019 (pre-COVID-19) to 10 May 2020 (pre-easing of lockdown) and for the same weeks during 2018-2019. We analysed aggregate data for selected cardiovascular diseases before and during the epidemic. We produced an online visualisation tool to enable near real-time monitoring of trends., Results: Across nine hospitals, total admissions and emergency department (ED) attendances decreased after lockdown (23 March 2020) by 57.9% (57.1%-58.6%) and 52.9% (52.2%-53.5%), respectively, compared with the previous year. Activity for cardiac, cerebrovascular and other vascular conditions started to decline 1-2 weeks before lockdown and fell by 31%-88% after lockdown, with the greatest reductions observed for coronary artery bypass grafts, carotid endarterectomy, aortic aneurysm repair and peripheral arterial disease procedures. Compared with before the first UK COVID-19 (31 January 2020), activity declined across diseases and specialties between the first case and lockdown (total ED attendances relative reduction (RR) 0.94, 0.93-0.95; total hospital admissions RR 0.96, 0.95-0.97) and after lockdown (attendances RR 0.63, 0.62-0.64; admissions RR 0.59, 0.57-0.60). There was limited recovery towards usual levels of some activities from mid-April 2020., Conclusions: Substantial reductions in total and cardiovascular activities are likely to contribute to a major burden of indirect effects of the pandemic, suggesting they should be monitored and mitigated urgently., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2020. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
- Published
- 2020
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18. Trends in time to cancer diagnosis around the period of changing national guidance on referral of symptomatic patients: A serial cross-sectional study using UK electronic healthcare records from 2006-17.
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Price S, Spencer A, Zhang X, Ball S, Lyratzopoulos G, Mujica-Mota R, Stapley S, Ukoumunne OC, and Hamilton W
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- Adolescent, Adult, Cross-Sectional Studies, Early Detection of Cancer methods, Female, History, 21st Century, Humans, Male, Referral and Consultation, United Kingdom, Young Adult, Neoplasms diagnosis
- Abstract
Background: UK primary-care referral guidance describes the signs, symptoms, and test results ("features") of undiagnosed cancer. Guidance revision in 2015 liberalised investigation by introducing more low-risk features. We studied adults with cancer whose features were in the 2005 guidance ("Old-NICE") or were introduced in the revision ("New-NICE"). We compared time to diagnosis between the groups, and its trend over 2006-2017., Methods: Clinical Practice Research Datalink records were analysed for adults with incident myeloma, breast, bladder, colorectal, lung, oesophageal, ovarian, pancreatic, prostate, stomach or uterine cancers in 1/1/2006-31/12/2017. Cancer-specific features in the year before diagnosis were used to create New-NICE and Old-NICE groups. Diagnostic interval was time between the index feature and diagnosis. Semiparametric varying-coefficient analyses compared diagnostic intervals between New-NICE and Old-NICE groups over 1/1/2006-31/12/2017., Results: Over all cancers (N = 83,935), median (interquartile range) Old-NICE diagnostic interval rose over 2006-2017, from 51 (20-132) to 64 (30-148) days, with increases in breast (15 vs 25 days), lung (103 vs 135 days), ovarian (65·5 vs 100 days), prostate (80 vs 93 days) and stomach (72·5 vs 102 days) cancers. Median New-NICE values were consistently longer (99, 40-212 in 2006 vs 103, 42-236 days in 2017) than Old-NICE values over all cancers. After guidance revision, New-NICE diagnostic intervals became shorter than Old-NICE values for colorectal cancer., Conclusions: Despite improvements for colorectal cancer, scope remains to reduce diagnostic intervals for most cancers. Liberalised investigation requires protecting and enhancing cancer-diagnostic services to avoid their becoming a rate-limiting step in the diagnostic pathway., (Copyright © 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2020
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19. Ethnicity and risk of death in patients hospitalised for COVID-19 infection in the UK: an observational cohort study in an urban catchment area.
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Sapey E, Gallier S, Mainey C, Nightingale P, McNulty D, Crothers H, Evison F, Reeves K, Pagano D, Denniston AK, Nirantharakumar K, Diggle P, and Ball S
- Subjects
- COVID-19, Cohort Studies, Comorbidity, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Outcome Assessment, Health Care, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Factors, SARS-CoV-2, Severity of Illness Index, United Kingdom epidemiology, Asian People statistics & numerical data, Betacoronavirus isolation & purification, Coronavirus Infections ethnology, Coronavirus Infections therapy, Hospitalization statistics & numerical data, Mortality ethnology, Pandemics, Pneumonia, Viral ethnology, Pneumonia, Viral therapy
- Abstract
Background: Studies suggest that certain black and Asian minority ethnic groups experience poorer outcomes from COVID-19, but these studies have not provided insight into potential reasons for this. We hypothesised that outcomes would be poorer for those of South Asian ethnicity hospitalised from a confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, once confounding factors, health-seeking behaviours and community demographics were considered, and that this might reflect a more aggressive disease course in these patients., Methods: Patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection requiring admission to University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust (UHB) in Birmingham, UK between 10 March 2020 and 17 April 2020 were included. Standardised admission ratio (SAR) and standardised mortality ratio (SMR) were calculated using observed COVID-19 admissions/deaths and 2011 census data. Adjusted HR for mortality was estimated using Cox proportional hazard model adjusting and propensity score matching., Results: All patients admitted to UHB with COVID-19 during the study period were included (2217 in total). 58% were male, 69.5% were white and the majority (80.2%) had comorbidities. 18.5% were of South Asian ethnicity, and these patients were more likely to be younger and have no comorbidities, but twice the prevalence of diabetes than white patients. SAR and SMR suggested more admissions and deaths in South Asian patients than would be predicted and they were more likely to present with severe disease despite no delay in presentation since symptom onset. South Asian ethnicity was associated with an increased risk of death, both by Cox regression (HR 1.4, 95% CI 1.2 to 1.8), after adjusting for age, sex, deprivation and comorbidities, and by propensity score matching, matching for the same factors but categorising ethnicity into South Asian or not (HR 1.3, 95% CI 1.0 to 1.6)., Conclusions: Those of South Asian ethnicity appear at risk of worse COVID-19 outcomes. Further studies need to establish the underlying mechanistic pathways., Competing Interests: Competing interests: SB reports funding support from the HDR-UK. KR reports funding support from the NIHR. ES reports funding support from HDR-UK, MRC, Wellcome Trust, NIHR and British Lung Foundation. KN reports funding from MRC, Wellcome Trust, NIHR, Vifor and AstraZeneca. AKD reports funding from HDR-UK, Wellcome Trust and Fight for Sight., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2020. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ.)
- Published
- 2020
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20. Understanding student radiographer attrition: Risk factors and strategies.
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McAnulla SJ, Ball SE, and Knapp KM
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Adult, Female, Humans, Male, Risk, United Kingdom, Young Adult, Career Choice, Radiography, Student Dropouts statistics & numerical data, Students, Health Occupations statistics & numerical data, Technology, Radiologic education
- Abstract
Introduction: Diagnostic student radiographer attrition is reported at 14%, 6% higher than the average for higher education, however, little research has been undertaken on this subject. This study explored risk factors for attrition and strategies that enabled these to be overcome., Methods: A two-phase study was undertaken. Phase one: data for 579 former student diagnostic radiographers (468 completers and 111 non-completers) from 3 English universities were analysed. Logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for completion based on individual characteristics. Phase two: content analysis of data from an online survey of 186 current UK student diagnostic radiographers exploring their experiences was undertaken., Results: Phase one: Attrition was 19%. Increased age, non A-level entry qualifications and poor academic performance were predictors of attrition (p < 0.005). Phase two: Challenges reported by groups identified as 'at risk' showed that for mature students and those with non-traditional entry qualifications, external responsibilities/pressures and financial pressures were likely to be the greatest cause of attrition and for younger students with traditional qualifications, academic difficulty and excessive workload were most significant. Scientific learning and academic writing were identified as the most common academic difficulties by all groups. Poor mental health may also be a risk factor., Conclusion: Although characteristics were identified that increased the chance of attrition, the study concluded that attrition is most likely to be multi-factorial. Academic and personal support were identified as key in students continuing their studies when they considered leaving. Clinical placement experience is likely to influence continuation decisions., Implications for Practice: Transparency around course expectations and academic requirements together with ensuring high quality clinical placements may assist in reducing attrition., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest statement None., (Copyright © 2019 The College of Radiographers. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2020
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21. Genetic and demographic vulnerability of adder populations: Results of a genetic study in mainland Britain.
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Ball S, Hand N, Willman F, Durrant C, Uller T, Claus K, Mergeay J, Bauwens D, and Garner TWJ
- Subjects
- Animals, Female, Genetic Variation, Genetics, Population, Loss of Heterozygosity, Male, Microsatellite Repeats, Mitochondria genetics, United Kingdom, Viperidae physiology, Inbreeding, Viperidae genetics
- Abstract
Genetic factors are often overlooked in conservation planning, despite their importance in small isolated populations. We used mitochondrial and microsatellite markers to investigate population genetics of the adder (Vipera berus) in southern Britain, where numbers are declining. We found no evidence for loss of heterozygosity in any of the populations studied. Genetic diversity was comparable across sites, in line with published levels for mainland Europe. However, further analysis revealed a striking level of relatedness. Genetic networks constructed from inferred first degree relationships suggested a high proportion of individuals to be related at a level equivalent to that of half-siblings, with rare inferred full-sib dyads. These patterns of relatedness can be attributed to the high philopatry and low vagility of adders, which creates high local relatedness, in combination with the polyandrous breeding system in the adder, which may offset the risk of inbreeding in closed populations. We suggest that reliance on standard genetic indicators of inbreeding and diversity may underestimate demographic and genetic factors that make adder populations vulnerable to extirpation. We stress the importance of an integrated genetic and demographic approach in the conservation of adders, and other taxa of similar ecology., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
- Published
- 2020
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22. Annual estimates of occupancy for bryophytes, lichens and invertebrates in the UK, 1970-2015.
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Outhwaite CL, Powney GD, August TA, Chandler RE, Rorke S, Pescott OL, Harvey M, Roy HE, Fox R, Roy DB, Alexander K, Ball S, Bantock T, Barber T, Beckmann BC, Cook T, Flanagan J, Fowles A, Hammond P, Harvey P, Hepper D, Hubble D, Kramer J, Lee P, MacAdam C, Morris R, Norris A, Palmer S, Plant CW, Simkin J, Stubbs A, Sutton P, Telfer M, Wallace I, and Isaac NJB
- Subjects
- Animals, Birds, Butterflies, Ecosystem, Invertebrates, Lichens, United Kingdom, Biodiversity, Population Dynamics trends
- Abstract
Here, we determine annual estimates of occupancy and species trends for 5,293 UK bryophytes, lichens, and invertebrates, providing national scale information on UK biodiversity change for 31 taxonomic groups for the time period 1970 to 2015. The dataset was produced through the application of a Bayesian occupancy modelling framework to species occurrence records supplied by 29 national recording schemes or societies (n = 24,118,549 records). In the UK, annual measures of species status from fine scale data (e.g. 1 × 1 km) had previously been limited to a few taxa for which structured monitoring data are available, mainly birds, butterflies, bats and a subset of moth species. By using an occupancy modelling framework designed for use with relatively low recording intensity data, we have been able to estimate species trends and generate annual estimates of occupancy for taxa where annual trend estimates and status were previously limited or unknown at this scale. These data broaden our knowledge of UK biodiversity and can be used to investigate variation in and drivers of biodiversity change.
- Published
- 2019
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23. Alcohol consumption among university students in the night-time economy in the UK: A three-wave longitudinal study.
- Author
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Tarrant M, Smith J, Ball S, Winlove C, Gul S, and Charles N
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Age Factors, Female, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Motivation, Sex Factors, Social Norms, United Kingdom epidemiology, Universities statistics & numerical data, Young Adult, Alcohol Drinking epidemiology, Alcohol Drinking in College psychology, Leisure Activities psychology, Students psychology
- Abstract
Background: Excessive alcohol consumption is commonly reported in university/college students, and contributes to emerging peer-group relations., Purpose: This study aimed to provide up-to-date longitudinal data on students' alcohol consumption patterns, and predictors of this, across a single academic year., Methods: A 3-wave study was conducted at a university in the UK. Participants reported their alcohol consumption patterns, along with perceptions of the social norms and behavioral expectations associated with attending licensed venues where alcohol is sold (the "night time economy"). Participants also reported their social identification with this environment., Results: Around half of participants overall fell into the three higher alcohol-risk categories (moderate, high or hazardous drinking). A modest reduction in consumption was observed across the study. At each assessment point, males reported greater alcohol consumption in the preceding two months than females, while Year 4 students and those on graduate-entry programs reported the lowest consumption. Excessive alcohol consumption was regarded as largely normative within the night time economy, both descriptively ("what others do") and injunctively ("what others approve of"). Social identification and norm perceptions, along with gender, year group, and intoxication and socialising expectations, were significantly associated with higher alcohol consumption at baseline. However, baseline consumption was the only variable significantly associated with alcohol use at the end of the academic year., Conclusions: Many students drink alcohol at potentially harmful levels, and norms and expectations supporting this consumption are prominent and stable. The findings support a targeted approach to intervention that accounts for heterogeneity in the student population., (Crown Copyright © 2019. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2019
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24. Trust compliance with best practice tariff criteria for total hip and knee replacement.
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Vanhegan I, Sankey A, Radford W, Ball S, and Gibbons C
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- Humans, Orthopedics, Practice Guidelines as Topic, Quality Improvement, State Medicine, United Kingdom, Arthroplasty, Replacement, Hip, Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee, Guideline Adherence, Patient Reported Outcome Measures, Reimbursement, Incentive
- Abstract
Background: Satisfaction of the best practice tariff criteria for primary hip and knee replacement enables on average an additional £560 of reimbursement per case. The Getting it Right First Time report highlighted poor awareness of these criteria among orthopaedic departments., Methods: The authors investigated the reasons for non-compliance with the best practice tariff criteria at their trust and implemented a quality improvement approach to ensure successful adherence to the standards (a minimum National Joint Registry compliance rate of 85%, a National Joint Registry unknown consent rate below 15%, a patient-reported outcome measure participation rate of ≥50%, and an average health gain not significantly below the national average). This was investigated using quarterly online reports from the National Joint Registry and NHS Digital., Results: Initially, the trust had a 31% patient-reported outcome measures participation rate arising from a systematic error in the submission of preoperative patient-reported outcome measure scores. Re-audit following the resubmission of patient-reported outcome measure data under the trust's correct organization data service code confirmed an improvement in patient-reported outcome measure compliance to 90% and satisfaction of all criteria resulting in over £450 000 of additional reimbursement to the trust., Conclusions: The authors would urge others to review their compliance with these four best practice tariff criteria to ensure that they too are not missing out on this significant reimbursement sum.
- Published
- 2019
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25. Combined liver-kidney transplantation versus liver transplant alone based on KDIGO stratification of estimated glomerular filtration rate: data from the United Kingdom Transplant registry - a retrospective cohort study.
- Author
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Tinti F, Mitterhofer AP, Umbro I, Nightingale P, Inston N, Ghallab M, Ferguson J, Mirza DF, Ball S, Lipkin G, Muiesan P, and Perera MTPR
- Subjects
- Female, Graft Survival, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, United Kingdom epidemiology, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Kidney Transplantation, Liver Transplantation mortality, Registries
- Abstract
Patient selection for combined liver-kidney transplantation (CLKT) is a current issue on the background of organ shortage. This study aimed to compare outcomes and post-transplant renal function for patients receiving CLKT and liver transplantation alone (LTA) based on native renal function using estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) stratification. Using the UK National transplant database (NHSBT) 6035 patients receiving a LTA (N = 5912; 98%) or CLKT (N = 123; 2%) [2001-2013] were analysed, and stratified by KDIGO stages of eGFR at transplant (eGFR group-strata). There was no difference in patient/graft survival between LTA and CLKT in eGFR group-strata (P > 0.05). Of 377 patients undergoing renal replacement therapy (RRT) at time of transplantation, 305 (81%) and 72 (19%) patients received LTA and CLKT respectively. A significantly greater proportion of CLKT patients had severe end-stage renal disease (eGFR < 30 ml/min/1.73 m
2 ) at 1 year post-transplant compared to LTA (9.5% vs. 5.7%, P = 0.001). Patient and graft survival benefit for patients on RRT at transplantation was favouring CLKT versus LTA (P = 0.038 and P = 0.018, respectively) but the renal function of the long-term survivors was not superior following CLKT. The data does not support CLKT approach based on eGFR alone, and the advantage of CLKT appear to benefit only those who are on established RRT at the time of transplant., (© 2019 Steunstichting ESOT.)- Published
- 2019
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26. GPs' and practice staff's views of a telephone first approach to demand management: a qualitative study in primary care.
- Author
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Newbould J, Exley J, Ball S, Corbett J, Pitchforth E, and Roland M
- Subjects
- Appointments and Schedules, Humans, Outcome and Process Assessment, Health Care, Qualitative Research, United Kingdom, Workload, Attitude of Health Personnel, General Practitioners organization & administration, Interviews as Topic, Patient Preference, Primary Health Care methods, Primary Health Care organization & administration, Remote Consultation methods, Remote Consultation organization & administration
- Abstract
Background: To better manage patient demand, some general practices have implemented a 'telephone first' approach in which all patients seeking a face-to-face appointment first have to speak to a GP on the telephone. Previous studies have suggested that there is considerable scope for this new approach, but there remain significant concerns., Aim: To understand the views of GPs and practice staff of the telephone first approach, and to identify enablers and barriers to successful adoption of the approach., Design and Setting: A qualitative study of the telephone first approach in 12 general practices that have adopted it, and two general practices that have tried the approach but reverted to their previous system., Method: A total of 53 qualitative interviews with GPs and practice staff were conducted. Transcriptions of the interviews were systematically analysed., Results: Staff in the majority of practices reported that the approach was an improvement on their previous system, but all practices experienced challenges; for example, where practices did not have the capacity to meet the increase in demand for telephone consultations. Staff were also aware that the new system suited some patients better than others. Adoption of the telephone first approach could be very stressful, with a negative impact on morale, especially reported in interviews with the two practices that had tried but stopped the approach. Interviewees identified enablers and barriers to the successful adoption of a telephone first approach in primary care. Enablers to successful adoption were: understanding demand, practice staff as pivotal, making modifications to the approach, and educating patients., Conclusion: Practices considering adopting or clinical commissioning groups considering funding a telephone first approach should consider carefully a practice's capacity and capability before launching., (© British Journal of General Practice 2019.)
- Published
- 2019
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27. Cardiovascular, thromboembolic and renal outcomes in IgA vasculitis (Henoch-Schönlein purpura): a retrospective cohort study using routinely collected primary care data.
- Author
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Tracy A, Subramanian A, Adderley NJ, Cockwell P, Ferro C, Ball S, Harper L, and Nirantharakumar K
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Adult, Age of Onset, Cardiovascular Diseases immunology, Child, Female, Humans, Hypertension immunology, IgA Vasculitis complications, IgA Vasculitis immunology, Immunoglobulin A immunology, Incidence, Male, Prevalence, Primary Health Care statistics & numerical data, Proportional Hazards Models, Renal Insufficiency, Chronic immunology, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, Thromboembolism immunology, United Kingdom epidemiology, Young Adult, Cardiovascular Diseases epidemiology, Hypertension epidemiology, IgA Vasculitis mortality, Renal Insufficiency, Chronic epidemiology, Thromboembolism epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: IgA vasculitis (IgAV, Henoch-Schönlein purpura) is a small-vessel vasculitis most common in children but also occurring in adults. Case series have suggested that IgAV may be associated with cardiovascular disease and venous thromboembolism, but this has not been evaluated in population-based studies. Renal disease and hypertension are possible complications of the disease with unknown incidence., Methods: Using a large UK primary care database, we conducted an open retrospective matched cohort study of cardiovascular, venous thrombotic and renal outcomes in adult-onset and childhood-onset IgAV. Control participants were selected at a 2:1 ratio, matched for age and sex. Adjusted HRs (aHRs) were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models., Results: 2828 patients with adult-onset IgAV and 10 405 patients with childhood-onset IgAV were compared with age-matched and sex-matched controls. There was significantly increased risk of hypertension (adult-onset aHR 1.42, 95% CI 1.19 to 1.70, p < 0.001; childhood-onset aHR 1.52, 95% CI 1.22 to 1.89, p < 0.001) and stage G3-G5 chronic kidney disease (adult-onset aHR 1.54, 95% CI 1.23 to 1.93, p < 0.001; childhood-onset aHR 1.89, 95% CI 1.16 to 3.07, p=0.010). There was no evidence of association with ischaemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease or venous thromboembolism. All-cause mortality was increased in the adult-onset IgAV cohort compared with controls (aHR 1.27, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.50, p=0.006)., Conclusions: Patients with IgAV are at increased risk of hypertension and chronic kidney disease (CKD) compared with individuals without IgAV; analysis restricted to adult-onset IgAV patients showed increased mortality. Appropriate surveillance and risk factor modification could improve long-term outcomes in these patients., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2019. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
- Published
- 2019
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28. Risk of thromboembolism in patients developing critical illness-associated atrial fibrillation.
- Author
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Clayton B, Ball S, Read J, and Waddy S
- Subjects
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Critical Illness epidemiology, Female, Humans, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Male, Middle Aged, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, United Kingdom epidemiology, Atrial Fibrillation complications, Atrial Fibrillation epidemiology, Atrial Fibrillation etiology, Stroke complications, Stroke epidemiology, Thromboembolism epidemiology, Thromboembolism etiology
- Abstract
Although common, the long-term significance of -developing atrial fibrillation (AF) during a period of critical illness is unclear. We undertook a retrospective cohort analysis to -assess the rate of thromboembolism (TE) in patients -developing atrial fibrillation de novo during admission to our intensive care unit. In total, 1,955 patients were followed up (-maximum follow-up 1,276 days) for the occurrence of TE, of which 220 (11.3%) had developed AF or atrial flutter during their critical care admission. There were 11 TE events among the patients with new AF (0.053 events per patient-year), compared with 18 in the non-AF group (0.0059 events per patient-year). The unadjusted hazard ratio for TE in patients developing new AF compared with those not developing AF was 8.09 (95% CI 3.08-17.19, p<0.001). In patients admitted to critical care, the development of AF appears to be associated with a significantly increased risk of subsequent thromboembolism., (© Royal College of Physicians 2018. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2018
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29. The Cannabinoid Use in Progressive Inflammatory brain Disease (CUPID) trial: a randomised double-blind placebo-controlled parallel-group multicentre trial and economic evaluation of cannabinoids to slow progression in multiple sclerosis.
- Author
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Ball S, Vickery J, Hobart J, Wright D, Green C, Shearer J, Nunn A, Cano MG, MacManus D, Miller D, Mallik S, and Zajicek J
- Subjects
- Administration, Oral, Adult, Disease Progression, Double-Blind Method, Dronabinol administration & dosage, Dronabinol adverse effects, Dronabinol economics, Female, Financing, Government, Financing, Personal, Humans, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Logistic Models, Magnetic Resonance Imaging methods, Male, Middle Aged, Multiple Sclerosis, Chronic Progressive economics, Multiple Sclerosis, Chronic Progressive psychology, Muscle Spasticity classification, Neuroimaging methods, Outcome Assessment, Health Care methods, Outcome Assessment, Health Care statistics & numerical data, Proportional Hazards Models, Severity of Illness Index, Time Factors, United Kingdom, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Dronabinol therapeutic use, Multiple Sclerosis, Chronic Progressive drug therapy, Quality-Adjusted Life Years
- Abstract
Background: The Cannabinoid Use in Progressive Inflammatory brain Disease (CUPID) trial aimed to determine whether or not oral Δ(9)-tetrahydrocannabinol (Δ(9)-THC) slowed the course of progressive multiple sclerosis (MS); evaluate safety of cannabinoid administration; and, improve methods for testing treatments in progressive MS., Objectives: There were three objectives in the CUPID study: (1) to evaluate whether or not Δ(9)-THC could slow the course of progressive MS; (2) to assess the long-term safety of Δ(9)-THC; and (3) to explore newer ways of conducting clinical trials in progressive MS., Design: The CUPID trial was a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group, multicentre trial. Patients were randomised in a 2 : 1 ratio to Δ(9)-THC or placebo. Randomisation was balanced according to Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score, study site and disease type. Analyses were by intention to treat, following a pre-specified statistical analysis plan. A cranial magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) substudy, Rasch measurement theory (RMT) analyses and an economic evaluation were undertaken., Setting: Twenty-seven UK sites., Participants: Adults aged 18-65 years with primary or secondary progressive MS, 1-year evidence of disease progression and baseline EDSS 4.0-6.5., Interventions: Oral Δ(9)-THC (maximum 28 mg/day) or matching placebo., Assessment Visits: Three and 6 months, and then 6-monthly up to 36 or 42 months., Main Outcome Measures: Primary outcomes were time to EDSS progression, and change in Multiple Sclerosis Impact Scale-29 version 2 (MSIS-29v2) 20-point physical subscale (MSIS-29phys) score. Various secondary patient- and clinician-reported outcomes and MRI outcomes were assessed. RMT analyses examined performance of MS-specific rating scales as measurement instruments and tested for a symptomatic or disease-modifying treatment effect. Economic evaluation estimated mean incremental costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs)., Results: Effectiveness - recruitment targets were achieved. Of the 498 randomised patients (332 to active and 166 to placebo), 493 (329 active and 164 placebo) were analysed., Primary Outcomes: no significant treatment effect; hazard ratio EDSS score progression (active : placebo) 0.92 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.68 to 1.23]; and estimated between-group difference in MSIS-29phys score (active-placebo) -0.9 points (95% CI -2.0 to 0.2 points). Secondary clinical and MRI outcomes: no significant treatment effects. Safety - at least one serious adverse event: 35% and 28% of active and placebo patients, respectively. RMT analyses - scale evaluation: MSIS-29 version 2, MS Walking Scale-12 version 2 and MS Spasticity Scale-88 were robust measurement instruments. There was no clear symptomatic or disease-modifying treatment effect. Economic evaluation - estimated mean incremental cost to NHS over usual care, over 3 years £27,443.20 per patient. No between-group difference in QALYs., Conclusions: The CUPID trial failed to demonstrate a significant treatment effect in primary or secondary outcomes. There were no major safety concerns, but unwanted side effects seemed to affect compliance. Participants were more disabled than in previous studies and deteriorated less than expected, possibly reducing our ability to detect treatment effects. RMT analyses supported performance of MS-specific rating scales as measures, enabled group- and individual person-level examination of treatment effects, but did not influence study inferences. The intervention had significant additional costs with no improvement in health outcomes; therefore, it was dominated by usual care and not cost-effective. Future work should focus on determining further factors to predict clinical deterioration, to inform the development of new studies, and modifying treatments in order to minimise side effects and improve study compliance. The absence of disease-modifying treatments in progressive MS warrants further studies of the cannabinoid pathway in potential neuroprotection., Trial Registration: Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN62942668., Funding: The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme, the Medical Research Council Efficacy and Mechanism Evaluation programme, Multiple Sclerosis Society and Multiple Sclerosis Trust. The report will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 19, No. 12. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.
- Published
- 2015
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30. UK Triage the validation of a new tool to counter an evolving threat.
- Author
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Vassallo J, Horne S, Ball S, and Whitley J
- Subjects
- Afghan Campaign 2001-, Algorithms, Humans, Military Medicine, Prospective Studies, Sensitivity and Specificity, United Kingdom epidemiology, Wounds and Injuries mortality, Emergency Service, Hospital organization & administration, Health Priorities organization & administration, Mass Casualty Incidents, Triage organization & administration, Wounds and Injuries therapy
- Abstract
Introduction: Major Incidents (MI) occur frequently and their unpredictable nature makes prospective research difficult and largely unethical. A key step in MI management is triage; the identification of the critically injured. Within a MI environment this is commonly performed using simple physiological ‘tools’, such as the Triage Sieve (TS). However the most commonly used tools appear to lack an evidence base. In a previous study, the authors used a military population to compare the performance of the TS to the Military Sieve (MS) at predicting need for Life-Saving Intervention (LSI). The MS differs only with the addition of a measurement of consciousness. The outcome from this study was that the MS outperformed the TS, but could be further improved with small changes to its physiological parameters, the Modified Military Sieve (MMS)., Materials and Methods: Physiological data and interventions performed within the Emergency Department (ED) and Operating Theatre were prospectively collected for consecutive adult trauma patients (>18years) presenting to the ED at Camp Bastion, Afghanistan between March and September 2011. All patients receiving a LSI were considered Gold Standard Priority One. Patients were triaged using the TS, MS, MMS, START (ST) and Careflight (CF) triage tools. Sensitivities and specificities were estimated with 95% confidence intervals and differences were checked for statistical significance using a McNemar test with Bonferroni correction., Results: 482 patients presented to the ED during the study period, sufficient data was recorded for 335 (71%) with 199 (59%) P1s. The MMS (sensitivity 68.3%, specificity 79.4%) showed an absolute increase in sensitivity over existing tools ranging from 5.0% (MS) to 23.6% (CF). There was a statistically significant difference (P = 0.0005) between the MMS and MS., Discussion: A key limitation to this study, is the use of a military cohort to validate the MMS, a tool which itself was developed using military data. The mechanism of injury also is unlikely to translate fully to the civilian population., Conclusions: Within a military population, the MMS outperforms existing MI triage tools. Before it is recommended as a replacement to the existing TS in UK civilian practice, it needs to be tested in a civilian environment.
- Published
- 2014
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31. UK triage--an improved tool for an evolving threat.
- Author
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Horne S, Vassallo J, Read J, and Ball S
- Subjects
- Afghan Campaign 2001-, Algorithms, Blood Pressure, Female, Health Priorities, Humans, Iraq War, 2003-2011, Male, Predictive Value of Tests, Sensitivity and Specificity, Severity of Illness Index, United Kingdom, Wounds and Injuries classification, Wounds and Injuries physiopathology, Heart Rate, Military Medicine, Respiration, Triage, Wounds and Injuries diagnosis
- Abstract
Introduction: A key challenge at a major incident is to quickly identify those casualties most urgently needing treatment in order to survive - triage. The UK Triage Sieve (TS) advocated by the Major Incident Medical Management (MIMMS) Course categorises casualties by ability to walk, respiratory rate (RR) and heart rate (HR) or capillary refill time. The military version (MS) includes assessment of consciousness. We tested whether the MS better predicts need for life-saving intervention in a military trauma population. Ideal HR, RR and Glasgow Coma Score (GCS) thresholds were calculated., Methods: A gold standard Priority 1 casualty was defined using resource-based criteria. Pre-hospital data from a military trauma database allowed calculation of triage category, which was compared with this standard, and presented as 2×2 tables. Sensitivity and specificity of each physiological parameter was calculated over a range of values to identify the ideal cut-offs., Results: A gold standard could be ascribed in 1657 cases. In 1213 both the MS and TS could ascribe a category. MS was significantly more sensitive than TS (59% vs 53%, p<0.001) with similar specificity (89 vs 88%). Varying the limits for each parameter allowed some improvements in sensitivity (70-80%) but specificity dropped rapidly., Discussion: Previous studies support the inclusion of GCS assessment for blunt as well as penetrating trauma. Optimising the physiological cut-offs increased sensitivity in this sample to only 71% - a Sieve based purely on physiological parameters may not be capable of an acceptable level of sensitivity., Conclusions: The MS is more sensitive than the TS. Major incident planners utilising the Sieve should consider adopting the military version as their first line triage tool. If validated, altering the HR and RR thresholds may further improve the tool., (Copyright © 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2013
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32. The diagnosis and racial origin of 394 patients undergoing renal biopsy: an association between Indian race and interstitial nephritis.
- Author
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Ball S, Cook T, Hulme B, Palmer A, and Taube D
- Subjects
- Adult, Aged, Biopsy, Female, Humans, India ethnology, Kidney Diseases epidemiology, Kidney Failure, Chronic epidemiology, Kidney Failure, Chronic therapy, Male, Middle Aged, Nephritis, Interstitial pathology, Nephritis, Interstitial therapy, Renal Replacement Therapy, Steroids therapeutic use, United Kingdom epidemiology, White People, Kidney pathology, Nephritis, Interstitial epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: There is a high incidence of renal disease in the ethnically Indian population in the United Kingdom, the pathological basis for which is only partly understood. This study attempted to define associations between renal biopsy diagnosis and race. The aim was thereby to identify types of renal disease which may contribute to the observed predisposition to renal failure in the Indian population served by our centre., Method: A single-centre-based retrospective analysis of the final diagnosis and corresponding ethnicity in 394 consecutive patients undergoing native renal biopsy for the investigation of abnormal renal function or urinary sediment., Results: A highly significant association between a diagnosis of interstitial nephritis and Indian race was observed. There were 30 cases of interstitial nephritis, of whom 17 were Indian. In 15 of the Indian patients no aetiology could be established. The clinical features, outcomes, and the effect of steroid therapy in the Indian patients with idiopathic interstitial nephritis are described., Conclusion: Idiopathic interstitial nephritis is associated with Indian racial origin. This pathology may significantly contribute to the high incidence of end-stage renal failure in Indian patients resident in the United Kingdom.
- Published
- 1997
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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