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Following an introduction to the nature of fisheries catches and their information content, a new development of CMSY, a data-limited stock assessment method for fishes and invertebrates, is presented. This new version, CMSY++, overcomes several of the deficiencies of CMSY, which itself improved upon the “Catch-MSY” method published by S. Martell and R. Froese in 2013. The catch-only application of CMSY++ uses a Bayesian implementation of a modified Schaefer model, which also allows the fitting of abundance indices should such information be available. In the absence of historical catch time series and abundance indices, CMSY++ depends strongly on the provision of appropriate and informative priors for plausible ranges of initial and final stock depletion. An Artificial Neural Network (ANN) now assists in selecting objective priors for relative stock size based on patterns in 400 catch time series used for training. Regarding the cross-validation of the ANN predictions, of the 400 real stocks used in the training of ANN, 94% of final relative biomass (B/k) Bayesian (BSM) estimates were within the approximate 95% confidence limits of the respective CMSY++ estimate. Also, the equilibrium catch-biomass relations of the modified Schaefer model are compared with those of alternative surplus-production and age-structured models, suggesting that the latter two can be strongly biased towards underestimating the biomass required to sustain catches at low abundance. Numerous independent applications demonstrate how CMSY++ can incorporate, in addition to the required catch time series, both abundance data and a wide variety of ancillary information. We stress, however, the caveats and pitfalls of naively using the built-in prior options, which should instead be evaluated case-by-case and ideally be replaced by independent prior knowledge.

The size selectivity of trammel nets was investigated in the northern Aegean Sea using 10 different inner-panel mesh sizes ranging from 16 to 70 mm nominal mesh size (bar length). Selectivity estimates were made for the eight most abundant target and bycatch fish species, namely black scorpionfish, Scorpaena porcus Linnaeus, 1758; annular seabream, Diplodus annularis (Linnaeus, 1758); red mullet, Mullus barbatus Linnaeus, 1758; surmullet, Mullus surmuletus Linnaeus, 1758; round sardinella, Sardinella aurita Valenciennes, 1847; European hake, Merluccius merluccius (Linnaeus, 1758); greater weever, Trachinus draco Linnaeus, 1758; and blotched picarel, Spicara flexuosum Rafinesque, 1810, which accounted for 51.5% by number and 42.7% by weight of the fish caught with trammel nets in the sea trials. The SELECT method was used to estimate the selectivity parameters. Five different selectivity functions (i.e., normal scale, normal location, gamma, log-normal, and bi-normal) were applied with the bi-normal function providing the best fit as it had the lowest deviance value for all species and the lowest values for the dispersion parameter (D/df). The mesh size of 16 mm in most of the cases retained specimens below the size at first maturity (Lm). The mesh size of 19 mm seems more appropriate for red mullet, surmullet, and blotched picarel, the mesh size of 22 mm for annular seabream and round sardinella, while for European hake and black scorpionfish, the mesh size larger than 26 mm would be more appropriate.

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Background: Musculoskeletal (MSK) conditions affect over 20.3 million people in the UK, presenting a substantial economic impact on health and social services. Physiotherapy can alleviate MSK conditions, especially if delivered in the acute or sub‐acute period. However, patients often present after significant waiting times. Objectives: Our analysis examined how waiting times and the number of treatments influenced physiotherapy outcomes for MSK conditions. Design: Retrospective analysis of the Data for Impact, Physio First dataset. Methods: Logistic regression models assessed the effects of symptom duration, treatment frequency, and other variables on pain, Patient‐Specific Functional Scores (PSFSs), and Goal Achievement (GA). Results: Analysis of 15,624 patient records showed that patients treated within two weeks of symptom onset were more likely to have favourable outcomes in pain (odds ratio [OR] = 2.01, 95% Confidence Interval [95% CI] = 1.65–2.45), PSFS (OR = 1.80, 95% CI = 1.55–2.08), and GA (OR = 1.74, 95% CI = 1.51–2.01) compared to those treated after longer durations. Receiving four or more treatment sessions significantly improved outcomes compared with only one session (pain: OR = 4.64, PSFS: OR = 5.72, GA: OR = 1.94, all p's < 0.001), with no additional benefits beyond four sessions. Younger age was associated with better outcomes (approximately OR = 0.99 per year age difference). Other findings included better outcomes in males and in those with fewer previous episodes of the condition. Conclusions: Shorter waiting times, a greater number of treatments, and younger patient age are associated with better physiotherapy outcomes for MSK conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Ecosystem models are important tools for the implementation of Ecosystem Based Fisheries Management (EBFM), especially in highly exploited ecosystems affected by climate change, such as the Mediterranean Sea. Herein, we present the development of an Ecopath ecosystem model for the North Aegean Sea (Eastern Mediterranean) in the early 1990s, as well as the parameterization of the temporal dynamic module (Ecosim) after fitting to catch and relative biomass time series for the period 1993-2020. The Ecosim model included as drivers (i) fishing, assuming a technology creep factor of 2% annual increase (0.79% for bottom trawls), (ii) Sea Surface Temperature, (iii) trophic interactions and (iv) a Primary Production (PP) Anomaly which was positively correlated with the North Atlantic Oscillation of the previous year, highlighting the synergistic effect of environmental and anthropogenic processes during the three-decades hindcast period. Trends in biomasses, catches and ecosystem indicators were characterized by a decline from 1993 to 2010 and a strong recovery thereafter. Sea warming scenarios for the period 2021-2050 indicated contrasting responses to increased temperature among the main commercial groups, while simulations of changes in productivity had relatively straightforward effects. Two scenarios of 10% and 25% reduction in fishing effort revealed quick increases in the biomass of most commercial species, though coupled with lower catches due to reduced fishing, except for few groups that their population increase was remarkably high. Although the 25% effort reduction resulted in high recoveries in the short term, it didn’t necessarily lead to constantly high biomasses resulting in reduced catches towards the end of the forecast period for some groups, in contrast to the 10% reduction. When impacts of reduced productivity were added to temperature effects, the model forecasted lower biomass increases for the winners of sea warming and even higher decreases for the losers. Biomass losses were compensated by a 10% reduction in fishing effort, but this was not overall enough to counterbalance losses in catches. The model developed here contributes to better elucidate observed changes in the past and to hind directions of change in future simulations, as well as to advance EBFM in the area.

A recent study of the Anthemis collections in the Balkans indicated that the taxa of the Anthemis macedonica group (A. macedonica subsp. macedonica, A. macedonica subsp. thracica, A. meteorica, A. orbelica) exhibit noteworthy morphological patterns not evaluated before. We applied morphometric approaches (principal components analysis, PCA; factor analysis on mixed data, FAMD) by considering 19 qualitative and 20 quantitative morphological characters, together with three ratios, in 26 populations of this group. Furthermore, the chromosome numbers and karyotype morphology were investigated in eight populations of the group, covering the taxa participating in the study. Our results revealed that the southernmost populations of the group represent a hitherto unknown species confined to serpentine: it is described here as Anthemis serpentinica Goula & Constantinidis. The morphological evidence supports the proximity of A. macedonica and A. orbelica, which would be better considered as subspecific entities of the same species. On the contrary, A. meteorica and A. thracica are retained as independent entities at species level. All taxa share the same diploid chromosome number of 2n = 2x = 18 with similar but not identical karyotypes. A brief description of all taxa, based on recent new collections, and a dichotomous key are presented. Lectotypes are designated for Anthemis macedonica and A. meteorica.

Stocks with low market value are rarely included in stock assessments because their catch records are generally lacking, thus adding to the already large number of un-assessed fisheries at a global scale. T his deficiency is more evident in the Mediterranean Sea where stock assessments are relatively fewer. A new method (AMSY) has been recently developed to assess stocks for which only abundance trends from scientific surveys are available. The AMSY method was used in the Aegean Sea to assess the status of 74 fish and invertebrate stocks (50 actinopterygians, 4 sharks, 5 rays, 12 cephalopods, and 3 crustaceans) for which catch data are lacking; 20 of them have medium or high market value and are being targeted by fishing fleets, while the remaining 54 are either not targeted, but by-caught and often discarded, or are not exploited at all. Overall, 31 of the 54 non-targeted stocks (57%) were healthy in terms of biomass (B/Bmsy > 1), whereas only 6 of the 20 targeted stocks (30%) were healthy. Of the 23 unhealthy non-targeted stocks, 12 were near healthy (B/Bmsy > 0.75), compared to only 1 of the targeted stocks, whereas 10 non-targeted stocks (19%) and 10 targeted ones (50%) were outside safe biological limits (B < 0.5Bmsy). Cephalopods and crustaceans were generally in a better status compared to fishes. The results confirm that fishing does not only affect commercial stocks, but it may also affect by-catch stocks. In general, stocks that are targeted by fishing fleets are in a worse status in terms of biomass compared to those that are only occasionally collected as by-catch or those that inhabit environments that are not accessible to fishing fleets.

The article is intended to set up the philosophical and theoretical background which shall be the fundamental idea of an architectural project. The successive transitions both during life and after death of the body of Saint John the Russian – a recently canonized saint by the Orthodox Church - are considered the starting point of the analysis. A new way of veneration is attempted to be designed, a new convention of meeting with the Saint’s body. The historically recorded transitions of the saint’s body are analyzed and linked to their contemporary philosophical and sociological context. The analysis touches on the philosophical ideas of Michel Foucault, Jean Baudrilliard, and Jean-Pierre Vernant and engages the philosophies of Henri Bergson and Gilles Deleuze where the ideas of the embodied memory and the cinematic perception of time are developed. The research aims to construct the foundation on which the architectural idea of the design of a space and time experience can be established.