1. Five-Year Mortality for Adults Entering Human Immunodeficiency Virus Care Under Universal Early Treatment Compared With the General US Population.
- Author
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Edwards JK, Cole SR, Breger TL, Filiatreau LM, Zalla L, Mulholland GE, Horberg MA, Silverberg MJ, John Gill M, Rebeiro PF, Thorne JE, Kasaie P, Marconi VC, Sterling TR, Althoff KN, Moore RD, and Eron JJ
- Subjects
- Adult, Cohort Studies, HIV, Humans, United States epidemiology, HIV Infections drug therapy, HIV Infections epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: Mortality among adults with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) remains elevated over those in the US general population, even in the years after entry into HIV care. We explore whether the elevation in 5-year mortality would have persisted if all adults with HIV had initiated antiretroviral therapy within 3 months of entering care., Methods: Among 82 766 adults entering HIV care at North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration clinical sites in the United States, we computed mortality over 5 years since entry into HIV care under observed treatment patterns. We then used inverse probability weights to estimate mortality under universal early treatment. To compare mortality with those for similar individuals in the general population, we used National Center for Health Statistics data to construct a cohort representing the subset of the US population matched to study participants on key characteristics., Results: For the entire study period (1999-2017), the 5-year mortality among adults with HIV was 7.9% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 7.6%-8.2%) higher than expected based on the US general population. Under universal early treatment, the elevation in mortality for people with HIV would have been 7.2% (95% CI: 5.8%-8.6%). In the most recent calendar period examined (2011-2017), the elevation in mortality for people with HIV was 2.6% (95% CI: 2.0%-3.3%) under observed treatment patterns and 2.1% (.0%-4.2%) under universal early treatment., Conclusions: Expanding early treatment may modestly reduce, but not eliminate, the elevation in mortality for people with HIV., Competing Interests: Potential conflicts of interest. L. M. F. reports payment to their institution from ViiV Healthcare to cover the cost of doctoral training (tuition and associated fees) and to support Statistical Horizons workshop attendance. M. J. S. reports a research grant to his institution from Gilead. M. J. G. has been an ad hoc advisor to national HIV advisory boards for Merck, Gilead, and ViiV Healthcare. P. F. R. reports payment from Gilead for participation in a panel in 2020. V. C. M. received research grants from Gilead Sciences and ViiV Healthcare and served as an advisory board member for Eli Lilly and Novartis. T. R. S. reports royalties from UpToDate for textbook chapters on tuberculosis. K. N. A. serves as a consultant to the All of Us Research Program (NIH) and on the scientific advisory board for TrioHealth. J. J. E. reports ad hoc consultancies to Merck, Gilead Sciences, ViiV Healthcare, and Janssen and contracts to his institution for clinical research, for which he receives support from Gilead Sciences, ViiV Healthcare, and Janssen. All other authors report no potential conflicts. All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider relevant to the content of the manuscript have been disclosed., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)
- Published
- 2022
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