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Objectives: Coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) is performed for symptomatic and prognostic reasons. We aimed to determine the factors that contribute to in-hospital mortality and long-term survival in young patients (aged less than 65) undergoing CABG., Methods: A prospective database was retrospectively analysed and cross-correlated with the United Kingdom's Strategic Tracing Service to evaluate survival in patients under the age of 65, following isolated primary CABG. Univariate-, multivariate logistic with Cox regression- and neural network analyses were performed., Results: Patients under the age of 65, who had undergone isolated CABG between April 1997 and March 2010 were studied;n = 5967. In-hospital mortality was 1.1% and long-term mortality was 13.5%; median follow-up 7.9 years. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that atrial fibrillation, 'urgent' operation status, postoperative creatinine kinase (CKMB), moderate or poor left ventricular (LV) function, and female sex were significant factors predicting in-hospital mortality. Cox regression demonstrated that age, diabetes (oral and insulin controlled), moderate and poor LV function, cerebrovascular disease, dialysis, left internal mammary artery (LIMA) usage, postoperative CKMB, atrial fibrillation, 'urgent' operation status, and peripheral vascular disease were significant factors determining long-term survival. Radial artery use, off-pump surgery, composite arterial grating and graft number had no effect on in-hospital mortality or long-term survival. Neural network analysis confirmed the factors identified by logistic and Cox multivariate analysis., Conclusions: The risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients under the age of 65 include postoperative CKMB, urgent operation status, LV function, female sex and atrial fibrillation. Significant factors determining long-term survival in the under-65 age group include age, atrial fibrillation, diabetes (diet and insulin controlled), LV function, cerebrovascular disease, dialysis, LIMA usage, 'urgent' operation status, CKMB and peripheral vascular disease.

Objective: We aimed to validate the new EuroSCORE II risk model in a contemporary cardiac surgery practice in the United Kingdom (UK)., Methods: The original logistic EuroSCORE was compared to EuroSCORE II with regard to accuracy of predicting in-hospital mortality. Analysis was performed on isolated coronary artery bypass grafts (CABG; n = 2913), aortic valve replacement (AVR; n = 814), mitral valve surgery (MVR; n = 340), combined AVR and CABG (n = 517), aortic (n = 350) and miscellaneous procedures (n = 642), and the above cases combined (n = 5576)., Results: In a single-institution experience, EuroSCORE II is a reasonable risk model for in-hospital mortality from isolated CABG (C-statistic 0.79, Hosmer-Lemeshow P = 0.052) and aortic procedures (C-statistic 0.81, Hosmer-Lemeshow P = 0.43), and excellent for mitral valve surgery (C-statistic 0.87, Hosmer-Lemeshow P = 0.6). EuroSCORE II is better than the original EuroSCORE, using contemporaneous data for combined AVR and CABG operations (C-statistic 0.74, Hosmer-Lemeshow P = 0.38). However, EuroSCORE II failed to improve on the original EuroSCORE model for isolated AVR (C-statistic 0.69, Hosmer-Lemeshow P = 0.07) and miscellaneous procedures (C-statistic 0.70, Hosmer-Lemeshow P = 0.99). EuroSCORE II has better calibration than the original EuroSCORE or the Society of Cardiothoracic Surgeons of Great Britain and Ireland (SCTS) modified EuroSCORE for cumulative sum survival (CUSUM) curves., Conclusions: EuroSCORE II improves on the original logistic EuroSCORE, though mainly for combined AVR and CABG cases. Concerns still exist, however, over its use for isolated AVR procedures, aortic surgery and miscellaneous procedures. There is still room for improvement in risk modelling.