1,587 results on '"Overlapping generations"'
Search Results
52. Is full annuitization socially optimal?
- Author
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Andersen, Torben M. and Gestsson, Marias H.
- Subjects
ANNUITIES ,CAPITAL stock ,NUMERICAL analysis ,PENSIONS - Abstract
A seminal result Yaari holds that all pension savings should be in life-annuities. Annuities offer a higher return than standard assets and diversify mortality risk and therefore it is individually optimal to save in annuities only. This is a cornerstone result in the pensions literature where many attempts have been made to explain that individual savings in annuities is very low, the socalled annuity puzzle. But is the result that all pension savings should be in life-annuities also socially optimal? We show in a standard setting with fair annuities and dynamic efficiency that full annutization of all pensions saving is not socially optimal. Less than full annutization implies unintentional bequests and thus transfers from the old to the young, which is welfare improving under dynamic efficiency. Further, we show that no annutization can implement the Golden Rule capital stock level and analyse whether some annutization is socially optimal using a numerical analysis, which shows that it is the case under a wide range of parameter constellations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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53. Imperfect Competition, Real Estate Prices and New Stylized Facts.
- Author
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Kumar, Ronald R. and Stauvermann, Peter J.
- Subjects
IMPERFECT competition ,REAL property ,INDUSTRIAL concentration ,MARKET design & structure (Economics) ,REAL property sales & prices - Abstract
In this paper, we develop an overlapping generation model with imperfect competition and land to provide a theoretical foundation for some empirical observations made since the end of the 1970s. The problem is that these new "stylized facts" do not coincide with Kaldor's stylized facts and unfortunately the standard growth models are not able to explain these new facts. By using our model, we are able to theoretically derive these new facts and to provide a theoretical foundation for them. In particular, increasing market concentration leads to a decline in the labor income share, to a decline in the capital income share, to a decline in the natural interest rate, to an increasing wealth to income ratio, and to an over-proportional increase in land prices in developed countries. The model developed for analysis has close similarity with the standard neoclassical overlapping generation model with endogenous growth and land. The main difference between the standard neoclassical and the model in this paper is the market structure. Instead of assuming perfectly competitive markets, we assume an oligopolistic market structure. This leads to the occurrence of pure profits for firms and, accordingly, the input factors are no longer paid their marginal products. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
54. Product Pricing in a Peer-to-Peer Economy.
- Author
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Weber, Thomas A.
- Subjects
PRICING ,SHARING economy ,INFORMATION technology ,SECONDARY markets ,CONSUMER preferences ,ECONOMIC demand - Abstract
The emergence of a collaborative economy has been driven by advances in information technology that allow consumers to borrow and rent goods among peers on a secondary sharing market. In a dynamic setting, consumers make intertemporal decisions about purchases and their participation in the sharing market. This study introduces an overlapping-generations model to analyze product pricing and consumer choice with and without a sharing market. The model quantifies the impacts of a peer-to-peer economy on the demand for ownership, the product price, and all participants’ payoffs, including consumer surplus, profits, and social welfare. Given consumers that are heterogeneous with respect to their consumption needs and valuations, it illustrates which of them are prone to participate in a sharing economy and whether a retailer (or manufacturer) can benefit from the presence of a secondary exchange. A sharing market tends to increase the price of new products by a “sharing premium,” which positively depends on the retailer’s commitment ability. The price increment becomes relatively smaller for higher-cost products. Low-cost products and sufficiently impatient consumers together make a peer-to-peer economyunattractive for retailers. For high-cost products, however, the latter stand to gain from the existence of a sharing market. Most important, the introduction of a peer-to-peer economy increases both consumer surplus and social welfare, thus creating an implicit imperative for a social planner to help promote collaborative consumption, for instance, by providing incentives for retailers and manufacturers that tend to offset possible expected negative payoff effects from consumer sharing. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
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55. Paul Samuelson’s Contributions to Public Economics
- Author
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Boskin, Michael J., Cord, Robert A., Series Editor, Anderson, Richard G., editor, and Barnett, William A., editor
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
56. Coordinated State Capital Tax Reform in an Overlapping Generations Model
- Author
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Shinozaki, Tsuyoshi, Kato, Hideya, Kunizaki, Minoru, Higano, Yoshiro, Editor-in-Chief, Kunizaki, Minoru, editor, Nakamura, Kazuyuki, editor, Sugahara, Kota, editor, and Yanagihara, Mitsuyoshi, editor
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
57. Assessing the generational impact of COVID-19 using National Transfer Accounts (NTAs).
- Author
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Sánchez-Romero, Miguel
- Subjects
COVID-19 pandemic ,DEMOGRAPHY ,HUMAN capital ,ECONOMIC shock ,PUBLIC debts - Abstract
An important aspect of the current COVID-19 crisis is that not all age groups are equally affected by the pandemic. To account for the generational impact of COVID-19, a dynamic overlapping generations model with realistic demography, human capital and NTAs is constructed. The COVID-19 crisis is modelled through two unexpected and temporary negative shocks: an economic shock that reduces labour income, and a demographic shock that increases the mortality hazard rates of those infected. The model is applied to 12 countries for which full NTA data are available. Results are presented for two extreme fiscal policies: one in which governments compensate workers for 0% (without fiscal support) of their total labour income losses due to the pandemic, and another in which governments compensate workers for 100% (with fiscal support) of these losses. In addition, I analyse the impact of these policies on public debt. The results show that COVID-19 is affecting the financial situations of people aged 25 to 64 and their children more than those of older people. By compensating workers for their income losses, the economic impact of COVID-19 has been more evenly distributed across cohorts, reducing the burden on people aged zero to 64, and increasing the burden on people aged 65 and older. Moreover, the simulation results show that a 1% decline in labour income leads to an average increase in the debt-to-total labour income ratio of between 1.2% (without fiscal policy) and 1.6% (with fiscal policy). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
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58. Local environmental quality and heterogeneity in an OLG agent-based model with spatial externalities.
- Author
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Caravaggio, Andrea and Sodini, Mauro
- Abstract
Most of the theoretical contributions on the relationship between economy and environment assume the environment as a good distributed homogeneously among agents. The aim of this work is to relax this hypothesis and to consider that the environment can have a local character even if conditioned through externalities by the choices made at the global level. In this article, we adapt the classical framework introduced in John and Pecchenino (Econ J 104(427):1393–1410, 1994) to analyze the dynamic relationship between environment and economic process, and we propose an OLG agent-based model where each agent perceives her own level of environmental quality determined by her own decisions, and by the decisions of those living around her. Despite the attention devoted to local environmental aspects, network externalities (determined through the scheme of Moore neighborhoods) play a fundamental role in defining environmental dynamics and they may induce the emergence of cyclical dynamics. The occurrence of oscillations in the local environmental quality is partially mitigated by the presence of heterogeneity in individuals' preferences. Finally, when a centralized planner is introduced, the dynamics converge to stationary values regardless of the assumption on heterogeneity of agents. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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59. Sex-biased demography modulates male harm across the genome.
- Author
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Hitchcock, Thomas J. and Gardner, Andy
- Subjects
- *
SEX chromosomes , *GENOMES , *GENETIC sex determination , *DEMOGRAPHY , *CYTOPLASMIC inheritance - Abstract
Recent years have seen an explosion of theoretical and empirical interest in the role that kin selection plays in shaping patterns of sexual conflict, with a particular focus on male harming traits. However, this work has focused solely on autosomal genes, and as such it remains unclear how demography modulates the evolution of male harm loci occurring in other portions of the genome, such as sex chromosomes and cytoplasmic elements. To investigate this, we extend existing models of sexual conflict for application to these different modes of inheritance. We first analyse the general case, revealing how sex-specific relatedness, reproductive value and the intensity of local competition combine to determine the potential for male harm. We then analyse a series of demographically explicit models, to assess how dispersal, overlapping generations, reproductive skew and the mechanism of population regulation affect sexual conflict across the genome, and drive conflict between nuclear and cytoplasmic genes. We then explore the effects of sex biases in these demographic parameters, showing how they may drive further conflicts between autosomes and sex chromosomes. Finally, we outline how different crossing schemes may be used to identify signatures of these intragenomic conflicts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
60. The effects of financing rules in pay-as-you-go pension systems on the life and the business cycle.
- Author
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Scharrer, Christian
- Subjects
BUSINESS cycles ,PENSIONS ,SOCIAL security ,LABOR supply ,RETIREES ,FAMILY-owned business enterprises ,LUMP sum distributions (Pensions) - Abstract
Empirically, revenues of public pension systems are more volatile than expenditures. Therefore, the question arises how the social security authority should buffer its revenues and adjust its contributions over the business cycle. This paper studies the corresponding effects on the life cycle of households and the business cycle in a large-scale overlapping generations model. In particular, the labor supply is endogenous and takes the intertemporal links between contributions and pension benefits into account. Sluggish adjustments of contribution rates that are implemented by adjusting a financial buffer stock both stabilize an economy and decrease the volatility of lifetime utilities of most workers and retirees, in contrast to sole adjustments of contribution rates. However, changes of consumption, capital income, or lump sum taxes, which aim to balance public pension budgets, improve the allocation of aggregate risk across cohorts for people up to an age of at least 71 years. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
61. Prices and investment with collateral and default
- Author
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Magill, Michael and Quinzii, Martine
- Subjects
Overlapping generations ,Durable good ,Collateral ,Default ,Golden Rule steady state ,Asymmetric impulse response functions ,D D ,durable good ,collateral ,default ,asymmetric impulse response functions ,Economic Theory ,Applied Economics ,Banking ,Finance and Investment ,Economics - Abstract
This paper uses the framework of an OLG economy with three-period lived agents in which a durable good serves as collateral for loans, to study the effect of an unanticipated income shock when the economy is in a steady state equilibrium. We focus on the consequence of default on loans when the value of the collateral falls below the value of the debt it secures. We analyze the impulse response functions of the price and production of the durable good and show that there is an asymmetry between the response of the price and investment of the durable good to a positive and a negative income shock arising from default on the collateralized loans. We show that this asymmetry can be seen in the data on housing prices and construction and is attributable to the default on mortgages in periods of decreasing prices which acts as a turbo mechanism magnifying the decline in investment.
- Published
- 2015
62. Recycling Carbon Tax Revenue to Maximize Welfare.
- Author
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Fried, Stephie, Novan, Kevin, and Peterman, William B.
- Subjects
CARBON taxes ,GOVERNMENT revenue ,HOUSEHOLDS ,ECONOMISTS ,INCOME inequality - Abstract
This paper explores how to recycle carbon tax revenue back to households to maximize welfare. Using a general equilibrium lifecycle model calibrated to reect the heterogeneity in the U.S. economy, we find the optimal policy uses two thirds of carbontax revenue to reduce the distortionary tax on capital income while the remaining one third is used to increase the progressivity of the labor-income tax. The optimal policy attains higher welfare and more equality than the lump-sum rebate approach preferred by policymakers as well as the approach originally prescribed by economists - which called exclusively for reductions in distortionary taxes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
63. Evaluating an old-age voluntary saving scheme under incomplete rationality
- Author
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Artur Rutkowski
- Subjects
overlapping generations ,ecps ,incomplete rationality ,Economics as a science ,HB71-74 - Abstract
We provide an ex ante welfare, fiscal and general macroeconomic evaluation of the voluntary old-age saving scheme recently introduced in Poland and known as Employee Capital Plans. ECPs provide tax redemptions as well as lump-sum transfers with the objective to foster old-age savings. A reduction in capital income tax revenue and a rise in expenditure need to be compensated for through adjustments in other taxes. We employ an overlapping-generations model (OLG) to gauge the plausible magnitude of macroeconomic and welfare effects and to provide insights into the microfoundations of these adjustments. Our OLG model features voluntary participation and innovates relative to the literature by introducing agents with hand-to-mouth preferences. We find a relatively strong crowding-out of private savings. In our preferred specification, roughly PLN 0.08–0.09 of every PLN 1 allocated to ECPs is actually new savings, the rest being displaced from unincentivised private voluntary savings. The plausible values of effective capital growth in ECPs range between 0.03 and 0.42 of PLN 1. ECPs reduce the welfare of fully rational agents unless a sufficiently large annuity is offered. ECPs provide consumption smoothing and interest income to HTM agents.
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
64. From foreign aid to domestic debt : essays on government financing in developing economies
- Author
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Abbas, Syed Mohammad Ali, Adam, Christopher, and Bevan, David
- Subjects
338.91 ,Economics ,Development economics ,Financial economics ,Macro and international economics ,Public debt ,government finance ,government securities ,debt sustainability ,foreign aid ,domestic debt ,economic growth ,financial development ,commercial banks ,portfolio choice ,crowding out ,bank regulation ,too-important-to-fail ,credit constraints ,current account ,twin deficit ,overlapping generations - Abstract
The first essay [“Twin Deficits and Free Lunches: Macroeconomic Outcomes In Anticipation of Foreign Aid”] concerns itself with situations in which private agents anticipate a future windfall (free lunch) that will help service the debt resulting from a present fiscal expansion (implemented via a temporary tax cut). Such expectations of a windfall can arise in the context of natural resource discoveries or, more interestingly, due to perceptions by agents in “too important to fail” countries that will be bailed out through higher foreign aid or debt relief. We employ an overlapping generations model featuring credit constraints to study the real effects of such free lunch expectations in a small open economy, drawing contrasts with the standard tax and money finance closure rules. The model is solved analytically and shows that anticipated aid is equivalent to current aid when agents have perfect foresight, so that a temporary tax cut is seen as permanent. Accordingly, agents raise their consumption and indebtedness (at the expense of future generations) by an amount that is an increasing function of their “impatience” (subjective rates of time preference plus probability of death). A worsening of the current account obtains (twin deficits) across a range of plausible closure rules, including those featuring money finance. The introduction of credit constrained households (we study the variant where myopic agents spend their current disposable incomes) does not alter the basic result in the case of full aid finance, but does matter for mixed tax-aid regimes, in more complex settings where agent expectations and donor promises on aid diverge, and when governments face borrowing constraints so that the timing of aid delivery matters. The second essay [“The Role of Domestic Debt in Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation For Developing Economies”] focuses on the remaining source of government financing, i.e. domestic debt, and the role it can play in mobilizing private savings, facilitating credit intermediation in higher risk settings (i.e. serving a “collateral” function on bank balance sheets), developing financial markets and supporting economic growth in general. To investigate this question empirically, we set up a new domestic debt database covering about 100 developing economies, going back three decades to 1975; explore Granger causality links between domestic debt and key macroeconomic and institutional variables; and estimate the growth impact of domestic debt using panel regressions, allowing for non-linear effects. Domestic debt, as a share of GDP is found to exert a significant positive impact on economic growth, with potential channels including domestic savings mobilization, provision of risk-insurance on banks’ balance sheets; and greater institutional accountability of the state to its citizens. Although this result countervails more established arguments against domestic debt (i.e. that it leads to crowding out and banks to become lazy), there is some evidence that above a ratio of 35 percent of bank deposits, domestic debt does begin to undermine economic growth. The growth payoff also depends on debt quality, with higher payoffs observed for positive interest-rate bearing marketable debt issued to nonbank sectors. The third and final essay [“Why Do Banks in Developing Economies Hold Domestic Government Securities?”] explores demand-side determinants of domestic debt, by focusing on commercial bank holdings of government paper, discriminating carefully between voluntary factors (such as mean-variance portfolio optimization) and statutory ones (cash reserve and capital adequacy requirements). The analysis is made possible by the construction of a dataset on government and private returns (real and nominal) for almost 600 banks from 70 emerging and low-income economies, spanning the (pre-Basel II) period 1995-2005. A battery of structural cross-section regressions indicates that banks’ portfolio decisions are at least as significantly influenced by mean-variance considerations as regulatory factors: the actual portfolio share of government securities (λ) responds intuitively, and sizably, to variations in the moments of the distributions for government and private returns as well as in the minimum-variance portfolio share (λ*). Higher cash reserve requirements tilt portfolios away from government securities toward riskier private lending, while higher capital adequacy requirements work the other way. The association between actual portfolios and the identified determinants is noticeably weaker at lower ends of the λ distribution, suggesting the domination of non-CAPM factors in those contexts.
- Published
- 2014
65. Diamond, Peter (Born 1940)
- Author
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Barr, Nicholas and Macmillan Publishers Ltd
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
66. Speculative Bubbles
- Author
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Iraola, Miguel A., Santos, Manuel S., and Macmillan Publishers Ltd
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
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67. Sraffian Economics (New Developments)
- Author
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Mandler, Michael and Macmillan Publishers Ltd
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
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68. Residential Real Estate and Finance
- Author
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Englund, Peter and Macmillan Publishers Ltd
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
69. Neoclassical Growth Theory
- Author
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Hahn, F. H. and Macmillan Publishers Ltd
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
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70. The Rise and Fall of Normative Trade Theory
- Author
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Kemp, Murray C., Fishburn, Geoffrey, Higano, Yoshiro, Editor-in-Chief, Tran-Nam, Binh, editor, Tawada, Makoto, editor, and Okawa, Masayuki, editor
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
71. On equilibrium elasticities of substitution in simple overlapping generations economies with heterogeneous goods.
- Author
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Barinci, Jean-Paul, Cho, Hye-Jin, and Drugeon, Jean-Pierre
- Subjects
- *
EQUILIBRIUM , *ELASTICITY , *HINGES , *DIAMONDS , *EXHIBITIONS - Abstract
This contribution 1 1 This study is dedicated to the loving memory of Carine, a sunny human, a bright spirit and a stellar scholar that will be deeply missed. A very preliminary version by the third author was presented at a conference held at Meiji-Gakuin University. A more advanced one by the current set of authors got presented at a TMM conference held at HEC Montreal where it could benefit from a detailed report and numerous insightful suggestions from T. Seegmuller. The referees, the editor and the co-editors are finally warmly thanked for their incisive remarks and perspicacious hints that led to a significantly improved exposition. introduces a sectoral supply functions approach of equilibrium dynamics in the context of a simple model of overlapping generations with heterogeneous goods. The class of preferences that is here considered hinges upon an endogenous leisure motive and an elementary savings behaviour, that comes as a simpler alternative to the Diamond tradition in the benchmark contributions about the properties of overlapping generations economies with two industries. The presence of some institution making possible intergenerational transfers is shown to influence both the equilibrium aggregate factors shares and elasticity of substitution along a stationary equilibrium. Both Wealth-to-Capital and Golden Rule steady state equilibria being considered, the economies are categorised, either as Samuelsonian or classical, according to the sign of the transfers between generations at the Golden Rule steady state. The local stability properties of the various types of equilibria are successively investigated, the elasticities of substitution between the two inputs being emphasised to play a key-role for that purpose. Interestingly, the smoothing properties of factors substitution and their respective contribution to the obtention of the local uniqueness property may differ between the Samuelsonian and classical economies. • Nature of equilibria in overlapping generations with heterogeneous goods. • Substitution mechanisms for heterogeneous goods Wealth-to-Capital vs Golden Rule steady state equilibria. • Sign of the transfers between generations at the Golden Rule and in heterogeneous goods Samuelsonian vs classical economies. • Distinct smoothing properties of factors substitution in Samuelsonian and classical economies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
72. Pollution, children's health and the evolution of human capital inequality.
- Author
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Constant, Karine and Davin, Marion
- Subjects
- *
CHILDREN'S health , *HUMAN capital , *HUMAN evolution , *POLLUTION , *ENVIRONMENTAL impact charges , *HEALTH equity - Abstract
This article examines how pollution and its health effects during childhood can affect the dynamics of inequalities among households. In a model in which children's health is endogenously determined by pollution and the health investments of parents, we show that the economy may exhibit inequality in the long run and be stuck in an inequality trap with steadily increasing disparities, because of pollution. We investigate if an environmental policy, consisting in taxing the polluting production to fund pollution abatement, can address this issue. We find that it can decrease inequality in the long run and enable to escape from the trap if the emission intensity is not too high and if disparities are not too wide. Otherwise, we reveal that a policy mix with an additional subsidy to health expenditure may be a better option, at least if parental investment on children's health is sufficiently efficient. • Model with endogenous disparities in the health effects of pollution during childhood. • Pollution fosters human capital inequality through its health effects on children. • Pollution may lead the economy to a trap with steadily increasing disparities. • An environmental policy alone can reduce inequality but not systematically. • A policy mix with an additional subsidy to health expenditure may be a better option. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
73. Migration, remittances and accumulation of human capital with endogenous debt constraints.
- Author
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Destrée, Nicolas, Gente, Karine, and Nourry, Carine
- Subjects
- *
HUMAN capital , *REMITTANCES , *DEBT , *INTEREST rates , *FINANCE education - Abstract
This paper studies the impact of migration and workers' remittances on human capital and economic growth when young individuals face debt constraints to finance education. We consider an overlapping generations model à la de la Croix and Michel (2007). In this no-commitment setting, education is the engine of growth. Individuals may choose to default on their debt and be excluded from the asset market. We show that remittances tend to tighten the borrowing constraints for a given level of interest rate, but may enhance growth at the equilibrium. The model replicates both negative and positive impacts of migration and remittances on economic growth underlined by the empirical literature. We calibrate the model for 30 economies. • In an OLG growth model, remittances may generate multiple equilibria. • Remittances decrease the agents' incentive to save. • Remittances tend to reinforce endogenous financial constraints. • The global effect of remittances depends on the interest rate response. • Migration and remittances improve economic growth in 70% of countries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
74. Generational Accounting in Portugal: An assessment of long-term fiscal sustainability and intergenerational inequality.
- Author
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Pinheiro, Jorge
- Subjects
SUSTAINABILITY ,GOVERNMENT policy ,ACCOUNTING ,ECONOMIC development ,FISCAL policy ,DEBT ,GOVERNMENT accounting - Abstract
The social and economic developments in European countries have put pressure on their national budgets and threaten the sustainability of public policies. The traditional fiscal indicators, specifically, the deficit and the debt, which are still used today as guiding tools, have proved to be insufficient, due to their arbitrary nature and short-term focus. In this paper, we resort to an alternative fiscal indicator, known as 'generational accounting', which is able to incorporate the future changes in the demographic structure of the population, and their corresponding impact on public accounts. It is also able to evaluate how current fiscal policy affects, not only, current generations, but also future generations. We apply this methodology to assess the long-term fiscal situation of Portugal, and compare the results with those obtained in 1999. In this context, we also explore additional scenarios, as well as additional indicators, in order to provide some robustness to our findings. Our results show that, if the current fiscal policy is not significantly changed, future generations will face a much heavier fiscal burden than current generations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
75. Essays in credence goods and repeated games
- Author
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Bailey, Kirk James and Meyer, Meg
- Subjects
338.6 ,Industrial economics ,Microeconomics ,credence goods ,welfare ,competition ,search ,asymmetric information ,partnerships ,overlapping generations ,repeated games - Abstract
This thesis presents two chapters on credence goods and one on ongoing partnerships in an infinitely repeated game. The chapters on credence goods focus on the welfare and efficiency of equilibria in overcharging models of credence goods, something which has not been explicitly addressed before. The chapter on partnerships presents a theory explaining ongoing partnerships as solving a commitment problem for clients. There is a small literature on partnerships, and this chapter represents a novel but complimentary approach to that literature. At core, chapters 2, 3 and 4 of this thesis ask the following questions respectively: Do competition and information increase welfare in credence goods markets? How do customers in credence goods markets discipline experts from committing fraud? Can these strategies be welfare ranked? Why do ongoing partnerships exist? What problem do they solve?
- Published
- 2011
76. Demography and provisions for retirement: the pension composition, a behavioral approach.
- Author
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Van Praag, Bernard M.S. and Hop, J. Peter
- Subjects
- *
SOCIAL security , *OVERLAPPING generations model (Economics) , *DEMOGRAPHY - Abstract
Pensions may be provided for in a modern society by a mix of several methods, namely by voluntary individual savings, mandatory fully-funded occupational pension systems, mandatory social security financed by pay-as-you-go, and old-fashioned hoarding in cash. We call a specific mixture of the four systems a pension composition. We assume that individual workers decide on their own individual savings, that the fully-funded occupational system is decided upon by the age cohort of the median worker, and that social security is decided upon by the median voter. We assume that individual and collective pension savings are the only sources of capital supply. When capital supply equals demand from industry, there is equilibrium in the capital market with a corresponding equilibrium interest rate and pension composition. In this paper, we assume a demography with one hundred age brackets and we investigate how changes in the birth rates, survival rates, and the retirement age affect the pension composition and the capital market equilibrium. Our conclusion is that for a given technology, the pension composition and the interest rate are determined by the demography and cannot be modified at will as a long-term political instrument. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
77. CAN STATUS SEEKING BEHAVIOUR BE GOOD FOR THE ENVIRONMENT?
- Author
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SAFI, FATMA
- Subjects
- *
SOCIAL status , *ENVIRONMENTAL quality , *KUZNETS curve - Abstract
Striving to improve social position via consumption generate resources exhaustion, as not all of us can enhance our social position. Status concern behaviour ought thus to be likely harmful to the environment. Nevertheless, numerous investigations show that status concern and growth are linked, and several investigations categorized as Environmental Kuznets curves, show that growth in fact ameliorates the environment. If status concern boosts growth it even may, in the long run, ameliorates the environment. How does status seeking behaviour influence the environment? We examine this question using an overlapping generations model including status and environmental externalities. It is shown that striving for status has both negative and positive impacts on environmental quality. Whether the positive impact dominates the negative one depends on the degrees of status seeking, environmental externalities and the size of the economy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
78. Trading Off Generations: Infinitely Lived Agent Versus OLG
- Author
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Schneider, Maik T., Traeger, Christian P., and Winkler, Ralph
- Subjects
climate change ,intergenerational equity ,overlapping generations ,time preference ,discounting ,infinitely lived agents - Abstract
The prevailing literature discusses intergenerational trade-offs in climatechange predominantly in terms of the Ramsey equation relying on the infinitelylived agent model. We discuss these trade-offs in a continuous time OLG framework and relate our results to the infinitely lived agent setting. We identify three shortcomings of the latter: First, underlying normative assumptions about social preferences cannot be deduced unambiguously. Second, the distribution among generations living at the same time cannot be captured. Third, the optimal solution may not be implementable in overlapping generations market economies.
- Published
- 2012
79. Macroeconomic and generational impacts of fiscal devaluation: an application for the Brazilian case
- Author
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Carlos Eduardo de Freitas and Nelson Leitão Paes
- Subjects
dynamic general equilibrium model ,overlapping generations ,fiscal devaluation ,Economic history and conditions ,HC10-1085 ,Economics as a science ,HB71-74 - Abstract
Tax devaluation typically involves the reduction of social security contributions on the payroll with the increase of tax on consumption. This study evaluates the impact of fiscal devaluation in Brazil on consumption, capital, output and income distribution between generations. It uses a dynamic general equilibrium model with overlapping generations, finite life spans, risk of death and social security. The results suggest that the fiscal devaluation causes positive, yet modest, impact on product, capital and long-term consumption without major sacrifices for the economy in its transition path.
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
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80. The Redistributive Effects of Monetary Policy Across Generations
- Author
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Olga Bondarenko
- Subjects
monetary policy ,wealth redistribution ,overlapping generations ,heterogeneous agents ,Finance ,HG1-9999 ,Economics as a science ,HB71-74 - Abstract
The paper revises the redistributive channels of monetary policy transmission and their impact on income and wealth distributions in a New-Keynesian Overlapping Generations (OLG) model. The model mimics total asset holdings and earnings processes of several types of households across generations, based on their attitude to saving and income group. In this environment, expansionary monetary shocks stimulate capital and debt accumulation to a larger extent for middle-aged individuals, contributing to intergenerational inequality. Heterogeneity of labor income augments this effect, benefitting richer and more productive workers.
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
81. Equilibrium Dynamics in a Two-Sector OLG Model with Liquidity Constraint
- Author
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Le Riche, Antoine, Magris, Francesco, Yannelis, Nicholas C., Series editor, Kehoe, Timothy J., Series editor, Cornet, Bernard, Series editor, Nishimura, Kazuo, editor, and Venditti, Alain, editor
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
82. Public Debt
- Author
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Ihori, Toshihiro and Ihori, Toshihiro
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
83. Entrepreneurial Skills, Technological Progress, and Firm Growth*.
- Author
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Iza, Amaia
- Subjects
TECHNOLOGICAL progress ,PLANT life cycles ,LIFE skills ,ABILITY ,AGING in plants - Abstract
Using cross‐country establishment‐level data, I show that employment profiles over a firm's life cycle are flatter in fast‐growing economies than in slow‐growing economies. The difference in average employment over the firm's life cycle increases with plant age. I propose a frictionless overlapping‐generations model with exogenous technological progress. Firm productivity also depends on entrepreneurs' skills. Entrepreneurs can increase their skills over their life cycle, but the growth of the vintage component of younger cohorts' skills is higher in fast‐growing economies than in slow‐growing economies. This model is able to explain most of the differences observed in the sample between fast‐growing and slow‐growing economies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
84. Growth with age-dependent preferences.
- Author
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Mehlum, Halvor, Torvik, Ragnar, and Valente, Simone
- Subjects
- *
ECONOMIC expansion , *YOUNG workers , *INCOME inequality , *SERVICE industries , *EMPLOYMENT agencies - Abstract
We study the consequences of age-dependent preferences for economic growth and structural change in a two-sector model with overlapping generations and non-dimishing returns to capital. Savings and accumulation rates depend on the relative price of services consumed by old agents and on the intergenerational distribution of income. The feedback effects originating in preferences and income distribution yield three possible long-run growth outcomes: sustained endogenous growth, decumulation traps, and bounded accumulation. In the endogenous growth scenario, the transition features rising savings and accumulation rates accompanied by distributional shifts in favor of young workers, growing employment and rising prices in the service sector. Traps are triggered by initially low capital in manufacturing and low employment in services. Bounded accumulation yielding zero long-run growth in per capita incomes is induced by preferences, not by diminishing returns to capital. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
85. Who bears the burden of universal health coverage? An assessment of alternative financing policies using an overlapping-generations general equilibrium model.
- Author
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Abu-Zaineh, Mohammad, Awawda, Sameera, and Ventelou, Bruno
- Subjects
CONSUMPTION tax ,INDIRECT taxation ,DEFICIT financing ,DIRECT taxation ,DEBT service - Abstract
In their quest for universal health coverage (UHC), many developing countries use alternative financing strategies including general revenues to expand health coverage to the whole population. Unless a policy adjustment is undertaken, future generations may foot the bill of the UHC. This raises the important policy questions of who bears the burden of UHC and whether the UHC-fiscal stance is sustainable in the long term. These two questions are addressed using an overlapping generations model within a general equilibrium (OLG-CGE) framework applied to Palestine. We assess and compare alternative ways of financing the UHC-ridden deficit (viz. deferred-debt, current and phased-manner finance) and their implications on fiscal sustainability and intergenerational inequalities. The policy instruments examined include direct labour-income tax and indirect consumption taxes as well as health insurance contributions. Results show that in the absence of any policy adjustment, the implementation of UHC would explode the fiscal deficit and debt-GDP ratio. This indicates that the UHC-fiscal stance is rather unsustainable in the long term, thus, calling for a policy adjustment to service the UHC debt. Among the policies we examined, a current rather than deferred-debt finance through consumption taxation emerged to be preferred over other policies in terms of its implications for both fiscal sustainability and intergenerational inequality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
86. On the Anatomy of Medical Progress Within an Overlapping Generations Economy.
- Author
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Frankovic, Ivan, Kuhn, Michael, and Wrzaczek, Stefan
- Subjects
MEDICAL innovations ,ANATOMY ,MEDICAL care ,PROGRESS ,GENERATIONS - Abstract
We study medical progress within a two-sector economy of overlapping generations subject to endogenous mortality. Individuals demand health care with a view to lowering mortality over their life-cycle. We characterise the individual optimum and the general equilibrium, and study the impact of a major medical innovation leading to an improvement in the effectiveness of health care. We find that general equilibrium effects dampen strongly the increase in health care usage following medical innovation. Moreover, an increase in savings offsets the negative impact on GDP per capita of a decline in the support ratio. Finally, we show that the reallocation of resources between the final goods and health care sector, following the innovation, plays a crucial role in shaping the general equilibrium impact. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
87. Endogenous preferences for parenting and macroeconomic outcomes.
- Author
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Hashimzade, Nigar
- Subjects
- *
SOCIAL norms , *HUMAN capital , *WORKING hours , *TIMESHARE (Real estate) , *JOINT custody of children - Abstract
This paper investigates the effects of parenting time on macroeconomic outcomes and welfare when parenting choices are determined by own childhood experience and social norms in an overlapping generations framework. Parenting time and material expenditures on children generate children's human capital. When the share of parenting time is relatively low and parenting and leisure are complements or weak substitutes the model has two steady-state equilibria with different welfare levels. In the high-welfare equilibrium parents have stronger endogenous taste for parenting and spend more time with children and less in paid work. Higher productivity due to the higher human capital more than compensates for the reduction in working hours, leading to a higher output level, in comparison to the low-welfare equilibrium. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
88. Macroeconomic and distributional effects of demographic change in an open economy—the case of Belgium.
- Author
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Devriendt, Willem and Heylen, Freddy
- Subjects
- *
MACROECONOMICS , *DEMOGRAPHIC surveys , *CAPITAL - Abstract
We construct and parameterize an overlapping generations model for an open economy with individuals who differ in innate ability. Key endogenous variables are hours worked, investment in human and physical capital, and per capita growth. The model replicates important data in Belgium since 1960 remarkably well. Simulating it, we observe that behavioral adjustments by households and firms contribute to reverse the negative arithmetical effect of future demographic change on per capita growth. Individuals work and study more. However, with unchanged policies, there remains a net negative effect on annual per capita growth of almost 0.3%-points on average in the next 25 years. This is mainly due to adverse consequences of reduced fertility and a declining working-age population on (the return to) physical capital investment. Model projections also point to rising income inequality induced by demographic change. Differences in the capacity of individuals to respond to increasing life expectancy by investing in education, and by saving, are key. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
89. Gérard-Varet, Louis-André (1944–2001)
- Author
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Ferreira, Rodolphe Dos Santos and Macmillan Publishers Ltd
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
90. Choosing an Environmental Policy: the Role of Intergenerational Inequality.
- Subjects
ENVIRONMENTAL policy ,CARBON taxes ,GROSS domestic product ,RENEWABLE energy sources - Abstract
Carbon emissions can be curbed down through a public intervention -- for instance, a public decision that increases directly the fraction of renewables in the energy mix, or a carbon tax. For a given target of reduction of carbon emissions, each policy instrument triggers different effects on prices, GDP and intergenerational inequality. In this context, the social choice as concerns the mix of instruments is not necessarily trivial. This article relies on a dynamic general equilibrium model with overlapping generations in order to determine the mix of instruments for different types of social preferences. This model is parameterised on German data. Results suggest that a social planner that takes account of the welfare of future generations and is highly averse to intergenerational inequality chooses to implement a relatively moderate, fully recycled carbon tax and to increase in parallel the fraction of renewables in the energy mix -- even if the recycled tax favors growth and future generations. Only authorities with utilitarist preferences implement a low-carbon transition relying mostly on a fully recycled carbon tax. Overall, our article suggests that intergenerational redistributive effects can significantly influence the social choice as concerns environmental policies and the mix of instruments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
91. Contribution of demography to economic growth
- Author
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Miguel Sánchez-Romero, Gemma Abio, Concepció Patxot, and Guadalupe Souto
- Subjects
Demographic dividend ,Fertility, Mortality ,Per-capita income growth ,Overlapping generations ,Public finance ,K4430-4675 ,Economic growth, development, planning ,HD72-88 - Abstract
Abstract From 1850 to 2000, in Western European countries life expectancy rose from 30–40 to 80 years and the average number of children per woman fell from 4 to 5 children to slightly more than one. To gauge the economic consequences of these demographic trends, we implement an overlapping generations model with heterogeneity by level of education in which individuals optimally decide their consumption of market- and home-produced goods as well as the time spent on paid and unpaid work. We find that around 17$$\%$$ % of the observed increase in per-capita income growth from 1850 to 2000 was due to the demographic transition. Around 50$$\%$$ % of the demographic contribution is explained by the increase in the average productivity per worker (productivity component), which arises from the change in the population’s age structure and the rise in households’ saving rate. The remaining 50$$\%$$ % is explained by the higher growth rate of workers relative to the total population (translation component).
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
92. GENERATIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF FISCAL BURDENS: A POSITIVE ANALYSIS
- Author
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Uchida, Yuki, 1000050305661, 0000-0002-9838-828X, Ono, Tetsuo, Uchida, Yuki, 1000050305661, 0000-0002-9838-828X, and Ono, Tetsuo
- Abstract
This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: Uchida Yuki, Ono Tetsuo. GENERATIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF FISCAL BURDENS: A POSITIVE ANALYSIS. International Economic Review, iere.12654 (2023), which has been published in final form at https://doi.org/10.1111/iere.12654. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Self-Archiving. This article may not be enhanced, enriched or otherwise transformed into a derivative work, without express permission from Wiley or by statutory rights under applicable legislation. Copyright notices must not be removed, obscured or modified. The article must be linked to Wiley’s version of record on Wiley Online Library and any embedding, framing or otherwise making available the article or pages thereof by third parties from platforms, services and websites other than Wiley Online Library must be prohibited., This study presents an overlapping generations model to analyze the impact of population aging on fiscal policy and intergenerational fiscal burden. Aging populations incentivize governments to increase capital and labor income tax rates and the public debt-to-GDP ratio, consistent with OECD evidence. Our model-based simulation for Japan and the United States (2000-2070) reveals that Japan will experience higher labor income tax rates, a greater public debt-to-GDP ratio, and a lower government expenditure-to-GDP ratio compared to the United States. From 2040 onwards, Japan is predicted to surpass the United States in terms of the capital taxrate.
- Published
- 2023
93. Heterogeneous expectations and equilibria selection in an evolutionary overlapping generations model
- Author
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Cavalli, F., Chen, H. -J., Li, M. -C., Naimzada, A., Pecora, Nicolo', Pecora N. (ORCID:0000-0002-3997-8140), Cavalli, F., Chen, H. -J., Li, M. -C., Naimzada, A., Pecora, Nicolo', and Pecora N. (ORCID:0000-0002-3997-8140)
- Abstract
The way agents form their expectations, and which equilibria are consequently selected, are issues that come over macroeconomic growth models that study the transition between states characterized by different levels of capital. Existing theoretical works in this area have been mostly dominated by perfect foresight models although alternative expectations schemes have been proposed in the last decades. In the present paper we propose an OLG model with capital accumulation assuming that agents employ simple yet heterogeneous rules to forecast the future course of the interest rate and the real wage. The forecasting rules are selected according to an evolutionary mechanism that, on the basis of a fitness measure, evaluates the performance of the heuristics agents are currently adopting. We analytically show that, in the heterogeneous setting we consider, multiple equilibria are possible, but the evolutionary heuristic switching allows for a decrease in the number of possible steady states, drives their selection, and reduces the actual possibility that the economy might be locked into a poverty trap.
- Published
- 2023
94. An Intergenerational Cost-Benefit Analysis of Climate Change
- Author
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Kavuncu, Yusuf Okan and Knabb, Shawn D.
- Subjects
Climate Change ,Environmental Policy ,Intergenerational Cost and Benefit ,Overlapping Generations - Abstract
This paper examines the intergenerational costs and benefts of environmental regulation in the context of climate change. We believe this issue has not been adequately addressed in comparison with the search for efficiency-induced outcomes in the relevant literature. The cost-benefit analysis employs a decentralized two-period overlapping generations framework based on the standard assumptions of the integrated assessment models. This structure allows us to capture realistic market imperfections arising from individual heterogeneity and productive activities across generations. On the policy front, we assume that the Kyoto Protocol, which is the most prominent global initiative, is strictly binding. Our results from numerical simulations indicate that the emissions stabilization policy is costly with some unpleasant implications for current and near future generations. The benefits of the Protocol will not be likely to appear for a long period oftime. Yet, the more detrimental the environmental deterioration is, the sooner the net benefit of stabilization policy will be.
- Published
- 2001
95. Pension policies in a model with endogenous fertility.
- Author
-
CIPRIANI, GIAM PIETRO and PASCUCCI, FRANCESCO
- Subjects
FERTILITY ,PENSIONS ,RETIREMENT age ,LIFE expectancy - Abstract
We set up an overlapping-generations model with endogenous fertility to study pensions policies in an ageing economy. We show that an increasing life expectancy may not be detrimental for the economy or the pension system itself. On the other hand, conventional policy measures, such as increasing the retirement age or changing the social security contribution rate could have undesired general equilibrium effects. In particular, both policies decrease capital per worker and might have negative effects on the fertility rate, thus exacerbating population ageing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
96. A historical welfare analysis of Social Security: Whom did the program benefit?
- Author
-
Peterman, William B. and Sommer, Kamila
- Subjects
CHARITIES ,HISTORICAL analysis ,WELFARE state - Abstract
A well‐established result in the literature is that Social Security reduces steady state welfare in a standard life cycle model. However, less is known about the historical quantitative effects of the program on agents who were alive when the program was adopted. In a computational life cycle model that simulates the Great Depression and the enactment of Social Security, this paper quantifies the welfare effects of the program's enactment on the cohorts of agents who experienced it. In contrast to the standard steady state results, we find that the adoption of the original Social Security generally improved these cohorts' welfare, in part because these cohorts received far more benefits relative to their contributions than they would have received if they lived their entire life in the steady state with Social Security. Moreover, the negative general equilibrium welfare effect of Social Security associated with capital crowd‐out was reduced during the transition, because it took many periods for agents to adjust their savings levels in response to the program's adoption. The positive welfare effect experienced by these transitional agents offers one explanation for why the program that may reduce welfare in the steady state was originally adopted. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
97. Structural Changes in the Labor Market and the Rise of Early Retirement in France and Germany.
- Author
-
Batyra, Anna, de la Croix, David, Pierrard, Olivier, and Sneessens, Henri R.
- Subjects
LABOR market ,EARLY retirement ,LABOR supply ,UNEMPLOYMENT statistics - Abstract
The rise of early retirement in Europe is typically attributed to the European system of taxes and transfers. A model with an imperfectly competitive labor market allows us to consider also the effects of bargaining power and of matching efficiency on pre‐retirement. We find that lower bargaining power of workers and declining matching efficiency have been important determinants of early retirement in France and Germany. These structural changes, combined with early retirement transfers and population aging, are also consistent with the employment and unemployment rates, labor share and seniority premia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
98. Unequal Vulnerability to Climate Change and the Transmission of Adverse Effects Through International Trade.
- Author
-
Constant, Karine and Davin, Marion
- Subjects
INTERNATIONAL trade ,CLIMATE change ,TERMS of trade - Abstract
In this paper, we consider the unequal distribution of climate change damages in the world and we examine how the underlying costs can spread from a vulnerable to a non-vulnerable country through international trade. To focus on such indirect effects, we treat this topic in a North–South trade overlapping generations model in which the South is vulnerable to the damages entailed by global pollution while the North is not. We show that the impacts of climate change in the South can be sources of welfare loss for northern consumers in both the long and the short run. In the long run, an increase in the South's vulnerability can reduce the welfare in the North economy even in the case in which it improves the terms of trade of the North. In the short run, the South's vulnerability can also represent a source of intergenerational inequity in the North. Therefore, we emphasize the strong economic incentives for non-vulnerable—and a fortiori less vulnerable—economies to reduce the climate change damages on more vulnerable countries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
99. 疊代模型中的零利率政策.
- Author
-
金志婷 and 薛智文
- Subjects
MONETARY policy ,INTEREST rates ,CHARITIES ,ECONOMIC development ,GROWTH rate - Abstract
Copyright of Taiwan Economic Forecast & Policy is the property of Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taiwan Economic Forecast & Policy and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2019
100. ASSET BUBBLES AND ECONOMIC GROWTH UNDER ENDOGENOUS MARKET STRUCTURE.
- Author
-
Takao, Kizuku
- Subjects
MARKET design & structure (Economics) ,ECONOMIC bubbles ,ECONOMIC development ,BUSINESS size ,RESEARCH & development - Abstract
By considering a simple endogenous growth model, we propose a new theoretical channel through which the presence of asset bubbles can promote economic growth. In the model economy, long-lived value-maximizing firms continuously improve the quality of their specific products through in-house research and development (R&D), while simultaneously new firms enter into the market. The key feature is endogenous market structure: The number of firms is endogenously determined, which leads to variation in firm size measured in terms of the scale of production at the level of an individual firm. The presence of asset bubbles unambiguously gives rise to larger firms. This allows in-house R&D expenditure to be spread over the greater numbers of goods that the firms produce, which can increase incentives to undertake in-house R&D. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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