51. Validation of a prediction rule for development of rheumatoid arthritis in patients with early undifferentiated arthritis
- Author
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Carly K Cheng, Vivian P. Bykerk, Hong M Chen, and Bindee Kuriya
- Subjects
Adult ,Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Immunology ,Arthritis ,Peptides, Cyclic ,General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology ,Arthritis, Rheumatoid ,Rheumatology ,Rheumatoid Factor ,Internal medicine ,Immunopathology ,medicine ,Humans ,Immunology and Allergy ,Rheumatoid factor ,Autoantibodies ,Autoimmune disease ,business.industry ,Middle Aged ,Prognosis ,medicine.disease ,Connective tissue disease ,Early Diagnosis ,Antirheumatic Agents ,Rheumatoid arthritis ,Cohort ,Disease Progression ,Female ,Epidemiologic Methods ,business ,Biomarkers - Abstract
Objective:To validate a model which predicts progression from undifferentiated arthritis (UA) to RA, in a Canadian UA cohort.Methods:The prediction rule, comprising variables which are scored from 0 to 13, with higher scores reflecting an increased risk of RA, was applied to baseline characteristics of all patients with UA. Progression to RA was determined at 6 months.Results:105 patients were identified. By 6 months, 80 (76%) had developed RA while 25 (24%) had developed another diagnosis. Number of tender and swollen joints, rheumatoid factor positivity, anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide positivity, poor functional status and high disease activity were associated with development of RA (pConclusions:High scores in our cohort predicted those who progressed to RA by 6 months. Baseline scores ⩾8 corresponded with higher rates of progression.
- Published
- 2008
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