1. Retirements, Retentions, and the Balance of Partisan Power in Contemporary Congressional Politics.
- Author
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U-Jin Ang, Adrian and Overby, L. Marvin
- Subjects
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PARTISANSHIP , *LEGISLATION , *DEMOCRATS (United States) - Abstract
In this paper we examine the effect of career dynamics on the partisan composition of the contemporary House of Representatives (1954-2004). Extending earlier work by Gilmour and Rothstein (1993, 1996), we focus particularly on the effects of disparate retirement rates on the balance of partisan power in the chamber. Contrary to expectations, we find that even after their takeover of the House in 1995, Republican MCs have continued to retire at higher rates than their Democratic counterparts and that, ceteris paribus, this has significantly attenuated the size of their legislative majority. On the other hand, in recent years the GOP has dampened the impact of their continuing retirement problems by surpassing the Democrats in their ability to re-elect incumbents and to retain open seats. We conclude the paper with some speculations regarding what these findings imply about the nature of the two parties, the reasons for the relatively high rates of Republican retirements, and the balance of partisan power in the Congress. ..PAT.-Unpublished Manuscript [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006