1. Converging or Crossing Curves: Untie the Gordian Knot or Cut it? Appropriate Statistics for Non-Proportional Hazards in Decitabine DACO-016 Study (AML).
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Tomeczkowski, Jörg, Lange, Ansgar, Güntert, Andreas, Thilakarathne, Pushpike, Diels, Joris, Xiu, Liang, Porre, Peter, Tapprich, Christoph, Tomeczkowski, Jörg, Güntert, Andreas, and De Porre, Peter
- Subjects
ANTINEOPLASTIC agents ,THERAPEUTIC use of antimetabolites ,COMPARATIVE studies ,RESEARCH methodology ,MEDICAL cooperation ,RESEARCH ,STATISTICS ,SURVIVAL ,EVALUATION research ,RANDOMIZED controlled trials ,ACUTE myeloid leukemia ,PROPORTIONAL hazards models ,AZACITIDINE ,THERAPEUTICS - Abstract
Introduction: Among patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML), the DACO-016 randomized study showed reduction in mortality for decitabine [Dacogen(®) (DAC), Eisai Inc., Woodcliff Lake, NJ, USA] compared with treatment choice (TC): at primary analysis the hazard ratio (HR) was 0.85 (95% confidence interval 0.69-1.04; stratified log-rank P = 0.108). With two interim analyses, two-sided alpha was adjusted to 0.0462. With 1-year additional follow-up the HR reached 0.82 (nominal P = 0.0373). These data resulted in approval of DAC in the European Union, though not in the United States. Though pre-specified, the log-rank test could be considered not optimal to assess the observed survival difference because of the non-proportional hazard nature of the survival curves.Methods: We applied the Wilcoxon test as a sensitivity analysis. Patients were randomized to DAC (N = 242) or TC (N = 243). One-hundred and eight (44.4%) patients in the TC arm and 91 (37.6%) patients in the DAC arm selectively crossed over to subsequent disease modifying therapies at progression, which might impact the survival beyond the median with resultant converging curves (and disproportional hazards).Results: The stratified Wilcoxon test showed a significant improvement in median (CI 95%) overall survival with DAC [7.7 (6.2; 9.2) months] versus TC [5.0 (4.3; 6.3) months; P = 0.0458].Conclusion: Wilcoxon test indicated significant increase in survival for DAC versus TC compared to log-rank test.Funding: Janssen-Cilag GmbH. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2015
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