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Global emission reduction efforts continue to be insufficient to meet the temperature goal of the Paris Agreement 1 . This makes the systematic exploration of so-called overshoot pathways that temporarily exceed a targeted global warming limit before drawing temperatures back down to safer levels a priority for science and policy 2-5 . Here we show that global and regional climate change and associated risks after an overshoot are different from a world that avoids it. We find that achieving declining global temperatures can limit long-term climate risks compared with a mere stabilization of global warming, including for sea-level rise and cryosphere changes. However, the possibility that global warming could be reversed many decades into the future might be of limited relevance for adaptation planning today. Temperature reversal could be undercut by strong Earth-system feedbacks resulting in high near-term and continuous long-term warming 6,7 . To hedge and protect against high-risk outcomes, we identify the geophysical need for a preventive carbon dioxide removal capacity of several hundred gigatonnes. Yet, technical, economic and sustainability considerations may limit the realization of carbon dioxide removal deployment at such scales 8,9 . Therefore, we cannot be confident that temperature decline after overshoot is achievable within the timescales expected today. Only rapid near-term emission reductions are effective in reducing climate risks., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Atmospheric methane removal (e.g. in situ methane oxidation to carbon dioxide) may be needed to offset continued methane release and limit the global warming contribution of this potent greenhouse gas. Because mitigating most anthropogenic emissions of methane is uncertain this century, and sudden methane releases from the Arctic or elsewhere cannot be excluded, technologies for methane removal or oxidation may be required. Carbon dioxide removal has an increasingly well-established research agenda and technological foundation. No similar framework exists for methane removal. We believe that a research agenda for negative methane emissions-'removal' or atmospheric methane oxidation-is needed. We outline some considerations for such an agenda here, including a proposed Methane Removal Model Intercomparison Project (MR-MIP). This article is part of a discussion meeting issue 'Rising methane: is warming feeding warming? (part 1)'.

In Indonesia, 60 million people live within 1 km of state forest. The government of Indonesia plans to grant community titles for 12.7 million hectares of land to communities living in and around forests. These titles allow for using nontimber forest products, practicing agroforestry, operating tourism businesses, and selective logging in designated production zones. Here, we estimate the early effects of the program's rollout. We use data on the delineation and introduction date of community forest titles on 2.4 million hectares of land across the country. We find that, contrary to the objective of the program, community titles aimed at conservation did not decrease deforestation; if anything, they tended to increase forest loss. In contrast, community titles in zones aimed at timber production decreased deforestation, albeit from higher baseline forest loss rates., Competing Interests: The authors declare no competing interest., (Copyright © 2021 the Author(s). Published by PNAS.)

The capture and use of carbon dioxide to create valuable products might lower the net costs of reducing emissions or removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. Here we review ten pathways for the utilization of carbon dioxide. Pathways that involve chemicals, fuels and microalgae might reduce emissions of carbon dioxide but have limited potential for its removal, whereas pathways that involve construction materials can both utilize and remove carbon dioxide. Land-based pathways can increase agricultural output and remove carbon dioxide. Our assessment suggests that each pathway could scale to over 0.5 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide utilization annually. However, barriers to implementation remain substantial and resource constraints prevent the simultaneous deployment of all pathways.

Background/aims: Fibrotic remodeling of the atria plays a key role in the pathogenesis of atrial fibrillation (AF). As little is known about the contribution of circulating monocytes in atrial remodeling and the pathophysiology of AF, we investigated profibrotic factors in different subsets of circulating monocytes obtained from patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing catheter ablation., Methods: A 3D high density voltage mapping was performed in sinus rhythm to evaluate the extent of low-voltage areas (LVAs) in the atria of 71 patients with persistent AF. Low-voltage was defined as signals of < 0.5mV during sinus rhythm. Prior to ablation, blood was drawn and monocytes were analyzed by FACS. Based on the expression of CD14 and CD16, three subgroups including CD14++ CD16- ('classical'), CD14++ CD16+ ('intermediate'), and CD14+ CD16++ ('non-classical') were analyzed for the expression of TGFb, CD147, and MMP-9, representing pivotal profibrotic pathways in myocardial remodeling., Results: Expression of TGFb was increased in CD14+ monocytes of patients with extensive LVAs compared to patients with a low extend of LVAs. While CD14++ CD16- monocytes showed no difference, CD14++ CD16+ and CD14+ CD16++ monocytes showed a strong increase of TGFb abundance. Although CD147 and MMP-9 are strongly associated with myocardial fibrosis, we found no difference in expression between the two groups in any monocyte subsets., Conclusion: TGFb is specifically upregulated on CD14++ CD16+ and CD14+ CD16++ monocytes in patients with extensive LVAs undergoing catheter ablation., (© 2018 The Author(s). Published by S. Karger AG, Basel.)

At the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Paris in 2015 ambitious targets for responding to the threat of climate change have been set: limiting global temperature increase to "well below 2 °C […] and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 °C". However, calculating the CO 2 budget for 1.5 °C, it becomes clear that there is nearly no room left for future emissions. Scenarios suggest that negative emission technologies will play an even more important role for 1.5 °C than they already play for 2 °C. Especially against this background the feasibility of the target(s) is hotly debated, but this debate does not initiate the next steps that are urgently needed. Already the negotiations have featured the move from targets to implementation which is needed in the coming decade. Most importantly, there is an urgent need to develop and implement instruments that incentivize the rapid decarbonization. Moreover, it needs to be worked out how to link the climate and development agenda and prevent a buildup of coal power causing lock-in effects. Short term entry points into climate policy should now be in the focus instead of the fruitless debate on the feasibility of targets., (© 2017 The Authors. Published by WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim.)

The goal of this study was to follow a cohort of patients undergoing total knee arthroplasty over time to: (1) identify and describe the various pain trajectories beginning preoperatively and for up to 12 months after surgery, (2) identify baseline predictors of trajectory group membership, and (3) identify trajectory groups associated with poor psychosocial outcomes 12 months after surgery. One hundred seventy-three participants (female = 85 [49%]; mean age [years] = 62.9, SD = 6.8) completed pain and psychological questionnaires and functional performance tests preoperatively and 4 days, 6 weeks, and 3 and 12 months after total knee arthroplasty. Using growth mixture modeling, results showed that a 4-group model, with a quadratic slope and baseline pain data predicting trajectory group membership, best fit the data (Akaike information criterion = 2772.27). The first 3 pain trajectories represent various rates of recovery ending with relatively low levels of pain 12 months after surgery. Group 4, the constant high pain group, comprises patients who have a neutral or positive pain slope and do not show improvement in their pain experience over the first year after surgery. This model suggests that preoperative pain levels are predictive of pain trajectory group membership and moderate preoperative pain, as opposed to low or high pain, is a risk factor for a neutral or positive pain trajectory postoperatively. Consistent with previous studies, these results show that postoperative pain is not a homogeneous condition and point to the importance of examining intraindividual pain fluctuations as they relate to pain interventions and prevention strategies.

Symptoms of depression frequently co-occur with eating disorders and have been associated with negative outcomes. Self-report measures such as the Beck Depression Inventory-II (BDI-II) are commonly used to assess for the presence of depressive symptoms in eating disorders, but the instrument's factor structure in this population has not been examined. The purposes of this study were to explore the factor structure of the BDI-II in a sample of individuals (N = 437) with anorexia nervosa undergoing inpatient treatment and to examine changes in depressive symptoms on each of the identified factors following a course of treatment for anorexia nervosa in order to provide evidence supporting the construct validity of the measure. Exploratory factor analysis revealed that a three-factor model reflected the best fit for the data. Confirmatory factor analysis was used to validate this model against competing models and the three-factor model exhibited strong model fit characteristics. BDI-II scores were significantly reduced on all three factors following inpatient treatment, which supported the construct validity of the scale. The BDI-II appears to be reliable in this population, and the factor structure identified through this analysis may offer predictive utility for identifying individuals who may have more difficulty achieving weight restoration in the context of inpatient treatment. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd and Eating Disorders Association., (Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd and Eating Disorders Association.)

Livestock are responsible for 12% of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Sustainable intensification of livestock production systems might become a key climate mitigation technology. However, livestock production systems vary substantially, making the implementation of climate mitigation policies a formidable challenge. Here, we provide results from an economic model using a detailed and high-resolution representation of livestock production systems. We project that by 2030 autonomous transitions toward more efficient systems would decrease emissions by 736 million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent per year (MtCO2e⋅y(-1)), mainly through avoided emissions from the conversion of 162 Mha of natural land. A moderate mitigation policy targeting emissions from both the agricultural and land-use change sectors with a carbon price of US$10 per tCO2e could lead to an abatement of 3,223 MtCO2e⋅y(-1). Livestock system transitions would contribute 21% of the total abatement, intra- and interregional relocation of livestock production another 40%, and all other mechanisms would add 39%. A comparable abatement of 3,068 MtCO2e⋅y(-1) could be achieved also with a policy targeting only emissions from land-use change. Stringent climate policies might lead to reductions in food availability of up to 200 kcal per capita per day globally. We find that mitigation policies targeting emissions from land-use change are 5 to 10 times more efficient--measured in "total abatement calorie cost"--than policies targeting emissions from livestock only. Thus, fostering transitions toward more productive livestock production systems in combination with climate policies targeting the land-use change appears to be the most efficient lever to deliver desirable climate and food availability outcomes.

Unlabelled: The Pain Catastrophizing Scale (PCS) was developed in English to assess 3 components of catastrophizing (rumination, magnification, helplessness). It has been adapted for use and validated with Flemish-speaking children (Pain Catastrophizing Scale for Children [PCS-C]) and French-speaking adolescents. The PCS-C has been back-translated to English and used extensively in research with English-speaking children; however, the factorial validity of the English PCS-C has not been empirically examined. This study assessed the factor structure of the English PCS-C among a community sample of 1,006 English-speaking children (aged 8-18 years). Exploratory factor analysis was conducted using a random subsample (n = 504) to assess the underlying factor structure. Items with poor factor loadings were removed. Confirmatory factor analysis, using the second subsample (n = 502), was used to cross-validate the factor structure revealed by exploratory factor analysis and compare it to the original 3-factor model and other model variants. Exploratory factor analysis revealed that the original PCS-C and a revised 3-factor model comprising 11 of the original 13 PCS-C items, all loading on their original factors, provided adequate fit to the data. The revised model provided statistically better fit to the data compared to all other model variants, suggesting that the English PCS-C may be better understood using a revised 11-item oblique 3-factor model., Perspective: This is the first examination of the factorial validity of the widely used English version of the PCS-C in a large community sample of English-speaking children. A revised 11-item, 3-factor model provided statistically better fit to the data compared to the original model and other model variants., (Copyright © 2013 American Pain Society. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

The self-reference effect (SRE) is a powerful memory advantage associated with encoding in reference to the self (e.g., Rogers, Kuiper, & Kirker, 1977). To explore whether this mnemonic benefit occurs spontaneously, the current study assessed how ageing and divided attention affect the magnitude of the SRE in emotional memory (i.e., memory for emotional stimuli). The sample included a young Full Attention group (young-FA), a young Divided Attention group (young-DA), and an older adult group. The division of attention was manipulated at encoding where participants incidentally studied positive, negative, and neutral trait adjectives in either a self-reference (i.e., rating how well each word describes themselves) or an other-reference condition (i.e., rating how well each word describes another person). Memory for these words was assessed with both recall and recognition tasks. The results from both tasks demonstrated equivalent SRE for all three groups across emotional valence categories of stimuli, suggesting that the SRE is a spontaneous, effortless, and robust effect in memory.

Background: Depression measures that include somatic symptoms may inflate severity estimates among medically ill patients, including those with cardiovascular disease., Aims: To evaluate whether people receiving in-patient treatment following acute myocardial infarction (AMI) had higher somatic symptom scores on the Beck Depression Inventory-II (BDI-II) than a non-medically ill control group matched on cognitive/affective scores., Method: Somatic scores on the BDI-II were compared between 209 patients admitted to hospital following an AMI and 209 psychiatry out-patients matched on gender, age and cognitive/affective scores, and between 366 post-AMI patients and 366 undergraduate students matched on gender and cognitive/affective scores., Results: Somatic symptoms accounted for 44.1% of total BDI-II score for the 209 post-AMI and psychiatry out-patient groups, 52.7% for the 366 post-AMI patients and 46.4% for the students. Post-AMI patients had somatic scores on average 1.1 points higher than the students (P<0.001). Across groups, somatic scores accounted for approximately 70% of low total scores (BDI-II <4) v. approximately 35% in patients with total BDI-II scores of 12 or more., Conclusions: Our findings contradict assertions that self-report depressive symptom measures inflate severity scores in post-AMI patients. However, the preponderance of somatic symptoms at low score levels across groups suggests that BDI-II scores may include a small amount of somatic symptom variance not necessarily related to depression in post-AMI and non-medically ill respondents.

The repertoire of approximately 1200 odorant receptors (ORs) is mapped onto the array of approximately 1800 glomeruli in the mouse olfactory bulb (OB). The spatial organization of this array is influenced by the ORs. Here we show that glomerular mapping to broad domains in the dorsal OB is determined by two types of olfactory sensory neurons (OSNs), which reside in the dorsal olfactory epithelium. The OSN types express either class I or class II OR genes. Axons from the two OSN types segregate already within the olfactory nerve and form distinct domains of glomeruli in the OB. These class-specific anatomical domains correlate with known functional odorant response domains. However, axonal segregation and domain formation are not determined by the class of the expressed OR protein. Thus, the two OSN types are determinants of axonal wiring, operate at a higher level than ORs, and contribute to the functional organization of the glomerular array.

The structural determinants of an odor molecule necessary and/or sufficient for interaction with the cognate olfactory receptor(s) are not known. Olfactory receptor neurons expressing the same olfactory receptor converge in the olfactory bulb. Thus, optical imaging of neuronal activity in the olfactory bulb can visualize at once the contributions by all the different olfactory receptors responsive to a particular odorant. We have used this technique to derive estimates about the structural requirements and minimal number of different zebrafish olfactory receptors that respond to a series of naturally occurring amino acids and some structurally related compounds. We report that the alpha-carboxyl group, the alpha-amino group, and l-conformation of the amino acid are all required for activation of amino acid-responsive receptors. Increasing carbon chain length recruits successively more receptors. With increasing concentrations, the activity patterns induced by a homolog series of amino acids became more similar to each other. At intermediate concentrations patterns were unique across substances and across concentrations. The introduction of a terminal amino group (charged) both recruits additional receptors and prevents binding to some of the receptors that were responsive to the unsubstituted analog. In contrast, the introduction of a beta-hydroxyl group (polar) excluded the odorants from some of the receptors that are capable of binding the unsubstituted analog. Cross-adaptation experiments independently confirmed these results. Thus, odorant detection requires several different receptors even for relatively simple odorants such as amino acids, and individual receptors require the presence of some molecular features, the absence of others, and tolerate still other molecular features.