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We investigate the dependence of the galaxy-halo connection and galaxy density field in modified gravity models using the $N-$body simulations for $f(R)$ and nDGP models at $z=0$. Because of the screening mechanisms employed by these models, chameleon and Vainshtein, halos are clustered differently in the non-linear regime of structure formation. We quantify their deviations in the galaxy density field from the standard $\Lambda$CDM model under different environments. We populate galaxies in halos via the (Sub)Halo Abundance Matching. Our main results are: 1) The galaxy-halo connection {\it strongly} depends on the gravity model; a maximum variation of $\sim40\%$ is observed between Halo Occupational Distribution (HOD) parameters; 2) $f(R)$ gravity models predict an excess of galaxies in low density environments of $\sim10\%$ but predict a deficit of $\sim10\%$ at high density environments for $|f_{R0}| = 10^{-4}$ and $10^{-6}$ while $|f_{R0}| = 10^{-5}$ predicts more high density structures; nDGP models are consistent with $\Lambda$CDM; 3) Different gravity models predict different dependences of the galaxy luminosity function (GLF) with the environment, especially in void-like regions we find differences around $\sim10\%$ for the $f(R)$ models while nDPG models remain closer to $\Lambda$CDM for low-luminosity galaxies but there is a deficit of $\sim11\%$ for high-luminosity galaxies in all environments. We conclude that the dependence of the GLF with environment might provide a test to distinguish between gravity models and their screening mechanisms from the $\Lambda$CDM. We provide HOD parameters for the gravity models analyzed in this paper., Comment: 22 pages, 14 figures, 4 tables

Existing models of galaxy formation have not yet explained striking correlations between structure and star-formation activity in galaxies, notably the sloped and moving boundaries that divide star-forming from quenched galaxies in key structural diagrams. This paper uses these and other relations to ``reverse-engineer'' the quenching process for central galaxies. The basic idea is that star-forming galaxies with larger radii (at a given stellar mass) have lower black-hole masses due to lower central densities. Galaxies cross into the green valley when the cumulative effective energy radiated by their black hole equals $\sim4\times$ their halo-gas binding energy. Since larger-radii galaxies have smaller black holes, one finds they must evolve to higher stellar masses in order to meet this halo-energy criterion, which explains the sloping boundaries. A possible cause of radii differences among star-forming galaxies is halo concentration. The evolutionary tracks of star-forming galaxies are nearly parallel to the green-valley boundaries, and it is mainly the sideways motions of these boundaries with cosmic time that cause galaxies to quench. BH-scaling laws for star-forming, quenched, and green-valley galaxies are different, and most BH mass growth takes place in the green valley. Implications include: the radii of star-forming galaxies are an important second parameter in shaping their black holes; black holes are connected to their halos but in different ways for star-forming, quenched, and green-valley galaxies; and the same BH-halo quenching mechanism has been in place since $z \sim 3$. We conclude with a discussion of black hole-galaxy co-evolution, the origin and interpretation of BH scaling laws., 45 pages, 20 figures, 2 tables, accepted for publication in ApJ

We study the global star-formation rate (SFR) vs. stellar mass (M$_*$) correlation, and the spatially-resolved SFR surface density ($\Sigma_{SFR}$) vs. stellar mass surface density (\Sm) correlation, in a sample of $\sim2,000$ galaxies from the MaNGA MPL-5 survey. We classify galaxies and spatially-resolved areas into star-forming and retired according to their ionization processes. We confirm the existence of a Star-Forming Main Sequence (SFMS) for galaxies and spatially-resolved areas, and show that they have the same nature, with the global as a consequence of the local one. The latter presents a bend below a limit \Sm value, $\approx 3\times 10^7$ M$_\odot$kpc$^{-2}$, which is not physical. Using only star-forming areas (SFAs) above this limit, a slope and a scatter of $\approx1$ and $\approx0.27$ dex are determined. The retired galaxies/areas strongly segregate from their respective SFMS's, by $\sim -1.5$ dex on average. We explore how the global/local SFMS's depend on galaxy morphology, finding that for star-forming galaxies and SFAs, there is a trend to lower values of star-formation activity with earlier morphological types, which is more pronounced for the local SFMS. The morphology not only affects the global SFR due to the diminish of SFAs with earlier types, but also affects the local SF process. Our results suggest that the local SF at all radii is established by some universal mechanism partially modulated by morphology. Morphology seems to be connected to the slow aging and sharp decline of the SF process, and on its own it may depend on other properties as the environment., Comment: 24 pages, 16 figues. Accepted to appear in MNRAS

This paper studies pseudo-bulges (P-bulges) and classical bulges (C-bulges) in Sloan Digital Sky Survey central galaxies using the new bulge indicator $\Delta\Sigma_1$, which measures relative central stellar-mass surface density within 1 kpc. We compare $\Delta\Sigma_1$ to the established bulge-type indicator $\Delta\langle\mu_e\rangle$ from Gadotti (2009) and show that classifying by $\Delta\Sigma_1$ agrees well with $\Delta\langle\mu_e\rangle$. $\Delta\Sigma_1$ requires no bulge-disk decomposition and can be measured on SDSS images out to $z = 0.07$. Bulge types using it are mapped onto twenty different structural and stellar-population properties for 12,000 SDSS central galaxies with masses 10.0 < log $M_*$/$M_{\odot}$ < 10.4. New trends emerge from this large sample. Structural parameters show fairly linear log-log relations vs. $\Delta\Sigma_1$ and $\Delta\langle\mu_e\rangle$ with only moderate scatter, while stellar-population parameters show a highly non-linear "elbow" in which specific star-formation rate remains roughly flat with increasing central density and then falls rapidly at the elbow, where galaxies begin to quench. P-bulges occupy the low-density end of the horizontal arm of the elbow and are universally star-forming, while C-bulges occupy the elbow and the vertical branch and exhibit a wide range of star-formation rates at fixed density. The non-linear relation between central density and star-formation rate has been seen before, but this mapping onto bulge class is new. The wide range of star-formation rates in C-bulges helps to explain why bulge classifications using different parameters have sometimes disagreed in the past. The elbow-shaped relation between density and stellar indices suggests that central structure and stellar-populations evolve at different rates as galaxies begin to quench., Comment: 23 pages, 17 figures, published in MNRAS

We study the rest-frame optical mass–size relation of bulges and discs from z ∼ 2 to z ∼ 0 for a complete sample of massive galaxies in the CANDELS fields using two-component Sérsic models. Discs and star-forming galaxies follow similar mass–size relations. The mass–size relation of bulges is less steep than the one of quiescent galaxies (best-fitting slope of 0.7 for quiescent galaxies against 0.4 for bulges). We find little dependence of the structural properties of massive bulges and discs with the global morphology of galaxies (disc versus bulge dominated) and the star formation activity (star-forming versus quiescent). This result suggests similar bulge formation mechanisms for most massive galaxies and also that the formation of the bulge component does not significantly affect the disc structure. Our results pose a challenge to current cosmological models that predict distinct structural properties for stellar bulges arising from mergers and disc instabilities., This work has been essentially funded by to a French national PhD scholarship. MHC is also thankful to Google for their unrestricted gift to explore deep-learning techniques for galaxy evolution. PGP-G acknowledges support from the Spanish Government grant AYA2015-63650-P. FS acknowledges partial support from a Leverhulme Trust Research Fellowship.

We study how properties of discrete dark matter halos depend on halo environment, characterized by the mass density around the halos on scales from 0.5 to 16 $h^{-1}{\rm Mpc}$. We find that low mass halos (those less massive than the characteristic mass $M_{\rm C}$ of halos collapsing at a given epoch) in high-density environments have lower accretion rates, lower spins, higher concentrations, and rounder shapes than halos in median density environments. Halos in median and low-density environments have similar accretion rates and concentrations, but halos in low density environments have lower spins and are more elongated. Halos of a given mass in high-density regions accrete material earlier than halos of the same mass in lower-density regions. All but the most massive halos in high-density regions are losing mass (i.e., being stripped) at low redshifts, which causes artificially lowered NFW scale radii and increased concentrations. Tidal effects are also responsible for the decreasing spins of low mass halos in high density regions at low redshifts $z < 1$, by preferentially removing higher angular momentum material from halos. Halos in low-density regions have lower than average spins because they lack nearby halos whose tidal fields can spin them up. We also show that the simulation density distribution is well fit by an Extreme Value Distribution, and that the density distribution becomes broader with cosmic time., 27 pages, 20 figures

We report and provide fitting functions for the abundance of dark matter halos and subhalos as a function of mass, circular velocity, and redshift from the new Bolshoi-Planck and MultiDark-Planck $\Lambda$CDM cosmological simulations, based on the Planck cosmological parameters. We also report the halo mass accretion rates, which may be connected with galaxy star formation rates. We show that the higher cosmological matter density of the Planck parameters compared with the WMAP parameters leads to higher abundance of massive halos at high redshifts. We find that the median halo spin parameter $\lambda_{\rm B} = J(2M_{\rm vir}R_{\rm vir}V_{\rm vir})^{-1}$ is nearly independent of redshift, leading to predicted evolution of galaxy sizes that is consistent with observations, while the significant decrease with redshift in median $\lambda_{\rm P} = J|E|^{-1/2}G^{-1}M^{-5/2}$ predicts more decrease in galaxy sizes than is observed. Using the Tully-Fisher and Faber-Jackson relations between galaxy velocity and mass, we show that a simple model of how galaxy velocity is related to halo maximum circular velocity leads to increasing overprediction of cosmic stellar mass density as redshift increases beyond redshifts $z\sim1$, implying that such velocity-mass relations must change at redshifts $z>1$. By making a realistic model of how observed galaxy velocities are related to halo circular velocity, we show that recent optical and radio observations of the abundance of galaxies are in good agreement with our $\Lambda$CDM simulations. Our halo demographics are based on updated versions of the \rockstar\ and \ctrees\ codes, and this paper includes appendices explaining all of their outputs. This paper is an introduction to a series of related papers presenting other analyses of the Bolshoi-Planck and MultiDark-Planck simulations., Comment: 27 pages, 26 figures. To match the published version at MNRAS. Rockstar and Consistent Trees outputs are available at http://hipacc.ucsc.edu/Bolshoi/MergerTrees.html

Understanding how bulges grow in galaxies is critical step towards unveiling the link between galaxy morphology and star-formation. To do so, it is necessary to decompose large sample of galaxies at different epochs into their main components (bulges and disks). This is particularly challenging, especially at high redshifts, where galaxies are poorly resolved. This work presents a catalog of bulge-disk decompositions of the surface brightness profiles of ~17.600 H-band selected galaxies in the CANDELS fields (F160W, Comment: 18 pages, 18 figures, 3 table, submitted to MNRAS after the first referee's report

We study the effects of the local environmental density and the cosmic web environment (filaments, walls, and voids) on key properties of dark matter halos using the Bolshoi-Planck LCDM cosmological simulation. The z = 0 simulation is analysed into filaments, walls, and voids using the SpineWeb method and also the VIDE package of tools, both of which use the watershed transform. The key halo properties that we study are the specific mass accretion rate, spin parameter, concentration, prolateness, scale factor of the last major merger, and scale factor when the halo had half of its z = 0 mass. For all these properties, we find that there is no discernible difference between the halo properties in filaments, walls, or voids when compared at the same environmental density. As a result, we conclude that environmental density is the core attribute that affects these properties. This conclusion is in line with recent findings that properties of galaxies in redshift surveys are independent of their cosmic web environment at the same environmental density at z ~ 0. We also find that the local web environment of the Milky Way and the Andromeda galaxies near the centre of a cosmic wall does not appear to have any effect on the properties of these galaxies' dark matter halos except for their orientation, although we find that it is rather rare to have such massive halos near the centre of a relatively small cosmic wall., Comment: 23 pages

We used ionized gas and stellar kinematics for 667 spatially resolved galaxies publicly available from the Calar Alto Legacy Integral Field Area survey (CALIFA) third Data Release with the aim of studying kinematic scaling relations as the Tully & Fisher (TF) relation using rotation velocity, Vrot, the Faber & Jackson (FJ) relation using velocity dispersion, σ, and also a combination of Vrot and s through the SK parameter defined as S K 2 = KV rot 2 + σ2 with constant K. Late-type and early-type galaxies reproduce the TF and FJ relations. Some earlytype galaxies also follow the TF relation and some late-type galaxies the FJ relation, but always with larger scatter. On the contrary, when we use the SK parameter, all galaxies, regardless of the morphological type, lie on the same scaling relation, showing a tight correlation with the total stellar mass, M*. Indeed, we find that the scatter in this relation is smaller or equal to that of the TF and FJ relations. We explore different values of the K parameter without significant differences (slope and scatter) in our final results with respect to the case K = 0.5 besides a small change in the zero-point. We calibrate the kinematic S K 2 dynamical mass proxy in order to make it consistent with sophisticated published dynamical models within 0.15 dex. We show that the SK proxy is able to reproduce the relation between the dynamical mass and the stellar mass in the inner regions of galaxies. Our result may be useful in order to produce fast estimations of the central dynamical mass in galaxies and to study correlations in large galaxy surveys. © 2018 The Author(s)., We thank the support by CONACYT grant CB-285080. OV and EA acknowledge support from the PAPIIT grant IN112518. S.F.S. thank PAPIIT-DGAPA-IA101217 (UNAM) project. We would like to thank Damian Mast for his valuable job observing the CALIFA galaxies. Many thanks to Gigi Y. C. Leung from the Max Planck Institute for Astronomy for providing us the stellar and dynamical masses from dynamical models for the 54 galaxies from her study. GvdV acknowledges funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 724857 (Consolidator Grant ArcheoDyn).

We study the global and radial stellar mass assembly of eight zoomed-in MW-sized galaxies produced in Hydrodynamics cosmological simulations. The disk-dominated galaxies (4) show a fast initial stellar mass growth in the innermost parts, driven mostly by in-situ SF, but since $z\sim2-1$ the SF enters in a long-term quenching phase. The outer regions follow this trend but more gentle as more external they are. As the result, the radial stellar mass growth is highly inside-out due to both the inside-out structural growth and inside-out SF quenching. The half-mass radius evolves fast; for instance, $R_{0.5}$($z=1$)$, 23 pages, 15 figures. Accepted for publication in ApJ. Minor corrections and more references added. The discussion was extended in section 6.1

SubHalo Abundance Matching (SHAM) assumes that one (sub)halo property, such as mass Mvir or peak circular velocity Vpeak, determines properties of the galaxy hosted in each (sub)halo such as its luminosity or stellar mass. This assumption implies that the dependence of Galaxy Luminosity Functions (GLFs) and the Galaxy Stellar Mass Function (GSMF) on environmental density is determined by the corresponding halo density dependence. In this paper, we test this by determining from an SDSS sample the observed dependence with environmental density of the ugriz GLFs and GSMF for all galaxies, and for central and satellite galaxies separately. We then show that the SHAM predictions are in remarkable agreement with these observations, even when the galaxy population is divided between central and satellite galaxies. However, we show that SHAM fails to reproduce the correct dependence between environmental density and g-r color for all galaxies and central galaxies, although it better reproduces the color dependence on environmental density of satellite galaxies., 21 pages, 11 figures. Accepted for publication in MNRAS

This study aims to provide new insight on the wheat yield historical response to climate processes throughout Spain by using statistical methods. Our data includes observed wheat yield, pseudo-observations E-OBS for the period 1979 to 2014, and outputs of general circulation models in phase 5 of the Coupled Models Inter-comparison Project (CMIP5) for the period 1901 to 2099. In investigating the relationship between climate and wheat variability, we have applied the approach known as the partial least-square regression, which captures the relevant climate drivers accounting for variations in wheat yield. We found that drought occurring in autumn and spring and the diurnal range of temperature experienced during the winter are major processes to characterize the wheat yield variability in Spain. These observable climate processes are used for an empirical model that is utilized in assessing the wheat yield trends in Spain under different climate conditions. To isolate the trend within the wheat time series, we implemented the adaptive approach known as Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition. Wheat yields in the twenty-first century are experiencing a downward trend that we claim is a consequence of widespread drought over the Iberian Peninsula and an increase in the diurnal range of temperature. These results are important to inform about the wheat vulnerability in this region to coming changes and to develop adaptation strategies.

Several pieces of evidence suggest that disk formation is the generic process of assembly of galaxies, while the spheroidal component arises from the merging/interactions of disks as well as from their secular evolution. To understand galaxy formation and evolution, a cosmological framework is required. The current cosmological paradigm is summarized in the so-called Λ-cold dark matter model (ΛCDM). The statistical connection between the masses of the observed galaxies and those of the simulated CDM halos in large volumes leads us to the galaxy-halo mass relation, which summarizes the main astrophysical processes of galaxy formation and evolution (gas heating and cooling, SF, SN- and AGN-driven feedback, etc.). An important question is how this relation constrained by semi-empirical methods (e.g., Rodriguez-Puebla et al. 2014) is “projected” into the disk galaxy scaling relations and other galaxy correlations. To explore this question, we generate a synthetic catalog of thousands of disk/halo systems by means of an extended Mo, Mao & White (1998) model, and by using as input the baryonic-to-halo mass relation, fbar(Mh), of local disk galaxy as recently constrained by Calette et al. (2015).

We investigate the environmental quenching of galaxies, especially those with stellar masses (M*)$10^{10.5} M_\odot$) within a redshift range. At a given redshift and M*, the environmental quenching effect is considered to be observed if the $d_{proj}$ distribution of QGs ($d_{proj}^Q$) is significantly skewed toward lower values than that of star-forming galaxies ($d_{proj}^{SF}$). For galaxies with $10^{8} M_\odot < M* < 10^{10} M_\odot$, such a difference between $d_{proj}^Q$ and $d_{proj}^{SF}$ is detected up to $z\sim1$. Also, about 10\% of the quenched galaxies in our sample are located between two and four virial radii ($R_{Vir}$) of the massive halos. The median projected distance from low-mass QGs to their massive neighbors, $d_{proj}^Q / R_{Vir}$, decreases with satellite M* at $M* \lesssim 10^{9.5} M_\odot$, but increases with satellite M* at $M* \gtrsim 10^{9.5} M_\odot$. This trend suggests a smooth, if any, transition of the quenching timescale around $M* \sim 10^{9.5} M_\odot$ at $0.5, 8 pages, 5 figures. ApJL accepted. Typos corrected

The fire is able to cause enormous damaging consequences, especially in buildings occupied by many people, increasing the cost of the losses in both, human and economy. For that reason, during the last decades, numerous researches have been carried out about emergency evacuations and how they rely upon the social interactions between the evacuees. Nonetheless, not much is known about when and how they do so. This thesis is based on a specific case study of an emergency drill carried out in a sports centre. The aim of the thesis is to comprehend the different social interactions and collective behaviour that might affect the evacuees. On the other hand, the final part of the thesis presents different evacuation model simulations in order to figure out up until which level a specific software is able to perform the collective behaviour of the evacuees and how. The different studies of the impact of social interaction are going to be analysed by one quantitative method that already has been used in previous studies. With the method proposed, two different situations are going to be analysed: the time to response to the emergency and the time to exit. Later on, the comparison between the results obtained in the model simulation and the real results would be presented. Máster europeo en Ingeniería de la Construcción

We present a simple, efficient and robust approach to improve cosmological redshift measurements. The method is based on the presence of a reference sample for which a precise redshift number distribution (dN/dz) can be obtained for different pencil-beam-like sub-volumes within the original survey. For each sub-volume we then impose: (i) that the redshift number distribution of the uncertain redshift measurements matches the reference dN/dz corrected by their selection functions; and (ii) the rank order in redshift of the original ensemble of uncertain measurements is preserved. The latter step is motivated by the fact that random variables drawn from Gaussian probability density functions (PDFs) of different means and arbitrarily large standard deviations satisfy stochastic ordering. We then repeat this simple algorithm for multiple arbitrary pencil-beam-like overlapping sub-volumes; in this manner, each uncertain measurement has multiple (non-independent) "recovered" redshifts which can be used to estimate a new redshift PDF. We refer to this method as the Stochastic Order Redshift Technique (SORT). We have used a state-of-the-art N-body simulation to test the performance of SORT under simple assumptions and found that it can improve the quality of cosmological redshifts in an efficient and robust manner. Particularly, SORT redshifts are able to recover the distinctive features of the 'cosmic web' and can provide unbiased measurement of the two-point correlation function on scales > 4 Mpc/h. Given its simplicity, we envision that a method like SORT can be incorporated into more sophisticated algorithms aimed to exploit the full potential of large extragalactic photometric surveys., MNRAS accepted; 15 pages, 9 figures

Previous research has provided useful information to qualitatively interpret fundaments of social influence during evacuation. However, this performance needs to be quantified that it can be understood and considered in life safety calculations. We apply a quantitative method for assessing the behavioural cohesion among evacuees i.e. whether individuals respond and move together, as a group. Three evacuation scenarios are analysed: 1) a multimodal station, 2) a sports centre and 3) a library. Results suggested that proximity (visual/verbal contact) could be an important factor but not decisive in the formation of evacuation groups. Social ties and whether occupants share a target and/or an activity before the alarm are also deemed to be important factors. Overall, these results indicate that the proposed method can be used as a priori assessment to determine the presence of evacuation groups in fire safety engineering analyses. The authors would like to thank the European Union for the LETS-CROWD project received funding from the Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme under the grant agreement Nº 740466.

An interesting topic in climate research is to determine the variability of teleconnection patterns under warming conditions. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the East Atlantic, the East Atlantic-West Russian and the Scandinavian (SCAND) patterns are the most important teleconnection patterns affecting Europe. Results associated with traditional methodologies for capturing these patterns, such as conventional and rotated empirical orthogonal function analysis, are difficult to intercompare when using different datasets. Therefore, we employed the method of partial least squares (PLS) regression to find a plausible representation of the teleconnections using the standard set of teleconnection patterns defined by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center as a reference. The variability and trend of the teleconnection indices and patterns over the twentieth and twenty-first centuries were investigated for 20C3M and SRES A1B experiments from the third phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) and compared with the twentieth-century reanalysis data. The results of this study show a positive trend for the NAO and a negative trend for the SCAND under a future climate scenario. With this study, we were able to extract consistent teleconnection patterns across different models, demonstrating the usefulness of the PLS regression in evaluating models and establishing the basis for future work using the fifth phase of CMIP data to assess atmospheric circulation trends and causes of regional climate change.

Producción Científica, En esta comunicación se muestran diversas experiencias del uso de dispositivos móviles para la enseñanza de asignaturas de Ciencias. El trabajo se enmarca dentro de los objetivos del Proyecto de Innovación Docente “Dispositivos móviles como instrumentos para la adquisición de competencias en materias de Ciencias”, llevado a cabo en la Universidad de Salamanca dentro del Programa de Innovación y Mejora Docente. En este proyecto se han utilizado los móviles como recursos para mejora del sistema de enseñanza/aprendizaje en diversas situaciones, como la adquisición de datos en un laboratorio, la evaluación del grado de comprensión de conceptos específicos, la gestión de búsquedas de información o la realización de encuestas.

The aims of this study are to identify the trend of warm days and cold nights over the Iberian Peninsula and to connect the variations with large-scale variables. The reasons for performing this analysis are the effects that extremes events have on different ecosystems. Here, we present the results on spatial and temporal variability of warm days (TX90), or those exceeding the 90th percentile of maximum temperature, and cold nights (TN10), or those falling below the 10th percentile of minimum temperature. The extreme indices were derived from daily observations at stations and gridded data over land area for the period 1950 to 2006. Significant trends of more warm days and fewer cold nights were found. The trend to fewer cold nights is within the interval of global results given by the IPCC AR4 report; however, the trend to warm days is greater than the corresponding global trend. The influence of large-scale variables on these extreme indices was examined by means of the Empirical Orthogonal Function, correlation, composite maps and multiple regression analyses. Changes in TX90 are connected with the Scandinavian teleconnection index and a preferred mode of geopotential height at 500 hPa over the North Atlantic. Changes in TN10 are connected with the East Atlantic teleconnection index and the leading mode of Sea Surface Temperature (SST) variability over the North Atlantic area. Based on the links between the extreme indices and the large-scale variables we derived statistical models to describe the response of TX90 and TN10 to atmospheric circulation and SST variations. The models characterized the observed variations of TX90 and TN10 reasonably well. The results of this study encourage us to analyze, in further work, how temperature extremes might change over the Iberian Peninsula under warmer climate conditions.

The trends of precipitation over the Iberian Peninsula (IP) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index from December to March are compared using observations and model simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 3 (CMIP3). The evaluation is performed in two multi-models as derived by averaging simulations corresponding to two experiments: one represents climate in the 20th century (20C3M) and the other the scenario with medium forcing IPCC SRES A1B in the 21st century. The NAO index shows a trend to more positive phases and precipitation tends to decrease in the case of observations, with greater significance in the NAO than in precipitation. The simulations in the 20th century underestimate the trend both in the NAO and in precipitation compared to observations. The multi-model in the 21st century indicates a change in the NAO regimes to being more positive; this leads to a reduction of precipitation over the IP. To explain the precipitation trend changes we consider the response of precipitation to the NAO, the regression between sea level pressure (SLP) over the Euro-Atlantic area onto precipitation averaged over the IP and the composite of precipitation for years with greater and lower NAO. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society

The galaxy stellar-to-halo mass relation (SHMR) is nearly time-independent for $z < 4$. We therefore construct a time-independent SHMR model for central galaxies, wherein the in-situ star formation rate (SFR) is determined by the halo mass accretion rate (MAR), which we call Stellar-Halo Accretion Rate Coevolution (SHARC). We show that the $\sim0.3$ dex dispersion of the halo MAR matches the observed dispersion of the SFR on the star-formation main sequence (MS). In the context of "bathtub"-type models of galaxy formation, SHARC leads to mass-dependent constraints on the relation between SFR and MAR. Despite its simplicity and the simplified treatment of mass growth from mergers, the SHARC model is likely to be a good approximation for central galaxies with $M_*=10^9- 10^{10.5}M_\odot$ that are on the MS, representing most of the star formation in the Universe. SHARC predictions agree with observed SFRs for galaxies on the MS at low redshifts, agree fairly well at $z\sim4$, but exceed observations at $z>4$. Assuming that the interstellar gas mass is constant for each galaxy (the "equilibrium condition" in bathtub models), the SHARC model allows calculation of net mass loading factors for inflowing and outflowing gas. With assumptions about preventive feedback based on simulations, SHARC allows calculation of galaxy metallicity evolution. If galaxy SFRs indeed track halo MARs, especially at low redshifts, that may help explain the success of models linking galaxy properties to halos (including age-matching) and the similarities between two-halo galaxy conformity and halo mass accretion conformity., Accepted for publication in MNRAS. No substantial changes. Abstract slightly modified in order to match the MNRAS Abstract length limit of 250 words. 18 pages, 12 figures

Memoria ID-0129. Ayudas de la Universidad de Salamanca para la innovación docente, curso 2014-2015.

Memoria ID-0273. Ayudas de la Universidad de Salamanca para la innovación docente, curso 2014-2015.

In this paper, the ability of model outputs from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to describe the natural internal variability of precipitation observations is evaluated. The analysis is focused on the Iberian Peninsula for December–February (DJF). The study was performed with observed data from National Meteorological Institutes, reanalysis data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction–National Center for Atmospheric Research, teleconnection indices, and model simulations. First, the seasonal cycle, mean winter pattern, and tendency for nine model simulations were evaluated. Then, four models were selected to obtain interannual variability and to diagnose the links between precipitation and large-scale circulation. This intercomparison is based on the modes obtained by the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) and spectral analyses to investigate the temporal properties of the most significant spatial patterns. The models well reproduce the observed seasonal cycle and the mean winter pattern; however, they poorly capture the interannual variability found in observed data. To ascertain the reasons for these results, features affecting the precipitation process are considered by analyzing the relationships with the dominant modes of large-scale atmospheric fields, such as sea level pressure, storm activity, jet stream, moisture flux, and teleconnection indices. The precipitation response to the mean flow suggests signs of potential seasonal predictability in DJF.

Memoria ID11-123. Ayudas de la Universidad de Salamanca para la innovación docente, curso 2011-2012.

Objectives TO determine lung cancer incidence in the province of Avila, Spain, in the year 2002 and compare it with incidences reported in 2 previous studies (for 1992-1993 and 1997). Patients and methods Patients diagnosed in 2002 were evaluated prospectively by the method used in the previous studies. The reference population was obtained from the municipal records for 2001. Results In 2002, 87 patients (74 men and 13 women) were diagnosed with lung cancer. The crude incidence rate was 53.09 cases per 100 000 population (men: 89.92/100 000; women: 15.93/100 000). Of these, 87.3% had been smokers. Squamous cell carcinomas were the most frequent type overall (38.1%) and in men (42.4%). Adenocarcinomas were the most frequent type in women (60%). The most frequent treatment was chemotherapy (35.6%). Between the 1992-1993 study and our 2002 study, significant increases were found in crude incidence rates of lung cancer and the use of chemotherapy, as well as significant decreases both in squamous cell carcinomas and the use of radiotherapy alone. Conclusions Between 1992 and 2002 the lung cancer incidence in men and women in the province of Avila increased significantly.

Ponencia presentada en: IX Congreso de la Asociación Española de Climatología celebrado en Almería entre el 28 y el 30 de octubre de 2014. [ES]La influencia de la circulación atmosférica en el clima de la Península Ibérica puede ser analizada en función de los tipos de tiempo. El objetivo de este trabajo es describir la variabilidad de los regímenes de tiempo que influyen en el clima de la PI. Para ello el número de tipos de tiempo de la clasificación de Font Tullot se reduce en regímenes de tiempo con la condición de que estos regímenes mantengan una proporción elevada de la varianza de la circulación atmosférica asociada a los tipos de tiempo. El método que permite esta reducción de la dimensión del campo de circulación es la regresión de mínimos cuadrados parciales. Además, con este método se obtienen las series temporales que representan la evolución de los regímenes de tiempo. [EN]Climate over the Iberian Peninsula (IP) can be analyzed by considering its relationships with Atmospheric Circulation and particularly with weather types. The main objective of this study is to describe the time series of the weather regimes affecting climate over the IP. First, a reduction of the number of weather types of Font Tullot classification is performed as condition of accounting for a high percentage of the atmospheric circulation variance associated with the weather types. Partial Least square regression is the method that allows us this dimension reduction of the circulation field. It also provides the time series characterizing the evolution of weather regimes. Agradecemos la subvención del proyecto CGL2011-23209 del Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad.

Ponencia presentada en: IX Congreso de la Asociación Española de Climatología celebrado en Almería entre el 28 y el 30 de octubre de 2014. [ES]Para caracterizar los impactos y tomar medidas de adaptación en otras condiciones climáticas las proyecciones de producciones agrícolas aportarían información de gran utilidad. En este trabajo se muestra un ejemplo de estudio de los cambios de la productividad del trigo en el siglo XXI usando modelos CMIP5. El desarrollo del trabajo requiere diferentes etapas: en la primera se analizan las relaciones entre datos de producción de trigo y diferentes variables climáticas para el periodo observacional. Para el estudio regional hemos obtenido que las variables climáticas que influyen en la productividad del trigo son la precipitación acumulada en marzo, el rango diurno de temperatura en diciembre y el índice de aridez en mayo. [EN]Agricultural production projections under other climate conditions are of great interest for impact and adaptations characterizations. In this study we analyse changes of wheat productivity in the 21st century using CMIP5 models. The study is performed in different steps: In the first part we obtained relationships between wheat productivity and different climate variables for the observational period. We found the following climate variables affecting wheat productivity: accumulated precipitation in March, diurnal range of temperature in December and aridity index in May. Este estudio se ha realizado en el marco del proyecto CGL2011-23209, financiado por el Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad de España y gracias al proyecto SA222A11-2 de la Junta de Castilla y León.