1. Population Dynamics of a Declining White-Tailed Deer Population in the Southern Appalachian Region of the United States.
- Author
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Edge, Adam C., Rosenberger, Jacalyn P., Killmaster, Charlie H., Johannsen, Kristina L., Osborn, David A., Miller, Karl V., and D'Angelo, Gino J.
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DEER populations , *WHITE-tailed deer , *POPULATION dynamics , *DEMOGRAPHIC change , *COYOTE , *VITAL statistics , *POPULATION viability analysis - Abstract
Simple Summary: We examined a white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) population with evidence of decline in the Southern Appalachian region of the United States. In the Chattahoochee National Forest (CNF) in northern Georgia, deer harvest numbers and hunter success rates have drastically reduced over the last few decades, suggesting a decline in deer density. Low fawn survival (16%) was also recently recorded, prompting further concern regarding deer population sustainability. In the CNF, we radio-collared 14 yearling and 45 adult female white-tailed deer along with 71 fawns during 2018–2020 to estimate the annual survival and fecundity of each age class. We modeled future population growth (λ) over 10 years to evaluate the current rate of decline and various other management scenarios. Projections indicated that the white-tailed deer population will decline by an average of 4.0% annually under current conditions, and only scenarios that incorporated both antlerless harvest restrictions and improved fawn survival will lead to positive population growth. Thus, these approaches should be emphasized in future management plans within the Southern Appalachian region to facilitate recovery. This methodology can be applied by other wildlife managers with knowledge of site-specific vital rates to inform potential management strategies. Although generally abundant, white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) populations in the southeastern United States have recently experienced several localized declines attributed to reduced fawn recruitment following the establishment of coyotes (Canis latrans). The Southern Appalachians is a mountainous region suggested to be experiencing white-tailed deer declines, as harvest numbers and hunter success rates have substantially decreased in northern Georgia since 1979. Low fawn survival (16%) was also recently documented in the Chattahoochee National Forest (CNF) in northern Georgia, necessitating further examination. We radio-collared 14 yearling and 45 adult female white-tailed deer along with 71 fawns during 2018–2020 in the CNF to estimate field-based vital rates (i.e., survival and fecundity) and parameterize stage-structured population models. We projected population growth rates (λ) over 10 years to evaluate the current rate of decline and various other management scenarios. Our results indicated that the observed population would decline by an average of 4.0% annually (λ = 0.960) under current conditions. Only scenarios including antlerless harvest restrictions in addition to improved fawn survival resulted in positive growth (λ = 1.019, 1.085), suggesting these measures are likely necessary for population recovery in the region. This approach can be applied by wildlife managers to inform site-specific management strategies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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