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51. Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5–11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021–March 2022: a multi-model study

Author

Borchering, Rebecca K., primary, Mullany, Luke C., additional, Howerton, Emily, additional, Chinazzi, Matteo, additional, Smith, Claire P., additional, Qin, Michelle, additional, Reich, Nicholas G., additional, Contamin, Lucie, additional, Levander, John, additional, Kerr, Jessica, additional, Espino, J., additional, Hochheiser, Harry, additional, Lovett, Kaitlin, additional, Kinsey, Matt, additional, Tallaksen, Kate, additional, Wilson, Shelby, additional, Shin, Lauren, additional, Lemaitre, Joseph C., additional, Hulse, Juan Dent, additional, Kaminsky, Joshua, additional, Lee, Elizabeth C., additional, Hill, Alison L., additional, Davis, Jessica T., additional, Mu, Kunpeng, additional, Xiong, Xinyue, additional, Pastore y Piontti, Ana, additional, Vespignani, Alessandro, additional, Srivastava, Ajitesh, additional, Porebski, Przemyslaw, additional, Venkatramanan, Srini, additional, Adiga, Aniruddha, additional, Lewis, Bryan, additional, Klahn, Brian, additional, Outten, Joseph, additional, Hurt, Benjamin, additional, Chen, Jiangzhuo, additional, Mortveit, Henning, additional, Wilson, Amanda, additional, Marathe, Madhav, additional, Hoops, Stefan, additional, Bhattacharya, Parantapa, additional, Machi, Dustin, additional, Chen, Shi, additional, Paul, Rajib, additional, Janies, Daniel, additional, Thill, Jean-Claude, additional, Galanti, Marta, additional, Yamana, Teresa, additional, Pei, Sen, additional, Shaman, Jeffrey, additional, España, Guido, additional, Cavany, Sean, additional, Moore, Sean, additional, Perkins, Alex, additional, Healy, Jessica M., additional, Slayton, Rachel B., additional, Johansson, Michael A., additional, Biggerstaff, Matthew, additional, Shea, Katriona, additional, Truelove, Shaun A., additional, Runge, Michael C., additional, Viboud, Cécile, additional, and Lessler, Justin, additional

Published
2023
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52. Incidence of medically attended influenza during pandemic and post-pandemic seasons through the Influenza Incidence Surveillance Project, 2009–13

Author

Fowlkes, Ashley, Steffens, Andrea, Temte, Jon, Lonardo, Steve Di, McHugh, Lisa, Martin, Karen, Rubino, Heather, Feist, Michelle, Davis, Carol, Selzer, Christine, Lojo, Jose, Oni, Oluwakemi, Kurkjian, Katie, Thomas, Ann, Boulton, Rachelle, Bryan, Nicole, Lynfield, Ruth, Biggerstaff, Matthew, and Finelli, Lyn

Published
2015
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53. Investigation of an Outbreak of Variant Influenza A(H3N2) Virus Infection Associated With an Agricultural Fair—Ohio, August 2012

Author

Greenbaum, Adena, Quinn, Celia, Bailer, Jennifer, Su, Su, Havers, Fiona, Durand, Lizette O., Jiang, Victoria, Page, Shannon, Budd, Jeremy, Shaw, Michael, Biggerstaff, Matthew, de Fijter, Sietske, Smith, Kathleen, Reed, Carrie, Epperson, Scott, Brammer, Lynnette, Feltz, Dave, Sohner, Kevin, Ford, Jared, Jain, Seema, Gargiullo, Paul, Weiss, Edward, Burg, Pat, DiOrio, Mary, Fowler, Brian, Finelli, Lyn, and Jhung, Michael A.

Published
2015

57. Lessons Learned from CDC’s Global COVID-19 Early Warning and Response Surveillance System

Author

Ricks, Philip M., primary, Njie, Gibril J., additional, Dawood, Fatimah S., additional, Blain, Amy E., additional, Winstead, Alison, additional, Popoola, Adebola, additional, Jones, Cynthia, additional, Li, Chaoyang, additional, Fuller, James, additional, Anantharam, Puneet, additional, Olson, Natalie, additional, Walker, Allison Taylor, additional, Biggerstaff, Matthew, additional, Marston, Barbara J., additional, Arthur, Ray R., additional, Bennett, Sarah D., additional, and Moolenaar, Ronald L., additional

Published
2022
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59. Accounting for assay performance when estimating the temporal dynamics in SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in the U.S

Author

García-Carreras, Bernardo, primary, Hitchings, Matt D. T., additional, Johansson, Michael A., additional, Biggerstaff, Matthew, additional, Slayton, Rachel B., additional, Healy, Jessica M., additional, Lessler, Justin, additional, Quandelacy, Talia, additional, Salje, Henrik, additional, Huang, Angkana T., additional, and Cummings, Derek A. T., additional

Published
2022
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60. Comparing trained and untrained probabilistic ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 cases and deaths in the United States

Author

Ray, Evan L., primary, Brooks, Logan C., additional, Bien, Jacob, additional, Biggerstaff, Matthew, additional, Bosse, Nikos I., additional, Bracher, Johannes, additional, Cramer, Estee Y., additional, Funk, Sebastian, additional, Gerding, Aaron, additional, Johansson, Michael A., additional, Rumack, Aaron, additional, Wang, Yijin, additional, Zorn, Martha, additional, Tibshirani, Ryan J., additional, and Reich, Nicholas G., additional

Published
2022
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61. Outbreak of Variant Influenza A(H3N2) Virus in the United States

Author

Jhung, Michael A., Epperson, Scott, Biggerstaff, Matthew, Allen, Donna, Balish, Amanda, Barnes, Nathelia, Beaudoin, Amanda, Berman, LaShondra, Bidol, Sally, Blanton, Lenee, Blythe, David, Brammer, Lynnette, D'Mello, Tiffany, Danila, Richard, Davis, William, de Fijter, Sietske, DiOrio, Mary, Durand, Lizette O., Emery, Shannon, Fowler, Brian, Garten, Rebecca, Grant, Yoran, Greenbaum, Adena, Gubareva, Larisa, Havers, Fiona, Haupt, Thomas, House, Jennifer, Ibrahim, Sherif, Jiang, Victoria, Jain, Seema, Jernigan, Daniel, Kazmierczak, James, Klimov, Alexander, Lindstrom, Stephen, Longenberger, Allison, Lucas, Paul, Lynfield, Ruth, McMorrow, Meredith, Moll, Maria, Morin, Craig, Ostroff, Stephen, Page, Shannon L., Park, Sarah Y., Peters, Susan, Quinn, Celia, Reed, Carrie, Richards, Shawn, Scheftel, Joni, Simwale, Owen, Shu, Bo, Soyemi, Kenneth, Stauffer, Jill, Steffens, Craig, Su, Su, Torso, Lauren, Uyeki, Timothy M., Vetter, Sara, Villanueva, Julie, Wong, Karen K., Shaw, Michael, Bresee, Joseph S., Cox, Nancy, and Finelli, Lyn

Published
2013
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62. Human Infections With Influenza A(H3N2) Variant Virus in the United States, 2011–2012

Author

Influenza A (H3N2)v Virus Investigation Teama, Epperson, Scott, Jhung, Michael, Richards, Shawn, Quinlisk, Patricia, Ball, Lauren, Moll, Mària, Boulton, Rachelle, Haddy, Loretta, Biggerstaff, Matthew, Brammer, Lynnette, Trock, Susan, Burns, Erin, Gomez, Thomas, Wong, Karen K., Katz, Jackie, Lindstrom, Stephen, Klimov, Alexander, Bresee, Joseph S., Jernigan, Daniel B., Cox, Nancy, and Finelli, Lyn

Published
2013
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66. Genomic Surveillance for SARS-CoV-2 Variants Circulating in the United States, December 2020-May 2021

Author

Paul, Prabasaj, France, Anne Marie, Aoki, Yutaka, Batra, Dhwani, Biggerstaff, Matthew, Dugan, Vivien, Galloway, Summer, Hall, Aron J., Johansson, Michael A., Kondor, Rebecca J., Halpin, Alison Laufer, Lee, Brian, Lee, Justin S., Limbago, Brandi, MacNeil, Adam, MacCannell, Duncan, Paden, Clinton R., Queen, Krista, Reese, Heather E., Retchless, Adam C., Slayton, Rachel B., Steele, Molly, Tong, Suxiang, Walters, Maroya S., Wentworth, David E., and Silk, Benjamin J.

Subjects
United States. Department of Health and Human Services, Disease transmission -- Health aspects, Vaccines -- Health aspects, Health
Abstract

SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, is constantly mutating, leading to new variants (1). Variants have the potential to affect transmission, disease severity, diagnostics, therapeutics, and natural and vaccine-induced immunity. [...]

Published
2021

67. Evaluating Potential Impacts of a Preferential Vaccine Recommendation for Adults 65 Years of Age and Older on US Influenza Burden.

Author

Morris, Sinead E., Grohskopf, Lisa A., Ferdinands, Jill M., Reed, Carrie, and Biggerstaff, Matthew

Abstract

Background: High-dose, adjuvanted, and recombinant influenza vaccines may offer improved effectiveness among older adults compared with standard-dose, unadjuvanted, inactivated vaccines. However, the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) only recently recommended preferential use of these "higher-dose or adjuvanted" vaccines. One concern was that individuals might delay or decline vaccination if a preferred vaccine is not readily available. Methods: We mathematically model how a recommendation for preferential use of higher-dose or adjuvanted vaccines in adults ≥65 years might impact influenza burden in the United States during exemplar "high-" and "low-"severity seasons. We assume higher-dose or adjuvanted vaccines are more effective than standard vaccines and that such a recommendation would increase uptake of the former but could cause (i) delays in administration of additional higher-dose or adjuvanted vaccines relative to standard vaccines and/or (ii) reductions in overall coverage if individuals only offered standard vaccines forego vaccination. Results: In a best-case scenario, assuming no delay or coverage reduction, a new recommendation could decrease hospitalizations and deaths in adults ≥65 years by 0%–4% compared with current uptake. However, intermediate and worst-case scenarios, with assumed delays of 3 or 6 weeks and/or 10% or 20% reductions in coverage, included projections in which hospitalizations and deaths increased by over 7%. Conclusions: We estimate that increased use of higher-dose or adjuvanted vaccines could decrease influenza burden in adults ≥65 in the United States provided there is timely and adequate access to these vaccines, and that standard vaccines are administered when they are unavailable. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2023
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68. Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July—December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination

Author

Truelove, Shaun, primary, Smith, Claire P, primary, Qin, Michelle, additional, Mullany, Luke C, additional, Borchering, Rebecca K, additional, Lessler, Justin, additional, Shea, Katriona, additional, Howerton, Emily, additional, Contamin, Lucie, additional, Levander, John, additional, Kerr, Jessica, additional, Hochheiser, Harry, additional, Kinsey, Matt, additional, Tallaksen, Kate, additional, Wilson, Shelby, additional, Shin, Lauren, additional, Rainwater-Lovett, Kaitlin, additional, Lemairtre, Joseph C, additional, Dent, Juan, additional, Kaminsky, Joshua, additional, Lee, Elizabeth C, additional, Perez-Saez, Javier, additional, Hill, Alison, additional, Karlen, Dean, additional, Chinazzi, Matteo, additional, Davis, Jessica T, additional, Mu, Kunpeng, additional, Xiong, Xinyue, additional, Pastore y Piontti, Ana, additional, Vespignani, Alessandro, additional, Srivastava, Ajitesh, additional, Porebski, Przemyslaw, additional, Venkatramanan, Srinivasan, additional, Adiga, Aniruddha, additional, Lewis, Bryan, additional, Klahn, Brian, additional, Outten, Joseph, additional, Orr, Mark, additional, Harrison, Galen, additional, Hurt, Benjamin, additional, Chen, Jiangzhuo, additional, Vullikanti, Anil, additional, Marathe, Madhav, additional, Hoops, Stefan, additional, Bhattacharya, Parantapa, additional, Machi, Dustin, additional, Chen, Shi, additional, Paul, Rajib, additional, Janies, Daniel, additional, Thill, Jean-Claude, additional, Galanti, Marta, additional, Yamana, Teresa K, additional, Pei, Sen, additional, Shaman, Jeffrey L, additional, Healy, Jessica M, additional, Slayton, Rachel B, additional, Biggerstaff, Matthew, additional, Johansson, Michael A, additional, Runge, Michael C, additional, and Viboud, Cecile, additional

Published
2022
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69. Collaborative Hubs: Making the Most of Predictive Epidemic Modeling

Author

Reich, Nicholas G., primary, Lessler, Justin, additional, Funk, Sebastian, additional, Viboud, Cecile, additional, Vespignani, Alessandro, additional, Tibshirani, Ryan J., additional, Shea, Katriona, additional, Schienle, Melanie, additional, Runge, Michael C., additional, Rosenfeld, Roni, additional, Ray, Evan L., additional, Niehus, Rene, additional, Johnson, Helen C., additional, Johansson, Michael A., additional, Hochheiser, Harry, additional, Gardner, Lauren, additional, Bracher, Johannes, additional, Borchering, Rebecca K., additional, and Biggerstaff, Matthew, additional

Published
2022
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70. Author response: Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July—December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination

Author

Truelove, Shaun, primary, Smith, Claire P, primary, Qin, Michelle, additional, Mullany, Luke C, additional, Borchering, Rebecca K, additional, Lessler, Justin, additional, Shea, Katriona, additional, Howerton, Emily, additional, Contamin, Lucie, additional, Levander, John, additional, Kerr, Jessica, additional, Hochheiser, Harry, additional, Kinsey, Matt, additional, Tallaksen, Kate, additional, Wilson, Shelby, additional, Shin, Lauren, additional, Rainwater-Lovett, Kaitlin, additional, Lemairtre, Joseph C, additional, Dent, Juan, additional, Kaminsky, Joshua, additional, Lee, Elizabeth C, additional, Perez-Saez, Javier, additional, Hill, Alison, additional, Karlen, Dean, additional, Chinazzi, Matteo, additional, Davis, Jessica T, additional, Mu, Kunpeng, additional, Xiong, Xinyue, additional, Pastore y Piontti, Ana, additional, Vespignani, Alessandro, additional, Srivastava, Ajitesh, additional, Porebski, Przemyslaw, additional, Venkatramanan, Srinivasan, additional, Adiga, Aniruddha, additional, Lewis, Bryan, additional, Klahn, Brian, additional, Outten, Joseph, additional, Orr, Mark, additional, Harrison, Galen, additional, Hurt, Benjamin, additional, Chen, Jiangzhuo, additional, Vullikanti, Anil, additional, Marathe, Madhav, additional, Hoops, Stefan, additional, Bhattacharya, Parantapa, additional, Machi, Dustin, additional, Chen, Shi, additional, Paul, Rajib, additional, Janies, Daniel, additional, Thill, Jean-Claude, additional, Galanti, Marta, additional, Yamana, Teresa K, additional, Pei, Sen, additional, Shaman, Jeffrey L, additional, Healy, Jessica M, additional, Slayton, Rachel B, additional, Biggerstaff, Matthew, additional, Johansson, Michael A, additional, Runge, Michael C, additional, and Viboud, Cecile, additional

Published
2022
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71. Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States

Author

Cramer, Estee Y., primary, Ray, Evan L., additional, Lopez, Velma K., additional, Bracher, Johannes, additional, Brennen, Andrea, additional, Castro Rivadeneira, Alvaro J., additional, Gerding, Aaron, additional, Gneiting, Tilmann, additional, House, Katie H., additional, Huang, Yuxin, additional, Jayawardena, Dasuni, additional, Kanji, Abdul H., additional, Khandelwal, Ayush, additional, Le, Khoa, additional, Mühlemann, Anja, additional, Niemi, Jarad, additional, Shah, Apurv, additional, Stark, Ariane, additional, Wang, Yijin, additional, Wattanachit, Nutcha, additional, Zorn, Martha W., additional, Gu, Youyang, additional, Jain, Sansiddh, additional, Bannur, Nayana, additional, Deva, Ayush, additional, Kulkarni, Mihir, additional, Merugu, Srujana, additional, Raval, Alpan, additional, Shingi, Siddhant, additional, Tiwari, Avtansh, additional, White, Jerome, additional, Abernethy, Neil F., additional, Woody, Spencer, additional, Dahan, Maytal, additional, Fox, Spencer, additional, Gaither, Kelly, additional, Lachmann, Michael, additional, Meyers, Lauren Ancel, additional, Scott, James G., additional, Tec, Mauricio, additional, Srivastava, Ajitesh, additional, George, Glover E., additional, Cegan, Jeffrey C., additional, Dettwiller, Ian D., additional, England, William P., additional, Farthing, Matthew W., additional, Hunter, Robert H., additional, Lafferty, Brandon, additional, Linkov, Igor, additional, Mayo, Michael L., additional, Parno, Matthew D., additional, Rowland, Michael A., additional, Trump, Benjamin D., additional, Zhang-James, Yanli, additional, Chen, Samuel, additional, Faraone, Stephen V., additional, Hess, Jonathan, additional, Morley, Christopher P., additional, Salekin, Asif, additional, Wang, Dongliang, additional, Corsetti, Sabrina M., additional, Baer, Thomas M., additional, Eisenberg, Marisa C., additional, Falb, Karl, additional, Huang, Yitao, additional, Martin, Emily T., additional, McCauley, Ella, additional, Myers, Robert L., additional, Schwarz, Tom, additional, Sheldon, Daniel, additional, Gibson, Graham Casey, additional, Yu, Rose, additional, Gao, Liyao, additional, Ma, Yian, additional, Wu, Dongxia, additional, Yan, Xifeng, additional, Jin, Xiaoyong, additional, Wang, Yu-Xiang, additional, Chen, YangQuan, additional, Guo, Lihong, additional, Zhao, Yanting, additional, Gu, Quanquan, additional, Chen, Jinghui, additional, Wang, Lingxiao, additional, Xu, Pan, additional, Zhang, Weitong, additional, Zou, Difan, additional, Biegel, Hannah, additional, Lega, Joceline, additional, McConnell, Steve, additional, Nagraj, V. P., additional, Guertin, Stephanie L., additional, Hulme-Lowe, Christopher, additional, Turner, Stephen D., additional, Shi, Yunfeng, additional, Ban, Xuegang, additional, Walraven, Robert, additional, Hong, Qi-Jun, additional, Kong, Stanley, additional, van de Walle, Axel, additional, Turtle, James A., additional, Ben-Nun, Michal, additional, Riley, Steven, additional, Riley, Pete, additional, Koyluoglu, Ugur, additional, DesRoches, David, additional, Forli, Pedro, additional, Hamory, Bruce, additional, Kyriakides, Christina, additional, Leis, Helen, additional, Milliken, John, additional, Moloney, Michael, additional, Morgan, James, additional, Nirgudkar, Ninad, additional, Ozcan, Gokce, additional, Piwonka, Noah, additional, Ravi, Matt, additional, Schrader, Chris, additional, Shakhnovich, Elizabeth, additional, Siegel, Daniel, additional, Spatz, Ryan, additional, Stiefeling, Chris, additional, Wilkinson, Barrie, additional, Wong, Alexander, additional, Cavany, Sean, additional, España, Guido, additional, Moore, Sean, additional, Oidtman, Rachel, additional, Perkins, Alex, additional, Kraus, David, additional, Kraus, Andrea, additional, Gao, Zhifeng, additional, Bian, Jiang, additional, Cao, Wei, additional, Lavista Ferres, Juan, additional, Li, Chaozhuo, additional, Liu, Tie-Yan, additional, Xie, Xing, additional, Zhang, Shun, additional, Zheng, Shun, additional, Vespignani, Alessandro, additional, Chinazzi, Matteo, additional, Davis, Jessica T., additional, Mu, Kunpeng, additional, Pastore y Piontti, Ana, additional, Xiong, Xinyue, additional, Zheng, Andrew, additional, Baek, Jackie, additional, Farias, Vivek, additional, Georgescu, Andreea, additional, Levi, Retsef, additional, Sinha, Deeksha, additional, Wilde, Joshua, additional, Perakis, Georgia, additional, Bennouna, Mohammed Amine, additional, Nze-Ndong, David, additional, Singhvi, Divya, additional, Spantidakis, Ioannis, additional, Thayaparan, Leann, additional, Tsiourvas, Asterios, additional, Sarker, Arnab, additional, Jadbabaie, Ali, additional, Shah, Devavrat, additional, Della Penna, Nicolas, additional, Celi, Leo A., additional, Sundar, Saketh, additional, Wolfinger, Russ, additional, Osthus, Dave, additional, Castro, Lauren, additional, Fairchild, Geoffrey, additional, Michaud, Isaac, additional, Karlen, Dean, additional, Kinsey, Matt, additional, Mullany, Luke C., additional, Rainwater-Lovett, Kaitlin, additional, Shin, Lauren, additional, Tallaksen, Katharine, additional, Wilson, Shelby, additional, Lee, Elizabeth C., additional, Dent, Juan, additional, Grantz, Kyra H., additional, Hill, Alison L., additional, Kaminsky, Joshua, additional, Kaminsky, Kathryn, additional, Keegan, Lindsay T., additional, Lauer, Stephen A., additional, Lemaitre, Joseph C., additional, Lessler, Justin, additional, Meredith, Hannah R., additional, Perez-Saez, Javier, additional, Shah, Sam, additional, Smith, Claire P., additional, Truelove, Shaun A., additional, Wills, Josh, additional, Marshall, Maximilian, additional, Gardner, Lauren, additional, Nixon, Kristen, additional, Burant, John C., additional, Wang, Lily, additional, Gao, Lei, additional, Gu, Zhiling, additional, Kim, Myungjin, additional, Li, Xinyi, additional, Wang, Guannan, additional, Wang, Yueying, additional, Yu, Shan, additional, Reiner, Robert C., additional, Barber, Ryan, additional, Gakidou, Emmanuela, additional, Hay, Simon I., additional, Lim, Steve, additional, Murray, Chris, additional, Pigott, David, additional, Gurung, Heidi L., additional, Baccam, Prasith, additional, Stage, Steven A., additional, Suchoski, Bradley T., additional, Prakash, B. Aditya, additional, Adhikari, Bijaya, additional, Cui, Jiaming, additional, Rodríguez, Alexander, additional, Tabassum, Anika, additional, Xie, Jiajia, additional, Keskinocak, Pinar, additional, Asplund, John, additional, Baxter, Arden, additional, Oruc, Buse Eylul, additional, Serban, Nicoleta, additional, Arik, Sercan O., additional, Dusenberry, Mike, additional, Epshteyn, Arkady, additional, Kanal, Elli, additional, Le, Long T., additional, Li, Chun-Liang, additional, Pfister, Tomas, additional, Sava, Dario, additional, Sinha, Rajarishi, additional, Tsai, Thomas, additional, Yoder, Nate, additional, Yoon, Jinsung, additional, Zhang, Leyou, additional, Abbott, Sam, additional, Bosse, Nikos I., additional, Funk, Sebastian, additional, Hellewell, Joel, additional, Meakin, Sophie R., additional, Sherratt, Katharine, additional, Zhou, Mingyuan, additional, Kalantari, Rahi, additional, Yamana, Teresa K., additional, Pei, Sen, additional, Shaman, Jeffrey, additional, Li, Michael L., additional, Bertsimas, Dimitris, additional, Skali Lami, Omar, additional, Soni, Saksham, additional, Tazi Bouardi, Hamza, additional, Ayer, Turgay, additional, Adee, Madeline, additional, Chhatwal, Jagpreet, additional, Dalgic, Ozden O., additional, Ladd, Mary A., additional, Linas, Benjamin P., additional, Mueller, Peter, additional, Xiao, Jade, additional, Wang, Yuanjia, additional, Wang, Qinxia, additional, Xie, Shanghong, additional, Zeng, Donglin, additional, Green, Alden, additional, Bien, Jacob, additional, Brooks, Logan, additional, Hu, Addison J., additional, Jahja, Maria, additional, McDonald, Daniel, additional, Narasimhan, Balasubramanian, additional, Politsch, Collin, additional, Rajanala, Samyak, additional, Rumack, Aaron, additional, Simon, Noah, additional, Tibshirani, Ryan J., additional, Tibshirani, Rob, additional, Ventura, Valerie, additional, Wasserman, Larry, additional, O’Dea, Eamon B., additional, Drake, John M., additional, Pagano, Robert, additional, Tran, Quoc T., additional, Ho, Lam Si Tung, additional, Huynh, Huong, additional, Walker, Jo W., additional, Slayton, Rachel B., additional, Johansson, Michael A., additional, Biggerstaff, Matthew, additional, and Reich, Nicholas G., additional

Published
2022
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72. Epidemiology of 2009 Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) Deaths in the United States, April—July 2009

Author

Fowlkes, Ashley L., Arguin, Paul, Biggerstaff, Matthew S., Gindler, Jacqueline, Blau, Dianna, Jain, Seema, Dhara, Roseline, McLaughlin, Joe, Turnipseed, Elizabeth, Meyer, John J., Louie, Janice K., Siniscalchi, Alan, Hamilton, Janet J., Reeves, Ariane, Park, Sarah Y., Richter, Deborah, Ritchey, Matthew D., Cocoros, Noelle M., Blythe, David, Peters, Susan, Lynfield, Ruth, Peterson, Lesha, Anderson, Jannifer, Moore, Zack, Williams, Robin, McHugh, Lisa, Cruz, Carmen, Waters, Christine L., Page, Shannon L., McDonald, Christie K., Vandermeer, Meredith, Waller, Kirsten, Bandy, Utpala, Jones, Timothy F., Bullion, Lesley, Vernon, Valoree, Lofy, Kathryn H., Haupt, Thomas, and Finelli, Lyn

Published
2011
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76. Estimating the Burden of 2009 Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) in the United States (April 2009-April 2010)

Author

Shrestha, Sundar S., Swerdlow, David L., Borse, Rebekah H., Prabhu, Vimalanand S., Finelli, Lyn, Atkins, Charisma Y., Owusu-Edusei, Kwame, Bell, Beth, Mead, Paul S., Biggerstaff, Matthew, Brammer, Lynnette, Davidson, Heidi, Jernigan, Daniel, Jhung, Michael A., Kamimoto, Laurie A., Merlin, Toby L., Nowell, Mackenzie, Redd, Stephen C., Reed, Carrie, Schuchat, Anne, and Meltzer, Martin I.

Published
2011
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77. The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset

Author

US COVID-19 Forecast Hub Consortium, Cramer, Estee Y., Huang, Yuxin, Wang, Yijin, Ray, Evan L., Cornell, Matthew, Bracher, Johannes, Brennen, Andrea, Rivadeneira, Alvaro J. Castro, Gerding, Aaron, House, Katie, Jayawardena, Dasuni, Kanji, Abdul Hannan, Khandelwal, Ayush, Le, Khoa, Mody, Vidhi, Mody, Vrushti, Niemi, Jarad, Stark, Ariane, Shah, Apurv, Wattanchit, Nutcha, Zorn, Martha W., Reich, Nicholas G., Gneiting, Tilmann, Mühlemann, Anja, Gu, Youyang, Chen, Yixian, Chintanippu, Krishna, Jivane, Viresh, Khurana, Ankita, Kumar, Ajay, Lakhani, Anshul, Mehrotra, Prakhar, Pasumarty, Sujitha, Shrivastav, Monika, You, Jialu, Bannur, Nayana, Deva, Ayush, Jain, Sansiddh, Kulkarni, Mihir, Merugu, Srujana, Raval, Alpan, Shingi, Siddhant, Tiwari, Avtansh, White, Jerome, Adiga, Aniruddha, Hurt, Benjamin, Lewis, Bryan, Marathe, Madhav, Peddireddy, Akhil Sai, Porebski, Przemyslaw, Venkatramanan, Srinivasan, Wang, Lijing, Dahan, Maytal, Fox, Spencer, Gaither, Kelly, Lachmann, Michael, Meyers, Lauren Ancel, Scott, James G., Tec, Mauricio, Woody, Spencer, Srivastava, Ajitesh, Xu, Tianjian, Cegan, Jeffrey C., Dettwiller, Ian D., England, William P., Farthing, Matthew W., George, Glover E., Hunter, Robert H., Lafferty, Brandon, Linkov, Igor, Mayo, Michael L., Parno, Matthew D., Rowland, Michael A., Trump, Benjamin D., Chen, Samuel, Faraone, Stephen V., Hess, Jonathan, Morley, Christopher P., Salekin, Asif, Wang, Dongliang, Zhang-James, Yanli, Baer, Thomas M., Corsetti, Sabrina M., Eisenberg, Marisa C., Falb, Karl, Huang, Yitao, Martin, Emily T., McCauley, Ella, Myers, Robert L., Schwarz, Tom, Gibson, Graham Casey, Sheldon, Daniel, Gao, Liyao, Ma, Yian, Wu, Dongxia, Yu, Rose, Jin, Xiaoyong, Wang, Yu-Xiang, Yan, Xifeng, Chen, YangQuan, Guo, Lihong, Zhao, Yanting, Chen, Jinghui, Gu, Quanquan, Wang, Lingxiao, Xu, Pan, Zhang, Weitong, Zou, Difan, Chattopadhyay, Ishanu, Huang, Yi, Lu, Guoqing, Pfeiffer, Ruth, Sumner, Timothy, Wang, Dongdong, Wang, Liqiang, Zhang, Shunpu, Zou, Zihang, Biegel, Hannah, Lega, Joceline, Hussain, Fazle, Khan, Zeina, Van Bussel, Frank, McConnell, Steve, Guertin, Stephanie L., Hulme-Lowe, Christopher, Nagraj, V. P., Turner, Stephen D., Bejar, Benjamín, Choirat, Christine, Flahault, Antoine, Krymova, Ekaterina, Lee, Gavin, Manetti, Elisa, Namigai, Kristen, Obozinski, Guillaume, Sun, Tao, Thanou, Dorina, Ban, Xuegang, Shi, Yunfeng, Walraven, Robert, Hong, Qi-Jun, Van De Walle, Axel, Ben-Nun, Michal, Riley, Steven, Riley, Pete, Turtle, James, Cao, Duy, Galasso, Joseph, Cho, Jae H., Jo, Areum, DesRoches, David, Forli, Pedro, Hamory, Bruce, Koyluoglu, Ugur, Kyriakides, Christina, Leis, Helen, Milliken, John, Moloney, Michael, Morgan, James, Nirgudkar, Ninad, Ozcan, Gokce, Piwonka, Noah, Ravi, Matt, Schrader, Chris, Shakhnovich, Elizabeth, Siegel, Daniel, Spatz, Ryan, Stiefeling, Chris, Wilkinson, Barrie, Wong, Alexander, Cavany, Sean, España, Guido, Moore, Sean, Oidtman, Rachel, Perkins, Alex, Ivy, Julie S., Mayorga, Maria E., Mele, Jessica, Rosenstrom, Erik T., Swann, Julie L., Kraus, Andrea, Kraus, David, Bian, Jiang, Cao, Wei, Gao, Zhifeng, Ferres, Juan Lavista, Li, Chaozhuo, Liu, Tie-Yan, Xie, Xing, Zhang, Shun, Zheng, Shun, Chinazzi, Matteo, Vespignani, Alessandro, Xiong, Xinyue, Davis, Jessica T., Mu, Kunpeng, Piontti, Ana Pastore Y, Baek, Jackie, Farias, Vivek, Georgescu, Andreea, Levi, Retsef, Sinha, Deeksha, Wilde, Joshua, Zheng, Andrew, Lami, Omar Skali, Bennouna, Amine, Ndong, David Nze, Perakis, Georgia, Singhvi, Divya, Spantidakis, Ioannis, Thayaparan, Leann, Tsiourvas, Asterios, Weisberg, Shane, Jadbabaie, Ali, Sarker, Arnab, Shah, Devavrat, Celi, Leo A., Penna, Nicolas D., Sundar, Saketh, Berlin, Abraham, Gandhi, Parth D., McAndrew, Thomas, Piriya, Matthew, Chen, Ye, Hlavacek, William, Lin, Yen Ting, Mallela, Abhishek, Miller, Ely, Neumann, Jacob, Posner, Richard, Wolfinger, Russ, Castro, Lauren, Fairchild, Geoffrey, Michaud, Isaac, Osthus, Dave, Wolffram, Daniel, Karlen, Dean, Panaggio, Mark J., Kinsey, Matt, Mullany, Luke C., Rainwater-Lovett, Kaitlin, Shin, Lauren, Tallaksen, Katharine, Wilson, Shelby, Brenner, Michael, Coram, Marc, Edwards, Jessie K., Joshi, Keya, Klein, Ellen, Hulse, Juan Dent, Grantz, Kyra H., Hill, Alison L., Kaminsky, Kathryn, Kaminsky, Joshua, Keegan, Lindsay T., Lauer, Stephen A., Lee, Elizabeth C., Lemaitre, Joseph C., Lessler, Justin, Meredith, Hannah R., Perez-Saez, Javier, Shah, Sam, Smith, Claire P., Truelove, Shaun A., Wills, Josh, Gardner, Lauren, Marshall, Maximilian, Nixon, Kristen, Burant, John C., Budzinski, Jozef, Chiang, Wen-Hao, Mohler, George, Gao, Junyi, Glass, Lucas, Qian, Cheng, Romberg, Justin, Sharma, Rakshith, Spaeder, Jeffrey, Sun, Jimeng, Xiao, Cao, Gao, Lei, Gu, Zhiling, Kim, Myungjin, Li, Xinyi, Wang, Yueying, Wang, Guannan, Wang, Lily, Yu, Shan, Jain, Chaman, Bhatia, Sangeeta, Nouvellet, Pierre, Barber, Ryan, Gaikedu, Emmanuela, Hay, Simon, Lim, Steve, Murray, Chris, Pigott, David, Reiner, Robert C., Baccam, Prasith, Gurung, Heidi L., Stage, Steven A., Suchoski, Bradley T., Fong, Chung-Yan, Yeung, Dit-Yan, Adhikari, Bijaya, Cui, Jiaming, Prakash, B. Aditya, Rodríguez, Alexander, Tabassum, Anika, Xie, Jiajia, Asplund, John, Baxter, Arden, Keskinocak, Pinar, Oruc, Buse Eylul, Serban, Nicoleta, Arik, Sercan O., Dusenberry, Mike, Epshteyn, Arkady, Kanal, Elli, Le, Long T., Li, Chun-Liang, Pfister, Tomas, Sinha, Rajarishi, Tsai, Thomas, Yoder, Nate, Yoon, Jinsung, Zhang, Leyou, Wilson, Daniel, Belov, Artur A., Chow, Carson C., Gerkin, Richard C., Yogurtcu, Osman N., Ibrahim, Mark, Lacroix, Timothee, Le, Matthew, Liao, Jason, Nickel, Maximilian, Sagun, Levent, Abbott, Sam, Bosse, Nikos I., Funk, Sebastian, Hellewell, Joel, Meakin, Sophie R., Sherratt, Katharine, Kalantari, Rahi, Zhou, Mingyuan, Karimzadeh, Morteza, Lucas, Benjamin, Ngo, Thoai, Zoraghein, Hamidreza, Vahedi, Behzad, Wang, Zhongying, Pei, Sen, Shaman, Jeffrey, Yamana, Teresa K., Bertsimas, Dimitris, Li, Michael L., Soni, Saksham, Bouardi, Hamza Tazi, Adee, Madeline, Ayer, Turgay, Chhatwal, Jagpreet, Dalgic, Ozden O., Ladd, Mary A., Linas, Benjamin P., Mueller, Peter, Xiao, Jade, Bosch, Jurgen, Wilson, Austin, Zimmerman, Peter, Wang, Qinxia, Wang, Yuanjia, Xie, Shanghong, Zeng, Donglin, Bien, Jacob, Brooks, Logan, Green, Alden, Hu, Addison J., Jahja, Maria, McDonald, Daniel, Narasimhan, Balasubramanian, Politsch, Collin, Rajanala, Samyak, Rumack, Aaron, Simon, Noah, Tibshirani, Ryan J., Tibshirani, Rob, Ventura, Valerie, Wasserman, Larry, Drake, John M., O’Dea, Eamon B., Abu-Mostafa, Yaser, Bathwal, Rahil, Chang, Nicholas A., Chitta, Pavan, Erickson, Anne, Goel, Sumit, Gowda, Jethin, Jin, Qixuan, Jo, HyeongChan, Kim, Juhyun, Kulkarni, Pranav, Lushtak, Samuel M., Mann, Ethan, Popken, Max, Soohoo, Connor, Tirumala, Kushal, Tseng, Albert, Varadarajan, Vignesh, Vytheeswaran, Jagath, Wang, Christopher, Yeluri, Akshay, Yurk, Dominic, Zhang, Michael, Zlokapa, Alexander, Pagano, Robert, Jain, Chandini, Tomar, Vishal, Ho, Lam, Huynh, Huong, Tran, Quoc, Lopez, Velma K., Walker, Jo W., Slayton, Rachel B., Johansson, Michael A., and Biggerstaff, Matthew

Subjects
ddc:510, Mathematics
Abstract

Academic researchers, government agencies, industry groups, and individuals have produced forecasts at an unprecedented scale during the COVID-19 pandemic. To leverage these forecasts, the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) partnered with an academic research lab at the University of Massachusetts Amherst to create the US COVID-19 Forecast Hub. Launched in April 2020, the Forecast Hub is a dataset with point and probabilistic forecasts of incident cases, incident hospitalizations, incident deaths, and cumulative deaths due to COVID-19 at county, state, and national, levels in the United States. Included forecasts represent a variety of modeling approaches, data sources, and assumptions regarding the spread of COVID-19. The goal of this dataset is to establish a standardized and comparable set of short-term forecasts from modeling teams. These data can be used to develop ensemble models, communicate forecasts to the public, create visualizations, compare models, and inform policies regarding COVID-19 mitigation. These open-source data are available via download from GitHub, through an online API, and through R packages.

Published
2022

78. Emergence of SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 Lineage--United States, December 29, 2020-January 12, 2021

Author

Galloway, Summer E., Paul, Prabasaj, MacCannell, Duncan R., Johansson, Michael A., Brooks, John T., MacNeil, Adam, Slayton, Rachel B., Tong, Suxiang, Silk, Benjamin J., Armstrong, Gregory L., Biggerstaff, Matthew, and Dugan, Vivien G.

Subjects
Health
Abstract

On January 15, 2021, this report was posted as an MMWR Early Release on the MMWR website (https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr). On December 14, 2020, the United Kingdom reported a SARS-CoV-2 variant of [...]

Published
2021

82. A comparative effectiveness of self-collected, ambient temperature-preserved nasal swabs with sample collection by trained staff for genotyping of respiratory viruses by shotgun RNA sequencing (Preprint)

Author

Soto, Raymond A, primary, Paul, Litty, additional, Porucznik, Christina A, additional, Xie, Heng, additional, Stinnett, Rita C, additional, Briggs, Ben, additional, Biggerstaff, Matthew, additional, Stanford, Joseph B, additional, and Schlaberg, Robert, additional

Published
2022
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83. Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5-11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021-March 2022: a multi-model study

Author

Borchering, Rebecca K., primary, Mullany, Luke C., additional, Howerton, Emily, additional, Chinazzi, Matteo, additional, Smith, Claire P., additional, Qin, Michelle, additional, Reich, Nicholas G., additional, Contamin, Lucie, additional, Levander, John, additional, Kerr, Jessica, additional, Espino, J, additional, Hochheiser, Harry, additional, Lovett, Kaitlin, additional, Kinsey, Matt, additional, Tallaksen, Kate, additional, Wilson, Shelby, additional, Shin, Lauren, additional, Lemaitre, Joseph C., additional, Hulse, Juan Dent, additional, Kaminsky, Joshua, additional, Lee, Elizabeth C., additional, Davis, Jessica T., additional, Mu, Kunpeng, additional, Xiong, Xinyue, additional, Piontti, Ana Pastore y, additional, Vespignani, Alessandro, additional, Srivastava, Ajitesh, additional, Porebski, Przemyslaw, additional, Venkatramanan, Srini, additional, Adiga, Aniruddha, additional, Lewis, Bryan, additional, Klahn, Brian, additional, Outten, Joseph, additional, Hurt, Benjamin, additional, Chen, Jiangzhuo, additional, Mortveit, Henning, additional, Wilson, Amanda, additional, Marathe, Madhav, additional, Hoops, Stefan, additional, Bhattacharya, Parantapa, additional, Machi, Dustin, additional, Chen, Shi, additional, Paul, Rajib, additional, Janies, Daniel, additional, Thill, Jean-Claude, additional, Galanti, Marta, additional, Yamana, Teresa, additional, Pei, Sen, additional, Shaman, Jeffrey, additional, Espana, Guido, additional, Cavany, Sean, additional, Moore, Sean, additional, Perkins, Alex, additional, Healy, Jessica M., additional, Slayton, Rachel B., additional, Johansson, Michael A., additional, Biggerstaff, Matthew, additional, Shea, Katriona, additional, Truelove, Shaun A., additional, Runge, Michael C., additional, Viboud, Cécile, additional, and Lessler, Justin, additional

Published
2022
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85. H1N1 2009 influenza virus infection during pregnancy in the USA

Author

Jamieson, Denise J, Honein, Margaret A, Rasmussen, Sonja A, Williams, Jennifer L, Swerdlow, David L, Biggerstaff, Matthew S, Lindstrom, Stephen, Louie, Janice K, Christ, Cara M, Bohm, Susan R, Fonseca, Vincent P, Ritger, Kathleen A, Kuhles, Daniel J, Eggers, Paula, Bruce, Hollianne, Davidson, Heidi A, Lutterloh, Emily, Harris, Meghan L, Burke, Colleen, Cocoros, Noelle, Finelli, Lyn, MacFarlane, Kitty F, Shu, Bo, and Olsen, Sonja J

Published
2009
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86. Novel framework for assessing epidemiologic effects of influenza Epidemics and Pandemics

Author

Reed, Carrie, Biggerstaff, Matthew, Finelli, Lyn, Koonin, Lisa M., Beauvais, Denise, Uzicanin, Amra, Plummer, Andrew, Bresee, Joe, Redd, Stephen C., and Jernigan, Daniel B.

Subjects
Influenza -- Research, Disease transmission -- Research, Epidemiology -- Research, Health
Abstract

Pandemic influenza results from the emergence of a new influenza A virus to which the population possesses little or no immunity (1). Past pandemic influenza viruses have spread rapidly worldwide, [...]

Published
2013
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87. Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July—December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination

Author

Truelove, Shaun, primary, Smith, Claire P., additional, Qin, Michelle, additional, Mullany, Luke C., additional, Borchering, Rebecca K., additional, Lessler, Justin, additional, Shea, Katriona, additional, Howerton, Emily, additional, Contamin, Lucie, additional, Levander, John, additional, Salerno, Jessica, additional, Hochheiser, Harry, additional, Kinsey, Matt, additional, Tallaksen, Kate, additional, Wilson, Shelby, additional, Shin, Lauren, additional, Rainwater-Lovett, Kaitlin, additional, Lemaitre, Joseph C., additional, Dent, Juan, additional, Kaminsky, Joshua, additional, Lee, Elizabeth C., additional, Perez-Saez, Javier, additional, Hill, Alison, additional, Karlen, Dean, additional, Chinazzi, Matteo, additional, Davis, Jessica T., additional, Mu, Kunpeng, additional, Xiong, Xinyue, additional, y Piontti, Ana Pastore, additional, Vespignani, Alessandro, additional, Srivastava, Ajitesh, additional, Porebski, Przemyslaw, additional, Venkatramanan, Srinivasan, additional, Adiga, Aniruddha, additional, Lewis, Bryan, additional, Klahn, Brian, additional, Outten, Joseph, additional, Schlitt, James, additional, Corbett, Patrick, additional, Telionis, Pyrros Alexander, additional, Wang, Lijing, additional, Peddireddy, Akhil Sai, additional, Hurt, Benjamin, additional, Chen, Jiangzhuo, additional, Vullikanti, Anil, additional, Marathe, Madhav, additional, Hoops, Stefan, additional, Bhattacharya, Parantapa, additional, Machi, Dustin, additional, Chen, Shi, additional, Paul, Rajib, additional, Janies, Daniel, additional, Thill, Jean-Claude, additional, Galanti, Marta, additional, Yamana, Teresa, additional, Pei, Sen, additional, Shaman, Jeffrey, additional, Reich, Nicholas G., additional, Healy, Jessica M., additional, Slayton, Rachel B., additional, Biggerstaff, Matthew, additional, Johansson, Michael A., additional, Runge, Michael C., additional, and Viboud, Cécile, additional

Published
2021
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90. Forecasting influenza activity using machine-learned mobility map

Author

Statistics, Venkatramanan, Srinivasan, Sadilek, Adam, Fadikar, Arindam, Barrett, Christopher L., Biggerstaff, Matthew, Chen, Jiangzhuo, Dotiwalla, Xerxes, Eastham, Paul, Gipson, Bryant, Higdon, Dave, Kucuktunc, Onur, Lieber, Allison, Lewis, Bryan L., Reynolds, Zane, Vullikanti, Anil Kumar S., Wang, Lijing, Marathe, Madhav V., Statistics, Venkatramanan, Srinivasan, Sadilek, Adam, Fadikar, Arindam, Barrett, Christopher L., Biggerstaff, Matthew, Chen, Jiangzhuo, Dotiwalla, Xerxes, Eastham, Paul, Gipson, Bryant, Higdon, Dave, Kucuktunc, Onur, Lieber, Allison, Lewis, Bryan L., Reynolds, Zane, Vullikanti, Anil Kumar S., Wang, Lijing, and Marathe, Madhav V.

Abstract

Human mobility is a primary driver of infectious disease spread. However, existing data is limited in availability, coverage, granularity, and timeliness. Data-driven forecasts of disease dynamics are crucial for decision-making by health officials and private citizens alike. In this work, we focus on a machine-learned anonymized mobility map (hereon referred to as AMM) aggregated over hundreds of millions of smartphones and evaluate its utility in forecasting epidemics. We factor AMM into a metapopulation model to retrospectively forecast influenza in the USA and Australia. We show that the AMM model performs on-par with those based on commuter surveys, which are sparsely available and expensive. We also compare it with gravity and radiation based models of mobility, and find that the radiation model's performance is quite similar to AMM and commuter flows. Additionally, we demonstrate our model's ability to predict disease spread even across state boundaries. Our work contributes towards developing timely infectious disease forecasting at a global scale using human mobility datasets expanding their applications in the area of infectious disease epidemiology. Human mobility plays a central role in the spread of infectious diseases and can help in forecasting incidence. Here the authors show a comparison of multiple mobility benchmarks in forecasting influenza, and demonstrate the value of a machine-learned mobility map with global coverage at multiple spatial scales.

Published
2021

91. Outbreak of influenza A (H3N2) variant virus infection among attendees of an agricultural fair, Pennsylvania, USA, 2011

Author

Wong, Karen K., Greenbaum, Adena, Moll, Maria E., Lando, James, Moore, Erin L., Ganatra, Rahul, Biggerstaff, Matthew, Lam, Eugene, Smith, Erica E., Storms, Aaron D., Miller, Jeffrey R., Dato, Virginia, Nalluswami, Kumar, Nambiar, Atmaram, Silvestri, Sharon A., Lute, James R., Ostroff, Stephen, Hancock, Kathy, Branch, Alicia, Trock, Susan C., Klimov, Alexander, Shu, Bo, Brammer, Lynnette, Epperson, Scott, Finelli, Lyn, and Jhung, Michael A.

Subjects
Pennsylvania. Department of Agriculture, United States. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Epidemics -- Development and progression -- Pennsylvania, Agricultural industry, Swine influenza -- Development and progression, Influenza viruses, Infection -- Development and progression, Disease transmission -- Development and progression, Agricultural societies, Health
Abstract

Triple reassortant swine influenza A viruses have circulated in swine herds in North America since 1998 (1-3). On the rare occasions that these viruses infect humans, they are called influenza [...]

Published
2012
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92. Estimating effect of antiviral drug use during pandemic (H1N1) 2009 outbreak, United States

Author

Atkins, Charisma Y., Patel, Anita, Taylor, Jr., Thomas H., Biggerstaff, Matthew, Merlin, Toby L., Dulin, Stephanie M., Erickson, Benjamin A., Borse, Rebekah H., Hunkler, Robert, and Meltzer, Martin I.

Subjects
United States. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Medical research, Medicine, Experimental, Epidemics -- Drug therapy, Antiviral agents -- Usage, Influenza -- Drug therapy, Public health, Health
Abstract

From April 23, 2009, through April 10, 2010, it is estimated that pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus caused ≅61 million cases of influenza (range 43-89 million cases), ≅270,000 related hospitalizations (range [...]

Published
2011
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95. Modeling of Future COVID-19 Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths, by Vaccination Rates and Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Scenarios — United States, April–September 2021

Author

Borchering, Rebecca K., primary, Viboud, Cécile, additional, Howerton, Emily, additional, Smith, Claire P., additional, Truelove, Shaun, additional, Runge, Michael C., additional, Reich, Nicholas G., additional, Contamin, Lucie, additional, Levander, John, additional, Salerno, Jessica, additional, van Panhuis, Wilbert, additional, Kinsey, Matt, additional, Tallaksen, Kate, additional, Obrecht, R. Freddy, additional, Asher, Laura, additional, Costello, Cash, additional, Kelbaugh, Michael, additional, Wilson, Shelby, additional, Shin, Lauren, additional, Gallagher, Molly E., additional, Mullany, Luke C., additional, Rainwater-Lovett, Kaitlin, additional, Lemaitre, Joseph C., additional, Dent, Juan, additional, Grantz, Kyra H., additional, Kaminsky, Joshua, additional, Lauer, Stephen A., additional, Lee, Elizabeth C., additional, Meredith, Hannah R., additional, Perez-Saez, Javier, additional, Keegan, Lindsay T., additional, Karlen, Dean, additional, Chinazzi, Matteo, additional, Davis, Jessica T., additional, Mu, Kunpeng, additional, Xiong, Xinyue, additional, Pastore y Piontti, Ana, additional, Vespignani, Alessandro, additional, Srivastava, Ajitesh, additional, Porebski, Przemyslaw, additional, Venkatramanan, Srinivasan, additional, Adiga, Aniruddha, additional, Lewis, Bryan, additional, Klahn, Brian, additional, Outten, Joseph, additional, Schlitt, James, additional, Corbett, Patrick, additional, Telionis, Pyrros Alexander, additional, Wang, Lijing, additional, Peddireddy, Akhil Sai, additional, Hurt, Benjamin, additional, Chen, Jiangzhuo, additional, Vullikanti, Anil, additional, Marathe, Madhav, additional, Healy, Jessica M., additional, Slayton, Rachel B., additional, Biggerstaff, Matthew, additional, Johansson, Michael A., additional, Shea, Katriona, additional, and Lessler, Justin, additional

Published
2021
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96. Healthcare-Seeking Behavior for Respiratory Illness Among Flu Near You Participants in the United States During the 2015-2016 Through 2018-2019 Influenza Seasons.

Author

Baltrusaitis, Kristin, Reed, Carrie, Sewalk, Kara, Brownstein, John S, Crawley, Adam W, and Biggerstaff, Matthew

Abstract

Background: Flu Near You (FNY) is an online participatory syndromic surveillance system that collects health-related information. In this article, we summarized the healthcare-seeking behavior of FNY participants who reported influenza-like illness (ILI) symptoms.Methods: We applied inverse probability weighting to calculate age-adjusted estimates of the percentage of FNY participants in the United States who sought health care for ILI symptoms during the 2015-2016 through 2018-2019 influenza season and compared seasonal trends across different demographic and regional subgroups, including age group, sex, census region, and place of care using adjusted χ 2 tests.Results: The overall age-adjusted percentage of FNY participants who sought healthcare for ILI symptoms varied by season and ranged from 22.8% to 35.6%. Across all seasons, healthcare seeking was highest for the <18 and 65+ years age groups, women had a greater percentage compared with men, and the South census region had the largest percentage while the West census region had the smallest percentage.Conclusions: The percentage of FNY participants who sought healthcare for ILI symptoms varied by season, geographical region, age group, and sex. FNY compliments existing surveillance systems and informs estimates of influenza-associated illness by adding important real-time insights into healthcare-seeking behavior. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2022
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97. Effects of method of English ivy removal and seed addition on regeneration of vegetation in a Southeastern Piedmont forest

Author

Biggerstaff, Matthew S. and Beck, Christopher W.

Subjects
Invasive species -- Influence, Environmental protection -- Methods, Environmental issue, Biological sciences, Earth sciences
Abstract

Invasive plants can have substantial negative impacts on native flora and fauna. As a result, ecological restoration often involves removal of invasive species. We examined the effects of the removal of Hedera helix (English ivy) on regeneration of native vegetation in the Piedmont of Georgia. Ivy was removed by hand or by herbicide from five 5 m x 5 m plots for each treatment and half of each plot was seeded with native seeds. We then counted the number of seedlings present in each plot bimonthly over a 5-mo period. Ivy removal by pulling resulted in the greatest density and diversity of seedlings. Furthermore, these plots exhibited increased seedling density and diversity due to seed addition. Spraying was effective in removal of the ivy but significantly lowered seedling density and diversity and hindered any seed addition efforts. Control plots in which ivy was not removed had no seedlings germinate. Our results suggest that the method of exotic plant removal and the addition of native seed can have profound effects on the regeneration of native vegetation and should be a major consideration for future exotic plant removal projects.

Published
2007

98. Effects of English ivy (Hedera helix) on seed bank formation and germination

Author

Biggerstaff, Matthew S. and Beck, Christopher W.

Subjects
Germination -- Observations, Soil seed banks -- Observations, Ecological research, Biological sciences, Earth sciences
Abstract

English ivy Hedera helix L. is rapidly invading forest ecosystems in the southeastern United States, leading to a decrease in the diversity of native plant species. To determine the underlying mechanism for the loss of diversity and understand the potential for restoration of impacted habitats, we examined whether ivy had a negative effect on seed bank formation and germination. We sampled the seed bank and the summer and fall seed rains in areas with and without ivy. In addition, we determined potential allelopathic effects of ivy on germination of Coreopsis lancelota seeds. The density and species diversity of the seed bank and seed rains were not significantly different between areas with and without ivy. However, ivy led to a marginally significant reduction in the germination rate of C. lancelota seeds. Yet, the effect of ivy on germination only occurred when ivy plants were present. Germination rates did not differ in soil from areas with and without ivy. Our results suggest that native plant communities can regenerate naturally from the seed bank if English ivy were removed.

Published
2007

99. Coordinating the real‐time use of global influenza activity data for better public health planning

Author

Biggerstaff, Matthew, Dahlgren, Frederick, Fitzner, Julia, George, Dylan, Hammond, Aspen, Hall, Ian, Haw, David, Imai, Natsuko, Johansson, Michael, Kramer, Sarah, McCaw, James, Moss, Robert, Pebody, Richard, Read, Jonathan, Reed, Carrie, Reich, Nicolas, Riley, Steven, Vandemaele, Katelijn, Viboud, Cecile, Wu, Joseph, Biggerstaff, Matthew, Dahlgren, Frederick, Fitzner, Julia, George, Dylan, Hammond, Aspen, Hall, Ian, Haw, David, Imai, Natsuko, Johansson, Michael, Kramer, Sarah, McCaw, James, Moss, Robert, Pebody, Richard, Read, Jonathan, Reed, Carrie, Reich, Nicolas, Riley, Steven, Vandemaele, Katelijn, Viboud, Cecile, and Wu, Joseph

Abstract

Health planners from global to local levels must anticipate year‐to‐year and week‐to‐week variation in seasonal influenza activity when planning for and responding to epidemics to mitigate their impact. To help with this, countries routinely collect incidence of mild and severe respiratory illness and virologic data on circulating subtypes and use these data for situational awareness, burden of disease estimates and severity assessments. Advanced analytics and modelling are increasingly used to aid planning and response activities by describing key features of influenza activity for a given location and generating forecasts that can be translated to useful actions such as enhanced risk communications, and informing clinical supply chains. Here, we describe the formation of the Influenza Incidence Analytics Group (IIAG), a coordinated global effort to apply advanced analytics and modelling to public influenza data, both epidemiological and virologic, in real‐time and thus provide additional insights to countries who provide routine surveillance data to WHO. Our objectives are to systematically increase the value of data to health planners by applying advanced analytics and forecasting and for results to be immediately reproducible and deployable using an open repository of data and code. We expect the resources we develop and the associated community to provide an attractive option for the open analysis of key epidemiological data during seasonal epidemics and the early stages of an influenza pandemic.

Published
2020

100. Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the US

Author

Cramer, Estee Y, primary, Ray, Evan L, additional, Lopez, Velma K, additional, Bracher, Johannes, additional, Brennen, Andrea, additional, Castro Rivadeneira, Alvaro J, additional, Gerding, Aaron, additional, Gneiting, Tilmann, additional, House, Katie H, additional, Huang, Yuxin, additional, Jayawardena, Dasuni, additional, Kanji, Abdul H, additional, Khandelwal, Ayush, additional, Le, Khoa, additional, Mühlemann, Anja, additional, Niemi, Jarad, additional, Shah, Apurv, additional, Stark, Ariane, additional, Wang, Yijin, additional, Wattanachit, Nutcha, additional, Zorn, Martha W, additional, Gu, Youyang, additional, Jain, Sansiddh, additional, Bannur, Nayana, additional, Deva, Ayush, additional, Kulkarni, Mihir, additional, Merugu, Srujana, additional, Raval, Alpan, additional, Shingi, Siddhant, additional, Tiwari, Avtansh, additional, White, Jerome, additional, Abernethy, Neil F, additional, Woody, Spencer, additional, Dahan, Maytal, additional, Fox, Spencer, additional, Gaither, Kelly, additional, Lachmann, Michael, additional, Meyers, Lauren Ancel, additional, Scott, James G, additional, Tec, Mauricio, additional, Srivastava, Ajitesh, additional, George, Glover E, additional, Cegan, Jeffrey C, additional, Dettwiller, Ian D, additional, England, William P, additional, Farthing, Matthew W, additional, Hunter, Robert H, additional, Lafferty, Brandon, additional, Linkov, Igor, additional, Mayo, Michael L, additional, Parno, Matthew D, additional, Rowland, Michael A, additional, Trump, Benjamin D, additional, Zhang-James, Yanli, additional, Chen, Samuel, additional, Faraone, Stephen V, additional, Hess, Jonathan, additional, Morley, Christopher P, additional, Salekin, Asif, additional, Wang, Dongliang, additional, Corsetti, Sabrina M, additional, Baer, Thomas M, additional, Eisenberg, Marisa C, additional, Falb, Karl, additional, Huang, Yitao, additional, Martin, Emily T, additional, McCauley, Ella, additional, Myers, Robert L, additional, Schwarz, Tom, additional, Sheldon, Daniel, additional, Gibson, Graham Casey, additional, Yu, Rose, additional, Gao, Liyao, additional, Ma, Yian, additional, Wu, Dongxia, additional, Yan, Xifeng, additional, Jin, Xiaoyong, additional, Wang, Yu-Xiang, additional, Chen, YangQuan, additional, Guo, Lihong, additional, Zhao, Yanting, additional, Gu, Quanquan, additional, Chen, Jinghui, additional, Wang, Lingxiao, additional, Xu, Pan, additional, Zhang, Weitong, additional, Zou, Difan, additional, Biegel, Hannah, additional, Lega, Joceline, additional, McConnell, Steve, additional, Nagraj, VP, additional, Guertin, Stephanie L, additional, Hulme-Lowe, Christopher, additional, Turner, Stephen D, additional, Shi, Yunfeng, additional, Ban, Xuegang, additional, Walraven, Robert, additional, Hong, Qi-Jun, additional, Kong, Stanley, additional, van de Walle, Axel, additional, Turtle, James A, additional, Ben-Nun, Michal, additional, Riley, Steven, additional, Riley, Pete, additional, Koyluoglu, Ugur, additional, DesRoches, David, additional, Forli, Pedro, additional, Hamory, Bruce, additional, Kyriakides, Christina, additional, Leis, Helen, additional, Milliken, John, additional, Moloney, Michael, additional, Morgan, James, additional, Nirgudkar, Ninad, additional, Ozcan, Gokce, additional, Piwonka, Noah, additional, Ravi, Matt, additional, Schrader, Chris, additional, Shakhnovich, Elizabeth, additional, Siegel, Daniel, additional, Spatz, Ryan, additional, Stiefeling, Chris, additional, Wilkinson, Barrie, additional, Wong, Alexander, additional, Cavany, Sean, additional, España, Guido, additional, Moore, Sean, additional, Oidtman, Rachel, additional, Perkins, Alex, additional, Kraus, David, additional, Kraus, Andrea, additional, Gao, Zhifeng, additional, Bian, Jiang, additional, Cao, Wei, additional, Ferres, Juan Lavista, additional, Li, Chaozhuo, additional, Liu, Tie-Yan, additional, Xie, Xing, additional, Zhang, Shun, additional, Zheng, Shun, additional, Vespignani, Alessandro, additional, Chinazzi, Matteo, additional, Davis, Jessica T, additional, Mu, Kunpeng, additional, y Piontti, Ana Pastore, additional, Xiong, Xinyue, additional, Zheng, Andrew, additional, Baek, Jackie, additional, Farias, Vivek, additional, Georgescu, Andreea, additional, Levi, Retsef, additional, Sinha, Deeksha, additional, Wilde, Joshua, additional, Perakis, Georgia, additional, Bennouna, Mohammed Amine, additional, Nze-Ndong, David, additional, Singhvi, Divya, additional, Spantidakis, Ioannis, additional, Thayaparan, Leann, additional, Tsiourvas, Asterios, additional, Sarker, Arnab, additional, Jadbabaie, Ali, additional, Shah, Devavrat, additional, Penna, Nicolas Della, additional, Celi, Leo A, additional, Sundar, Saketh, additional, Wolfinger, Russ, additional, Osthus, Dave, additional, Castro, Lauren, additional, Fairchild, Geoffrey, additional, Michaud, Isaac, additional, Karlen, Dean, additional, Kinsey, Matt, additional, Mullany, Luke C., additional, Rainwater-Lovett, Kaitlin, additional, Shin, Lauren, additional, Tallaksen, Katharine, additional, Wilson, Shelby, additional, Lee, Elizabeth C, additional, Dent, Juan, additional, Grantz, Kyra H, additional, Hill, Alison L, additional, Kaminsky, Joshua, additional, Kaminsky, Kathryn, additional, Keegan, Lindsay T, additional, Lauer, Stephen A, additional, Lemaitre, Joseph C, additional, Lessler, Justin, additional, Meredith, Hannah R, additional, Perez-Saez, Javier, additional, Shah, Sam, additional, Smith, Claire P, additional, Truelove, Shaun A, additional, Wills, Josh, additional, Marshall, Maximilian, additional, Gardner, Lauren, additional, Nixon, Kristen, additional, Burant, John C., additional, Wang, Lily, additional, Gao, Lei, additional, Gu, Zhiling, additional, Kim, Myungjin, additional, Li, Xinyi, additional, Wang, Guannan, additional, Wang, Yueying, additional, Yu, Shan, additional, Reiner, Robert C, additional, Barber, Ryan, additional, Gakidou, Emmanuela, additional, Hay, Simon I., additional, Lim, Steve, additional, Murray, Chris J.L., additional, Pigott, David, additional, Gurung, Heidi L, additional, Baccam, Prasith, additional, Stage, Steven A, additional, Suchoski, Bradley T, additional, Prakash, B. Aditya, additional, Adhikari, Bijaya, additional, Cui, Jiaming, additional, Rodríguez, Alexander, additional, Tabassum, Anika, additional, Xie, Jiajia, additional, Keskinocak, Pinar, additional, Asplund, John, additional, Baxter, Arden, additional, Oruc, Buse Eylul, additional, Serban, Nicoleta, additional, Arik, Sercan O, additional, Dusenberry, Mike, additional, Epshteyn, Arkady, additional, Kanal, Elli, additional, Le, Long T, additional, Li, Chun-Liang, additional, Pfister, Tomas, additional, Sava, Dario, additional, Sinha, Rajarishi, additional, Tsai, Thomas, additional, Yoder, Nate, additional, Yoon, Jinsung, additional, Zhang, Leyou, additional, Abbott, Sam, additional, Bosse, Nikos I, additional, Funk, Sebastian, additional, Hellewell, Joel, additional, Meakin, Sophie R, additional, Sherratt, Katharine, additional, Zhou, Mingyuan, additional, Kalantari, Rahi, additional, Yamana, Teresa K, additional, Pei, Sen, additional, Shaman, Jeffrey, additional, Li, Michael L, additional, Bertsimas, Dimitris, additional, Lami, Omar Skali, additional, Soni, Saksham, additional, Bouardi, Hamza Tazi, additional, Ayer, Turgay, additional, Adee, Madeline, additional, Chhatwal, Jagpreet, additional, Dalgic, Ozden O, additional, Ladd, Mary A, additional, Linas, Benjamin P, additional, Mueller, Peter, additional, Xiao, Jade, additional, Wang, Yuanjia, additional, Wang, Qinxia, additional, Xie, Shanghong, additional, Zeng, Donglin, additional, Green, Alden, additional, Bien, Jacob, additional, Brooks, Logan, additional, Hu, Addison J, additional, Jahja, Maria, additional, McDonald, Daniel, additional, Narasimhan, Balasubramanian, additional, Politsch, Collin, additional, Rajanala, Samyak, additional, Rumack, Aaron, additional, Simon, Noah, additional, Tibshirani, Ryan J, additional, Tibshirani, Rob, additional, Ventura, Valerie, additional, Wasserman, Larry, additional, O’Dea, Eamon B, additional, Drake, John M, additional, Pagano, Robert, additional, Tran, Quoc T, additional, Tung Ho, Lam Si, additional, Huynh, Huong, additional, Walker, Jo W, additional, Slayton, Rachel B, additional, Johansson, Michael A, additional, Biggerstaff, Matthew, additional, and Reich, Nicholas G, additional

Published
2021
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