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Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) reduce heart failure (HF) in a broad range of populations, but they have not been studied specifically in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We aimed to examine the association between SGLT2i eligibility and cardiovascular events in patients with AF to evaluate the potential utility of SGLT2is for AF management.We pooled data from 2 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of patients with AF (RE-LY and ACTIVE-W). Among patients assigned to anticoagulation arms, those meeting the enrollment criteria from at least 1 of the phase 3 SGLT2i RCTs were classified as "SGLT2i eligible" and the remainder as "SGLT2i ineligible." The primary outcome was the composite of HF hospitalization or cardiovascular death.A total of 21,484 patients with AF (mean age: 71.2 ± 8.8, 36.1% women, median CHAMost patients with AF do not currently have indications for SGLT2is but still have substantial risk of cardiovascular events. Future randomized trials should evaluate the efficacy of SGLT2is in patients with AF.

Aims Biomarkers specifically related to atrial tissue may increase the understanding of the pathophysiology of atrial fibrillation (AF) and further improve risk prediction in this setting. Bone morphogenetic protein 10 (BMP10) is a protein expressed in the atrial myocardium. We evaluated the association between BMP10 and the risk of ischaemic stroke and other cardiovascular events in large cohorts of patients with AF, treated with and without oral anticoagulation (OAC). Methods and results BMP10 was measured in plasma samples collected at randomisation in patients with AF without OAC in the ACTIVE A and AVERROES trials (n = 2974), and with OAC in the ARISTOTLE trial (n = 13 079). BMP10 was analysed with a prototype Elecsys immunoassay. Associations with outcomes were evaluated by Cox-regression models adjusted for clinical characteristics, kidney function, and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP). Median concentrations of BMP10 were 2.47 and 2.44 ng/mL, in the non-OAC and OAC cohort, respectively. Increasing BMP10 was associated with lower body mass index, older age, female sex, kidney dysfunction, and AF rhythm. BMP10 was consistently associated with ischaemic stroke. In the non-OAC cohort, BMP10 increased the concordance index of the multivariable model from 0.713 to 0.733 (P = 0.004) and in the OAC cohort from 0.673 to 0.694 (P < 0.001). Additionally, BMP10 maintained a significant prognostic value after additionally adjusting for NT-proBNP. BMP10 was not independently associated with bleeding or with death. Conclusion The novel atrial biomarker BMP10 was independently associated with ischaemic stroke in patients with AF irrespective of OAC treatment. BMP10 seems to be more specifically related to the risk of ischaemic stroke in AF. One-sentence Summary In this study, BMP10 may be a novel specific biomarker of ischaemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation, irrespective of oral anticoagulation.

BACKGROUND Direct-acting oral anticoagulant use for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation is limited by bleeding concerns. Asundexian, a novel, oral small molecule activated coagulation factor XIa (FXIa) inhibitor, might reduce thrombosis with minimal effect on haemostasis. We aimed to determine the optimal dose of asundexian and to compare the incidence of bleeding with that of apixaban in patients with atrial fibrillation. METHODS In this randomised, double-blind, phase 2 dose-finding study, we compared asundexian 20 mg or 50 mg once daily with apixaban 5 mg twice daily in patients aged 45 years or older with atrial fibrillation, a CHA2DS2-VASc score of at least 2 if male or at least 3 if female, and increased bleeding risk. The study was conducted at 93 sites in 14 countries, including 12 European countries, Canada, and Japan. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1:1) to a treatment group using an interactive web response system, with randomisation stratified by whether patients were receiving a direct-acting oral anticoagulant before the study start. Masking was achieved using a double-dummy design, with participants receiving both the assigned treatment and a placebo that resembled the non-assigned treatment. The primary endpoint was the composite of major or clinically relevant non-major bleeding according to International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis criteria, assessed in all patients who took at least one dose of study medication. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04218266, and EudraCT, 2019-002365-35. FINDINGS Between Jan 30, 2020, and June 21, 2021, 862 patients were enrolled. 755 patients were randomly assigned to treatment. Two patients (assigned to asundexian 20 mg) never took any study medication, resulting in 753 patients being included in the analysis (249 received asundexian 20 mg, 254 received asundexian 50 g, and 250 received apixaban). The mean age of participants was 73·7 years (SD 8·3), 309 (41%) were women, 216 (29%) had chronic kidney disease, and mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was 3·9 (1·3). Asundexian 20 mg resulted in 81% inhibition of FXIa activity at trough concentrations and 90% inhibition at peak concentrations; asundexian 50 mg resulted in 92% inhibition at trough concentrations and 94% inhibition at peak concentrations. Ratios of incidence proportions for the primary endpoint were 0·50 (90% CI 0·14-1·68) for asundexian 20 mg (three events), 0·16 (0·01-0·99) for asundexian 50 mg (one event), and 0·33 (0·09-0·97) for pooled asundexian (four events) versus apixaban (six events). The rate of any adverse event occurring was similar in the three treatment groups: 118 (47%) with asundexian 20 mg, 120 (47%) with asundexian 50 mg, and 122 (49%) with apixaban. INTERPRETATION The FXIa inhibitor asundexian at doses of 20 mg and 50 mg once daily resulted in lower rates of bleeding compared with standard dosing of apixaban, with near-complete in-vivo FXIa inhibition, in patients with atrial fibrillation. FUNDING Bayer.

Aims It is unknown whether Asian and non-Asian patients with atherosclerotic vascular disease derive similar benefits from long-term antithrombotic therapy. Methods and results In patients with chronic coronary artery disease (CAD) and/or peripheral artery disease (PAD) enrolled in The Cardiovascular Outcomes for People Using Anticoagulation Strategies trial, the effects of rivaroxaban 2.5 mg b.i.d. plus aspirin 100 mg o.d. were compared with those of aspirin 100 mg o.d. in Asian vs. non-Asian patients (race was self-identified). Asians (n = 4269) vs. non-Asians (n = 23 126) had similar rates of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) (4.85% vs. 4.83%, P = 0.30) and modified International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis (ISTH) major bleeding (2.72% vs. 2.58%, P = 0.22), but higher rates of intracranial haemorrhage (ICH) (0.63% vs. 0.29%, P = 0.01) and minor bleeding (13.61% vs. 6.49%, P Conclusion Asian compared with non-Asian patients with chronic CAD and/or PAD have higher rates of ICH and minor bleeding. The combination of rivaroxaban and aspirin vs. aspirin alone produces similar effects for MACE, modified ISTH major bleeding, and net clinical outcome but may be associated with higher rates of ICH in Asian patients.

ObjectiveWhile greater body mass index (BMI) is associated with increased risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF), the impact of BMI on outcomes in newly diagnosed AF is unclear. We examine the influence of BMI on outcomes and whether this is modified by sex and evaluate the effect of non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in patients with high BMI.MethodsGARFIELD-AF is a prospective registry of 52 057 newly diagnosed AF patients. The study population comprised 40 482 participants: 703 underweight (BMI 2), 13 095 normal (BMI=18.5–24.9 kg/m2), 15 043 overweight (BMI=25.0–29.9 kg/m2), 7560 obese (BMI=30.0–34.9 kg/m2) and 4081 extremely obese (BMI ≥35.0 kg/m2). Restricted cubic splines quantified the association of BMI with outcomes. Comparative effectiveness of NOACs and vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) by BMI was performed using propensity score overlap-weighted Cox models.ResultsThe median age of participants was 71.0 years (Q1; Q3 62.0; 78.0), and 55.6% were male. Those with high BMI were younger, more often had vascular disease, hypertension and diabetes. Within 2-year follow-up, a U-shaped relationship between BMI and all-cause mortality was observed, with BMI of ~30 kg/m2 associated with the lowest risk. The association with new/worsening heart failure was similar. Only low BMI was associated with major bleeding and no association emerged for non-haemorrhagic stroke. BMI was similarly associated with outcomes in men and women. BMI did not impact the lower rate of all-cause mortality of NOACs compared with VKAs.ConclusionsIn the GARFIELD-AF registry, underweight and extremely obese AF patients have increased risk of mortality and new/worsening heart failure compared with normal or obese patients.

Introduction: Heart failure (HF) is the leading cause of death in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Although sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) reduce HF in a broad range of populations, they have not been studied specifically in patients with AF. Objective: We aimed to determine the proportion of AF patients who are eligible for an SGLT2i based on co-morbidities, and compare their risk of cardiovascular outcomes to ineligible patients. Methods: We pooled data from two randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of AF patients (RE-LY and ACTIVE-W). Among patients assigned to the anticoagulation arms, those meeting the inclusion criteria from at least one of the large Phase 3 SGLT2i RCTs were included in the “SGLT2i-eligible” and the others in the “SGLT2i-ineligible” group. Eligibility indications were diabetes mellitus + cardiovascular disease (DM+CVD), HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), and renal disease. We examined a primary outcome of cardiovascular death and hospitalization for HF, and compared study outcomes between SGLT2i-eligible and ineligible groups. Results: A total of 21485 AF patients (mean age: 71.2±8.8, 36.1% women, Median CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc Score = 3, IQR 2-4) met inclusion. The proportion of AF patients eligible for treatment with an SGLT2i was 23.6%, with 8.9%, 22.6%, 9.1% being eligible for Empagliflozin, Dapagliflozin, and Canagliflozin, respectively. Renal disease (17.6%) was the most common eligibility indication, followed by DM+CVD (9.0%) and HFrEF (5.3%). After a median follow-up of 1.9 years, the incidence of cardiovascular death/hospitalization for HF (10.9% vs. 6.3%, p Conclusion: The majority of AF patients are not eligible for an SGLT2i. Although these patients are lower-risk than eligible patients, they still have high rates of cardiovascular events. RCTs are needed to test the efficacy of SGLT2is in AF patients.

Background: Biomarkers specifically related to the atrial tissue might increase the understanding of the pathophysiology and improve risk prediction in atrial fibrillation (AF). Bone morphogenetic protein 10 (BMP10) is a novel biomarker expressed in atrial myocardium. We evaluated the association between BMP10 and the risk of stroke, bleeding, and death in patients with AF not treated with oral anticoagulation. Methods: BMP10 was measured in 2,974 plasma samples collected at randomisation in patients with AF randomized to aspirin in two cohorts, the ACTIVE-A (n=951) and AVERROES (n=2023) trials, median follow-up of 3.8 and 1.2 years, respectively. BMP10 was analysed with a prototype Elecsys electrochemiluminescence immunoassay. Associations between BMP10 and outcomes were evaluated by Cox-regression analyses adjusted for clinical characteristics, kidney function, and NT-proBNP. Results: Median age was 71 years, 58.1% were men. The median concentration of BMP10 was 2.46 (25 th -75 th percentiles, 2.09 - 2.94) ng/L. The variables most strongly associated with higher BMP10 levels were: heart rhythm (AF vs sinus), older age, female sex, lower BMI, and kidney dysfunction. BMP10 was the baseline variable most strongly associated with ischemic stroke during follow-up (Figure). After adjustments, the hazard ratio for ischemic stroke (BMP10 3rd vs 1st quartile) was 1.57 [95%CI 1.08-2.28], p=0.025), and the discriminatory value (c-index) was 0.643 (vs 0.634 of CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score) and improved the full model from 0.737 to 0.746. BMP10 was not associated with bleeding or death. The results were consistent across both cohorts and irrespective of cardiac rhythm at blood sampling. Conclusions: In patients with AF, circulating plasma levels of BMP10 are independently associated with the risk of ischemic stroke but not with bleeding or death. BMP10 has an incremental discriminatory value for the risk of ischemic stroke, and may be a novel specific biomarker in patients with AF.

Background: NT-proBNP is elevated in patients with a diagnosis of atrial fibrillation (AF) and associated with risk of stroke and other outcomes. The associations have mainly been studied in patients on oral anticoagulation and not considering if samples were obtained during AF or sinus rhythm. We investigated the association of NT-proBNP with heart rhythm and cardiovascular (CV) events in patients with AF without oral anticoagulation. Methods: Plasma samples were obtained at baseline in 3184 patients with diagnosis of AF (2142 in AF rhythm at blood sampling) receiving aspirin in two multicenter randomized clinical trials with median follow-up 1.2 years (AVERROES) and 3.8 years (ACTIVE A), respectively. NT-proBNP was analyzed using Elecsys electrochemiluminescence immunoassay. Association of NT-proBNP with clinical variables was assessed with multivariable linear regression models. Association with outcomes were estimated with Cox-regression models adjusting for clinical variables. Results: Median age was 71 years, 57.8% were men, and median NT-proBNP 713 ng/L (25 th -75 th percentiles, 282-1388 ng/L). Variables contributing to NT-proBNP level were, in reducing order: AF rhythm (ratio of geometric means 2.9), age, creatinine, and prior heart failure. Levels of NT-proBNP were significantly associated with ischemic stroke (HR 3 rd vs 1 st quartile 2.1, 95%CI 1.5-3.0), heart failure hospitalizations (HR 2.2, 95%CI 1.6-2.9), and CV death (HR 2.4, 95% CI 1.8-3.3), all p Conclusion: In patients with a diagnosis AF, plasma levels of NT-proBNP are three times higher during AF rhythm compared with sinus rhythm. Higher levels of NT-proBNP are independently associated with ischemic stroke, heart failure hospitalizations, and CV death in AF patients without oral anticoagulation treatment, irrespective of heart rhythm.

The stepped-wedge (SW) cluster randomized controlled trial, in which clusters cross over in a randomized sequence from control to intervention, is ideal for the implementation and testing of complex health service interventions. In certain cases however, implementation of the intervention may pose logistical challenges, and variations in SW design may be required. We examine the logistical and statistical implications of variations in SW design using the optimization of the Patient-Centered Care Transitions in Heart Failure trial for illustration. We review the following complete SW design variations: a typical SW design; an SW design with multiple clusters crossing over per period to achieve balanced cluster sizes at each step; hierarchical randomization to account for higher-level clustering effects; nested substudies to measure outcomes requiring a smaller sample size than the primary outcomes; and hybrid SW design, which combines parallel cluster with SW design to improve efficiency. We also reviewed 3 incomplete SW design variations in which data are collected in some but not all steps to ease measurement burden. These include designs with a learning period that improve fidelity to the intervention, designs with reduced measurements to minimize collection burden, and designs with early and late blocks to accommodate cluster readiness. Variations in SW design offer pragmatic solutions to logistical challenges but have implications to statistical power. Advantages and disadvantages of each variation should be considered before finalizing the design of an SW randomized controlled trial.

Background Manual segmentations of intracranial hemorrhage on non-contrast CT images are the gold-standard in measuring hematoma growth but are prone to rater variability. Aims We demonstrate that a convex optimization-based interactive segmentation approach can accurately and reliably measure intracranial hemorrhage growth. Methods Baseline and 16-h follow-up head non-contrast CT images of 46 subjects presenting with intracranial hemorrhage were selected randomly from the ANNEXA-4 trial imaging database. Three users semi-automatically segmented intracranial hemorrhage to measure hematoma volume for each timepoint using our proposed method. Segmentation accuracy was quantitatively evaluated compared to manual segmentations by using Dice similarity coefficient, Pearson correlation, and Bland–Altman analysis. Intra- and inter-rater reliability of the Dice similarity coefficient and intracranial hemorrhage volumes and volume change were assessed by the intraclass correlation coefficient and minimum detectable change. Results Among the three users, the mean Dice similarity coefficient, Pearson correlation, and mean difference ranged from 76.79% to 79.76%, 0.970 to 0.980 ( p Conclusions We spatially and volumetrically validate a novel interactive segmentation method for delineating intracranial hemorrhage on head non-contrast CT images. Good spatial overlap, excellent volume correlation, and good repeatability suggest its usefulness for measuring intracranial hemorrhage volume and volume change on non-contrast CT images.

WOS: 000492999300054, PubMed: 31526123, Background and Purpose- Aortic arch atherosclerosis (AAA) is a possible source of embolism in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source. Previous studies reported high rates of embolic events in patients with AAA, especially those with high-risk AAA. This exploratory analysis of NAVIGATE ESUS (New Approach Rivaroxaban Inhibition of Factor Xa in a Global Trial Versus ASA to Prevent Embolism in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source) focused on patients with AAA and assessed their characteristics, stroke recurrence rates, and response to treatment. Methods- The detection of AAA and the assessment of its features were based on transesophageal echocardiography that was done in 19% of participants. AAA plaques were considered to have complex features when reported as complex or ulcerated or were >= 4 mm in thickness or had a mobile thrombus present. Results- Among 1382 participants who had transesophageal echocardiography, 397 (29%) had AAA and 112 (8%) had complex AAA. Mean (SD) age (63 [10] versus 67 [9] versus 69 [9]; P, BayerBayer AG; Janssen Research and Development, This study was supported by Bayer and Janssen Research and Development.

Aims Secondary prevention in patients with coronary artery disease and peripheral artery disease involves antithrombotic therapy and optimal control of cardiovascular risk factors. In the Cardiovascular Outcomes for People Using Anticoagulation Strategies (COMPASS) study, adding low-dose rivaroxaban on top of aspirin lowered cardiovascular events, but there is limited data about risk factor control in secondary prevention. We studied the association between risk factor status and outcomes, and the impact of risk factor status on the treatment effect of rivaroxaban, in a large contemporary population of patients with coronary artery disease or peripheral artery disease. Methods and results We reported ischemic events (cardiovascular death, stroke, or myocardial infarction) in participants from the randomized, double-blind COMPASS study by individual risk factor (blood pressure, smoking status, cholesterol level, presence of diabetes, body mass index, and level of physical activity), and by number of risk factors. We compared rates and hazard ratios of patients treated with rivaroxaban plus aspirin vs aspirin alone within each risk factor category and tested for interaction between risk factor status and antithrombotic regimen. Complete baseline risk factor status was available in 27,117 (99%) patients. Status and number of risk factors were both associated with increased risk of ischemic events. Rates of ischemic events (hazard ratio 2.2; 95% confidence interval 1.8–2.6) and cardiovascular death (hazard ratio 2.0; 1.5–2.7) were more than twofold higher in patients with 4–6 compared with 0–1 risk factors ( p Conclusion More favorable risk factor status and low-dose rivaroxaban were independently associated with lower risk of cardiovascular events.

Background: Patients with chronic coronary artery disease or peripheral artery disease and history of heart failure (HF) are at high risk for major adverse cardiovascular events. We explored the effects of rivaroxaban with or without aspirin in these patients. Methods: The COMPASS trial (Cardiovascular Outcomes for People Using Anticoagulation Strategies) randomized 27 395 participants with chronic coronary artery disease or peripheral artery disease to rivaroxaban 2.5 mg twice daily plus aspirin 100 mg daily, rivaroxaban 5 mg twice daily alone, or aspirin 100 mg alone. Patients with New York Heart Association functional class III or IV HF or left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) Results: Of the 5902 participants (22%) with a history of HF, 4971 (84%) had EF recorded at baseline, and 12% had EF P for interaction 0.28) but larger absolute risk reduction in those with HF (HF absolute risk reduction 2.4%, number needed to treat=42; no HF absolute risk reduction 1.0%, number needed to treat=103). The primary major adverse cardiovascular events outcome was not statistically different between those with EF P for interaction 0.36). The excess hazard for major bleeding was not different in participants with HF (2.5% versus 1.8%; HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 0.88–2.09) than in those without HF (3.3% versus 1.9%; HR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.45–2.21; P for interaction 0.26). There were no significant differences in the primary outcomes with rivaroxaban alone. Conclusions: In patients with chronic coronary artery disease or peripheral artery disease and a history of mild or moderate HF, combination rivaroxaban and aspirin compared with aspirin alone produces similar relative but larger absolute benefits than in those without HF. Clinical Trial Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT01776424.

Aims It is unknown whether cardioversion of atrial fibrillation causes thromboembolic events or is a risk marker. To assess causality, we examined the temporal pattern of thromboembolism in patients having cardioversion. Methods and results We studied patients randomized to aspirin or aspirin plus clopidogrel in the ACTIVE trials, comparing the thromboembolic rate in the peri-cardioversion period (30 days before until 30 days after) to the rate during follow-up, remote from cardioversion. Among 962 patients, the 30-day thromboembolic rate remote from cardioversion was 0.16%; while it was 0.73% in the peri-cardioversion period [hazard ratio (HR) 4.1, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.1–7.9]. The 30-day thromboembolic rates in the periods immediately before and after cardioversion were 0.47% and 0.96%, respectively (HR 2.2, 95% CI 0.7–7.1). Heart failure (HF) hospitalization increased in the peri-cardioversion period (HR 11.5, 95% CI 6.8–19.4). Compared to baseline, the thromboembolic rate in the 30 days following cardioversion was increased both in patients who received oral anticoagulation or a transoesophageal echocardiogram prior to cardioversion (HR 7.9, 95% CI 2.8–22.4) and in those who did not (HR 4.8, 95% CI 1.6–14.9) (interaction P = 0.2); the risk was also increased with successful (HR 4.5; 95% CI 2.0–10.5) and unsuccessful (HR 10.2; 95% CI 2.3–44.9) cardioversion. Conclusions Thromboembolic risk increased in the 30 days before cardioversion and persisted until 30 days post-cardioversion, in a pattern similar to HF hospitalization. These data suggest that the increased thromboembolic risk around the time of cardioversion may not be entirely causal, but confounded by the overall clinical deterioration of patients requiring cardioversion.

Background: Embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) identifies patients with cryptogenic ischemic stroke presumed due to embolism from several unidentified sources. Among patients with recent ESUS, we sought to determine independent predictors of recurrent ischemic stroke during treatment with aspirin or rivaroxaban and to assess the relative effects of these treatments according to risk. Methods: Exploratory analyses of 7213 participants in the NAVIGATE ESUS international trial who were randomized to aspirin 100 mg/day or rivaroxaban 15 mg/day and followed for a median of 11 months, during which time there were 309 first recurrent ischemic strokes (4.6% per year). Baseline features were correlated with recurrent stroke by multivariate analysis. Results: The 7 independent predictors of recurrent stroke were stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) prior to the qualifying stroke (hazard ratio [HR] 2.03 95% confidence internal [CI] 1.58-2.60), current tobacco user (HR 1.62, 95% CI 1.24-2.12), age (HR 1.02 per year increase, 95%CI 1.01-1.03), diabetes (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.01-1.64), multiple acute infarcts on neuroimaging (HR 1.49, 95% CI 1.09-2.02), aspirin use prior to qualifying stroke (HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.02-1.70), and time from qualifying stroke to randomization (HR .98, 95% CI .97-.99). The rate of recurrent stroke rate was 2.6% per year for participants without any of these risk factors, and increased by an average of 45% for each independent predictor (P < .001). There were no significant interactions between treatment effects and independent stroke predictors or stroke risk status. Conclusions: In this large cohort of ESUS patients, several features including prior stroke or TIA, advanced age, current tobacco user, multiple acute infarcts on neuroimaging, and diabetes independently identified those with an increased risk of ischemic stroke recurrence. The relative effects of rivaroxaban and aspirin were similar across the spectrum of independent stroke predictors and recurrent stroke risk status. (Less)

Background The COMPASS (Cardiovascular Outcomes for People Using Anticoagulation Strategies) trial showed that the combination of low-dose rivaroxaban and aspirin reduced major vascular events in patients with stable vascular disease. Objectives The purpose of this study was to identify subsets of patients at higher risk of recurrent vascular events, which may help focus the use of rivaroxaban and aspirin therapy. Methods COMPASS patients with vascular disease were risk stratified using 2 methods: the REACH (REduction of Atherothrombosis for Continued Health) atherothrombosis risk score and CART (Classification and Regression Tree) analysis. The absolute risk differences for rivaroxaban with aspirin were compared to aspirin alone over 30 months for the composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, stroke, acute limb ischemia, or vascular amputation; for severe bleeding; and for the net clinical benefit. Results High-risk patients using the REACH score were those with 2 or more vascular beds affected, history of heart failure (HF), or renal insufficiency, and by CART analysis were those with ≥2 vascular beds affected, history of HF, or diabetes. Rivaroxaban and aspirin combination reduced the serious vascular event incidence by 25% (4.48% vs. 5.95%, hazard ratio: 0.75; 95% confidence interval: 0.66 to 0.85), equivalent to 23 events prevented per 1,000 patients treated for 30 months, at the cost of a nonsignificant 34% increase in severe bleeding (1.34; 95% confidence interval: 0.95 to 1.88), or 2 events caused per 1,000 patients treated. Among patients with ≥1 high-risk feature identified from the CART analysis, rivaroxaban and aspirin prevented 33 serious vascular events, whereas in lower-risk patients, rivaroxaban and aspirin treatment led to the avoidance of 10 events per 1,000 patients treated for 30 months. Conclusions In patients with vascular disease, further risk stratification can identify higher-risk patients (≥2 vascular beds affected, HF, renal insufficiency, or diabetes). The net clinical benefit remains favorable for most patients treated with rivaroxaban and aspirin compared with aspirin.

Objectives The purpose of this study was to compare the effectiveness of bucindolol with that of metoprolol succinate for the maintenance of sinus rhythm in a genetically defined heart failure (HF) population with atrial fibrillation (AF). Background Bucindolol is a beta-blocker whose unique pharmacologic properties provide greater benefit in HF patients with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) who have the beta1-adrenergic receptor (ADRB1) Arg389Arg genotype. Methods A total of 267 HFrEF patients with a left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) Results The hazard ratio (HR) for the primary endpoint was 1.01 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.71 to 1.42), but trends for bucindolol benefit were observed in several subgroups. Precision therapeutic phenotyping revealed that a differential response to bucindolol was associated with the interval of time from the initial diagnoses of AF and HF to randomization and with the onset of AF relative to that of the initial HF diagnosis. In a cohort whose first AF and HF diagnoses were Conclusions Pharmacogenetically guided bucindolol therapy did not reduce the recurrence of AF/AFL or ACM compared to that of metoprolol therapy in HFrEF patients, but populations were identified who merited further investigation in future phase 3 trials.

Background: We aimed to estimate absolute benefit and harm from treatment with dabigatran in individual patients with atrial fibrillation, and to select the optimal dose for each individual. Methods: We derived and validated a prediction model for ischemic stroke/systemic embolism and major bleeding in patients with atrial fibrillation from the 3 treatment arms of the RE-LY trial (Randomized Evaluation of Long-Term Anticoagulation Therapy With Dabigatran Etexilate) (n=11 955 in derivation cohort, n=6158 in validation cohort). Readily available patient characteristics were included in Fine and Gray competing risk models (sex, age, smoking, antiplatelet drugs, previous vascular disease, diabetes mellitus, blood pressure, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and hemoglobin). Five-year risks for ischemic stroke/systemic embolism and major bleeding were estimated without anticoagulation therapy, and compared with high- and low-dose dabigatran. Results: Model calibration was good, and discrimination was adequate with a c-statistic of 0.65 (95% CI, 0.62–0.70) for ischemic stroke/systemic embolism and 0.69 (95% CI, 0.66–0.71) for major bleeding. The 5-year absolute risk reduction for ischemic stroke/systemic embolism with dabigatran 150 mg twice daily ranged from 25% in 14% of patients, and the 5-year absolute risk increase for major bleeding ranged from Conclusions: The absolute treatment benefits and harms of dabigatran in atrial fibrillation can be estimated based on readily available patient characteristics. Such treatment effect estimations can be used for shared decision making before starting dabigatran treatment and to determine the optimal dose. Clinical Trial Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT00262600.

Background Chronic kidney disease is associated with an increased risk of both bleeding and ischemic cardiovascular events. Objective The purpose of this study was to determine the balance of risks and benefits from the dual pathway antithrombotic regimen (rivaroxaban 2.5 mg twice daily [bd] plus aspirin, compared with aspirin) in vascular patients with or without moderate renal dysfunction. Methods This was a secondary analysis of the COMPASS (Cardiovascular OutcoMes for People using Anticoagulation StrategieS) trial involving 27,395 patients with chronic coronary or peripheral artery disease. Results In COMPASS, 21,111 patients had an estimated glomerular filtration rate (GFR) at baseline of ≥60 ml/min, 6,276 had a GRF of Conclusions The benefits of the dual pathway COMPASS regimen (rivaroxaban 2.5 mg bd plus aspirin), versus aspirin alone, are preserved in patients with moderate renal dysfunction without evidence of an excess hazard of bleeding.

Background Heart failure (HF) is a common complication to atrial fibrillation (AF), leading to rehospitalization and death. Early identification of patients with AF at risk for HF might improve outcomes. We aimed to derive a score to predict 1‐year risk of new‐onset HF after an emergency department (ED) visit with AF. Methods and Results The RE‐LY AF (Randomized Evaluation of Long‐Term Anticoagulant Therapy) registry enrolled patients with AF presenting to an ED in 47 countries, and followed them for a year. The end point was HF hospitalization and/or HF death. Among 15 400 ED patients, 9765 had no prior HF (mean age, 64.9±14.9 years). Within 1 year, new‐onset HF developed in 6.8% of patients, of whom 21% died of HF. Independent predictors of HF included left ventricular hypertrophy (odds ratio [OR], 1.47; 95% CI, 1.19–1.82), valvular heart disease (OR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.18–2.04), smoking (OR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.12–1.78), height (OR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.90–0.95 per 3 cm), age (OR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.07–1.15 per 5 years), rheumatic heart disease (OR, 1.77, 95% CI, 1.24–2.51), prior myocardial infarction (OR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.45–2.36), remaining in AF at ED discharge (OR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.46–2.36), and diabetes (OR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.09–1.64). A continuous risk prediction score (LVS‐HARMED [left ventricular, valvular heart disease, smoking or other tobacco use, height, age, rheumatic heart disease, myocardial infarction, emergency department discharge rhythm, and diabetes]) had good discrimination (C statistic, 0.735; 95% CI, 0.716–0.755). Validation was conducted internally using bootstrapping (optimism‐corrected C statistic, 0.705) and externally (C statistic, 0.699). The 1‐year incidence of HF hospitalization and/or HF death across quartile groups of the score was 1.1%, 4.5%, 6.9%, and 14.4%, respectively. LVS‐HARMED also predicted incident stroke (C statistic, 0.753; 95% CI, 0.728–0.778). Conclusions The LVS‐HARMED score predicts new‐onset HF after an ED visit for AF. Preventative strategies should be considered in patients with high LVS‐HARMED HF risk.

Background: Bucindolol is a genetically targeted β-blocker/mild vasodilator with the unique pharmacological properties of sympatholysis and ADRB1 Arg389 receptor inverse agonism. In the GENETIC-AF trial (Genotype-Directed Comparative Effectiveness Trial of Bucindolol and Toprol-XL for the Prevention of Symptomatic Atrial Fibrillation/Atrial Flutter in Patients With Heart Failure) conducted in a genetically defined heart failure population at high risk for recurrent atrial fibrillation (AF), similar results were observed for bucindolol and metoprolol succinate for the primary end point of time to first AF event; however, AF burden and other rhythm control measures were not analyzed. Methods: The prevalence of ECGs in normal sinus rhythm, AF interventions for rhythm control (cardioversion, ablation, and antiarrhythmic drugs) and biomarkers were evaluated in the overall population entering efficacy follow-up (N=257). AF burden was evaluated for 24 weeks in the device substudy (N=67). Results: In 257 patients with heart failure, the mean age was 65.6±10.0 years, 18% were female, mean left ventricular ejection fraction was 36%, and 51% had persistent AF. Cumulative 24-week AF burden was 24.4% (95% CI, 18.5–30.2) for bucindolol and 36.7% (95% CI, 30.0–43.5) for metoprolol (33% reduction, P P P P =0.011). Reductions in plasma norepinephrine ( P =0.038) and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide; P =0.009) were also observed with bucindolol compared with metoprolol. Conclusions: Compared with metoprolol, bucindolol reduced AF burden, improved maintenance of sinus rhythm, and lowered the need for additional rhythm control interventions in patients with heart failure and the ADRB1 Arg389Arg genotype. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov ; Unique identifier: NCT01970501.

Background: Heart failure (HF) is a frequent cause of hospitalization and death in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Identifying AF patients at risk of HF hospitalization could help select individuals for intensive follow-up and treatment. Methods: We pooled data from 3 randomized trials (ACTIVE-A, RE-LY, AVERROES) of AF patients, for derivation and internal validation of a risk score for first HF hospitalization. Secondary endpoints were cardiovascular death and a composite of HF hospitalizations and cardiovascular death. Results: In 23,503 patients, the mean age was 71.3 years, and 62% were male. Over a mean follow-up of 2.0 years, 875 patients (3.7%) experienced their first HF hospitalization, and 1037 patients (4.4%) died from cardiovascular causes. Incidence rates per 100 patient-years were 1.85 for HF hospitalizations, 2.15 for cardiovascular death, and 3.71 for the composite. Independent predictors for HF hospitalizations included the following: increased age, weight, heart rate and serum creatinine level, lower height and systolic blood pressure, diabetes, vascular disease, valvular disease, heart rhythm, left ventricular hypertrophy, and intraventricular conduction delay. The C-statistic (95% confidence intervals by bootstrap simulations) was 0.717 (0.705-0.732). At 2 years of follow-up, the incidence rate of the primary outcome increased across risk-score quintiles: 0.49, 0.87, 1.29, 2.44, and 4.51 per 100 patient-years, respectively. Patients in the highest quintile had an absolute risk of 6.8% for the primary endpoint at 2 years. Conclusions: In a large AF population, new-onset HF was common. A combination of characteristics can identify high-risk patients for whom strategies to prevent HF should be considered. Résumé: Introduction: L’insuffisance cardiaque (IC) est une cause fréquente d’hospitalisation et de décès chez les patients atteints de fibrillation auriculaire (FA). Le repérage des patients atteints de FA exposés au risque d’hospitalisation liée à l’IC pourrait faciliter la sélection des individus pour un suivi et un traitement intensifs. Méthodes: Nous avons regroupé les données de trois essais contrôlés (ACTIVE-A, RE-LY, AVERROES) de patients atteints de FA pour obtenir la dérivation et la validation interne d’un score de risque lors de la première hospitalisation liée à l’IC. Les critères secondaires étaient les décès dus aux maladies cardiovasculaires et le critère composite d’hospitalisations liées à l’IC et de décès dus aux maladies cardiovasculaires. Résultats: L’âge moyen des 23 503 patients, dont 62 % étaient des hommes, était de 71,3 ans. Durant un suivi moyen de 2,0 ans, 875 patients (3,7 %) ont subi leur première hospitalisation liée à l’IC, et 1 037 patients (4,4 %) sont morts de maladies cardiovasculaires. Les taux d’incidence par 100 patients-années étaient de 1,85 pour les hospitalisations liées à l’IC, de 2,15 pour les décès dus aux maladies cardiovasculaires et de 3,71 pour le critère composite. Les prédicteurs indépendants des hospitalisations liées à l’IC étaient les suivants : l’âge avancé, le poids, la fréquence cardiaque et la concentration sérique de la créatinine, la taille inférieure et la pression artérielle systolique, le diabète, les maladies vasculaires, la valvulopathie, le rythme cardiaque, l’hypertrophie ventriculaire gauche et le retard de conduction intraventriculaire. La statistique C (intervalles de confiance à 95 % obtenus par simulations d’auto-amorçage) était de 0,717 (0,705-0,732). Après deux ans de suivi, le taux d’incidence du critère d’évaluation principal augmentait de façon respective dans tous les quintiles de scores de risque : 0,49, 0,87, 1,29, 2,44 et 4,51 par 100 patients-années. Les patients dans le quintile supérieur avaient un risque absolu du critère d’évaluation principal de 6,8 % après deux ans. Conclusions: Dans une vaste population atteinte de FA, l’IC d’apparition récente était fréquente. La combinaison des caractéristiques peut permettre de déterminer les patients exposés à un risque élevé chez lesquels des stratégies de prévention de l’IC devraient être envisagées.

Digital, Aims To compare the prevalence of electrocardiogram (ECG)-documented atrial fibrillation (or flutter) (AF) across eight regions of the world, and to examine antithrombotic use and clinical outcomes. Methods and results Baseline ECGs were collected in 153 152 middle-aged participants (ages 35–70 years) to document AF in two community-based studies, spanning 20 countries. Medication use and clinical outcome data (mean follow-up of 7.4 years) were available in one cohort. Cross-sectional analyses were performed to document the prevalence of AF and medication use, and associations between AF and clinical events were examined prospectively. Mean age of participants was 52.1 years, and 57.7% were female. Age and sex-standardized prevalence of AF varied 12-fold between regions; with the highest in North America, Europe, China, and Southeast Asia (270–360 cases per 100 000 persons); and lowest in the Middle East, Africa, and South Asia (30–60 cases per 100 000 persons) (P, Ciencias Médicas y de la Salud

Aims To analyse whether the benefits and risks of rivaroxaban plus aspirin vary in patients with comorbidities and receiving multiple drugs. In patients with coronary or peripheral artery disease, adding low-dose rivaroxaban to aspirin reduces cardiovascular events and mortality. Polypharmacy and multimorbidity are frequent in such patients. Methods and results We describe ischaemic events (cardiovascular death, stroke, or myocardial infarction) and major bleeding in participants from the randomized, double-blind COMPASS study by number of cardiovascular medications and concomitant medical conditions. We compared event rates and hazard ratios (HRs) for rivaroxaban plus aspirin vs. aspirin alone by the number of medications and concomitant conditions, and tested for interaction between polypharmacy or multimorbidity and the antithrombotic regimen. The risk of ischaemic events was higher in patients with more concomitant drugs (HR 1.7, 95% confidence interval 1.5–2.1 for >4 vs. 0–2) and with more comorbidities (HR 2.3, 1.8–2.1 for >3 vs. 0–1). Multimorbidity, but not polypharmacy, was associated with a higher risk of major bleeding. The relative efficacy, safety, and net clinical benefit of rivaroxaban were not affected by the number of drugs or comorbidities. Patients taking more concomitant medications derived the largest absolute reduction in the net clinical outcome with added rivaroxaban (1.1% vs. 0.4% reduction with >4 vs. 0–2 cardiovascular drugs, number needed to treat 91 vs. 250). Conclusion Adding low-dose rivaroxaban to aspirin resulted in benefits irrespective of the number of concomitant drugs or comorbidities. Multiple comorbidities and/or polypharmacy should not dissuade the addition of rivaroxaban to aspirin in otherwise eligible patients.

Aims The aim of this study was to systematically assess the effects of antiplatelets on clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), treated and not-treated with oral anticoagulation. Methods and results We searched MEDLINE, Embase, and CENTRAL from inception until September 2020. From 5446 citations, we selected randomized trials allocating patients with AF to antiplatelet therapy vs. control. We applied random-effects models for meta-analysis and assessed potential effect modification with background anticoagulation use. Eighteen trials including 21 518 participants met our prespecified eligibility criteria. In 10 studies without background anticoagulation, antiplatelets reduced all-cause stroke [486/6165 (events/patients) vs. 621/6061; risk ratio (RR) 0.77, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.69–0.86, I2 = 0%]. In eight studies with background anticoagulation, there was a signal for an increase in all-cause stroke with antiplatelets (97/4608 vs. 72/4684; RR 1.33, 95% CI 0.98–1.79, I2 = 0%, P-value for interaction Conclusions In patients with AF not receiving oral anticoagulation, antiplatelet therapy modestly reduced stroke. There was a corresponding signal for harm when used on top of anticoagulation. Irrespective of background anticoagulation use, antiplatelet therapy significantly increased bleeding, moderately reduced myocardial infarction, and did not affect mortality.

Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): Dr. Benz reports a personal research grant from the German Heart Foundation (Deutsche Herzstiftung e.V.). Dr. Johansson reports personal unrestricted research grants from Swedish Heart-Lung Foundation (Hjärt-Lungfonden) and from Stockholm County Council (Region Stockholm). Dr. McIntyre holds a fellowship award from the Canadian Institutes for Health Research (CIHR). Dr. Shoamanesh reports funding support from the Marta and Owen Boris Foundation and the Heart and Stroke Foundation of Canada. Background/Introduction: There is an ongoing controversy surrounding the efficacy and safety of antiplatelet agents in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Purpose We aimed to systematically assess the effects of antiplatelets on stroke and other outcomes in patients with AF, both receiving oral anticoagulation or not. Methods We searched MEDLINE, Embase and CENTRAL up until September 2020 to identify randomized trials allocating patients with AF to aspirin or a P2Y12 inhibitor, versus control. Where applicable, we obtained unpublished data from study authors. Random-effects models were applied for meta-analysis. Results Based on 21,518 patients from 18 randomized trials, there was no reduction in stroke with antiplatelet therapy (risk ratio [RR] 0.89, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.76-1.04). There was a significant qualitative interaction according to whether patients were receiving concomitant oral anticoagulation or not (p Conclusions Antiplatelet therapy did not reduce stroke and increased major bleeding in patients with AF. Antiplatelets did not affect mortality. Subgroup analysis suggests a reduction in stroke with antiplatelets in patients without concomitant oral anticoagulation, and a corresponding signal for harm in those with it. Abstract Figure.

Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) that is first detected concurrently with or shortly after another cardiac event is often thought to be caused by acute cardiac injury, and therefore reversible. Methods ASSERT enrolled patients >65 years old with hypertension and a pacemaker, but without known AF. We evaluated participants who had a cardiac event [angina/myocardial infarction (MI), cardiac catheterization/percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), cardiac surgery or other (e.g. pericarditis, hypertensive crisis)] and compared the prevalence of device-detected AF before and after these events. Results Among 2580 participants, 178 (6.9%) had at least one cardiac event over a mean 2.5 years of follow-up. In the 30 days following a first cardiac event, the prevalence of device-detected AF >6 min was 12.4% (95% confidence interval [CI] 7.9%-18.1%), which was higher than in the 30 days before the event (12.4% versus 4.5%, P = 0.004) (Figure 1). The prevalence of device-detected AF following the event was comparable across event subtypes (MI: 13.8%, 95%CI 7.9-18.1%; PCI: 6.9%, 95%CI 1.9-16.7%; Surgery: 20.0%, 95%CI 5.7-43.7%; Other: 18.5%, 95%CI 6.3-38.1%). There was a significant association between device-detected AF in the 6 months before a cardiac event and device-detected AF in the 30 days after a cardiac event: odds ratio (OR, adjusted for CHA2DS2-VASc score) for episodes >6 min 7.07 (95%CI 2.07-24.19; P = 0.002); adjusted OR for episodes >24 hours: 11.41 (95%CI 1.47-88.43; p = 0.020). Conclusions Acute cardiac events are associated with an increase in the prevalence of device-detected AF. These episodes are associated with a prior history of device-detected AF. Abstract Figure 1

Introduction – Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) have shown that antiplatelet and anticoagulant (antithrombotic) agents reduce the risk of stroke and other major vascular events for a variety of patients despite increasing the risk of bleeding. However, patients with intracranial haemorrhage were not included in these RCTs, so the risks and benefits of antithrombotic agents after intracranial haemorrhage are uncertain. Methods and analysis – The Collaboration Of Controlled Randomised trials of long-term Oral Antithrombotic drugs after spontaneous intraCranial Haemorrhage (COCROACH) aims to perform an individual participant data meta-analysis (IPDMA) in order to provide reliable information about the effects of antithrombotic agents on the risks of major vascular events after spontaneous intracranial haemorrhage overall, and in clinically important sub-groups. The protocol of the corresponding Cochrane Review (8 April 2016) specified the methods used by this IPDMA for searching the Cochrane Stroke Group Trials Register, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Ovid MEDLINE, Ovid Embase, and online registries of RCTs. RCTs are eligible for inclusion in this IPDMA if they are registered with a trial registry, include participants with spontaneous intracranial haemorrhage who are allocated at random to long-term use of any oral antithrombotic agent(s) or to placebo, open control, another antithrombotic agent, or another intervention for the prevention of major vascular events, and their chief investigator agrees to share participant-level de-identified data. COCROACH was initiated at the European Stroke Organisation Conference on 17 May 2017 before the results of any RCTs were known. This protocol was agreed after the publication of one RCT of antiplatelet agents (RESTART ISRCTN71907627) and the presentation of one trial of an oral anticoagulant agent (NASPAF-ICH NCT02998905), but before the majority of RCT results were known. We will perform two-step IPDMA of included RCTs using their intention-to-treat datasets using fixed effects models as the primary analysis. We will conduct separate IPDMAs, grouping RCTs into distinct dyads of intervention (antithrombotic agent class) and comparator, as allocated by randomisation. The primary outcome for each IPDMA will be a composite outcome of major vascular events that are appropriate to the intervention-comparator dyad. Secondary outcomes will include major ischaemic events and major haemorrhagic events. We will assess interactions with the effects of antithrombotic agents on the primary outcome in demographic, clinical, imaging, and treatment-related sub-groups. Ethics and dissemination – All participant data will be shared with the University of Edinburgh by included RCTs with the intention of addressing the same research question for which they were acquired. Participant-level data will be de-identified and shared unless forbidden by individual participants or regulatory authorities. We will disseminate the results of this IPDMA in peer-reviewed journals.

Background The combination of 2.5 mg rivaroxaban twice daily and 100 mg aspirin once daily compared with 100 mg aspirin once daily reduces major adverse cardiovascular (CV) events in patients with chronic coronary artery disease (CAD) or peripheral artery disease (PAD). Objectives The aim of this work was to report the effects of the combination on overall and cause-specific mortality. Methods The COMPASS trial enrolled 27,395 patients of whom 18,278 were randomized to the combination (n = 9,152) or aspirin alone (n = 9,126). Deaths were adjudicated by a committee blinded to treatment allocation. Previously identified high-risk baseline features were polyvascular disease, chronic kidney disease, mild or moderate heart failure, and diabetes. Results During a median of 23 months of follow-up (maximum 47 months), 313 patients (3.4%) allocated to the combination and 378 patients (4.1%) allocated to aspirin alone died (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.82; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.71-0.96; P = 0.01). Compared with aspirin, the combination reduced CV death (160 [1.7%] vs 203 [2.2%]; HR: 0.78; 95% CI: 0.64-0.96; P = 0.02) but not non-CV death. There were fewer deaths following MI, stroke, and CV procedures, as well as fewer sudden cardiac, other, and unknown causes of CV deaths and coronary heart disease deaths. Patients with 0, 1, 2, and 3 or 4 high-risk features at baseline had 4.2, 4.8, 25.0, and 53.9 fewer deaths, respectively, per 1000 patients treated for 30 months. Conclusions The combination of rivaroxaban and aspirin compared with aspirin reduced overall and CV mortality with consistent reductions in cause specific CV mortality in patients with chronic CAD or PAD. The absolute mortality benefits are greater with increasing baseline risk. (Cardiovascular Outcomes for People Using Anticoagulant Strategies [COMPASS]; NCT01776424 )

Introduction: We previously reported results of a prospective cohort study evaluating andexanet alfa (andexanet) for anticoagulation reversal in patients with acute bleeding on a factor Xa inhibitor. Study enrollment continued to accumulate additional data on patients on edoxaban, which are presented here. Methods: Patients with acute major bleeding within 18 hours of edoxaban intake were prospectively enrolled. Patients received a 400 or 800 mg bolus and a 480 or 960 mg 2-hour follow-on infusion of andexanet, depending on edoxaban dosage and time of last dose. The co-primary efficacy outcomes were change in anti-factor Xa activity and the rate of excellent or good hemostasis, 12 hours after andexanet treatment, as determined by an independent adjudication committee. Efficacy was analyzed in patients with confirmed major bleeding and baseline anti-factor Xa activity ≥75 ng/mL. Safety was analyzed in all patients. Results: A total of 36 patients (mean age 82 years, 61.1% male and 91.7% with atrial fibrillation) with acute major bleeding on edoxaban received andexanet. The primary site of bleeding was intracranial in 29 (80.6%) patients. In the efficacy population (n=20), median anti-factor Xa activity decreased from 160.5 (interquartile range [IQR] 106.2-222.2) ng/mL at baseline to 50.9 (IQR 19.9-119.4) ng/mL at the end of bolus (median decrease 69.2%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 25.5-80.2%). Excellent or good hemostasis at 12 hours was achieved in 75.0% (95% CI 50.9-91.3%) of patients overall and in 81.3% (95% CI 54.4-96.0%) of those with intracranial hemorrhage (ICH). Within 30 days, a total of 4 (11.1%) patients experienced at least one thrombotic event and 4 (11.1%) others died. Conclusions: In patients with acute bleeding on edoxaban, andexanet significantly decreased anti-factor Xa activity. Excellent or good hemostasis at 12 hours was observed in 75.0% of patients overall and 81.3% of those with ICH. Thrombotic events occurred at a rate expected in such patients.

Background Lack of data on balancing bleeding and thrombosis risk causes uncertainty about restarting anticoagulants after major bleeding. Anticoagulant reversal trials offer prospectively gathered data after major bleeding with well-documented safety events and restarting behavior. Objectives To examine the relationship of restarting anticoagulation with thrombosis, rebleeding, and death. Methods This is a posthoc analysis of a prospective factor Xa inhibitor reversal study at 63 centers in North America and Europe. We compared outcomes of restarted patients with those not restarted using landmark and time-dependent Cox proportional hazards models. Outcomes included thrombotic and bleeding events and death and a composite of all three. Results Of 352 patients enrolled, oral anticoagulation was restarted in 100 (28%) during 30-day follow-up. Thirty-four (9.7%) had thrombotic events, 15 (4.3%) had bleeding events (after day 3), and 49 (14%) died. In the landmark analysis comparing patients restarted within 14 days to those not, restarting was associated with decreased thrombotic events (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.112; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.001–0.944; p = 0.043) and increased rebleeding (HR = 8.39; 95% CI: 1.13–62.29; p = 0.037). The time-dependent Cox model showed evidence for a reduction in a composite (thrombotic events, bleeding, and death) attempting to capture net benefit (HR = 0.384; 95% CI: 0.161–0.915; p = 0.031). Conclusion This analysis provides modest evidence that restarting anticoagulation in factor Xa inhibitor-associated major bleeding patients is correlated with reduced risk of thrombotic events and increased risk of rebleeding. There is low-level evidence of net benefit for restarting. A randomized trial of restarting would be appropriate.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major cause of preventable strokes. Screening asymptomatic individuals for AF may increase anticoagulant use for stroke prevention.To evaluate 2 home-based AF screening interventions.This multicenter randomized clinical trial recruited individuals from primary care practices aged 75 years or older with hypertension and without known AF. From April 5, 2015, to March 26, 2019, 856 participants were enrolled from 48 practices.The control group received standard care (routine clinical follow-up plus a pulse check and heart auscultation at baseline and 6 months). The screening group received a 2-week continuous electrocardiographic (cECG) patch monitor to wear at baseline and at 3 months, in addition to standard care. The screening group also received automated home blood pressure (BP) machines with oscillometric AF screening capability to use twice-daily during the cECG monitoring periods.With intention-to-screen analysis, the primary outcome was AF detected by cECG monitoring or clinically within 6 months. Secondary outcomes included anticoagulant use, device adherence, and AF detection by BP monitors.Of the 856 participants, 487 were women (56.9%); mean (SD) age was 80.0 (4.0) years. Median cECG wear time was 27.4 of 28 days (interquartile range [IQR], 18.4-28.0 days). In the primary analysis, AF was detected in 23 of 434 participants (5.3%) in the screening group vs 2 of 422 (0.5%) in the control group (relative risk, 11.2; 95% CI, 2.7-47.1; P = .001; absolute difference, 4.8%; 95% CI, 2.6%-7.0%; P .001; number needed to screen, 21). Of those with cECG-detected AF, median total time spent in AF was 6.3 hours (IQR, 4.2-14.0 hours; range 1.3 hours-28 days), and median duration of the longest AF episode was 5.7 hours (IQR, 2.9-12.9 hours). Anticoagulation was initiated in 15 of 20 patients (75.0%) with cECG-detected AF. By 6 months, anticoagulant therapy had been prescribed for 18 of 434 participants (4.1%) in the screening group vs 4 of 422 (0.9%) in the control group (relative risk, 4.4; 95% CI, 1.5-12.8; P = .007; absolute difference, 3.2%; 95% CI, 1.1%-5.3%; P = .003). Twice-daily AF screening using the home BP monitor had a sensitivity of 35.0% (95% CI, 15.4%-59.2%), specificity of 81.0% (95% CI, 76.7%-84.8%), positive predictive value of 8.9% (95% CI, 4.9%-15.5%), and negative predictive value of 95.9% (95% CI, 94.5%-97.0%). Adverse skin reactions requiring premature discontinuation of cECG monitoring occurred in 5 of 434 participants (1.2%).In this randomized clinical trial, among older community-dwelling individuals with hypertension, AF screening with a wearable cECG monitor was well tolerated, increased AF detection 10-fold, and prompted initiation of anticoagulant therapy in most cases. Compared with continuous ECG, intermittent oscillometric screening with a BP monitor was an inferior strategy for detecting paroxysmal AF. Large trials with hard clinical outcomes are now needed to evaluate the potential benefits and harms of AF screening.ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02392754.

BACKGROUND Surgical occlusion of the left atrial appendage has been hypothesized to prevent ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation, but this has not been proved. The procedure can be performed during cardiac surgery undertaken for other reasons. METHODS We conducted a multicenter, randomized trial involving participants with atrial fibrillation and a CHA2DS2-VASc score of at least 2 (on a scale from 0 to 9, with higher scores indicating greater risk of stroke) who were scheduled to undergo cardiac surgery for another indication. The participants were randomly assigned to undergo or not undergo occlusion of the left atrial appendage during surgery; all the participants were expected to receive usual care, including oral anticoagulation, during follow-up. The primary outcome was the occurrence of ischemic stroke (including transient ischemic attack with positive neuroimaging) or systemic embolism. The participants, research personnel, and primary care physicians (other than the surgeons) were unaware of the trial-group assignments. RESULTS The primary analysis population included 2379 participants in the occlusion group and 2391 in the no-occlusion group, with a mean age of 71 years and a mean CHA2DS2-VASc score of 4.2. The participants were followed for a mean of 3.8 years. A total of 92.1% of the participants received the assigned procedure, and at 3 years, 76.8% of the participants continued to receive oral anticoagulation. Stroke or systemic embolism occurred in 114 participants (4.8%) in the occlusion group and in 168 (7.0%) in the no-occlusion group (hazard ratio, 0.67; 95% confidence interval, 0.53 to 0.85; P=0.001). The incidence of perioperative bleeding, heart failure, or death did not differ significantly between the trial groups. CONCLUSIONS Among participants with atrial fibrillation who had undergone cardiac surgery, most of whom continued to receive ongoing antithrombotic therapy, the risk of ischemic stroke or systemic embolism was lower with concomitant left atrial appendage occlusion performed during the surgery than without it. (Funded by the Canadian Institutes of Health Research and others; LAAOS III ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01561651. opens in new tab.)

Aims Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with higher mortality. Biomarkers may improve the understanding of key pathophysiologic processes in AF that lead to death. Using a new multiplex analytic technique, we explored the association between 268 biomarkers and cardiovascular (CV) death in anticoagulated patients with AF. Methods and results A case-cohort design with 1.8 -1.9 years follow-up. The identification cohort included 517 cases and 4057 randomly selected patients from ARISTOTLE. The validation cohort included 277 cases and 1042 randomly selected controls from RE-LY. Plasma collected at randomization was analyzed with conventional immunoassays and the OLINK proximity extension assay-panels; CVDII, CVDIII, and Inflammation. Association between biomarkers and CV-death was evaluated using Random Survival Forest, Boruta and adjusted Cox-regression analyses.The biomarkers most strongly and consistently associated with CV-death were (hazard ratio for inter-quartile comparison [95% CI]): N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP; 1.63 [1.37-1.93]), cardiac troponin T (cTnT-hs; 1.60[1.35-1.88]), interleukin-6 (IL-6; 1.29[1.13-1.47]), growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15; 1.30[1.10-1.53]) fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF-23; 1.21[1.10-1.33]), urokinase receptor (uPAR; 1.38[1.16-1.64]), trefoil factor 3 (TFF3; 1.27[1.10-1.46]), tumor necrosis factor receptor 1 (TNFR1; 1.21[1.01-1.45]), TNF-related apoptosis-inducing ligand receptor 2 (TRAILR2; 1.18[1.04-1.34]) and cathepsin L1 (CTSL1; 1.22[1.07-1.39]). Conclusion In this comprehensive screening of 268 biomarkers in anticoagulated patients with AF the underlying mechanisms most strongly associated with CV-death were cardiorenal dysfunction (NT-proBNP, cTnT-hs, CTSL1, TFF3), oxidative stress (GDF-15), inflammation (IL-6, GDF-15), calcium balance, vascular and renal dysfunction (FGF-23), fibrinolysis (suPAR) and apoptosis (TNFR1, TRAILR2). These findings provide novel insights into pathophysiologic aspects associated with CV-death in AF. Translational perspective In patients with AF there is an unmet need for better understanding of the pathophysiological processes involved with CV-death. Using a targeted proteomic approach, 10 biomarkers were identified as having a strong association with CV-death. The identified biomarkers reflect several biological pathways involved with CV-death in AF. The present study provides valuable insights into important processes involved with CV-death in patients with AF and may facilitate the identification of important risk factors for death, thus allowing for earlier intervention and possibly even for targeted therapy to reduce AF-related mortality. Clinicaltrials.gov identifier NCT00412984 and NCT00262600.

Background The Prevention of Arrhythmia Device Infection Trial (PADIT) investigated whether intensification of perioperative prophylaxis could prevent cardiac implantable electronic device (CIED) infections. Compared with a single dose of cefazolin, the perioperative administration of cefazolin, vancomycin, bacitracin, and cephalexin did not significantly decrease the risk of infection. Our objective was to compare the microbiology of infections between study arms in PADIT. Methods This was a post hoc analysis. Differences between study arms in the microbiology of infections were assessed at the level of individual patients and at the level of microorganisms using the Fisher exact test. Results Overall, 209 microorganisms were reported from 177 patients. The most common microorganisms were coagulase-negative staphylococci (CoNS; 82/209 [39.2%]) and S. aureus (75/209 [35.9%]). There was a significantly lower proportion of CoNS in the incremental arm compared with the standard arm (30.1% vs 46.6%; P = .04). However, there was no significant difference between study arms in the frequency of recovery of other microorganisms. In terms of antimicrobial susceptibility, 26.5% of microorganisms were resistant to cefazolin. CoNS were more likely to be cefazolin-resistant in the incremental arm (52.2% vs 26.8%, respectively; P = .05). However, there was no difference between study arms in terms of infections in which the main pathogen was sensitive to cefazolin (77.8% vs 64.3%; P = .10) or vancomycin (90.8% vs 90.2%; P = .90). Conclusions Intensification of the prophylaxis led to significant changes in the microbiology of infections, despite the absence of a decrease in the overall risk of infections. These findings provide important insight on the physiopathology of CIED infections. Trial registration NCT01002911.

Aims The COMPASS trial demonstrated that the combination of rivaroxaban 2.5 mg twice daily and aspirin 100 mg once daily compared with aspirin 100 mg once daily reduced major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with chronic coronary artery disease or peripheral artery disease by 24% during a mean follow-up of 23 months. We explored whether this effect varies by sex. Methods and results The effects were examined in women and men using log-rank tests and Kaplan–Meier curve. Hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were obtained from stratified Cox proportional hazards models to explore subgroup effects including subgroup of women and men according to baseline modified REACH risk score. Of 27 395 patients randomized, 18 278 were allocated to receive rivaroxaban plus aspirin (n = 9152) or aspirin alone (n = 9126), and of these, 22.1% were women. Women compared with men had similar incidence rates for MACE and major bleeding but borderline lower rates for myocardial infarction (1.7% vs. 2.2%, P = 0.05). The effect of combination therapy compared with aspirin in women and men was consistent for MACE (women: 3.8% vs. 5.2%, HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.54–0.97; men: 4.2% vs. 5.5%, HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.66–0.89; P interaction 0.75) and major bleeding (women: 3.1% vs. 1.4%, HR 2.22, 95% CI 1.42–3.46; men: 3.2% vs. 2.0%, HR 1.60, 95% CI 1.29–1.97; P interaction 0.19). There was no significant interaction between randomized treatment and baseline modified REACH score above or below the median for MACE or major bleeding. Conclusion In patients with stable coronary artery disease or peripheral artery disease, the combination of rivaroxaban (2.5 mg twice daily) and aspirin compared with aspirin alone appears to produce consistent benefits in women and men, independent of baseline cardiovascular risk.

In the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 (Effective Anticoagulation with Factor Xa Next Generation in Atrial Fibrillation-Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction 48) trial, the lower dose edoxaban regimen (LDER) and the higher dose edoxaban regimen (HDER) were noninferior to well-managed warfarin for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation.The objective of the present analysis of the ENGAGE AF TIMI-48 trial was to comprehensively compare the net clinical outcome (NCO) of LDER (30 mg once daily, dose reduced to 15 mg in selective patients) versus HDER (60 mg once daily, dose reduced to 30 mg in selective patients).This study performed a pre-specified analysis of the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 trial, comparing patients on LDER versus HDER.The pre-defined primary NCO (stroke/systemic embolism [SEE], major bleeding, death) was less frequent with LDER (7.26% vs. 8.01%; hazard ratio: 0.90; 95% confidence interval: 0.84 to 0.98; p = 0.014). The secondary (disabling stroke, life-threatening bleeding, or all-cause mortality) and tertiary pre-defined NCOs (stroke, SEE, life-threatening bleeding, or all-cause mortality) were similar between the 2 dosing regimens. Patients randomized to LDER versus HDER had a significantly higher risk of stroke/SEE (2.04% vs. 1.56%; hazard ratio: 1.31; 95% confidence interval: 1.12 to 1.52; p 0.001). Conversely, major bleeding, intracranial hemorrhage, major gastrointestinal bleeding, and life-threatening bleeding occurred significantly less frequently with LDER compared with those of HDER. These findings were supported by multiple pharmacokinetic findings.In the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 trial, the primary NCO was reduced with LDER versus HDER, whereas the secondary and tertiary NCOs were similar between the 2 dosing regimens. These results may aid physicians in evidence-based individualization of edoxaban dosing. However, the approved HDER remains the standard therapy among the available edoxaban dosing regimens for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation. (Effective Anticoagulation with Factor Xa Next Generation in Atrial Fibrillation-Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction 48 [ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48]; NCT00781391).

Background About 10% of patients undergoing cardiac surgery have a history of atrial fibrillation (AF). Among these patients, uncertainty exists regarding the safest and most effective oral anticoagulant (OAC) during the postoperative period. Purpose To evaluate practice patterns regarding OAC early after cardiac surgery in patients with a preoperative history of AF and to compare the safety and effectiveness of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) versus vitamin K antagonists (VKAs). Methods We conducted a nested cohort study within the Left Atrial Appendage Occlusion Study (LAAOS) III (NCT01561651). LAAOS III included patients with AF undergoing cardiac surgery with a CHA2DS2-VASC ≥2. In this substudy, we examined patients without end-stage renal dysfunction (eGFR >30 mL/min/1.73m2) who were discharged on OAC. We evaluated bleeding and thromboembolism within 90 days postoperatively using logistic regression adjusting for CHA2DS2-VASC score. Results Recruitment started in 2012 and completed in 2018 in 113 centres in 31 countries. Of the 4811 patients enrolled in LAAOS III, 3725 (77%) were included in this substudy. Preoperatively, 58% of patients received OAC: 56% DOACs and 44% VKAs. At hospital discharge 23% received DOACs and 77% VKAs; 55% of patients on a DOAC at baseline were switched to a VKA while 5% of patients on a VKA were switched to a DOAC. Patients discharged on a DOAC were older, had a higher CHA2DS2-VASC, and were more likely to be male. Patients having undergone an isolated coronary bypass procedure were more likely prescribed DOACs than VKAs (41% vs 23%, p Conclusions VKAs was the dominant OAC used early after cardiac surgery, but postoperative OAC practices varied by region. After adjustment for CHA2DS2-VASC score, the early postoperative incidence of major bleeding and of the composite of stroke and systemic arterial embolism did not differ significantly when DOACs were compared with VKAs. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): CIHR, Heart and Stroke Foundation

Background There is widespread interest in population-based screening for atrial fibrillation (AF). However, there is debate regarding the optimal screening method and duration. Objectives To estimate the incidence of short-duration AF detected by a single continuous 14-day electrocardiographic (ECG) monitor in older individuals without prior AF and to estimate the risk of ischemic stroke or systemic embolism associated with these episodes. Methods Pacemaker and defibrillator electrograms were reviewed from a cohort of individuals ≥65 years old, with a history of hypertension, but no prior AF. For each participant, we simulated a continuous 14-day ECG monitor by randomly selecting a 14-day window in the 6 months following enrolment and measured the total AF burden during that period. We repeated random sampling 1000 times to ensure a robust estimate of the likelihood of capturing AF in a single 14-day period. We used Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for CHA2DS2-VASc score to estimate the risk of ischemic stroke or systemic embolism associated with different burdens of AF. Results Among 2470 participants with at least 6 months of follow-up, the mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was 4.0±1.3. The proportion of participants with an AF burden of >6 min on a single 14-day monitor was estimated as 3.1%, while the proportion with burdens of >15 min and >30 min were 2.9% and 2.6%, respectively. Over a mean follow-up of 2.5 years, 44 participants had an ischemic stroke or systemic embolism; the rate among patients with an AF burden ≤6 mins was 0.70%/year. An AF burden >6 min was associated with an increased risk of stroke or systemic embolism (2.2%/year, HR 3.0; 95% CI 1.3–5.7), as were burdens >15 min (2.4%/year; HR 3.3; 95% CI 1.4–6.4) and >30 min (2.6%/year HR 3.5; 95% CI 1.5–6.7). Conclusion Approximately 3% of individuals aged 65 years and older and with hypertension may have previously undiagnosed asymptomatic AF detected by a single 14-day continuous ECG monitor. As little as 6 minutes of AF may be associated with an increased risk of stroke. Randomized clinical trials are required to definitively assess screening in this population. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

Background In patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), anticoagulation effectively reduces the risk of ischemic stroke. However, up to 50% of patients are not receiving this treatment. A history of falls or syncope and an associated risk of intracranial hemorrhage are commonly reported reasons for undertreatment, though these have not been well studied. Purpose To investigate the association of a history of falls or syncope with the risk of intracranial hemorrhage in patients with AF. Methods Patients with a history of AF from the RE-LY, AVERROES and ACTIVE A and W trials were combined into a large cohort. “Critical injury” was defined as any injury that resulted in death, was deemed to be life-threatening or resulted in permanent disability. A “serious injury” was defined as an injury that required hospitalization. “Other injuries” were defined as those that did not meet criteria for critical or serious injury. We used logistic regression and propensity-matched Cox models to assess the association between falls or syncope and adverse outcomes. Results Among 37,973 patients, 11.9% (n=4503) had a history of falls, 17.5% (n=6655) had a history of syncope and 25.1% (n=9518) had a history of either falls or syncope. The mean age of the cohort was 71±9.3 years and 58% were male. The median CHADS2 score was 2. A history of falls or syncope was not associated with the risk of incident intracranial hemorrhage (HR 1.11, 95% CI 0.88–1.4). In propensity-matched multivariable models, a history of falls or syncope was associated with an increased risk of death (HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.07–1.22), stroke (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.05–1.3), myocardial infarction (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.09–1.52) and major bleeding (HR 1.27, 95% CI 1.16–1.4). Moreover, a history of falls or syncope was associated with increased risk of critical injury (OR 1.97, 95% CI 1.52–2.54), serious injury (OR 2.06, 95% CI 1.75–2.43) and “other injury” (OR 1.58, 95% CI 1.46–1.72). Conclusions A history of falls or syncope is common in patients with atrial fibrillation; however, neither history was associated with increased risk of intracranial hemorrhage. These patients were at an increased risk of death, stroke, myocardial infarction and major bleeding, suggesting that they should receive anticoagulation for stroke prevention. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

Background In patients with coronary or peripheral artery disease, intensified antithrombotic therapy with aspirin plus low dose rivaroxaban reduced cardiovascular outcomes compared with aspirin alone. Polypharmacy and multimorbidity are frequent in patients with vascular disease and are often perceived as barriers to more intensive pharmacotherapy by both patients and physicians. Purpose To report cardiovascular outcomes and the efficacy, safety, and net benefit of low dose rivaroxaban plus aspirin in patients with stable vascular disease by the number of concomitant cardiovascular drugs and by the number of comorbidities. Methods We reported ischemic events (cardiovascular death, stroke, or MI), major bleeding (ISTH modified criteria), and a prespecified net clinical outcome in participants from the randomised, double-blind COMPASS study by number of cardiovascular medications (0–2, 3, 4, 5–7) and by number of concomitant medical conditions. We compared rates and hazard ratios of patients treated with rivaroxaban plus aspirin vs aspirin alone by category of number of medications and concomitant conditions and tested for interaction between polypharmacy and multimorbidity and antithrombotic regimen. Results Although patients with polypharmacy and multimorbidity have a higher risk of cardiovascular events (Figure) those who required many cardiovascular drugs derived the largest absolute reduction in the net clinical outcome when adding rivaroxaban on top of aspirin. The relative efficacy, safety, and net clinical benefit of adding low-dose rivaroxaban to aspirin in patients with stable vascular diseases were not affected by the number of cardiovascular drugs or by the number of comorbidities. Multimorbidity, but not polypharmacy, was related with a higher risk of major bleeding. Conclusion Addition of low-dose rivaroxaban conveyed a benefit irrespective of the number of concomitant drugs or comorbid conditions. Multiple comorbidities and/or polypharmacy should not dissuade the addition of low-dose rivaroxaban to aspirin in otherwise eligible patients. Figure 1 Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Private company. Main funding source(s): The COMPASS trial was funded by Bayer AG.

Importance The reported associations of cerebral microbleeds with recurrent stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage have raised concerns regarding antithrombotic treatment in patients with a history of stroke and microbleeds on magnetic resonance imaging. Objective To characterize microbleeds in embolic strokes of undetermined source (ESUS) and report interactions between microbleeds and the effects of random assignment to anticoagulant vs antiplatelet therapy. Design, setting, and participants Subgroup analyses of the New Approach Rivaroxaban Inhibition of Factor Xa in a Global Trial vs Aspirin to Prevent Embolism in ESUS (NAVIGATE ESUS) international, double-blind, randomized, event-driven phase 3 clinical trial. Participants were enrolled between December 2014 and September 2017 and followed up for a median of 11 months. The study setting included 459 stroke recruitment centers in 31 countries. Patients aged 50 years or older who had neuroimaging-confirmed ESUS between 7 days and 6 months before screening were eligible. Of these 7213 NAVIGATE ESUS participants, 3699 (51%) had information on cerebral microbleeds reported on their baseline clinical magnetic resonance imaging and were eligible for these analyses. Patients with a prior history of symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage were excluded from the NAVIGATE ESUS trial. Interventions Rivaroxaban, 15 mg, compared with aspirin, 100 mg, daily. Main outcomes and measures The primary outcome was recurrent stroke. Secondary outcomes were ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, and all-cause mortality. Results Microbleeds were present in 395 of 3699 participants (11%). Of patients with cerebral microbleeds, mean (SD) age was 69.5 (9.4) years, 241 were men (61%), and 201 were White (51%). Advancing age (odds ratio [OR] per year, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.01-1.04), East Asian race/ethnicity (OR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.04-2.37), hypertension (OR, 2.20; 95% CI, 1.54-3.15), multiterritorial infarcts (OR, 1.95; 95% CI, 1.42-2.67), chronic infarcts (OR, 1.78; 95% CI, 1.42-2.23), and occult intracerebral hemorrhage (OR, 5.23; 95% CI, 2.76-9.90) were independently associated with microbleeds. The presence of microbleeds was associated with a 1.5-fold increased risk of recurrent stroke (hazard ratio [HR], 1.5; 95% CI, 1.0-2.3), a 4-fold risk of intracerebral hemorrhage (HR, 4.2; 95% CI, 1.3-13.9), a 2-fold risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 2.1; 95% CI, 1.1-4.3), and strictly lobar microbleeds with an approximately 2.5-fold risk of ischemic stroke (HR, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.3-4.3). There were no interactions between microbleeds and treatment assignments for recurrent stroke, ischemic stroke, or all-cause mortality. The HR of intracerebral hemorrhage on rivaroxaban was similar between persons with microbleeds (HR, 3.1; 95% CI, 0.3-30.0) and persons without microbleeds (HR, 3.0; 95% CI, 0.6-14.7; interaction P = .97). Conclusions and relevance Microbleeds mark an increased risk of recurrent stroke, ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, and mortality in ESUS but do not appear to influence effects of rivaroxaban on clinical outcomes. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02313909.

Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) are the preferred class of medications for prevention of stroke and systemic embolism in patients with atrial fibrillation unless contraindications exist. Five large, international, randomized, controlled trials of NOACs versus either warfarin or aspirin have been completed to date.COMBINE AF incorporates de-identified individual patient data from 77,282 patients with atrial fibrillation at risk for stroke randomized to NOAC, warfarin, or aspirin from 5 pivotal randomized controlled trials. All patients randomized in the constituent trials are included. Variables common to ≥3 of the constituent trials are included in the master database. Individual trial data sets from the 4 coordinating centers were combined at the Duke Clinical Research Institute. The final database will be securely shared with the 4 academic coordinating centers. The combined master database will be used to perform statistical analyses aimed at better understanding underlying risk factors and outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation treated with oral anticoagulants, with a special focus on patient subgroups and uncommon outcomes. The initial analysis from COMBINE AF will be a network meta-analysis investigating the relative efficacy and safety of pooled higher-dose NOACs versus pooled lower-dose NOACs versus warfarin with respect to multiple time-to-event efficacy and safety outcomes. COMBINE AF is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42020178771).In conclusion, COMBINE AF provides a rich and robust database consisting of individual patient data and will offer opportunities to investigate oral anticoagulants across many patient subgroups. Data sharing and collaboration across academic institutions and investigators will serve as overarching themes.

Purpose of Review A novel permanent carotid filter device for percutaneous implantation was developed for the purpose of stroke prevention. In this review, we cover rationale, existing preclinical and clinical data, and potential future directions for research using such a device. Recent Findings The Vine™ filter was assessed for safety in sheep and in 2 observational human studies, the completed CAPTURE 1 (n = 25) and the ongoing CAPTURE 2 (planned n = 100). CAPTURE 1 has shown high procedural and long-term implant safety. A control group was not available for comparison. Summary A mechanical filter for permanent stroke prevention can be implanted bilaterally in the common carotid artery safely and efficiently. A randomized trial is planned for 2021 (n = 3500, INTERCEPT) to demonstrate superiority of a filter + anticoagulation strategy over anticoagulation alone in patients at high risk for ischemic stroke.

Aims Hospitalizations are common among patients with atrial fibrillation. This article aimed to analyse the causes and consequences of hospitalizations occurring during the Randomized Evaluation of Long-term Anticoagulation Therapy (RE-LY) trial. Methods and results The RE-LY database was used to evaluate predictors of hospitalization using multivariate regression modelling. The relationship between hospitalization and subsequent major adverse cardiac events was evaluated in a time dependent Cox proportional-hazard modelling. Of the 18 113 patients in RE-LY, 7200 (39.8%) were hospitalized at least once during a mean follow-up of 2 years. First hospitalization rates were 2312 (39.5%) for dabigatran etexilate (DE) 110, 2430 (41.6%) for DE 150, and 42.6% (N = 2458) for warfarin. Hospitalization was associated with post-discharge death [absolute event rate 9.1% vs. 2.2%; adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 3.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.2–4.0, P Conclusion Hospitalizations are associated an increased risk of with death and cardiovascular death in patients with atrial fibrillation.

AIMS Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and rheumatic heart disease (RHD), especially mitral stenosis, are assumed to be at high risk of stroke, irrespective of other factors. We aimed to re-evaluate stroke risk factors in a contemporary cohort of AF patients. METHODS AND RESULTS We analyzed data of 15,400 AF patients presenting to an emergency department and who were enrolled in the global RE-LY AF registry, representing 47 countries from all inhabited continents. Follow-up occurred at 1 year after enrollment. A total of 1,788 (11.6%) patients had RHD. These patients were younger (51.4 ± 15.7 vs. 67.8 ± 13.6 years), more likely to be female (66.2% vs. 44.7%) and had a lower mean CHA2DS2-VASc score (2.1 ± 1.7 vs. 3.7 ± 2.2) as compared to patients without RHD (all p

OnBehalf ASSERT Investigators Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is frequently detected perioperatively or during acute medical illness. It is unclear if such AF is reversible and unlikely to recur, or is a manifestation of paroxysmal AF. Objective To compare the prevalence of pacemaker-detected, subclinical AF (atrial rate >190 bpm) before and after hospitalization for noncardiac surgery or medical illness in patients without a history of clinical AF. Methods ASSERT enrolled patients who were >65 years old and had hypertension but no known AF. Pacemakers and defibrillators recorded episodes of subclinical AF. We identified participants who were hospitalized for noncardiac surgery or medical illness, and created heart rhythm profiles, centred on the day of hospitalization. We compared the prevalence of subclinical AF before and after hospitalization. We blanked the 30 days before hospitalization, because of uncertainty in defining the precise onset of illness. Results Among 2580 patients, 436 had a documented surgical or medical hospitalization. In the 30 days following a first hospitalization, 43 patients (9.9%) had >1 episode of >6 minutes of subclinical AF; 20 (4.6%) had >6 hours and 13 (3%) had >24 hours. A higher proportion of patients had >1 episode of subclinical AF >6 minutes in the 30 days following a first surgical or medical hospitalization, as compared to the period between 30 and 60 days before hospitalization (9.9% versus 4.4%, P < 0.001). There was no significant difference when comparing 0-90 days after hospitalization to 30-120 days before (13.7% versus 10.6%, P = 0.1). Similar results were observed for the same comparisons with episodes >6 hours (4.6% versus 2.3%, P = 0.03 and 5.9% versus 5.6%, P = 0.8, respectively). The majority of patients with subclinical AF in the 30 days following hospitalization had at least one episode of subclinical AF of the same duration in the 6 months prior (50% for episodes >6 minutes; 69% for >6 hours and 60% for >24 hours). Those who did have subclinical AF in the 30 days following hospitalization were more likely to have had subclinical AF in the past 6 months than those who did not (OR 7.2 95%CI 3.2-15.8 for episodes >6 minutes; OR 32.6, 95%CI 10.3-103.4 for >6 hours and OR 36.3 95%CI 9.0-146.0 for >24 hours). Conclusions The prevalence of subclinical AF increased following hospitalization for noncardiac surgery or medical illness. However, most patients with subclinical AF following hospitalization had previously experienced similar episodes, particularly those with longer episodes of subclinical AF.