51. The Information Content of Dense Carbon Dioxide Measurements from Space: A High-Resolution Inversion Approach with Synthetic Data from the OCO-3 Instrument
- Author
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Dustin Roten, John C. Lin, Lewis Kunik, Derek Mallia, Dien Wu, Tomohiro Oda, and Eric A. Kort
- Abstract
Bottom-up accounting methods of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions can provide high-resolution emissions estimates at a global scale; however, the necessary in situ observations to verify these emissions are limited in coverage. Space-based observations of CO2 in the Earth’s atmosphere expand this coverage to a near-global scale to inform carbon cycle science and record emission trends. This work applied an observing system simulation experiment (OSSE) to characterize the flux information contained in “Snapshot Area Map” (SAM) CO2 measurements from the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-3 (OCO- 3). Unlike previous space-based carbon-observing systems, OCO-3 SAMs provide spatially dense observations of CO2 over targeted urban areas at unprecedented coverage. A Bayesian inversion using synthetic data was applied to these SAMs to explore their effectiveness in optimizing estimates of fossil fuel CO2 (FFCO2) emissions from the Los Angeles Basin. Results demonstrated that errors in the locations of large point sources diminished the inversion’s ability to reduce errors at the sub-city-level. Furthermore, reductions in atmospheric transport error exacerbated these issues. Only after geolocation errors in large point source locations were removed and atmospheric transport error was reduced did individual SAM observations provide modest corrections to prior flux estimates. The aggregation of multiple SAMs proved to be effective in reducing systematic errors in manufacturing- and transportation-related estimates, demonstrating the need for similar measurements in future space-based missions.
- Published
- 2022