151. Smart4RES: Towards next generation forecasting tools of renewable energy production
- Author
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Stefan Wilbert, George Sideratos, Efrosyni Korka, Quentin Libois, Simon Camal, Alexandre Neto, Ganesh Sauba, Pierre Pinson, Remco Verzijlbergh, Gregor Giebel, Bijan Nouri, Matthias Lange, Ricardo J. Bessa, Stéphanie Petit, Raphaël Legrand, Georges Kariniotakis, Centre Procédés, Énergies Renouvelables, Systèmes Énergétiques (PERSEE), Mines Paris - PSL (École nationale supérieure des mines de Paris), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Institute for Systems and Computer Engineering, Technology and Science [Porto] (INESC TEC), DTU Electrical Engineering [Lyngby], Danmarks Tekniske Universitet = Technical University of Denmark (DTU), DTU Wind Energy, Météo-France Direction Interrégionale Sud-Est (DIRSE), Météo-France, energy (EMSYS - Energy & Meteo Systems), German Aerospace Center (DLR), EDP New Energy World – Center for New Energy Technologies, EDP Distribuição, WHIFFLE, DNV GL, National Technical University of Athens [Athens] (NTUA), DEDDIE, DOWEL Consulting, European Geophysical Union (EGU), European Project: 864337,Smart4RES, MINES ParisTech - École nationale supérieure des mines de Paris, Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL), Technical University of Denmark [Lyngby] (DTU), and Météo France
- Subjects
Energy meteorology ,Electricity markets ,Operations research ,Computer science ,Yield (finance) ,Weather forecasting ,Context (language use) ,Qualifizierung ,computer.software_genre ,7. Clean energy ,Data science ,Electric power system ,Power system management ,[STAT.ML]Statistics [stat]/Machine Learning [stat.ML] ,[MATH.MATH-ST]Mathematics [math]/Statistics [math.ST] ,Production (economics) ,weather forecasting ,Numerical Weather Predictions ,Data markets ,[STAT.AP]Statistics [stat]/Applications [stat.AP] ,meteorological forecasting ,business.industry ,[SPI.NRJ]Engineering Sciences [physics]/Electric power ,Renewable energy ,[MATH.MATH-PR]Mathematics [math]/Probability [math.PR] ,renewable energy forecasting ,Pricing strategies ,13. Climate action ,Uncertainty management ,Electricity ,[MATH.MATH-OC]Mathematics [math]/Optimization and Control [math.OC] ,business ,computer ,Decision making ,Forecasting - Abstract
The aim of this paper is to present the objectives, research directions and first highlight results of the Smart4RES project, which was launched in November 2019, under the Horizon 2020 Framework Programme. Smart4RES is a research project that aims to bring substantial performance improvements to the whole model and value chain in renewable energy (RES) forecasting, with particular emphasis placed on optimizing synergies with storage and to support power system operation and participation in electricity markets. For that, it concentrates on a number of disruptive proposals to support ambitious objectives for the future of renewable energy forecasting. This is thought of in a context with steady increase in the quantity of data being collected and computational capabilities. And, this comes in combination with recent advances in data science and approaches to meteorological forecasting. Smart4RES concentrates on novel developments towards very high-resolution and dedicated weather forecasting solutions. It makes optimal use of varied and distributed sources of data e.g. remote sensing (sky imagers, satellites, etc), power and meteorological measurements, as well as high-resolution weather forecasts, to yield high-quality and seamless approaches to renewable energy forecasting. The project accommodates the fact that all these sources of data are distributed geographically and in terms of ownership, with current restrictions preventing sharing. Novel alternative approaches are to be developed and evaluated to reach optimal forecast accuracy in that context, including distributed and privacy-preserving learning and forecasting methods, as well as the advent of platform-enabled data-markets, with associated pricing strategies. Smart4RES places a strong emphasis on maximizing the value from the use of forecasts in applications through advanced decision making and optimization approaches. This also goes through approaches to streamline the definition of new forecasting products balancing the complexity of forecast information and the need of forecast users. Focus is on developing models for applications involving storage, the provision of ancillary services, as well as market participation.
- Published
- 2020
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