151. Bayesian estimation of interval bounds based on limited data
- Author
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Imholz, M., Vandepitte, D., David Moens, Desmet, W, Pluymers, B, Moens, D, and Rottiers, W
- Subjects
Engineering, Mechanical ,Technology ,Science & Technology ,Engineering - Abstract
© Proceedings of ISMA 2018 - International Conference on Noise and Vibration Engineering and USD 2018 - International Conference on Uncertainty in Structural Dynamics. All rights reserved. When conducting uncertainty quantification, probability methods are widely used to represent quantities of a variable nature. First, a type of probability density function has to be chosen, often based on initial assumptions and physical boundary conditions, defining a set of stochastically parameters. Because the available data is physically limited to a finite number, there will always be uncertainty on the exact value of these parameters. At some point, the amount of experiments will be too low for the estimated parameters to be of practical use. In the case of very low data availability, one can attempt to use intervals instead to quantify the variability. Because no probability density function is defined, intervals can be used in the presence of low data availability, leaving only an upper and lower bound to be defined. This paper will present a method to estimate interval bounds based on a limited set of experiments, trying to optimally use the information they contain and determine practically usable interval bounds. ispartof: pages:5207-5214 ispartof: Proceedings of ISMA2018-USD2018 pages:5207-5214 ispartof: USD2018 location:Leuven, Belgium date:17 Sep - 19 Sep 2018 status: published