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Fertilizer use has increased 10-fold since World War II. Current application rates are staggering and greatly exceed the amounts absorbed by plants. For example, the average amount of nitrogen applied [...]

Flood stages for constant discharge have increased 2-4 m over the past century at numerous locations in the Mississippi River basin. However, no increases are observed on rivers such as the Meramec and the upper Missouri, which have been spared extensive river engineering projects. Flood-stage increases on the middle Mississippi River and lower Missouri River are mostly attributable to channelization.

Temporal variations in the head of wells in the alluvial aquifer along the lower Missouri River are accurately simulated by summation of linear differential terms involving daily variations in river stage and effective precipitation. Scaling parameters were optimized using a fourth order Adams-Bashforth-Moulton method, providing predictions for head that are typically accurate within ±1.5 feet (0.5 m) over intervals of 1 to 15 years. Parameter magnitudes represent the product of realistic aquifer properties and geometric factors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Proposed explanations of galactic rotation curves (RC = tangential velocity vs. equatorial radius, determined from Doppler measurements) involve dramatically different assumptions. A dominant, original camp invoked huge amounts of unknown, non-baryonic dark matter (NBDM) in surrounding haloes to reconcile RC simulated using their Newtonian orbital models (NOMs) for billions of stars in spiral galaxies with the familiar Keplerian orbital patterns of the few, tiny planets in our Solar System. A competing minority proposed that hypothetical, non-relativistic, non-Newtonian forces govern the internal motions of galaxies. More than 40 years of controversy has followed. Other smaller groups, unsatisfied by explanations rooted in unknown matter or undocumented forces, have variously employed force summations, spin models, or relativistic adaptations to explain galactic rotation curves. Some small groups have pursued inverse models and found no need for NBDM. The successes, failures, and underlying assumptions of the above models are reviewed in this paper, focusing on their mathematical underpinnings. We also show that extractions of RC from Doppler measurements need revising to account for the effect of galaxy shape on flux-velocity profiles and for the possible presence of a secondary spin axis. The latter is indicated by complex Doppler shift patterns. Our findings, combined with independent evidence such as hadron collider experiments failing to produce non-baryonic matter, suggest that a paradigm shift is unfolding. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Spiral galaxies are spinning, internally densified objects. The Virial Theorem explains galactic rotation curves via its linkage of the rotation rate to the gravitational self-potential (Ug) and the moment of inertia of oblate spheroids. We devise a new analytical solution that allows galactic mass and volumetric density (kg m−3) profiles to be extracted from velocity and its derivative as functions of equatorial radius. This inverse model of rotation curves is direct, unambiguous, and parameter-free. To probe galactic evolution, we combine energy minimization, angular momentum conservation, and the Virial Theorem. The characteristic flat shape of spiral galaxies results from an initial vertical collapse of a spinning, colossal molecular cloud, which reduces Ug while conserving angular momentum. Subsequent inward densification further lowers Ug, producing bulges, but conserving angular momentum requires mass loss, achieved by the outward movement of the distal parts of the spiral arms. Many of the evolutionary patterns of spiral galaxies are exhibited by the changing shapes of hurricanes during formation and dissipation. In contrast, elliptical galaxies evolve from a cloud with roughly random orbits into progressively rounder, internally denser objects, with angular momentum conserved by the development of vertically oriented jets. Galactic evolution is governed by the initial inventory of mass and angular momentum, resulting in separate paths for elliptical and spiral galaxies, as is codified in Hubble's tuning fork diagram. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Variations of reservoir water level and seasonal precipitation have reactivated or accelerated many reservoir landslides in the Three Gorges Reservoir area since impoundment in 2003. Updated daily monitoring data since 2017 reveals details about the step-like pattern of annual movement of the Baijiabao landslide, a large creeping landslide with a maximal cumulative surface displacement of 0.2 m over this 2-year period. The spatiotemporal deformation characteristics show that mass movement was greatest in 2017 and boundary cracks exhibit more frequent steps and are more sensitive to hydraulic factors than surface displacement. Acceleration periods are triggered when the reservoir water level falls below 153 m above mean sea level, with most annual movement occurring before the reservoir rises back to that critical level. The rate of daily surface movement is controlled by the daily variation of reservoir water level and by cumulative rainfall during the previous 1 to 7 days. The movement responses vary from different years and movement periods, but the one-factor critical-level model can effectively predict surface movement. The correlation between surface displacement rate and reservoir water level also comprehensively indicates the association between landslide movement and hydraulic factors including rainfall and variation of reservoir water level. Low reservoir level and its drawdown, and heavy or continuous rainfall, increase hydraulic gradients and change stress conditions, which destabilize the Baijiabao landslide and accelerate its surface movement. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Natural rock often suffers from cyclic wetting–drying involving different water types, and the resulting deterioration may differ from laboratory tests using distilled water or salt solutions. An inappropriate estimation of this deterioration effect may lead to fatal geological hazards and engineering failures. A multiscale study is conducted to investigate the physical and mechanical features of sandstone in Three Gorges Reservoir region (TGR sandstone) subjected to cyclic wetting–drying of Yangtze River water. During this study, three types of water, i.e., Yangtze River water, ionized water having similar ion compositions as the Yangtze River water, and distilled water, are used for comparison. The results show that the multiscale physical properties including mineral compositions (especially calcite and albite), micro-pore parameters, computed tomography values, and macro-mechanical parameters (i.e., Young's modulus, uniaxial compression strength and tensile strength) are remarkably altered during the cyclic wetting–drying process. Significant correlations are found between these numerous multiscale properties. The results indicate that changes of mineral compositions and microstructure are the primary reasons for the deterioration of sandstone strength. The deterioration effect of distilled water on TGR sandstone is the least, while the effect of ionized water is the greatest, and that of river water being intermediate. These differences are ascribed to different chemical interactions, together with possible microorganism effects for river water, as microorganisms in river water potentially weaken the deterioration of cyclic wetting–drying of river water. In situ water is recommended for studying how rock properties are affected by water–rock interactions in real settings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Variations of reservoir water level and seasonal precipitation have resulted in significant movement and destabilization of landslides in the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) region of China since reservoir impoundment in 2003. An example is the Baijiabao landslide, a large, actively creeping landslide located in the steep lower valley of the Xiangxi River, about 55 km upstream of the TGR dam in the Yangtze River. Twelve years of monthly monitoring at four GPS stations and routine, monthly field observations show cumulative GPS displacements as large as >1.5 m and widely developed ground cracks. GPS monitoring results show that most movement takes place in rapid steps that coincide with the rainy season and the period of annual reservoir drawdown, with particularly large steps in 2009, 2012 and 2015. This step-like pattern of displacement is also shown by daily data from an automatic monitoring system installed in 2017. The total period of acceleration shown by these daily data was about six weeks long, with rapid movement starting during rapid reservoir drawdown, and terminating when the reservoir began to rise again. In particular, most of the 2018 displacement occurred in only two weeks. Different subzones of the landslide move at different rates and exhibit different features of deformation. The neighborhood rough set theory is used to identify the triggering factors responsible for landslide deformation. The most important triggering factors vary between different sites, data types and the time interval used to define them. The surface deformation and ground crack widening are controlled by the combination of rainfall and variations in the reservoir water levels, whereas the deformation of the sliding zone is most sensitive to the latter. The results show that daily data are needed to capture important, short-term landslide responses. The neighborhood rough set theory for determination of triggering factors is suggested for deformation prediction, stability evaluation, and prevention and control of reservoir landslides in this and other regions. • Spatiotemporal deformation characteristics of Baijiabao landslide over a twelve-year period are analyzed in detail. • Different acceleration periods and threshold hydraulic conditions are observed from daily and monthly monitoring data. • Neighborhood rough set theory is used to identify the triggering factors responsible for landslide deformation. • The most important triggering factors vary between different sites, data types and the time interval used to define them. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Cyclic interactions between rocks and water have general significance and are particularly relevant to engineering failures and geohazards. A comprehensive investigation of the multi-scale deterioration effects and mechanisms of cyclic wetting-drying on rocks can contribute to better engineering applications, but the probabilistic characterization of rock mass properties under cyclic wetting-drying remains a problem due to the difficult-to-test parameters and limited data. Numerous experiments on rock samples of argillaceous siltstone subjected to cyclic wetting-drying of Yangtze River water demonstrate progressive alteration of rock properties on multiple scales, including changes in mineralogy, grain structure, computed tomography, microporosity, and complexity of micropores, with calcite and albite being the most active minerals. The uniaxial compression strength and indirect tensile strength decrease exponentially with the cyclic number, while the Young's modulus increases. Considering the probabilistic characteristics of the geological strength index, the probabilistic mechanical properties of rock mass of studied argillaceous siltstone are then estimated through the generalized Hoek-Brown criterion. The results indicate that the uniaxial compression strength and indirect tensile strength of rock mass both follow lognormal distributions, while the Young's modulus follows a skewed distribution. Long-term strength parameters of rock and rock mass can also be determined as they exhibit exponential trends with the cyclic number. During the cyclic wetting-drying process, the water-rock interactions produce progressive changes in mineral compositions, microstructures, and micropores; with the accumulation of variations of physical properties, defects grow and develop into weak zones, thus the mechanical properties of argillaceous siltstone are significantly weakened. Investigations of the wetting-drying effects on the geological strength index and probabilistic characteristics of rock sample properties are recommended to accurately evaluate rock mass properties affected by cyclic wetting-drying. • Argillaceous siltstone is treated by cyclic wetting-drying of Yangtze River water. • Dissolution of calcite and albite results in the synergistic evolution of rock properties. • Micropores with a diameter greater than 100 μm become predominant. • Probabilistic properties of rock mass strength under cyclic wetting-drying are evaluated. • Long-term strength of the rock mass is evaluated through the exponential fitting. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The construction of the huge Three Gorges reservoir affected a large region, and the resultant geological and environmental impacts have caused global concern. The remarkable, 30-m annual fluctuation in the reservoir water level poses a significant threat to slope stability in this area. Four hundred sixty-two landslides were identified in the Zigui basin using historical records, satellite images, field investigations and unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) observations, enabling the construction of a complete landslide database and distribution map. Three failure modes of landslides in the Zigui basin are used to illustrate the major factors that govern reservoir-induced landslides. The results show that (1) > 99% of identified landslides occur on slopes angle <47°, while >80% occur at elevations below 600 m; (2) Jurassic Niejiashan Formation is highly prone to landslides; (3) Low reservoir levels of 145 m to 155 m greatly reduce slope stability. Based on the information entropy method that use the conditional probability of different influencing factors and principal component analysis as inputs, the relative contributions of various influencing factors are quantified and a landslide susceptibility map was drawn. This susceptibility map helps define the countermeasures that will best reduce fatalities and property losses for areas having different landslide conditions and susceptibilities. • Database of 462 reservoir-induced landslides in Zigui basin, TGR was created. • Identifying failure modes and quantifying contributions of influential factors. • Conditional probability and information entropy model yields landslide susceptibility. • Susceptibility map, failure modes, and strategies suppressing the slope instability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]