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中国许多地区已经开展火电机组深度调峰辅助可再生能源消纳的试点工作，但基于场景的时序模拟方法在分析其调峰效果时受到各类不确定因素影响，难以覆盖所有的运行场景，导致中长期评估结果准确性不高。因此，时序方法不适用于缺少详细时序数据的电源容量规划。为此基于随机生产模拟方法，面向规划应用提出了一种火电深度调峰提升系统可再生能源消纳效果的评估方法。该方法建立了包括非供热火电机组、热电联产机组和风电等电源在内的供给侧概率模型，分析了在不同火电深度调峰方式下，系统负荷、可再生能源发电的概率特性变化，给出了弃风率等指标的计算方法。以北方某省级电网为仿真系统进行数据实验，研究了不同深度调峰配置方案下的弃风率变化情况，证明了该方法的有效性。

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Objective: To explore the effects of warm acupuncture and moxibustion combined with balanced acupotomy on vertebral artery blood flow, cervical joint range of motion and quality of life in the treatment of cervical spondylotic arteriopathy (CSA) . Methods:150 patients with CSA who were admitted to Beijing Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine affiliated to Capital Medical University from January 2020 to January 2023 were selected, according to the different treatment by the group, control group (75 cases) received warm acupuncture and moxibustion treatment, study group (75 cases) received warm acupuncture and moxibustion combined with balanced acupotomy treatment, the curative effect, quality of life, cervical joint range of motion, cervical function and vertebral artery blood flow were compared between the two groups. Results: The total effective rate of 96.00% (72/75) in the study group was higher than81.33% (61/75) in the control group (P＜0.05) . After treatment, the peak systolic blood flow velocity of left vertebral artery and right vertebral artery in the study group were higher than those in the control group (P＜0.05) . 3 weeks after treatment, the flexion and extension activity angle and rotation activity angle of the study group were higher than those of the control group (P＜0.05) . The NDI score of the study group was lower than that of the control group at 1 week, 2 weeks and 3 weeks after treatment (P＜0.05) . After treatment, the scores of Health Survey Short Form (SF-36) in the study group were higher than those in the control group (P＜0.05) . Conclusion: The application of warm acupuncture and moxibustion combined with balanced acupotomy in the treatment of CSA can improve the range of motion of cervical vertebrae, promote the recovery of cervical vertebrae function, improve the blood flow of vertebral artery and improve the quality of life. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

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