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Background: Keto-analogues administration plays an important role in clinical chronic kidney disease (CKD) adjunctive therapy, however previous studies on their reno-protective effect mainly focused on kidney pathological changes induced by nephrectomy. This study was designed to explore the currently understudied alternative mechanisms by which compound α-ketoacid tablets (KA) influenced ischemia-reperfusion (IR) induced murine renal injury, and to probe the current status of KA administration on staving CKD progression in Chinese CKD patients at different stages.Methods: In animal experiment, IR surgery was performed to mimic progressive chronic kidney injury, while KA was administrated orally. For clinical research, a retrospective cohort study was conducted to delineate the usage and effects of KA on attenuating CKD exacerbation. End-point CKD event was defined as 50% reduction of initial estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Kaplan-Meier analysis and COX proportional hazard regression model were adopted to calculate the cumulative probability to reach the end-point and hazard ratio of renal function deterioration.Results: In animal study, KA presented a protective effect on IR induced renal injury and fibrosis by attenuating inflammatory infiltration and apoptosis via inhibition of nuclear factor-kappa B (NF-κB) and mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) pathways. In clinical research, after adjusting basic demographic factors, patients at stages 4 and 5 in KA group presented a much delayed and slower incidence of eGFR decrease compared to those in No-KA group (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.115, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.021-0.639, p = 0.0134), demonstrating a positive effect of KA on staving CKD progression.Conclusion: KA improved IR induced chronic renal injury and fibrosis, and seemed to be a prospective protective factor in end stage renal disease. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background and Objectives: Survival after surgical repair for congenital heart disease has markedly improved; however, there are limited data on long-term ESKD and mortality during childhood., Design, Setting, Participants, & Measurements: We conducted an observational, population-based cohort study of children who had their first surgery for congenital heart disease within 10 years of birth. The study was conducted in Ontario, Canada, where residents have universal access to health care services. Each child who underwent surgical repair was matched to ten children from the general population who were similar in age, sex, index date, rurality, and neighborhood income. Primary outcomes of all-cause mortality and ESKD were reported until March 2015., Results: We followed 3600 children with congenital heart disease for a median of 5.9 (interquartile range, 2.9-9.0) years after their surgical repair. Median age at first surgery was 150 (interquartile range, 40-252) days and 22% were low birth weight (<2500 g). During follow-up, 140 (4%) children who had surgery for congenital heart disease died and 52 (1%) reached ESKD. The cumulative incidence of death and ESKD at 1, 5, and 10 years was higher in children with surgical repair of congenital heart disease (death: 3%, 4%, and 5%, respectively; ESKD: 1%, 2%, and 2%, respectively) compared with the matched control population without any congenital heart disease (death: 0.06%, 0.10%, and 0.13%, respectively; ESKD: 0.00%, 0.02%, and 0.02%, respectively). The risk of ESKD and death increased with severity of congenital heart disease, with the highest risk in children with hypoplastic left heart syndrome and increased in children who had surgical repair of congenital heart disease compared with those without surgical repair., Conclusions: The risk of mortality and ESKD is high in children who undergo surgical repair for congenital heart disease compared to the general population., (Copyright © 2019 by the American Society of Nephrology.)

Background and Objectives: CKD is a global public health problem. Some cross-sectional studies have associated environmental melamine exposure with kidney diseases, but evidence is limited., Design, Setting, Participants, & Measurements: We conducted this prospective cohort study to enroll patients with eGFR≥30 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 in 2006-2010. Urinary corrected melamine levels (ratio of urinary melamine to urinary creatinine) were measured by liquid chromatography/tandem mass spectrometry at enrollment. Kidney outcomes included doubling of serum creatinine levels, eGFR decline >3 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 per year, and 30% decline in eGFR in the first 2 years. Subjects were followed until targeted kidney outcomes, cancer, death, last contact, or the end of observation in December 2016., Results: In a total of 293 subjects, the median urinary corrected melamine level was 0.97 (interquartile range, 0.43-2.08) μ g/mmol. Over a median follow-up period of 7.0 years, serum creatinine levels doubled in 80 subjects (27%). Subjects in the highest tertile of urinary melamine level 12.70 μ g/mmol) had a 2.30 (95% confidence interval, 1.25 to 4.23; P <0.01) hazard risk for doubling of serum creatinine compared with those in the lowest tertile (0.02-0.58 μ g/mmol). Similar significant dose-response results were found in eGFR decline >3 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 per year and 30% decline in eGFR in the first 2 years., Conclusions: Urinary melamine level is significantly associated with kidney function deterioration in patients with early-stage CKD., (Copyright © 2019 by the American Society of Nephrology.)

Background: Residual renal function (RRF) confers survival in patients with ESRD but declines after initiating hemodialysis. Previous research shows that dialysate cooling reduces hemodialysis-induced circulatory stress and protects the brain and heart from ischemic injury. Whether hemodialysis-induced circulatory stress affects renal perfusion, and if it can be ameliorated with dialysate cooling to potentially reduce RRF loss, is unknown., Methods: We used renal computed tomography perfusion imaging to scan 29 patients undergoing continuous dialysis under standard (36.5°C dialysate temperature) conditions; we also scanned another 15 patients under both standard and cooled (35.0°C) conditions. Imaging was performed immediately before, 3 hours into, and 15 minutes after hemodialysis sessions. We used perfusion maps to quantify renal perfusion. To provide a reference to another organ vulnerable to hemodialysis-induced ischemic injury, we also used echocardiography to assess intradialytic myocardial stunning., Results: During standard hemodialysis, renal perfusion decreased 18.4% ( P <0.005) and correlated with myocardial injury ( r =-0.33; P <0.05). During sessions with dialysis cooling, patients experienced a 10.6% decrease in perfusion (not significantly different from the decline with standard hemodialysis), and ten of the 15 patients showed improved or no effect on myocardial stunning., Conclusions: This study shows an acute decrease in renal perfusion during hemodialysis, a first step toward pathophysiologic characterization of hemodialysis-mediated RRF decline. Dialysate cooling ameliorated this decline but this effect did not reach statistical significance. Further study is needed to explore the potential of dialysate cooling as a therapeutic approach to slow RRF decline., (Copyright © 2019 by the American Society of Nephrology.)

Background Metabolite levels reflect physiologic homeostasis and may serve as biomarkers of disease progression. Identifying metabolites associated with APOL1 risk alleles-genetic variants associated with CKD risk commonly present in persons of African descent-may reveal novel markers of CKD progression relevant to other populations. Methods We evaluated associations between the number of APOL1 risk alleles and 760 serum metabolites identified via untargeted profiling in participants of the African American Study of Kidney Disease and Hypertension (AASK) ( n =588; Bonferroni significance threshold P <6.5×10 -5 ) and replicated findings in 678 black participants with CKD in Bio Me , an electronic medical record-linked biobank. We tested the metabolite association with CKD progression in AASK, Bio Me , and the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) Study. Results One metabolite, 6-bromotryptophan, was significant in AASK ( P =4.7×10 -5 ) and replicated in Bio Me ( P =5.7×10 -3 ) participants, with lower levels associated with more APOL1 risk alleles. Lower levels of 6-bromotryptophan were associated with CKD progression in AASK and Bio Me participants and in white participants in the MDRD Study, independent of demographics and clinical characteristics, including baseline GFR (adjusted hazard ratio per two-fold higher 6-bromotryptophan level, AASK, 0.76; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.64 to 0.91; Bio Me , 0.61; 95% CI, 0.43 to 0.85; MDRD, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.34 to 0.79). The interaction between the APOL1 risk alleles and 6-bromotryptophan was not significant. The identity of 6-bromotryptophan was confirmed in experiments comparing its molecular signature with that of authentic standards of other bromotryptophan isomers. Conclusions Serum 6-bromotryptophan is a consistent and novel risk factor for CKD progression., (Copyright © 2018 by the American Society of Nephrology.)

Renal tissue hypoxia is a final pathway in the development and progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD), but whether renal oxygenation predicts renal function decline in humans has not been proven. Therefore, we performed a prospective study and measured renal tissue oxygenation by blood oxygenation level-dependent magnetic resonance imaging (BOLD-MRI) in 112 patients with CKD, 47 with hypertension without CKD, and 24 healthy control individuals. Images were analyzed with the twelve-layer concentric objects method that divided the renal parenchyma in 12 layers of equal thickness and reports the mean R2* value of each layer (a high R2* corresponds to low oxygenation), along with the change in R2* between layers called the R2* slope. Serum creatinine values were collected to calculate the yearly change in estimated glomerular function rate (MDRD eGFR). Follow up was three years. The change in eGFR in CKD, hypertensive and control individuals was -2.0, 0.5 and -0.2 ml/min/1.73m 2 /year, respectively. In multivariable regression analysis adjusted for age, sex, diabetes, RAS-blockers, eGFR, and proteinuria the yearly eGFR change correlated negatively with baseline 24 hour proteinuria and the mean R2* value of the cortical layers, and positively with the R2* slope, but not with the other covariates. Patients with CKD and high outer R2* or a flat R2* slope were three times more likely to develop an adverse renal outcome (renal replacement therapy or over a 30% increase in serum creatinine). Thus, low cortical oxygenation is an independent predictor of renal function decline. This finding should stimulate studies exploring the therapeutic impact of improving renal oxygenation on renal disease progression., (Copyright © 2017 International Society of Nephrology. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Previous in vitro experiments of human polycystic kidney disease (PKD) cells reported that caffeine is a risk factor for the promotion of cyst enlargement in patients with autosomal dominant PKD (ADPKD). The relentless progression of ADPKD inclines the majority of physicians to advocate minimization of caffeine consumption despite the absence of clinical data supporting such a recommendation so far. This is the first clinical study to assess prospectively the association between coffee consumption and disease progression in a longitudinal ADPKD cohort., Methods: Information on coffee consumption and disease progression was collected at each follow-up visit using standardized measurement methods. The main model for the outcomes, kidney size (height-adjusted total kidney volume, htTKV) and kidney function (estimated glomerular filtration rate, eGFR), was a linear mixed model. Patients entered the on-going Swiss ADPKD study between 2006 and June 2014 and had at least 1 visit every year. The sample size of the study population was 151 with a median follow-up of 4 visits per patient and a median follow-up time of 4.38 years., Results: After multivariate adjustment for age, smoking, hypertension, sex, body mass index and an interaction term (coffee*visit), coffee drinkers did not have a statistically significantly different kidney size compared to non-coffee drinkers (difference of -33.03 cm 3 height adjusted TKV, 95% confidence interval (CI) from -72.41 to 6.34, p = 0.10). After the same adjustment, there was no statistically significant difference in eGFR between coffee and non-coffee drinkers (2.03 ml/min/1.73 m 2 , 95% CI from -0.31 to 4.31, p = 0.089)., Conclusion: Data derived from our prospective longitudinal study do not confirm that drinking coffee is a risk factor for ADPKD progression.

The association of overweight/obesity with disease progression in patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) remains untested. We hypothesized that overweight/obesity associates with faster progression in early-stage ADPKD. Overall, 441 nondiabetic participants with ADPKD and an eGFR>60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 who participated in the Halt Progression of Polycystic Kidney Disease Study A were categorized on the basis of body mass index (BMI; calculated using nonkidney and nonliver weight) as normal weight (18.5-24.9 kg/m 2 ; reference; n =192), overweight (25.0-29.9 kg/m 2 ; n =168), or obese (≥30 kg/m 2 ; n =81). We evaluated the longitudinal (5-year) association of overweight/obesity with change in total kidney volume (TKV) by magnetic resonance imaging using linear regression and multinomial logistic regression models. Among participants, mean±SD age was 37±8 years, annual percent change in TKV was 7.4%±5.1%, and BMI was 26.3±4.9 kg/m 2 The annual percent change in TKV increased with increasing BMI category (normal weight: 6.1%±4.7%, overweight: 7.9%±4.8%, obese: 9.4%±6.2%; P <0.001). In the fully adjusted model, higher BMI associated with greater annual percent change in TKV ( β =0.79; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.18 to 1.39, per 5-unit increase in BMI). Overweight and obesity associated with increased odds of annual percent change in TKV ≥7% compared with <5% (overweight: odds ratio, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.15 to 3.56; obese: odds ratio, 3.76; 95% CI, 1.81 to 7.80). Obesity also independently associated with greater eGFR decline (slope) versus normal weight (fully adjusted β =-0.08; 95% CI, -0.15 to -0.02). In conclusion, overweight and, particularly, obesity are strongly and independently associated with rate of progression in early-stage ADPKD., (Copyright © 2018 by the American Society of Nephrology.)

Background: Impaired renal function can lead to the accumulation of metformin, and elevated concentrations of metformin have been associated with lactic acidosis. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of continuous metformin treatment in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) and moderate chronic kidney disease (CKD) (estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) 30-0 ml/min/1.73 m 2 ) on renal function., Methods: A total of the 616 patients were enrolled from the research database of Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital from January 1 to 2009 and December 31, 2013. The patients were divided into two groups: those who continued metformin treatment (continuation group; n = 484), and those who discontinued metformin treatment for at least 100 days (interruption group; n = 132)., Results: The slope of eGFR in the metformin interruption group was statistically lower than that in the metformin continuation group (0.75 ± 0.76 vs. -1.32 ± 0.24 mL/min/1.73 m 2 /year, p = 0.0007). After adjusting for baseline covariates in the multivariate linear regression analysis, the continuation of metformin (unstandardized coefficient β, -2.072; 95% confidence interval, -3.268- -0.876) was a risk factor for the patients with DM and moderate CKD., Conclusions: Metformin may have an adverse effect on renal function in patients with type 2 DM and moderate CKD., Competing Interests: CONFLICTS OF INTEREST The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Background and Objectives: Although anthropometric measures of body fat are associated with development of CKD, they may not be able to distinguish between various forms of fat and therefore may be less accurate than computed tomography (CT) measures. We compared the association of CT and anthropometric measures of obesity with kidney outcomes in the Health Aging and Body Composition Study., Design, Setting, Participants, & Measurements: Participants were recruited from March of 1997 through July of 1998. CT measures included visceral abdominal fat (VAT), subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT), and intermuscular fat area (IMAT), whereas anthropometric measures included waist circumference (WC) and body mass index (BMI). Kidney outcomes included kidney function (KF) decline (30% decrease in eGFR cysC in follow-up at either year 3 or 10) or incident CKD (follow-up eGFR cysC ≤60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 in individuals with baseline GFR>60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 ). Multivariable logistic regression models and Poisson regression models were used to evaluate the association with decline in KF and incident kidney disease, respectively. We also assessed for the independent associations among the exposure measures by including them in the same model., Results: Two-thousand four-hundred and eighty-nine individuals were included. Mean age was 74±3 years, 49% were men, 39% were black, 59% were hypertensive, and 15% were diabetic. KF decline occurred in 17% of the population, whereas incident CKD also occurred in 17% of those at risk. In continuous models, SAT, VAT, IMAT, BMI, and WC (per SD increase) were all significantly associated with KF decline. There was a significant interaction between VAT and CKD with regard to KF decline ( P =0.01). Only VAT, BMI, and WC were associated with incident CKD. Only VAT remained a significant risk factor for incident CKD when other exposure variables were included in the same model. There was no association between any measure of obesity and kidney outcomes when creatinine values at years 3 and 10 were used to estimate changes in eGFR., Conclusions: Anthropometric measures of body fat appear to provide as consistent estimates of KF decline risk as CT measures in elders., (Copyright © 2017 by the American Society of Nephrology.)

Background and Objectives: The role of albuminuria as an indicator of progression has not been investigated in children with CKD in the absence of diabetes., Design, Setting, Participants, & Measurements: Children were enrolled from 49 centers of the CKD in Children study between January of 2005 and March of 2014. Cross-sectional multivariable linear regression ( n =647) was used to examine the relationship between urine protein-to-creatinine (UP/C [milligrams per milligram]) and albumin-to-creatinine (ACR [milligrams per gram]) with eGFR (milliliters per minute per 1.73 m 2 ). Parametric time-to-event analysis ( n =751) was used to assess the association of UP/C, ACR, and urine nonalbumin-to-creatinine (Unon-alb/cr [milligrams per gram]) on the time to the composite endpoint of initiation of RRT or 50% decline in eGFR., Results: The median follow-up time was 3.4 years and 202 individuals experienced the event. Participants with a UP/C≥0.2 mg/mg and ACR≥30 mg/g had a mean eGFR that was 16 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 lower than those with a UP/C<0.2 mg/mg and ACR<30 mg/g. Individuals with ACR<30 mg/g, but a UP/C≥0.2 mg/mg, had a mean eGFR that was 9.3 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 lower than those with a UP/C<0.2 mg/mg and ACR<30 mg/g. When categories of ACR and Unon-alb/cr were created on the basis of clinically meaningful cutoff values of UP/C with the same sample sizes for comparison, the relative times (RTs) to the composite end-point were almost identical when comparing the middle (RT=0.31 for UP/C [0.2-2.0 mg/mg], RT=0.38 for ACR [56-1333 mg/g], RT=0.31 for Unon-alb/cr [118-715 mg/g]) and the highest (RT=0.08 for UP/C [>2.0 mg/mg], RT=0.09 for ACR [>1333 mg/g], RT=0.07 for Unon-alb/cr [>715 mg/g]) levels to the lowest levels. A similar trend was seen when categories were created on the basis of clinically meaningful cutoff values of ACR (<30, 30-300, >300 mg/g)., Conclusions: In children with CKD without diabetes, the utility of an initial UP/C, ACR, and Unon-alb/cr for characterizing progression is similar., (Copyright © 2017 by the American Society of Nephrology.)

Aims: Since natriuretic peptide and troponin are associated with renal prognosis and left atrial (LA) parameters are indicators of subclinical cardiovascular abnormalities, this study investigated whether LA expansion index can predict renal decline., Methods and Results: This study analysed 733 (69% male) non-diabetic patients with sinus rhythm, preserved systolic function, and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) higher than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2. In all patients, echocardiograms were performed and LA expansion index was calculated. Renal function was evaluated annually. The endpoint was a downhill trend in renal function with a final eGFR of <60 mL/min/1.73 m2. Rapid renal decline was defined as an annual decline in eGFR >3 mL/min/1.73 m2. The median follow-up time was 5.2 years, and 57 patients (7.8%) had renal function declines (19 had rapid renal declines, and 38 had incidental renal dysfunction). Events were associated with left ventricular mass index, LA expansion index, and heart failure during the follow-up period. The hazard ratio was 1.426 (95% confidence interval, 1.276-1.671; P < 0.0001) per 10% decrease in LA expansion index and was independently associated with an increased event rate. Compared with the highest quartile for the LA expansion index, the lowest quartile had a 9.7-fold risk of renal function decline in the unadjusted model and a 6.9-fold risk after adjusting for left ventricular mass index and heart failure during the follow-up period., Conclusions: Left atrial expansion index is a useful early indicator of renal function decline and may enable the possibility of early intervention to prevent renal function from worsening., Clinicaltrials. Gov Number: NCT01171040., (Published on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. All rights reserved. © The Author 2017. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Background and Objectives: Experimental evidence suggests a role for monocytes in the biology of kidney disease progression; however, whether monocyte count is associated with risk of incident CKD, CKD progression, and ESRD has not been examined in large epidemiologic studies., Design, Settings, Participants, & Measurements: We built a longitudinal observational cohort of 1,594,700 United States veterans with at least one eGFR during fiscal year 2004 (date of last eGFR during this period designated time zero) and no prior history of ESRD, dialysis, or kidney transplant. Cohort participants were followed until September 30, 2013 or death. Monocyte count closest to and before time zero was categorized in quartiles: quartile 1, >0.00 to ≤0.40 thousand cells per cubic millimeter (k/cmm); quartile 2, >0.40 to ≤0.55 k/cmm; quartile 3, >0.55 to ≤0.70 k/cmm; and quartile 4, >0.70 k/cmm. Survival models were built to examine the association between monocyte count and risk of incident eGFR<60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 , risk of incident CKD, and risk of CKD progression defined as doubling of serum creatinine, eGFR decline ≥30%, or the composite outcome of ESRD, dialysis, or renal transplantation., Results: Over a median follow-up of 9.2 years (interquartile range, 8.3-9.4); in adjusted survival models, there was a graded association between monocyte counts and risk of renal outcomes. Compared with quartile 1, quartile 4 was associated with higher risk of incident eGFR<60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 (hazard ratio, 1.13; 95% confidence interval, 1.12 to 1.14) and risk of incident CKD (hazard ratio, 1.15; 95% confidence interval, 1.13 to 1.16). Quartile 4 was associated with higher risk of doubling of serum creatinine (hazard ratio, 1.22; 95% confidence interval, 1.20 to 1.24), ≥30% eGFR decline (hazard ratio, 1.18; 95% confidence interval, 1.17 to 1.19), and the composite renal end point (hazard ratio, 1.19; 95% confidence interval, 1.16 to 1.22). Cubic spline analyses of the relationship between monocyte count levels and renal outcomes showed a linear relationship, in which risk was higher with higher monocyte count. Results were robust to changes in sensitivity analyses., Conclusions: Our results show a significant association between higher monocyte count and risks of incident CKD and CKD progression to ESRD., (Copyright © 2017 by the American Society of Nephrology.)

Introduction: Total kidney volume (TKV) is a promising imaging biomarker for tracking and predicting the natural history of patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease., Methods: A drug development tool was developed by linking longitudinal TKV measurements to the probability of a 30% decline of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or end-stage renal disease. Drug development tools were developed based on observational data collected over multiple decades for an eGFR decline and end-stage renal disease in 641 and 866 patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease, respectively., Results: The statistical association between predicted TKV at the time of a 30% decline of eGFR and that at the time of end-stage renal disease were both highly significant ( P  < 0.0001). The drug development tool was applied to demonstrate the utility of trial enrichment according to prespecified baseline TKV, age, and eGFR as enrollment criteria in hypothetical clinical trials. Patients with larger TKV (≥1000 ml) displayed steeper slopes of hazard, which translated into a higher risk of a 30% decline of eGFR within each baseline age (< or ≥40 years) or baseline eGFR (< or ≥50 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 ) subgroups., Discussion: These results suggest that, when eGFR is preserved, patients with larger TKV are more likely to progress to a 30% decline of eGFR within the course of a clinical trial, whereas eGFR and age displayed limited predictive value of disease progression in early disease. Pharmaceutical sponsors and academic investigators are encouraged to prospectively employ the above drug development tool to optimize trial designs in patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease.

Introduction: Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease is the most common hereditary kidney disease. TKV is a promising imaging biomarker for tracking and predicting the natural history of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease. The prognostic value of TKV was evaluated, in combination with age and eGFR, for the outcomes of 30% decline in eGFR and progression to ESRD. Observational data including 2355 patients with TKV measurements were available., Methods: Multivariable Cox models were developed to assess the prognostic value of age, TKV, height-adjusted TKV, eGFR, sex, race, and genotype for the probability of a 30% decline in eGFR or ESRD., Results: TKV was the most important prognostic term for 30% decline in eGFR in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease patients with and without preserved baseline eGFR. For a 40-year-old subject with preserved eGFR (70 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 ), the adjusted hazard ratios for a 30% decline in eGFR were 1.86 (95% CI, 1.65-2.10) for a 2-fold larger TKV (600 vs. 1200 ml) and 2.68 (95% CI, 2.22-3.24) for a 3-fold larger TKV (600 vs. 1800 ml), respectively. Hazard ratios for progression to ESRD for 2- and 3-fold larger TKV were 1.72 (95% CI, 1.49-1.99) and 2.36 (95% CI, 1.88-2.97), respectively., Discussion: The capability to predict 30% decline in eGFR is a novel aspect of this study. TKV was formally qualified, both by FDA and EMA, as a prognostic enrichment biomarker for selecting patients at high risk for a progressive decline in renal function for inclusion in interventional clinical trials.

Background: Visit-to-visit variability of systolic blood pressure (SBP) has been shown to contribute to cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality. However, little is known about its long-term effect on renal function. We aim to examine the relationship between visit-to-visit blood pressure variability (BPV) and decline in renal function in patients with hypertension and to determine the level of systolic BPV that is associated with significant renal function decline., Methods and Results: This is a 15-year retrospective cohort study of 825 hypertensive patients. Blood pressure readings every 3 months were retrieved from the 15 years of clinic visits. We used SD and coefficient of variation as a measure of systolic BPV. Serum creatinine was captured and estimated glomerular filtration rate was calculated at baseline, 5, 10, and 15 years. The mean SD of SBP was 14.2±3.1 mm Hg and coefficient of variation of SBP was 10.2±2%. Mean for estimated glomerular filtration rate slope was -1.0±1.5 mL/min per 1.73 m 2 per year. There was a significant relationship between BPV and slope of estimated glomerular filtration rate (SD: r=-0.16, P<0.001; coefficient of variation: r=-0.14, P<0.001, Pearson's correlation). BPV of SBP for each individual was significantly associated with slope of estimated glomerular filtration rate after adjustment for mean SBP and other confounders. The cutoff values estimated by the receiver operating characteristic curve for the onset of chronic kidney disease for SD of SBP was 13.5 mm Hg and coefficient of variation of SBP was 9.74%., Conclusions: Long-term visit-to-visit variability of SBP is an independent determinant of renal deterioration in patients with hypertension. Hence, every effort should be made to reduce BPV in order to slow down the decline of renal function., (© 2016 The Authors. Published on behalf of the American Heart Association, Inc., by Wiley Blackwell.)

Background and Objectives: The predictors of long-term renal function in living kidney donors are currently discussed. Our objectives were to describe the predictors of functional gain of the remaining kidney after kidney donation. We hypothesized that GFR of the remaining kidney divided by volume of this kidney (rk-GFR/vol) would reflect the density of functional nephrons and be inversely associated with functional gain of the remaining kidney., Design, Setting, Participants, & Measurements: We conducted a prospective monocentric study including 63 living donors (26 men; 50.3±11.8 years old) who had been evaluated for (51)Cr-EDTA and measured GFR, split renal function by scintigraphy before donation (between 2004 and 2009), and measured GFR at 5.7±0.5 years after donation. For 52 donors, volume of the remaining kidney (measured and estimated with the ellipsoid formula using renal computed tomography scannography) was determined before donation. We tested our hypothesis in an external validation cohort of 39 living donors (13 men; 51.0±9.4 years old) from another single center during the same time period., Results: For the main cohort, the mean measured GFR was 97.6±13.0 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) before donation and 63.8±9.4 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) at 5 years. Functional gain averaged 16.2±7.2 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) (+35.3%±16.7%). Multivariate analysis showed that age, body mass index, and rk-GFR/vol at donation were negatively correlated with functional gain and had strong predictive power of the 5-year functional gain (adjusted 5-year functional gain for age: -0.4 [95% confidence interval (95% CI), -0.5 to -0.1]; body mass index: -0.3 [95% CI, -0.6 to -0.1]; rk-GFR/vol: -55.1 [95% CI, -92.3 to -17.9]). We tested this model in the external validation cohort (adjusted 5-year functional gain for age: -0.1 [95% CI, -0.5 to 0.3]; body mass index: -0.9 [95% CI, -1.8 to -0.1]; rk-GFR/vol: -97.6 [95% CI, -137.5 to -57.6]) and confirmed that rk-GFR/vol was inversely associated with 5-year functional gain., Conclusions: For given age and body mass index, the long-term functional gain of the remaining kidney is inversely associated with the new variable rk-GFR/vol at donation., (Copyright © 2016 by the American Society of Nephrology.)

Mitochondrial dysfunction in kidney cells has been implicated in the pathogenesis of CKD. Mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) copy number is a surrogate measure of mitochondrial function, and higher mtDNA copy number in peripheral blood has been associated with lower risk of two important risk factors for CKD progression, diabetes and microalbuminuria. We evaluated whether mtDNA copy number in peripheral blood associates with incident CKD in a population-based cohort of middle-aged adults. We estimated mtDNA copy number using 25 high-quality mitochondrial single nucleotide polymorphisms from the Affymetrix 6.0 array. Among 9058 participants, those with higher mtDNA copy number had a lower rate of prevalent diabetes and lower C-reactive protein levels and white blood cell counts. Baseline eGFR did not differ significantly by mtDNA copy number. Over a median follow-up of 19.6 years, 1490 participants developed CKD. Higher mtDNA copy number associated with lower risk of incident CKD (highest versus lowest quartile: hazard ratio 0.65; 95% confidence interval, 0.56 to 0.75; P<0.001) after adjusting for age, sex, and race. After adjusting for additional risk factors of CKD, including prevalent diabetes, hypertension, C-reactive protein level, and white blood cell count, this association remained significant (highest versus lowest quartile: hazard ratio 0.75; 95% confidence interval, 0.64 to 0.87; P<0.001). In conclusion, higher mtDNA copy number associated with lower incidence of CKD independent of traditional risk factors and inflammation biomarker levels in this cohort. Further research on modifiable factors influencing mtDNA copy number may lead to improvement in the prevention and treatment of CKD., (Copyright © 2016 by the American Society of Nephrology.)

Dietary protein restriction may improve determinants of CKD progression. However, the extent of improvement and effect of ketoanalogue supplementation are unclear. We conducted a prospective, randomized, controlled trial of safety and efficacy of ketoanalogue-supplemented vegetarian very low-protein diet (KD) compared with conventional low-protein diet (LPD). Primary end point was RRT initiation or >50% reduction in initial eGFR. Nondiabetic adults with stable eGFR<30 ml/min per 1.73 m(2), proteinuria <1 g/g urinary creatinine, good nutritional status, and good diet compliance entered a run-in phase on LPD. After 3 months, compliant patients were randomized to KD (0.3 g/kg vegetable proteins and 1 cps/5 kg ketoanalogues per day) or continue LPD (0.6 g/kg per day) for 15 months. Only 14% of screened patients patients were randomized, with no differences between groups. Adjusted numbers needed to treat (NNTs; 95% confidence interval) to avoid composite primary end point in intention to treat and per-protocol analyses in one patient were 4.4 (4.2 to 5.1) and 4.0 (3.9 to 4.4), respectively, for patients with eGFR<30 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) Adjusted NNT (95% confidence interval) to avoid dialysis was 22.4 (21.5 to 25.1) for patients with eGFR<30 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) but decreased to 2.7 (2.6 to 3.1) for patients with eGFR<20 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) in intention to treat analysis. Correction of metabolic abnormalities occurred only with KD. Compliance to diet was good, with no changes in nutritional parameters and no adverse reactions. Thus, this KD seems nutritionally safe and could defer dialysis initiation in some patients with CKD., (Copyright © 2016 by the American Society of Nephrology.)

Aim: To compare effectiveness of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEis)/angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) for protecting Type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM2) patients from renal function decline in a real-world setting., Methods: Retrospective cohort study of new ACEi/ARB users in 2007-2012 in an unselected primary care DM2 population. Outcome is decline in renal function stage (combining estimated glomerular filtration rate and albuminuria). Patients were matched on a propensity score. Extended Cox models with time-varying covariates were used to estimate hazard ratios of outcome., Results: The time to renal function decline for ARB users was slightly, but not significantly longer than for ACEi users (hazard ratio: 0.80; 95% CI: 0.58-1.10; p = 0.166)., Conclusion: This study did not show significant differences between the classes in preventing renal function decline in DM2 patients in primary care.

Unlabelled: ♦, Background: There is a paucity of information on whether peritoneal dialysis (PD) slows the decline of residual kidney function (RKF) compared to the natural slope of RKF decline prior to dialysis start. Our aim was to analyze the RKF decline before and after initiating PD, and to determine the principal factors affecting this decline during the PD period. ♦, Methods: We determined individual glomerular filtration rates (GFR) for approximately 12 months before and after PD in 77 new PD patients in a large academic medical center (2008 - 2012). The GFR was estimated by the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) equation in the predialysis period and by averaging 24-hour urine creatinine and urea clearances in the PD period. The rate of RKF decline was calculated using unadjusted linear regression analysis. Wilcoxon signed rank test was used to compare RKF decline before and after PD initiation. Multivariate linear regression was used to identify independent risk factors for RKF decline in the PD phase. ♦, Results: A significantly slower mean rate of RKF decline was observed in the PD period compared with the predialysis period (-0.21 ± 0.30 vs -0.59 ± 0.55 mL/min/1.73 m(2)/month, p < 0.01). Higher baseline RKF, higher serum phosphate, and older age were independently associated with faster decline of RKF (all p < 0.01). ♦, Conclusions: In patients with advanced chronic kidney disease, initiating PD was associated with a slower rate of RKF decline compared to the rate in the predialysis period., (Copyright © 2016 International Society for Peritoneal Dialysis.)

Glycans constitute the most abundant and diverse form of the post-translational modifications, and animal studies have suggested the involvement of IgG glycosylation in mechanisms of renal damage. Here, we explored the associations between IgG glycans and renal function in 3274 individuals from the TwinsUK registry. We analyzed the correlation between renal function measured as eGFR and 76 N-glycan traits using linear regressions adjusted for covariates and multiple testing in the larger population. We replicated our results in 31 monozygotic twin pairs discordant for renal function. Results from both analyses were then meta-analyzed. Fourteen glycan traits were associated with renal function in the discovery sample (P<6.5×10(-4)) and remained significant after validation. Those glycan traits belong to three main glycosylation features: galactosylation, sialylation, and level of bisecting N-acetylglucosamine of the IgG glycans. These results show the role of IgG glycosylation in kidney function and provide novel insight into the pathophysiology of CKD and potential diagnostic and therapeutic targets., (Copyright © 2016 by the American Society of Nephrology.)

Background: Hyperuricemia is associated with essential hypertension in children. No previous studies have evaluated the effect of hyperuricemia on progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in children., Study Design: Prospective observational cohort study., Setting & Participants: Children and adolescents (n=678 cross-sectional; n=627 longitudinal) with a median age of 12.3 (IQR, 8.6-15.6) years enrolled at 52 North American sites of the CKiD (CKD in Children) Study., Predictor: Serum uric acid level (<5.5, 5.5-7.5, and >7.5mg/dL)., Outcomes: Composite end point of either >30% decline in glomerular filtration rate (GFR) or initiation of renal replacement therapy., Measurements: Age, sex, race, blood pressure status, GFR, CKD cause, urine protein-creatinine ratio (<0.5, 0.5-<2.0, and ≥2.0mg/mg), age- and sex-specific body mass index > 95th percentile, use of diuretics, and serum uric acid level., Results: Older age, male sex, lower GFR, and body mass index > 95th percentile were associated with higher uric acid levels. 162, 294, and 171 participants had initial uric acid levels < 5.5, 5.5 to 7.5, or >7.5 mg/dL, respectively. We observed 225 instances of the composite end point over 5 years. In a multivariable parametric time-to-event analysis, compared with participants with initial uric acid levels < 5.5mg/dL, those with uric acid levels of 5.5 to 7.5 or >7.5mg/dL had 17% shorter (relative time, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.62-1.11) or 38% shorter (relative time, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.45-0.85) times to event, respectively. Hypertension, lower GFR, glomerular CKD cause, and elevated urine protein-creatinine ratio were also associated with faster times to the composite end point., Limitations: The study lacked sufficient data to examine how use of specific medications might influence serum uric acid levels and CKD progression., Conclusions: Hyperuricemia is a previously undescribed independent risk factor for faster progression of CKD in children and adolescents. It is possible that treatment of children and adolescents with CKD with urate-lowering therapy could slow disease progression., (Copyright © 2015 National Kidney Foundation, Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background and Objectives: Molecular evidence suggests that levels of vitamin D are associated with kidney function loss. Still, population-based studies are limited and few have considered the potential confounding effect of baseline kidney function. This study evaluated the association of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D with change in eGFR, rapid eGFR decline, and incidence of CKD and albuminuria., Design, Setting, Participants, & Measurements: Baseline (2003-2006) and 5.5-year follow-up data from a Swiss adult general population were used to evaluate the association of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D with change in eGFR, rapid eGFR decline (annual loss >3 ml/min per 1.73 m(2)), and incidence of CKD and albuminuria. Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D was measured at baseline using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. eGFR and albuminuria were collected at baseline and follow-up. Multivariate linear and logistic regression models were used considering potential confounding factors., Results: Among the 4280 people included in the analysis, the mean±SD annual eGFR change was -0.57±1.78 ml/min per 1.73 m(2), and 287 (6.7%) participants presented rapid eGFR decline. Before adjustment for baseline eGFR, baseline 25-hydroxyvitamin D level was associated with both mean annual eGFR change and risk of rapid eGFR decline, independently of baseline albuminuria. Once adjusted for baseline eGFR, associations were no longer significant. For every 10 ng/ml higher baseline 25-hydroxyvitamin D, the adjusted mean annual eGFR change was -0.005 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) (95% confidence interval, -0.063 to 0.053; P=0.87) and the risk of rapid eGFR decline was null (odds ratio, 0.93; 95% confidence interval, 0.79 to 1.08; P=0.33). Baseline 25-hydroxyvitamin D level was not associated with incidence of CKD or albuminuria., Conclusions: The association of 25-hydroxyvitamin D with eGFR decline is confounded by baseline eGFR. Sufficient 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels do not seem to protect from eGFR decline independently from baseline eGFR., (Copyright © 2015 by the American Society of Nephrology.)

Background & Aims: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effect of metabolic syndrome (Mets) and insulin resistance (IR) on the risk of renal function decline (RFD) in a rural Chinese cohort., Methods: A total of 2696 subjects aged 40-71 years with normal renal function were followed-up for 7 years. RFD was defined using the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcome definition, i.e., a drop in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) category accompanied by a 25% or greater drop in eGFR from baseline or a sustained decline in eGFR of more than 5 mL/min/1.73 m(2)/year., Results: During the 7-year follow-up, 9.0% of the subjects developed RFD. Subjects with Mets at baseline had an increased risk of RFD with an adjusted odds ratio (OR) of 1.77 (95%CI: 1.25-2.52), and there was a graded relationship between the numbers of Mets components and the risk for RFD. Exclusion of the subjects with hypertension (1.65; 0.99-2.75) or diabetes (1.86; 1.30-2.67) at baseline or further adjustment for IR (1.72; 1.15-2.57) did not substantially change the association between Mets and the risk of RFD. Moreover, the ORs of Mets status for RFD in the older group (≥55 years) were 2.14 (1.06-4.33) times of that in the younger group (<55 years) and 2.26 (1.07-4.78) times in hypercholesterolemia group (≥5.2 mmol/L) of that in the normal (<5.2 mmol/L) group. The baseline IR was not associated with the risk for RFD., Conclusions: Mets, but not IR, was associated with an increased risk for RFD. And there was a detrimental interaction of Mets with older age and hypercholesterolemia on the risk of RFD., (Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ltd and European Society for Clinical Nutrition and Metabolism. All rights reserved.)

Background and Objectives: Loss of renal function in patients with primary membranous nephropathy cannot be reliably predicted by laboratory or clinical markers at the time of diagnosis. M-type phospholipase A2 receptor autoantibodies have been shown to be associated with changes in proteinuria. Their eventual effect on renal function, however, is unclear., Design, Setting, Participants, & Measurements: In this prospective, open, multicenter study, the potential role of M-type phospholipase A2 receptor autoantibodies levels on the increase of serum creatinine in 118 consecutive patients with membranous nephropathy and positivity for serum M-type phospholipase A2 receptor autoantibodies was analyzed. Patients were included in the study between April of 2010 and December of 2012 and observed until December of 2013. The clinical end point was defined as an increase of serum creatinine by ≥ 25% and serum creatinine reaching ≥ 1.3 mg/dl., Results: Patients were divided into tertiles according to their M-type phospholipase A2 receptor autoantibody levels at the time of inclusion in the study: tertile 1 levels=20-86 units/ml (low), tertile 2 levels=87-201 units/ml (medium), and tertile 3 levels ≥ 202 units/ml (high). The median follow-up time of all patients in the study was 27 months (interquartile range=18-33 months). The clinical end point was reached in 69% of patients with high M-type phospholipase A2 receptor autoantibodies levels (tertile 3) but only 25% of patients with low M-type phospholipase A2 receptor autoantibodies levels. The average time to reach the study end point was 17.7 months in patients with high M-type phospholipase A2 receptor autoantibodies levels and 30.9 months in patients with low M-type phospholipase A2 receptor autoantibodies levels. A multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that high M-type phospholipase A2 receptor autoantibodies levels-in addition to men and older age-are an independent predictor for progressive loss of renal function., Conclusions: High M-type phospholipase A2 receptor autoantibodies levels were associated with more rapid loss of renal function in this cohort of patients with primary membranous nephropathy and therefore, could be helpful for treatment decisions., (Copyright © 2014 by the American Society of Nephrology.)

Background: With increasing age, body fat increases and muscle mass reduces. Even people with a normal weight may have a higher percentage of body fat. The aim of this study is to investigate the association between increased body fat and renal function decline (RFD) in the general elderly population with normal or mildly impaired renal function., Method: We conducted a prospective study of 615 healthy individuals in the general Korean population aged ≥ 60 years who participated in two health screening check-ups separated by a 4-year period. Obesity was defined as the highest sex-specific tertiles of the percentage body fat (PBF). The main outcome was changes of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) during the 4 years. Significant RFD was defined as a decrease of eGFR over the upper quartile (≤-2.1% per year)., Results: The mean age was 67.2 ± 6.6 years. The median value of the absolute decline in the eGFR and the percent change was -3.0 mL/minute/1.73 m(2) and -0.87%/year in men and -3.1 mL/minute/1.73 m(2) and -0.89%/year in women, respectively. When stratified by sex-specific PBF tertiles, pronounced differences were observed in both sexes; those at the highest tertile of PBF showed the greatest decline in eGFR. Even after adjustments for traditional risk factors of RFD, PBF was independently associated with eGFR changes (β=-0.181; P<0.001). In addition, the harmful effect of a high PBF was consistently found in subjects with a normal weight, too (β=-0.141; P=0.006). Cases of significant RFD occurred in 181 participants (29.4%), and the risk was higher in obese participants as compared with the nonobese participants. The odd ratios (95% confidence interval) for significant RFD were 2.76 (1.28-7.74) in men and 2.02 (1.06-4.43) in women in a whole population and 3.15 (1.03-18.52) in men and 1.44 (1.01-3.28) in women with a normal weight, respectively., Conclusion: Among the elderly population without comorbidities, increased body fat has a harmful effect on RFD, irrespective of body weight.

Human B cells with immunoregulatory properties in vitro (Bregs) have been defined by the expression of IL-10 and are enriched in various B-cell subsets. However, proinflammatory cytokine expression in B-cell subsets is largely unexplored. We examined the cytokine profiles of human PBMCs and found that subsets of CD24(hi)CD38(hi) transitional B cells (TrBs), CD24(hi)CD27(+) memory B cells, and naïve B cells express IL-10 and the proinflammatory cytokine TNF-α simultaneously. TrBs had the highest IL-10/TNF-α ratio and suppressed proinflammatory helper T cell 1 (Th1) cytokine expression by autologous T cells in vitro more potently than memory B cells did, despite similar IL-10 expression. Whereas neutralization of IL-10 significantly inhibited TrB-mediated suppression of autologous Th1 cytokine expression, blocking TNF-α increased the suppressive capacity of both memory and naïve B-cell subsets. Thus, the ratio of IL-10/TNF-α expression, a measure of cytokine polarization, may be a better indicator of regulatory function than IL-10 expression alone. Indeed, compared with TrB cells from patients with stable kidney graft function, TrBs from patients with graft rejection displayed similar IL-10 expression levels but increased TNF-α expression (i.e., reduced IL-10/TNF-α ratio), did not inhibit in vitro expression of Th1 cytokines by T cells, and abnormally suppressed expression of Th2 cytokines. In patients with graft dysfunction, a low IL-10/TNF-α ratio in TrBs associated with poor graft outcomes after 3 years of follow-up. In summary, these results indicate that B cell-mediated immune regulation is best characterized by the cytokine polarization profile, a finding that was confirmed in renal transplant patients., (Copyright © 2014 by the American Society of Nephrology.)

The prevalence of CKD and of renal failure vary worldwide, yet parallel increases in leading risk factors explain only part of the differential prevalence. We measured CKD prevalence and eGFR, and their relationship with traditional and additional risk factors, in a Sardinian founder population cohort. The eGFR was calculated using equations from the CKD Epidemiology Collaboration and Modification of Diet in Renal Disease studies. With use of the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes guidelines, a cross-sectional analysis of 4842 individuals showed that CKD prevalence was 15.1%, including 3.6% of patients in the high-risk and 0.46% in the very-high-risk categories. Longitudinal analyses performed on 4074 of these individuals who completed three visits with an average follow-up of 7 years revealed that, consistent with other populations, average eGFR slope was -0.79 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) per year, but 11.4% of the participants had an eGFR decline >2.3 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) per year (fast decline). A genetic score was generated from 13 reported eGFR- and CKD-related loci, and univariable and multivariable analyses were applied to assess the relationship between clinical, ultrasonographic, and genetic variables with three outcomes: CKD, change in eGFR, and fast eGFR decline. Genetic risk score, older age, and female sex independently correlated with each outcome. Diabetes was associated with CKD prevalence, whereas hypertension and hyperuricemia correlated more strongly with fast eGFR decline. Diabetes, hypertension, hyperuricemia, and high baseline eGFR were associated with a decline of eGFR. Along with differential health practices, population variations in this spectrum of risk factors probably contributes to the variable CKD prevalence worldwide., (Copyright © 2014 by the American Society of Nephrology.)