151. Unfavorable and favorable changes in modifiable risk factors and incidence of coronary heart disease: The Whitehall II cohort study.
- Author
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Virtanen M, Vahtera J, Singh-Manoux A, Elovainio M, Ferrie JE, and Kivimäki M
- Subjects
- Adult, Aged, Cohort Studies, Coronary Disease psychology, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Incidence, Interpersonal Relations, Male, Middle Aged, Overweight diagnosis, Overweight epidemiology, Overweight psychology, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Smoking adverse effects, Smoking epidemiology, Smoking psychology, Coronary Disease diagnosis, Coronary Disease epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: Few studies have examined long-term associations of unfavorable and favorable changes in vascular risk factors with incident coronary heart disease (CHD). We examined this issue in a middle-aged disease-free population., Methods: We used repeat data from the Whitehall II cohort study. Five biomedical, behavioral and psychosocial examinations of 8335 participants without CHD produced up to 20,357 person-observations to mimic a non-randomized pseudo-trial. After measurement of potential change in 6 risk factors twice (total cholesterol, blood pressure, smoking, overweight, psychological distress, problems in social relationships), a 5-year follow-up of CHD was undertaken., Results: Incidence of CHD was 7.4/1000 person-years. Increases from normal to high cholesterol (hazard ratio, HR = 1.59, 95% CI 1.26-2.00) and from normal to high blood pressure (HR = 1.64, 95% CI 1.33-2.03), as compared to remaining at the normal level, were associated with increased risk of CHD. In contrast, decreases from high to low levels of cholesterol (HR = 0.73, 95% CI 0.58-0.91), psychological distress (HR = 0.68, 95% CI 0.51-0.90), and problems in social relationships (HR = 0.65, 95% CI 0.50-0.85), and quitting smoking (HR = 0.49, 95% CI 0.29-0.82) were associated with a reduced CHD risk compared to remaining at high risk factor levels. The highest absolute risk was associated with persistent exposure to both high cholesterol and hypertension (incidence 18.1/1000 person-years) and smoking and overweight (incidence 17.7/1000 person-years)., Conclusions: While persistent exposures and changes in biological and behavioral risk factors relate to the greatest increases and reductions in 5-year risk of CHD, also favorable changes in psychosocial risk factors appear to reduce CHD risk., (Copyright © 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2018
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