(1) Background Forestry ecological security has become an important barrier for a country or region, and plays an important role in the sustainable development of economy, society and nature of a country or region. Based on Lotka-Volterra model, the forest ecological security in Southwest China is evaluated to provide the basis for formulating effective forestry ecological security policy. (2) Methods The forestry ecological security evaluation system was constructed from three aspects of forestry industry, forest ecology and environmental capacity, and the forestry ecological security status and warning level in Southwest China were evaluated by combining the forestry Lotka-Volterra model, then the coordination degree model was used to analyze the coordination between forestry industry and forest ecosystem, and at last the obstacle factors affecting the forestry ecological security were diagnosed by combining with the obstacle degree model. (3) Results First, from 2006 to 2020, the forestry ecological security in Southwest China experienced a dynamic change process of hazard-high risk-risk-rehabilitation-health. On the whole, the forestry ecological security is developing towards green security, the main reason is that the forest resources in Southwest China are more abundant, the ratio of natural forest area, forest stock and forest coverage rate are higher. However, the forestry ecological security is still in the early warning state, the main reason is that the regional competitive advantage of Southwest China is relatively weak, and the ability to transform ecological benefits into economic benefits is weak. Second, the coordination degree between forestry industry and forest ecology in Southwest China is increasing, but the value is less than 0.3. At the same time, the level of forest ecology was higher than that of forestry industry in Southwest China from 2006 to 2010, and the level of forestry industry was higher than that of forest ecology in Southwest China from 2011 to 2020, indicating that the forestry industry and forest ecosystem in Southwest China are not in a harmonious development state. Third, among the main obstacle factors, the highest frequency was the gross forestry output value and the total forestry investment, both of which were 20.0%. It shows that the development of forestry industry and human response to forestry industry will affect the result of forestry ecological security. Three of the six obstacle factors belong to the human response level, and the obstacle factors mainly concentrate in forestry industry and environmental capacity indicator level. Therefore, the result of forestry ecological security is closely related to human response in the process of ecological protection. (4) Conclusions and Discussions-First, the forestry ecological security in Southwest China presents a good trend of development, but it is still in the early warning state. Second, the forestry industry and forest ecosystem in Southwest China are in a state of imbalance. Third, human response has an important impact on the forestry ecological security in Southwest China. Based on the above analysis, the following policy suggestions are proposed: First, develop the tertiary industry of forestry while developing the secondary industry of forestry, explore more diversified ways of industrial development and transform the advantages of abundant natural resources into economic advantages. Second, develop forestry science and technology so as to increase the rate of forest pests control, reduce the areas affected by forest fires, and control the increased areas of soil erosion more effectively. Third, implement the concept of "Two Mountains", and increase pollution control, forestry investment and financial support. Fourth, increase the total afforestation area to play the role of ecological barrier in Southwest China while developing the forestry industry, and protect forest ecology so that forestry industry and forest ecological construction can develop harmoniously. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]