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1. Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Author: Bhattacharjee, NV, Schumacher, AE, Aali, A, Abate, YH, Abbasgholizadeh, R, Abbasian, M, Abbasi-Kangevari, M, Abbastabar, H, ElHafeez, SA, Abd-Elsalam, S, Abdollahi, M, Abdollahifar, MA, Abdoun, M, Abdullahi, A, Abebe, M, Abebe, SS, Abiodun, O, Abolhassani, H, Abolmaali, M, Abouzid, M, Aboye, GB, Abreu, LG, Abrha, WA, Abrigo, MRM, Abtahi, D, Abualruz, H, Abubakar, B, Abu-Gharbieh, E, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Adal, TGG, Adane, MM, Adeagbo, OAA, Adedoyin, RA, Adekanmbi, V, Aden, B, Adepoju, AV, Adetokunboh, OO, Adetunji, JB, Adeyinka, DA, Adeyomoye, OI, Adnani, QES, Adra, S, Afolabi, RF, Afyouni, S, Afzal, MS, Afzal, S, Aghamiri, S, Agodi, A, Agyemang-Duah, W, Ahinkorah, BO, Ahlstrom, AJ, Ahmad, A, Ahmad, D, Ahmad, F, Ahmad, MM, Ahmad, S, Ahmad, T, Ahmed, A, Ahmed, H, Ahmed, LA, Ahmed, MS, Ahmed, SA, Ajami, M, Aji, B, Akalu, GT, Akbarialiabad, H ; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2018-6378, Akinyemi, RO, Akkaif, MA, Akkala, S, Al Hamad, H, Al Hasan, SM, Qadire, MA, AL-Ahdal, TMA, Alalalmeh, SO, Alalwan, TA, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Al-Amer, RM, Alanezi, FM, Alanzi, TM, Albakri, A, Albashtawy, M, AlBataineh, MT, Alemi, H, Alemi, S, Alemu, YM, Al-Eyadhy, A, Al-Gheethi, AAS, Alhabib, KF, Alhajri, N, Alhalaiqa, FAN, Alhassan, RK, Ali, A, Ali, BA, Ali, L, Ali, MU, Ali, R, Ali, SSS, Alif, SM, Xu, Luna ; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4787-6547, Peprah, Prince ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3816-2713, Biswas, Raaj Kishore ; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4294-6323, Okeke, Sylvester ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9211-1813, Mitchell, Philip ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7954-5235, Dai-Keller, Zhaoli ; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-5692, Bhattacharjee, NV, Schumacher, AE, Aali, A, Abate, YH, Abbasgholizadeh, R, Abbasian, M, Abbasi-Kangevari, M, Abbastabar, H, ElHafeez, SA, Abd-Elsalam, S, Abdollahi, M, Abdollahifar, MA, Abdoun, M, Abdullahi, A, Abebe, M, Abebe, SS, Abiodun, O, Abolhassani, H, Abolmaali, M, Abouzid, M, Aboye, GB, Abreu, LG, Abrha, WA, Abrigo, MRM, Abtahi, D, Abualruz, H, Abubakar, B, Abu-Gharbieh, E, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Adal, TGG, Adane, MM, Adeagbo, OAA, Adedoyin, RA, Adekanmbi, V, Aden, B, Adepoju, AV, Adetokunboh, OO, Adetunji, JB, Adeyinka, DA, Adeyomoye, OI, Adnani, QES, Adra, S, Afolabi, RF, Afyouni, S, Afzal, MS, Afzal, S, Aghamiri, S, Agodi, A, Agyemang-Duah, W, Ahinkorah, BO, Ahlstrom, AJ, Ahmad, A, Ahmad, D, Ahmad, F, Ahmad, MM, Ahmad, S, Ahmad, T, Ahmed, A, Ahmed, H, Ahmed, LA, Ahmed, MS, Ahmed, SA, Ajami, M, Aji, B, Akalu, GT, Akbarialiabad, H ; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2018-6378, Akinyemi, RO, Akkaif, MA, Akkala, S, Al Hamad, H, Al Hasan, SM, Qadire, MA, AL-Ahdal, TMA, Alalalmeh, SO, Alalwan, TA, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Al-Amer, RM, Alanezi, FM, Alanzi, TM, Albakri, A, Albashtawy, M, AlBataineh, MT, Alemi, H, Alemi, S, Alemu, YM, Al-Eyadhy, A, Al-Gheethi, AAS, Alhabib, KF, Alhajri, N, Alhalaiqa, FAN, Alhassan, RK, Ali, A, Ali, BA, Ali, L, Ali, MU, Ali, R, Ali, SSS, Alif, SM, Xu, Luna ; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4787-6547, Peprah, Prince ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3816-2713, Biswas, Raaj Kishore ; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4294-6323, Okeke, Sylvester ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9211-1813, Mitchell, Philip ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7954-5235, and Dai-Keller, Zhaoli ; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-5692
Abstract: Background: Accurate assessments of current and future fertility—including overall trends and changing population age structures across countries and regions—are essential to help plan for the profound social, economic, environmental, and geopolitical challenges that these changes will bring. Estimates and projections of fertility are necessary to inform policies involving resource and health-care needs, labour supply, education, gender equality, and family planning and support. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 produced up-to-date and comprehensive demographic assessments of key fertility indicators at global, regional, and national levels from 1950 to 2021 and forecast fertility metrics to 2100 based on a reference scenario and key policy-dependent alternative scenarios. Methods: To estimate fertility indicators from 1950 to 2021, mixed-effects regression models and spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression were used to synthesise data from 8709 country-years of vital and sample registrations, 1455 surveys and censuses, and 150 other sources, and to generate age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) for 5-year age groups from age 10 years to 54 years. ASFRs were summed across age groups to produce estimates of total fertility rate (TFR). Livebirths were calculated by multiplying ASFR and age-specific female population, then summing across ages 10–54 years. To forecast future fertility up to 2100, our Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) forecasting model was based on projections of completed cohort fertility at age 50 years (CCF50; the average number of children born over time to females from a specified birth cohort), which yields more stable and accurate measures of fertility than directly modelling TFR. CCF50 was modelled using an ensemble approach in which three sub-models (with two, three, and four covariates variously consisting of female educational attainment, contraceptive met need, population density in
Published: 2024

2. Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Author: Vollset, SE, Ababneh, HS, Abate, YH, Abbafati, C, Abbasgholizadeh, R, Abbasian, M, Abbastabar, H, Abd Al Magied, AHA, ElHafeez, SA, Abdelkader, A, Abdelmasseh, M, Abd-Elsalam, S, Abdi, P, Abdollahi, M, Abdoun, M, Abdullahi, A, Abebe, M, Abiodun, O, Aboagye, RG ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3498-2909, Abolhassani, H, Abouzid, M, Aboye, GB, Abreu, LG, Absalan, A, Abualruz, H, Abubakar, B, Abukhadijah, HJJ, Addolorato, G, Adekanmbi, V, Adetunji, CO, Adetunji, JB, Adeyeoluwa, TE, Adha, R, Adhikary, RK, Adnani, QES, Adzigbli, LA, Afrashteh, F, Afzal, MS, Afzal, S, Agbozo, F, Agodi, A, Agrawal, A, Agyemang-Duah, W, Ahinkorah, BO, Ahlstrom, AJ, Ahmad, A, Ahmad, F, Ahmad, MM, Ahmad, S, Ahmed, A, Ahmed, H, Ahmed, S, Ahmed, SA, Akinosoglou, K, Akkaif, MA, Akrami, AE, Akter, E, Awaidy, SA, Al Hasan, SM, Al Mosa, AS, Al Ta'ani, O, Al Zaabi, OAM, Alahdab, F, Alajlani, MM, Al-Ajlouni, Y, Alalalmeh, SO, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alam, T, Alam, Z, Al-Amer, RM, Alanezi, FM, Alanzi, TM, Albakri, A, Aldhaleei, WA, Aldridge, RW, Alemohammad, SY, Alemu, YM, Al-Gheethi, AAS, Al-Hanawi, MK, Ali, A, Ali, I, Ali, MU, Ali, R, Ali, SSS, Ali, VE, Ali, W, Al-Ibraheem, A, Alicandro, G, Alif, SM, Aljunid, SM, Alla, F, Almazan, JU, Al-Mekhlafi, HM, Alqutaibi, AY, Alrawashdeh, A, Mitchell, Philip ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7954-5235, Boufous, Soufiane ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5686-1729, Onie, Sandersan ; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2147-8102, Dai-Keller, Zhaoli ; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-5692, Sharma, Saurab ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9817-5372, Peprah, Prince ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3816-2713, Schutte, Alta ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9217-4937, Pesudovs, Konrad ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6322-9369, Sachdev, Perminder ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9595-3220, Si, Yafei ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9334-8230, Vollset, SE, Ababneh, HS, Abate, YH, Abbafati, C, Abbasgholizadeh, R, Abbasian, M, Abbastabar, H, Abd Al Magied, AHA, ElHafeez, SA, Abdelkader, A, Abdelmasseh, M, Abd-Elsalam, S, Abdi, P, Abdollahi, M, Abdoun, M, Abdullahi, A, Abebe, M, Abiodun, O, Aboagye, RG ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3498-2909, Abolhassani, H, Abouzid, M, Aboye, GB, Abreu, LG, Absalan, A, Abualruz, H, Abubakar, B, Abukhadijah, HJJ, Addolorato, G, Adekanmbi, V, Adetunji, CO, Adetunji, JB, Adeyeoluwa, TE, Adha, R, Adhikary, RK, Adnani, QES, Adzigbli, LA, Afrashteh, F, Afzal, MS, Afzal, S, Agbozo, F, Agodi, A, Agrawal, A, Agyemang-Duah, W, Ahinkorah, BO, Ahlstrom, AJ, Ahmad, A, Ahmad, F, Ahmad, MM, Ahmad, S, Ahmed, A, Ahmed, H, Ahmed, S, Ahmed, SA, Akinosoglou, K, Akkaif, MA, Akrami, AE, Akter, E, Awaidy, SA, Al Hasan, SM, Al Mosa, AS, Al Ta'ani, O, Al Zaabi, OAM, Alahdab, F, Alajlani, MM, Al-Ajlouni, Y, Alalalmeh, SO, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alam, T, Alam, Z, Al-Amer, RM, Alanezi, FM, Alanzi, TM, Albakri, A, Aldhaleei, WA, Aldridge, RW, Alemohammad, SY, Alemu, YM, Al-Gheethi, AAS, Al-Hanawi, MK, Ali, A, Ali, I, Ali, MU, Ali, R, Ali, SSS, Ali, VE, Ali, W, Al-Ibraheem, A, Alicandro, G, Alif, SM, Aljunid, SM, Alla, F, Almazan, JU, Al-Mekhlafi, HM, Alqutaibi, AY, Alrawashdeh, A, Mitchell, Philip ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7954-5235, Boufous, Soufiane ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5686-1729, Onie, Sandersan ; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2147-8102, Dai-Keller, Zhaoli ; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-5692, Sharma, Saurab ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9817-5372, Peprah, Prince ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3816-2713, Schutte, Alta ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9217-4937, Pesudovs, Konrad ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6322-9369, Sachdev, Perminder ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9595-3220, and Si, Yafei ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9334-8230
Abstract: Background: Future trends in disease burden and drivers of health are of great interest to policy makers and the public at large. This information can be used for policy and long-term health investment, planning, and prioritisation. We have expanded and improved upon previous forecasts produced as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) and provide a reference forecast (the most likely future), and alternative scenarios assessing disease burden trajectories if selected sets of risk factors were eliminated from current levels by 2050. Methods: Using forecasts of major drivers of health such as the Socio-demographic Index (SDI; a composite measure of lag-distributed income per capita, mean years of education, and total fertility under 25 years of age) and the full set of risk factor exposures captured by GBD, we provide cause-specific forecasts of mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) by age and sex from 2022 to 2050 for 204 countries and territories, 21 GBD regions, seven super-regions, and the world. All analyses were done at the cause-specific level so that only risk factors deemed causal by the GBD comparative risk assessment influenced future trajectories of mortality for each disease. Cause-specific mortality was modelled using mixed-effects models with SDI and time as the main covariates, and the combined impact of causal risk factors as an offset in the model. At the all-cause mortality level, we captured unexplained variation by modelling residuals with an autoregressive integrated moving average model with drift attenuation. These all-cause forecasts constrained the cause-specific forecasts at successively deeper levels of the GBD cause hierarchy using cascading mortality models, thus ensuring a robust estimate of cause-specific mortality. For non-fatal measures (eg, low back pain), incidence and prevalence were forecasted from mixed-effects m
Published: 2024

3. Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance 1990–2021: a systematic analysis with forecasts to 2050

Author: Naghavi, M, Vollset, SE, Ikuta, KS, Swetschinski, LR, Gray, AP, Wool, EE, Robles Aguilar, G, Mestrovic, T, Smith, G, Han, C, Hsu, RL, Azzam, AY, Babaei, M, Babin, F-X, Badar, M, Baig, AA, Bajcetic, M, Baker, S, Bardhan, M, Barqawi, HJ, Basharat, Z, Chalek, J, Basiru, A, Bastard, M, Basu, S, Bayleyegn, NS, Belete, MA, Bello, OO, Beloukas, A, Berkley, JA, Bhagavathula, AS, Bhaskar, S, Araki, DT, Bhuyan, SS, Bielicki, JA, Briko, NI, Brown, CS, Browne, AJ, Buonsenso, D, Bustanji, Y, Carvalheiro, CG, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Cenderadewi, M, Chung, E, Chadwick, J, Chakraborty, S, Chandika, RM, Chandy, S, Chansamouth, V, Chattu, VK, Chaudhary, AA, Ching, PR, Chopra, H, Chowdhury, FR, Raggi, C, Chu, D-T, Chutiyami, M, Cruz-Martins, N, da Silva, AG, Dadras, O, Dai, X, Darcho, SD, Das, S, De la Hoz, FP, Dekker, DM, Gershberg Hayoon, A, Dhama, K, Diaz, D, Dickson, BFR, Djorie, SG, Dodangeh, M, Dohare, S, Dokova, KG, Doshi, OP, Dowou, RK, Dsouza, HL, Davis Weaver, N, Dunachie, SJ, Dziedzic, AM, Eckmanns, T, Ed-Dra, A, Eftekharimehrabad, A, Ekundayo, TC, El Sayed, I, Elhadi, M, El-Huneidi, W, Elias, C, Lindstedt, PA, Ellis, SJ, Elsheikh, R, Elsohaby, I, Eltaha, C, Eshrati, B, Eslami, M, Eyre, DW, Fadaka, AO, Fagbamigbe, AF, Fahim, A, Smith, AE, Fakhri-Demeshghieh, A, Fasina, FO, Fasina, MM, Fatehizadeh, A, Feasey, NA, Feizkhah, A, Fekadu, G, Fischer, F, Fitriana, I, Forrest, KM, Altay, U, Fortuna Rodrigues, C, Fuller, JE, Gadanya, MA, Gajdács, M, Gandhi, AP, Garcia-Gallo, EE, Garrett, DO, Gautam, RK, Gebregergis, MW, Gebrehiwot, M, Bhattacharjee, NV, Gebremeskel, TG, Geffers, C, Georgalis, L, Ghazy, RM, Golechha, M, Golinelli, D, Gordon, M, Gulati, S, Gupta, RD, Gupta, S, Giannakis, K, Gupta, VK, Habteyohannes, AD, Haller, S, Harapan, H, Harrison, ML, Hasaballah, AI, Hasan, I, Hasan, RS, Hasani, H, Haselbeck, AH, Fell, F, Hasnain, MS, Hassan, II, Hassan, S, Hassan Zadeh Tabatabaei, MS, Hayat, K, He, J, Hegazi, OE, Heidari, M, Hezam, K, Holla, R, McManigal, B, Holm, M, Hopkins, H, Hossain, MM, Hosseinzadeh, M, Hostiuc, S, Hussein, NR, Huy, LD, Ibáñez-Prada, ED, Ikiroma, A, Ilic, IM, Ekapirat, N, Islam, SMS, Ismail, F, Ismail, NE, Iwu, CD, Iwu-Jaja, CJ, Jafarzadeh, A, Jaiteh, F, Jalilzadeh Yengejeh, R, Jamora, RDG, Javidnia, J, Mendes, JA, Jawaid, T, Jenney, AWJ, Jeon, HJ, Jokar, M, Jomehzadeh, N, Joo, T, Joseph, N, Kamal, Z, Kanmodi, KK, Kantar, RS, Runghien, T, Kapisi, JA, Karaye, IM, Khader, YS, Khajuria, H, Khalid, N, Khamesipour, F, Khan, A, Khan, MJ, Khan, MT, Khanal, V, Srimokla, O, Khidri, FF, Khubchandani, J, Khusuwan, S, Kim, MS, Kisa, A, Korshunov, VA, Krapp, F, Krumkamp, R, Kuddus, M, Kulimbet, M, Abdelkader, A, Kumar, D, Kumaran, EAP, Kuttikkattu, A, Kyu, HH, Landires, I, Lawal, BK, Le, TTT, Lederer, IM, Lee, M, Lee, SW, Abd-Elsalam, S, Lepape, A, Lerango, TL, Ligade, VS, Lim, C, Lim, SS, Limenh, LW, Liu, C, Liu, X, Loftus, MJ, Aboagye, RG, M Amin, HI, Maass, KL, Maharaj, SB, Mahmoud, MA, Maikanti-Charalampous, P, Makram, OM, Malhotra, K, Malik, AA, Mandilara, GD, Marks, F, Abolhassani, H, Martinez-Guerra, BA, Martorell, M, Masoumi-Asl, H, Mathioudakis, AG, May, J, McHugh, TA, Meiring, J, Meles, HN, Melese, A, Melese, EB, Abualruz, H, Minervini, G, Mohamed, NS, Mohammed, S, Mohan, S, Mokdad, AH, Monasta, L, Moodi Ghalibaf, A, Moore, CE, Moradi, Y, Mossialos, E, Abubakar, U, Mougin, V, Mukoro, GD, Mulita, F, Muller-Pebody, B, Murillo-Zamora, E, Musa, S, Musicha, P, Musila, LA, Muthupandian, S, Nagarajan, AJ, Abukhadijah, HJ, Naghavi, P, Nainu, F, Nair, TS, Najmuldeen, HHR, Natto, ZS, Nauman, J, Nayak, BP, Nchanji, GT, Ndishimye, P, Negoi, I, Aburuz, S, Negoi, RI, Nejadghaderi, SA, Nguyen, QP, Noman, EA, Nwakanma, DC, O'Brien, S, Ochoa, TJ, Odetokun, IA, Ogundijo, OA, Ojo-Akosile, TR, Abu-Zaid, A, Okeke, SR, Okonji, OC, Olagunju, AT, Olivas-Martinez, A, Olorukooba, AA, Olwoch, P, Onyedibe, KI, Ortiz-Brizuela, E, Osuolale, O, Ounchanum, P, Achalapong, S, Oyeyemi, OT, P A, MP, Paredes, JL, Parikh, RR, Patel, J, Patil, S, Pawar, S, Peleg, AY, Peprah, P, Perdigão, J, Addo, IY, Perrone, C, Petcu, I-R, Phommasone, K, Piracha, ZZ, Poddighe, D, Pollard, AJ, Poluru, R, Ponce-De-Leon, A, Puvvula, J, Qamar, FN, Adekanmbi, V, Qasim, NH, Rafai, CD, Raghav, P, Rahbarnia, L, Rahim, F, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Rahman, MA, Ramadan, H, Ramasamy, SK, Adeyeoluwa, TE, Ramesh, PS, Ramteke, PW, Rana, RK, Rani, U, Rashidi, M-M, Rathish, D, Rattanavong, S, Rawaf, S, Redwan, EMM, Reyes, LF, Adnani, QES, Roberts, T, Robotham, JV, Rosenthal, VD, Ross, AG, Roy, N, Rudd, KE, Sabet, CJ, Saddik, BA, Saeb, MR, Saeed, U, Adzigbli, LA, Saeedi Moghaddam, S, Saengchan, W, Safaei, M, Saghazadeh, A, Saheb Sharif-Askari, N, Sahebkar, A, Sahoo, SS, Sahu, M, Saki, M, Salam, N, Afzal, MS, Saleem, Z, Saleh, MA, Samodra, YL, Samy, AM, Saravanan, A, Satpathy, M, Schumacher, AE, Sedighi, M, Seekaew, S, Shafie, M, Afzal, S, Shah, PA, Shahid, S, Shahwan, MJ, Shakoor, S, Shalev, N, Shamim, MA, Shamshirgaran, MA, Shamsi, A, Sharifan, A, Shastry, RP, Agodi, A, Shetty, M, Shittu, A, Shrestha, S, Siddig, EE, Sideroglou, T, Sifuentes-Osornio, J, Silva, LMLR, Simões, EAF, Simpson, AJH, Singh, A, Ahlstrom, AJ, Singh, S, Sinto, R, Soliman, SSM, Soraneh, S, Stoesser, N, Stoeva, TZ, Swain, CK, Szarpak, L, T Y, SS, Tabatabai, S, Ahmad, A, Tabche, C, Taha, ZM-A, Tan, K-K, Tasak, N, Tat, NY, Thaiprakong, A, Thangaraju, P, Tigoi, CC, Tiwari, K, Tovani-Palone, MR, Ahmad, S, Tran, TH, Tumurkhuu, M, Turner, P, Udoakang, AJ, Udoh, A, Ullah, N, Ullah, S, Vaithinathan, AG, Valenti, M, Vos, T, Ahmad, T, Vu, HTL, Waheed, Y, Walker, AS, Walson, JL, Wangrangsimakul, T, Weerakoon, KG, Wertheim, HFL, Williams, PCM, Wolde, AA, Wozniak, TM, Ahmadi, A, Wu, F, Wu, Z, Yadav, MKK, Yaghoubi, S, Yahaya, ZS, Yarahmadi, A, Yezli, S, Yismaw, YE, Yon, DK, Yuan, C-W, Ahmed, A, Yusuf, H, Zakham, F, Zamagni, G, Zhang, H, Zhang, Z-J, Zielińska, M, Zumla, A, Zyoud, SHH, Zyoud, SH, Hay, SI, Ahmed, H, Stergachis, A, Sartorius, B, Cooper, BS, Dolecek, C, Murray, CJL, Ahmed, I, Ahmed, M, Ahmed, S, Ahmed, SA, Akkaif, MA, Al Awaidy, S, Al Thaher, Y, Alalalmeh, SO, AlBataineh, MT, Aldhaleei, WA, Al-Gheethi, AAS, Alhaji, NB, Ali, A, Ali, L, Ali, SS, Ali, W, Allel, K, Al-Marwani, S, Alrawashdeh, A, Altaf, A, Al-Tammemi, AB, Al-Tawfiq, JA, Alzoubi, KH, Al-Zyoud, WA, Amos, B, Amuasi, JH, Ancuceanu, R, Andrews, JR, Anil, A, Anuoluwa, IA, Anvari, S, Anyasodor, AE, Apostol, GLC, Arabloo, J, Arafat, M, Aravkin, AY, Areda, D, Aremu, A, Artamonov, AA, Ashley, EA, Asika, MO, Athari, SS, Atout, MMW, Awoke, T, Azadnajafabad, S, Azam, JM, Aziz, S, Naghavi, M, Vollset, SE, Ikuta, KS, Swetschinski, LR, Gray, AP, Wool, EE, Robles Aguilar, G, Mestrovic, T, Smith, G, Han, C, Hsu, RL, Azzam, AY, Babaei, M, Babin, F-X, Badar, M, Baig, AA, Bajcetic, M, Baker, S, Bardhan, M, Barqawi, HJ, Basharat, Z, Chalek, J, Basiru, A, Bastard, M, Basu, S, Bayleyegn, NS, Belete, MA, Bello, OO, Beloukas, A, Berkley, JA, Bhagavathula, AS, Bhaskar, S, Araki, DT, Bhuyan, SS, Bielicki, JA, Briko, NI, Brown, CS, Browne, AJ, Buonsenso, D, Bustanji, Y, Carvalheiro, CG, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Cenderadewi, M, Chung, E, Chadwick, J, Chakraborty, S, Chandika, RM, Chandy, S, Chansamouth, V, Chattu, VK, Chaudhary, AA, Ching, PR, Chopra, H, Chowdhury, FR, Raggi, C, Chu, D-T, Chutiyami, M, Cruz-Martins, N, da Silva, AG, Dadras, O, Dai, X, Darcho, SD, Das, S, De la Hoz, FP, Dekker, DM, Gershberg Hayoon, A, Dhama, K, Diaz, D, Dickson, BFR, Djorie, SG, Dodangeh, M, Dohare, S, Dokova, KG, Doshi, OP, Dowou, RK, Dsouza, HL, Davis Weaver, N, Dunachie, SJ, Dziedzic, AM, Eckmanns, T, Ed-Dra, A, Eftekharimehrabad, A, Ekundayo, TC, El Sayed, I, Elhadi, M, El-Huneidi, W, Elias, C, Lindstedt, PA, Ellis, SJ, Elsheikh, R, Elsohaby, I, Eltaha, C, Eshrati, B, Eslami, M, Eyre, DW, Fadaka, AO, Fagbamigbe, AF, Fahim, A, Smith, AE, Fakhri-Demeshghieh, A, Fasina, FO, Fasina, MM, Fatehizadeh, A, Feasey, NA, Feizkhah, A, Fekadu, G, Fischer, F, Fitriana, I, Forrest, KM, Altay, U, Fortuna 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Karaye, IM, Khader, YS, Khajuria, H, Khalid, N, Khamesipour, F, Khan, A, Khan, MJ, Khan, MT, Khanal, V, Srimokla, O, Khidri, FF, Khubchandani, J, Khusuwan, S, Kim, MS, Kisa, A, Korshunov, VA, Krapp, F, Krumkamp, R, Kuddus, M, Kulimbet, M, Abdelkader, A, Kumar, D, Kumaran, EAP, Kuttikkattu, A, Kyu, HH, Landires, I, Lawal, BK, Le, TTT, Lederer, IM, Lee, M, Lee, SW, Abd-Elsalam, S, Lepape, A, Lerango, TL, Ligade, VS, Lim, C, Lim, SS, Limenh, LW, Liu, C, Liu, X, Loftus, MJ, Aboagye, RG, M Amin, HI, Maass, KL, Maharaj, SB, Mahmoud, MA, Maikanti-Charalampous, P, Makram, OM, Malhotra, K, Malik, AA, Mandilara, GD, Marks, F, Abolhassani, H, Martinez-Guerra, BA, Martorell, M, Masoumi-Asl, H, Mathioudakis, AG, May, J, McHugh, TA, Meiring, J, Meles, HN, Melese, A, Melese, EB, Abualruz, H, Minervini, G, Mohamed, NS, Mohammed, S, Mohan, S, Mokdad, AH, Monasta, L, Moodi Ghalibaf, A, Moore, CE, Moradi, Y, Mossialos, E, Abubakar, U, Mougin, V, Mukoro, GD, Mulita, F, Muller-Pebody, B, Murillo-Zamora, E, 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MR, Ahmad, S, Tran, TH, Tumurkhuu, M, Turner, P, Udoakang, AJ, Udoh, A, Ullah, N, Ullah, S, Vaithinathan, AG, Valenti, M, Vos, T, Ahmad, T, Vu, HTL, Waheed, Y, Walker, AS, Walson, JL, Wangrangsimakul, T, Weerakoon, KG, Wertheim, HFL, Williams, PCM, Wolde, AA, Wozniak, TM, Ahmadi, A, Wu, F, Wu, Z, Yadav, MKK, Yaghoubi, S, Yahaya, ZS, Yarahmadi, A, Yezli, S, Yismaw, YE, Yon, DK, Yuan, C-W, Ahmed, A, Yusuf, H, Zakham, F, Zamagni, G, Zhang, H, Zhang, Z-J, Zielińska, M, Zumla, A, Zyoud, SHH, Zyoud, SH, Hay, SI, Ahmed, H, Stergachis, A, Sartorius, B, Cooper, BS, Dolecek, C, Murray, CJL, Ahmed, I, Ahmed, M, Ahmed, S, Ahmed, SA, Akkaif, MA, Al Awaidy, S, Al Thaher, Y, Alalalmeh, SO, AlBataineh, MT, Aldhaleei, WA, Al-Gheethi, AAS, Alhaji, NB, Ali, A, Ali, L, Ali, SS, Ali, W, Allel, K, Al-Marwani, S, Alrawashdeh, A, Altaf, A, Al-Tammemi, AB, Al-Tawfiq, JA, Alzoubi, KH, Al-Zyoud, WA, Amos, B, Amuasi, JH, Ancuceanu, R, Andrews, JR, Anil, A, Anuoluwa, IA, Anvari, S, Anyasodor, AE, Apostol, GLC, Arabloo, J, Arafat, M, Aravkin, AY, Areda, D, Aremu, A, Artamonov, AA, Ashley, EA, Asika, MO, Athari, SS, Atout, MMW, Awoke, T, Azadnajafabad, S, Azam, JM, and Aziz, S
Published: 2024

4. Forecasting the effects of smoking prevalence scenarios on years of life lost and life expectancy from 2022 to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Author: Bryazka, D, Reitsma, MB, Abate, YH, Abd Al Magied, AHA, Abdelkader, A, Abdollahi, A, Abdoun, M, Abdulkader, RS, Abeldaño Zuñiga, RA, Abhilash, ES, Abiodun, OO, Andrei, CL, Zhang, L, Zhong, CC, Zhou, SC, Zhu, B, Zielińska, M, Zoghi, G, Zyoud, SH, Vollset, SE, Gakidou, E, Andrei, T, Ansari, MT, Anuoluwa, IA, Anvari, S, Anwar, SL, Anyasodor, AE, Arabloo, J, Arafa, EA, Aravkin, AY, Abiodun, O, Areda, D, Aregawi, BB, Aremu, O, Artamonov, AA, Asgedom, AA, Asghari-Jafarabadi, M, Ashemo, MY, Ashraf, T, Astell-Burt, T, Athari, SS, Aboagye, RG, Atorkey, P, Atreya, A, Aujayeb, A, Awotidebe, AW, Ayano, G, Aychiluhm, SB, Azadnajafabad, S, Azzam, AY, Babu, GR, Bahrami Taghanaki, P, Abreu, LG, Bahramian, S, Bai, R, Bakkannavar, SM, Balakrishnan, S, Bam, K, Banach, M, Bandyopadhyay, S, Baran, MF, Barchitta, M, Bardhan, M, Abtahi, D, Barker-Collo, SL, Barrow, A, Bashiru, HA, Basiru, A, Bastan, M-M, Basu, S, Batra, K, Bayati, M, Behnoush, AH, Abualruz, H, Bell, SL, Belo, L, Beneke, AA, Bennett, DA, Bensenor, IM, Beran, A, Bermudez, ANC, Beyene, HB, Bhagat, DS, Bhagavathula, AS, Abubakar, B, Bhala, N, Bhardwaj, N, Bhardwaj, P, Bhaskar, S, Bhat, AN, Bhattacharjee, NV, Bhattacharjee, P, Bhatti, JS, Bilgin, C, Biswas, A, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Biswas, B, Boachie, MK, Bogale, EK, Bora Basara, B, Borhany, H, Bosoka, SA, Bouaoud, S, Boyko, EJ, Brenner, H, Brunoni, AR, Aburuz, S, Bugiardini, R, Bulamu, NB, Bustanji, Y, Butt, ZA, Caetano dos Santos, FL, Calina, D, Cao, C, Cao, F, Capodici, A, Cárdenas, R, Abu-Zaid, A, Carreras, G, Castaldelli-Maia, JM, Cattaruzza, MS, Caye, A, Cegolon, L, Cenko, E, Cerrai, S, Chakraborty, S, Chandika, RM, Chandrasekar, EK, Adane, MM, Chattu, VK, Chaudhary, AA, Chaurasia, A, Chen, A-T, Chen, G, Chen, H, Chen, MX, Chen, S, Cheng, KJG, Chi, G, Adebiyi, AO, Chichagi, F, Chimoriya, R, Chirinos-Caceres, JL, Chitheer, A, Chong, B, Chong, CL, Chong, YY, Chopra, H, Choudhari, SG, Chu, D-T, Adegboye, OA, Chukwu, IS, Chung, S-C, Chutiyami, M, Conde, J, Corlateanu, A, Criqui, MH, Cruz-Martins, N, da Silva, AG, Dadras, O, Dai, S, Adekanmbi, V, Dai, X, Damiani, G, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Darcho, SD, Darvishi Cheshmeh Soltani, R, Das, S, Dash, NR, Davletov, K, Debele, AT, Adewuyi, HO, Debopadhaya, S, Demant, D, Desai, HD, Devegowda, D, Dewan, SMR, Dhali, A, Dhane, AS, Dhulipala, VR, Do, TC, Dodangeh, M, Adnani, QES, Doegah, PT, Dohare, S, Dongarwar, D, D'Oria, M, Doshi, OP, Doshi, RP, Dowou, RK, Dsouza, AC, Dsouza, HL, Dsouza, VS, Adzigbli, LA, Duncan, BB, Duraes, AR, Dziedzic, AM, E'mar, AR, Ebrahimi, A, Ebrahimi, N, Ebrahimi Kalan, M, Edvardsson, D, Edvardsson, K, Efendi, F, Afaghi, S, Effendi, DE, Eghbali, F, Ekholuenetale, M, El Arab, RA, El Bayoumy, IF, El Sayed, I, Elbarazi, I, Elhadi, M, El-Huneidi, W, Elmonem, MA, Afolabi, AA, ELNahas, G, Elsohaby, I, Eltaha, C, Eltahir, ME, Emamverdi, M, Emeto, TI, Erku, DA, Etaee, F, Ezenwankwo, EF, Fabin, N, Afzal, MS, Fagbamigbe, AF, Fagbule, OF, Faghani, S, Fahim, A, Fakhradiyev, IR, Falzone, L, Farooque, U, Fatehizadeh, A, Fatima, Z, Fauk, NK, Afzal, S, Fazylov, T, Feizkhah, A, Fekadu, G, Feng, X, Ferrara, P, Ferreira, N, Feyisa, BR, Filippidis, FT, Fischer, F, Flor, LS, Agodi, A, Foigt, NA, Fortuna Rodrigues, C, Foschi, M, G, S, Gaal, PA, Gadanya, MA, Gaidhane, AM, Gajdács, M, Gallus, S, Gandhi, AP, Agyemang-Duah, W, Ganesan, B, Gautam, P, Gautam, RK, Gebregergis, MW, Gebrehiwot, M, Gebremeskel, TG, Getacher, L, Ghadirian, F, Ghazy, RM, Gholamrezanezhad, A, Ahinkorah, BO, Ghorbani, M, Ghozy, S, Gil, AU, Gil, GF, Gnedovskaya, EV, Goel, S, Goharinezhad, S, Goldust, M, Golechha, M, Goleij, P, Ahlstrom, AJ, Golinelli, D, Gorini, G, Gouravani, M, Grada, A, Grivna, M, Grover, S, Guan, S-Y, Gubari, MIM, Guha, A, Guicciardi, S, Ahmad, A, Gulati, S, Gunawardane, DA, Gunturu, S, Guo, Z, Gupta, AK, Gupta, B, Gupta, I, Gupta, M, Gupta, R, Gupta, S, Ahmad, D, Gupta, VB, Gupta, V, Gupta, VK, Hadei, M, Hadi, NR, Hajj Ali, A, Halboub, ES, Hamdy, NM, Hamidi, S, Hammoud, A, Ahmad, MM, Hankey, GJ, Hargono, A, Haro, JM, Hasaballah, AI, Hasan, F, Hasan, MK, Hasnain, MS, Hassan, A, Hassan, II, Hassan, S, Ahmad, S, Hay, SI, Heibati, B, Heidari, M, Hemmati, M, Hendrie, D, Herteliu, C, Heyi, DZ, Hezam, K, Hiraike, Y, Hoan, NQ, Holla, R, Horita, N, Hossain, MM, Hossain, S, Hosseinzadeh, H, Hostiuc, M, Hostiuc, S, Huang, J, Humayun, A, Hussain, J, Ahmadi, A, Hwang, B-F, Ibitoye, SE, Ikeda, N, Ikiroma, A, Ilesanmi, OS, Ilic, IM, Ilic, MD, Immurana, M, Inbaraj, LR, Iqhrammullah, M, Ahmed, A, Irham, LM, Islam, MR, Islam, SMS, Islami, F, Isola, G, Itumalla, R, Iwagami, M, Iyer, M, J, V, Jaafari, J, Jacob, L, Jafarzadeh, A, Jaggi, K, Jahanmehr, N, Jain, A, Jain, N, Jairoun, AA, Jaka, S, Jakovljevic, M, Jalilzadeh Yengejeh, R, Ahmed, H, Jamshidi, E, Janodia, MD, Jawaid, T, Jayapal, SK, Jayaram, S, Jayasinghe, RD, Jebai, R, Jee, SH, Jeswani, BM, Jiang, H, Ahmed, MB, Jokar, M, Jonas, JB, Joo, T, Joseph, N, Joshua, CE, Jozwiak, JJ, Jürisson, M, K, V, Kabir, A, Kabir, Z, Ahmed, S, Kadashetti, V, Kamarajah, SK, Kanaan, M, Kanmodi, KK, Kant, S, Kantar, RS, Karakasis, P, Karaye, IM, Karimi, SE, Karimi, Y, Ajami, M, Karimi Behnagh, A, Karkhah, S, Karki, P, Kashoo, FZ, Katikireddi, SV, Kaur, H, Kaur, N, Kazemian, S, Kazmi, TH, Keiyoro, PN, Akkaif, MA, Kesse-Guyot, E, Khader, YS, Khajuria, H, Khalaji, A, Khalilian, A, Khan, A, Khan, M, Khan, MJ, Khan, MAB, Khanmohammadi, S, Akter, E, Khatab, K, Khatatbeh, H, Khatatbeh, MM, Khater, AM, Kheirallah, KA, Khokhar, M, Khormali, M, Khosla, AA, Khosravi, S, Kim, K, Al Awaidy, S, Kim, MS, Kim, YJ, Kisa, A, Kolahi, A-A, Komaki, S, Kondlahalli, SKMM, Korja, M, Korzh, O, Kosen, S, Kostev, K, Al Hasan, SM, Krishan, K, Kuate Defo, B, Kuddus, M, Kujan, O, Kulimbet, M, Kumar, A, Kumar, GA, Kumar, N, Kumar, R, Kumar, V, Al-Ajlouni, Y, Kundu, A, Kundu, S, Kunutsor, SK, Kurmi, OP, Kusuma, D, Kyei-Arthur, F, Kytö, V, La Vecchia, C, Lahariya, C, Lai, DTC, Al-Aly, Z, Lai, H, Lalloo, R, Lallukka, T, Larijani, B, Lasrado, S, Lau, J, Lauriola, P, Le, TTT, Leasher, JL, Lee, M, Alam, K, Lee, SW, Lee, W-C, Lee, YH, Leong, E, Lerango, TL, Li, A, Li, W, Ligade, VS, Lim, SS, Lin, J, Alam, Z, Lindstedt, PA, Liu, G, Llanaj, E, López-Gil, JF, Lotufo, PA, Lucchetti, G, Lugo, A, Lusk, JB, M Amin, HI, Ma, ZF, Aldhaleei, WA, Machoy, M, Madadizadeh, F, Mahmoudi, E, Makram, AM, Makram, OM, Malhotra, K, Malik, AA, Malta, DC, Mamun, AA, Mansouri, P, Algammal, AM, Mansournia, MA, Manu, E, Marateb, HR, Martinez-Raga, J, Martorell, M, Marzo, RR, Mathangasinghe, Y, Mathews, E, Mathur, M, Mathur, N, Al-Gheethi, AAS, Mattiello, R, Maugeri, A, McKee, M, Mechili, EA, Mehrotra, R, Mekene Meto, T, Mekonnen, BD, Meles, HN, Mendoza, W, Menezes, RG, Alhabib, KF, Meo, SA, Meretoja, A, Meretoja, TJ, Mestrovic, T, Meyers, CCA, Michalek, IM, Miller, TR, Minervini, G, Mirghafourvand, M, Mirrakhimov, EM, Alhalaiqa, FN, Mishra, V, Misra, S, Mithra, P, Mohamed, AI, Mohamed, J, Mohamed, MFH, Mohamed, NS, Mohammad, AM, Mohammad-Alizadeh-Charandabi, 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Rawaf, S, Reddy, MMRK, Redwan, EMM, Rezaei, N, Rezaeian, M, Riad, A, Rodrigues, M, Rodrigues da Silva, TPR, Alsakarneh, S, Rodriguez, JAB, Roever, L, Root, KT, Roshandel, G, Ross, AG, Rout, HS, Roy, B, Roy, N, Roy, S, Ruela, GDA, Alshahrani, NZ, S N, C, Sabet, CJ, Sabour, S, Sadarangani, KP, Saddik, BA, Sadeghi, M, Saeb, MR, Saeed, U, Saeedi, P, Safi, SZ, Altaany, Z, Sagoe, D, Saheb Sharif-Askari, F, Sahebkar, A, Sahoo, SS, Sajib, MRUZ, Sajid, MR, Salaroli, LB, Saleh, MA, Salem, MZY, Salihu, D, Altaf, A, Samodra, YL, Samy, AM, Sanabria, J, Santric-Milicevic, MM, Sao Jose, BP, Saqib, MAN, Sarasmita, MA, Saravanan, A, Saravi, B, Sarikhani, Y, Alvis-Guzman, N, Sarkar, T, Sarode, GS, Sarode, SC, Sartorius, B, Sathian, B, Sathyanarayan, A, Satpathy, M, Sawhney, M, Saylan, M, Schaarschmidt, BM, Al-Wardat, M, Schaub, MP, Schlaich, MP, Schmidt, MI, Schuermans, A, Schumacher, AE, Selvaraj, S, Semreen, MH, Senthilkumaran, S, Sepanlou, SG, Sethi, Y, Al-Worafi, YM, Seyedi, SA, Seylani, A, Shafie, M, Shafiee, A, Shahbandi, A, Shahid, S, Shahsavari, HR, Shahwan, MJ, Shaikh, A, Shaikh, MA, Aly, H, Shalash, AS, Shamim, MA, Shamsi, A, Shamsutdinova, A, Shanawaz, M, Shankar, A, Shannawaz, M, Sharath, M, Sharifan, A, Sharma, M, Aly, S, Sharma, U, Sharma, V, Sheikh, A, Sheikhy, A, Shetty, M, Shetty, PH, Shetty, PK, Shiferaw, D, Shimels, T, Shiri, R, Alyahya, MSI, Shittu, A, Shiue, I, Shivarov, V, Shorofi, SA, Shrestha, S, Siddig, EE, Silva, JP, Singh, A, Singh, B, Singh, H, Alzoubi, KH, Singh, JA, Singh, P, Singh, S, Singh, V, Sitas, F, Smith, AE, Soboka, M, Solanki, R, Solmi, M, Al-Zyoud, WA, Soraneh, S, Soriano, JB, Soyiri, IN, Spartalis, M, Sreeramareddy, CT, Stachteas, P, Stein, DJ, Steiropoulos, P, Stevanović, A, Straif, K, Amani, R, Suleman, M, Sulo, G, Sun, Z, Suresh, V, Swain, CK, Szarpak, L, T Y, SS, Tabaee Damavandi, P, Tabatabaei Malazy, O, Tabatabaeizadeh, S-A, Amin, TT, Tabche, C, Tadakamadla, J, Tadakamadla, SK, Taiba, J, Talaat, IM, Talukder, A, Tampa, M, Tamuzi, JLJL, Tan, K-K, Tareke, M, Amiri, S, Tarigan, IU, Teimoori, M, Temsah, M-H, Temsah, RMH, Teramoto, M, Terefa, DR, Thangaraju, P, Thankappan, KR, Thapar, R, Thayakaran, R, Amu, H, Thomas, NK, Ticoalu, JHV, Tiwari, K, Topor-Madry, R, Tovani-Palone, MR, Trabelsi, K, Tran, AT, Tran, NH, Tran, TH, Tran Minh Duc, N, Amul, GGH, Trihandini, I, Tripathy, JP, Truyen, TTTT, Tsermpini, EE, Tualeka, AR, Udoakang, AJ, Udoh, A, Ullah, A, Ullah, S, Umair, M, Amusa, GA, Unim, B, Unnikrishnan, B, Usman, JS, Vahdati, S, Vaithinathan, AG, Van den Eynde, J, Vardavas, C, Vasankari, TJ, Vaziri, S, Vellingiri, B, Anand, T, Venketasubramanian, N, Verma, M, Villeneuve, PJ, Vinayak, M, Violante, FS, Vladimirov, SK, Volovat, SR, Wadood, A, Waheed, Y, Walde, MT, Anderlini, D, Wang, S, Wang, Y, Waqas, M, Wickramasinghe, ND, Willeit, P, Wojewodzic, MW, Wolde, AA, Wonde, TE, Xiao, H, Xu, S, Anderson, DB, Yadav, MK, Yamagishi, K, Yang, D, Yang, L, Yano, Y, Yarahmadi, A, Yesodharan, R, Yezli, S, Yi, X, Yiğit, A, Anderson, JA, Yin, D, Yon, DK, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S-J, Yu, C, Yuan, C-W, Zakham, F, Zeariya, MGM, Zhang, H, and Zhang, J
Published: 2024

5. Forecasting the effects of smoking prevalence scenarios on years of life lost and life expectancy from 2022 to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Author: Bryazka, D, Reitsma, MB, Abate, YH, Abd Al Magied, AHA, Abdelkader, A, Abdollahi, A, Abdoun, M, Abdulkader, RS, Abeldaño Zuñiga, RA, Abhilash, ES, Abiodun, OO, Abiodun, O, Aboagye, RG ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3498-2909, Abreu, LG, Abtahi, D, Abualruz, H, Abubakar, B, Abu-Rmeileh, NM, Aburuz, S, Abu-Zaid, A, Adane, MM, Adebiyi, AO, Adegboye, OA, Adekanmbi, V, Adewuyi, HO, Adnani, QES, Adzigbli, LA, Afaghi, S, Afolabi, AA, Afzal, MS, Afzal, S, Agodi, A, Agyemang-Duah, W, Ahinkorah, BO, Ahlstrom, AJ, Ahmad, A, Ahmad, D, Ahmad, MM, Ahmad, S, Ahmadi, A, Ahmed, A, Ahmed, H, Ahmed, MB, Ahmed, S, Ajami, M, Akkaif, MA, Akter, E, Al Awaidy, S, Al Hasan, SM, Al-Ajlouni, Y, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, Z, Aldhaleei, WA, Algammal, AM, Al-Gheethi, AAS, Alhabib, KF, Alhalaiqa, FN, Al-Hanawi, MK, Ali, A, Ali, MU, Ali, R, Ali, SS, Ali, W, Alif, SM, Aljunid, SM, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Almahmeed, W, Al-Marwani, S, Al-Maweri, S, Alomari, MA, Alqahtani, JS, Alqutaibi, AY, Al-Raddadi, RMM, Alrousan, SM, Alsakarneh, S, Alshahrani, NZ, Altaany, Z, Altaf, A, Alvis-Guzman, N, Al-Wardat, M, Al-Worafi, YM, Aly, H, Aly, S, Alyahya, MSI, Alzoubi, KH, Al-Zyoud, WA, Amani, R, Amin, TT, Amiri, S, Amu, H, Amul, GGH, Amusa, GA, Anand, T, Anderlini, D, Anderson, DB, Anderson, JA, Sitas, Freddy ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9679-1481, Feng, Xiaoqi ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3421-220X, Peprah, Prince ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3816-2713, Okeke, Sylvester ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9211-1813, Lin, Jialing ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0643-9191, Bryazka, D, Reitsma, MB, Abate, YH, Abd Al Magied, AHA, Abdelkader, A, Abdollahi, A, Abdoun, M, Abdulkader, RS, Abeldaño Zuñiga, RA, Abhilash, ES, Abiodun, OO, Abiodun, O, Aboagye, RG ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3498-2909, Abreu, LG, Abtahi, D, Abualruz, H, Abubakar, B, Abu-Rmeileh, NM, Aburuz, S, Abu-Zaid, A, Adane, MM, Adebiyi, AO, Adegboye, OA, Adekanmbi, V, Adewuyi, HO, Adnani, QES, Adzigbli, LA, Afaghi, S, Afolabi, AA, Afzal, MS, Afzal, S, Agodi, A, Agyemang-Duah, W, Ahinkorah, BO, Ahlstrom, AJ, Ahmad, A, Ahmad, D, Ahmad, MM, Ahmad, S, Ahmadi, A, Ahmed, A, Ahmed, H, Ahmed, MB, Ahmed, S, Ajami, M, Akkaif, MA, Akter, E, Al Awaidy, S, Al Hasan, SM, Al-Ajlouni, Y, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, Z, Aldhaleei, WA, Algammal, AM, Al-Gheethi, AAS, Alhabib, KF, Alhalaiqa, FN, Al-Hanawi, MK, Ali, A, Ali, MU, Ali, R, Ali, SS, Ali, W, Alif, SM, Aljunid, SM, Alla, F, Allebeck, P, Almahmeed, W, Al-Marwani, S, Al-Maweri, S, Alomari, MA, Alqahtani, JS, Alqutaibi, AY, Al-Raddadi, RMM, Alrousan, SM, Alsakarneh, S, Alshahrani, NZ, Altaany, Z, Altaf, A, Alvis-Guzman, N, Al-Wardat, M, Al-Worafi, YM, Aly, H, Aly, S, Alyahya, MSI, Alzoubi, KH, Al-Zyoud, WA, Amani, R, Amin, TT, Amiri, S, Amu, H, Amul, GGH, Amusa, GA, Anand, T, Anderlini, D, Anderson, DB, Anderson, JA, Sitas, Freddy ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9679-1481, Feng, Xiaoqi ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3421-220X, Peprah, Prince ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3816-2713, Okeke, Sylvester ; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9211-1813, and Lin, Jialing ; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0643-9191
Abstract: Background: Smoking is the leading behavioural risk factor for mortality globally, accounting for more than 175 million deaths and nearly 4·30 billion years of life lost (YLLs) from 1990 to 2021. The pace of decline in smoking prevalence has slowed in recent years for many countries, and although strategies have recently been proposed to achieve tobacco-free generations, none have been implemented to date. Assessing what could happen if current trends in smoking prevalence persist, and what could happen if additional smoking prevalence reductions occur, is important for communicating the effect of potential smoking policies. Methods: In this analysis, we use the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation's Future Health Scenarios platform to forecast the effects of three smoking prevalence scenarios on all-cause and cause-specific YLLs and life expectancy at birth until 2050. YLLs were computed for each scenario using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 reference life table and forecasts of cause-specific mortality under each scenario. The reference scenario forecasts what could occur if past smoking prevalence and other risk factor trends continue, the Tobacco Smoking Elimination as of 2023 (Elimination-2023) scenario quantifies the maximum potential future health benefits from assuming zero percent smoking prevalence from 2023 onwards, whereas the Tobacco Smoking Elimination by 2050 (Elimination-2050) scenario provides estimates for countries considering policies to steadily reduce smoking prevalence to 5%. Together, these scenarios underscore the magnitude of health benefits that could be reached by 2050 if countries take decisive action to eliminate smoking. The 95% uncertainty interval (UI) of estimates is based on the 2·5th and 97·5th percentile of draws that were carried through the multistage computational framework. Findings: Global age-standardised smoking prevalence was estimated to be 28·5% (95% UI 27·9–29·1) among males and 5·96% (5·76–6·21) among
Published: 2024

6. Forecasting the effects of smoking prevalence scenarios on years of life lost and life expectancy from 2022 to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Author: Bryazka, D, Reitsma, MB, Abate, YH, Abd Al Magied, AHA, Abdelkader, A, Abdollahi, A, Abdoun, M, Abdulkader, RS, Abeldaño Zuñiga, RA, Abhilash, ES, Abiodun, OO, Andrei, CL, Zhang, L, Zhong, CC, Zhou, SC, Zhu, B, Zielińska, M, Zoghi, G, Zyoud, SH, Vollset, SE, Gakidou, E, Andrei, T, Ansari, MT, Anuoluwa, IA, Anvari, S, Anwar, SL, Anyasodor, AE, Arabloo, J, Arafa, EA, Aravkin, AY, Abiodun, O, Areda, D, Aregawi, BB, Aremu, O, Artamonov, AA, Asgedom, AA, Asghari-Jafarabadi, M, Ashemo, MY, Ashraf, T, Astell-Burt, T, Athari, SS, Aboagye, RG, Atorkey, P, Atreya, A, Aujayeb, A, Awotidebe, AW, Ayano, G, Aychiluhm, SB, Azadnajafabad, S, Azzam, AY, Babu, GR, Bahrami Taghanaki, P, Abreu, LG, Bahramian, S, Bai, R, Bakkannavar, SM, Balakrishnan, S, Bam, K, Banach, M, Bandyopadhyay, S, Baran, MF, Barchitta, M, Bardhan, M, Abtahi, D, Barker-Collo, SL, Barrow, A, Bashiru, HA, Basiru, A, Bastan, M-M, Basu, S, Batra, K, Bayati, M, Behnoush, AH, Abualruz, H, Bell, SL, Belo, L, Beneke, AA, Bennett, DA, Bensenor, IM, Beran, A, Bermudez, ANC, Beyene, HB, Bhagat, DS, Bhagavathula, AS, Abubakar, B, Bhala, N, Bhardwaj, N, Bhardwaj, P, Bhaskar, S, Bhat, AN, Bhattacharjee, NV, Bhattacharjee, P, Bhatti, JS, Bilgin, C, Biswas, A, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Biswas, B, Boachie, MK, Bogale, EK, Bora Basara, B, Borhany, H, Bosoka, SA, Bouaoud, S, Boyko, EJ, Brenner, H, Brunoni, AR, Aburuz, S, Bugiardini, R, Bulamu, NB, Bustanji, Y, Butt, ZA, Caetano dos Santos, FL, Calina, D, Cao, C, Cao, F, Capodici, A, Cárdenas, R, Abu-Zaid, A, Carreras, G, Castaldelli-Maia, JM, Cattaruzza, MS, Caye, A, Cegolon, L, Cenko, E, Cerrai, S, Chakraborty, S, Chandika, RM, Chandrasekar, EK, Adane, MM, Chattu, VK, Chaudhary, AA, Chaurasia, A, Chen, A-T, Chen, G, Chen, H, Chen, MX, Chen, S, Cheng, KJG, Chi, G, Adebiyi, AO, Chichagi, F, Chimoriya, R, Chirinos-Caceres, JL, Chitheer, A, Chong, B, Chong, CL, Chong, YY, Chopra, H, Choudhari, SG, Chu, D-T, Adegboye, OA, Chukwu, IS, Chung, S-C, Chutiyami, M, Conde, J, Corlateanu, A, Criqui, MH, Cruz-Martins, N, da Silva, AG, Dadras, O, Dai, S, Adekanmbi, V, Dai, X, Damiani, G, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Darcho, SD, Darvishi Cheshmeh Soltani, R, Das, S, Dash, NR, Davletov, K, Debele, AT, Adewuyi, HO, Debopadhaya, S, Demant, D, Desai, HD, Devegowda, D, Dewan, SMR, Dhali, A, Dhane, AS, Dhulipala, VR, Do, TC, Dodangeh, M, Adnani, QES, Doegah, PT, Dohare, S, Dongarwar, D, D'Oria, M, Doshi, OP, Doshi, RP, Dowou, RK, Dsouza, AC, Dsouza, HL, Dsouza, VS, Adzigbli, LA, Duncan, BB, Duraes, AR, Dziedzic, AM, E'mar, AR, Ebrahimi, A, Ebrahimi, N, Ebrahimi Kalan, M, Edvardsson, D, Edvardsson, K, Efendi, F, Afaghi, S, Effendi, DE, Eghbali, F, Ekholuenetale, M, El Arab, RA, El Bayoumy, IF, El Sayed, I, Elbarazi, I, Elhadi, M, El-Huneidi, W, Elmonem, MA, Afolabi, AA, ELNahas, G, Elsohaby, I, Eltaha, C, Eltahir, ME, Emamverdi, M, Emeto, TI, Erku, DA, Etaee, F, Ezenwankwo, EF, Fabin, N, Afzal, MS, Fagbamigbe, AF, Fagbule, OF, Faghani, S, Fahim, A, Fakhradiyev, IR, Falzone, L, Farooque, U, Fatehizadeh, A, Fatima, Z, Fauk, NK, Afzal, S, Fazylov, T, Feizkhah, A, Fekadu, G, Feng, X, Ferrara, P, Ferreira, N, Feyisa, BR, Filippidis, FT, Fischer, F, Flor, LS, Agodi, A, Foigt, NA, Fortuna Rodrigues, C, Foschi, M, G, S, Gaal, PA, Gadanya, MA, Gaidhane, AM, Gajdács, M, Gallus, S, Gandhi, AP, Agyemang-Duah, W, Ganesan, B, Gautam, P, Gautam, RK, Gebregergis, MW, Gebrehiwot, M, Gebremeskel, TG, Getacher, L, Ghadirian, F, Ghazy, RM, Gholamrezanezhad, A, Ahinkorah, BO, Ghorbani, M, Ghozy, S, Gil, AU, Gil, GF, Gnedovskaya, EV, Goel, S, Goharinezhad, S, Goldust, M, Golechha, M, Goleij, P, Ahlstrom, AJ, Golinelli, D, Gorini, G, Gouravani, M, Grada, A, Grivna, M, Grover, S, Guan, S-Y, Gubari, MIM, Guha, A, Guicciardi, S, Ahmad, A, Gulati, S, Gunawardane, DA, Gunturu, S, Guo, Z, Gupta, AK, Gupta, B, Gupta, I, Gupta, M, Gupta, R, Gupta, S, Ahmad, D, Gupta, VB, Gupta, V, Gupta, VK, Hadei, M, Hadi, NR, Hajj Ali, A, Halboub, ES, Hamdy, NM, Hamidi, S, Hammoud, A, Ahmad, MM, Hankey, GJ, Hargono, A, Haro, JM, Hasaballah, AI, Hasan, F, Hasan, MK, Hasnain, MS, Hassan, A, Hassan, II, Hassan, S, Ahmad, S, Hay, SI, Heibati, B, Heidari, M, Hemmati, M, Hendrie, D, Herteliu, C, Heyi, DZ, Hezam, K, Hiraike, Y, Hoan, NQ, Holla, R, Horita, N, Hossain, MM, Hossain, S, Hosseinzadeh, H, Hostiuc, M, Hostiuc, S, Huang, J, Humayun, A, Hussain, J, Ahmadi, A, Hwang, B-F, Ibitoye, SE, Ikeda, N, Ikiroma, A, Ilesanmi, OS, Ilic, IM, Ilic, MD, Immurana, M, Inbaraj, LR, Iqhrammullah, M, Ahmed, A, Irham, LM, Islam, MR, Islam, SMS, Islami, F, Isola, G, Itumalla, R, Iwagami, M, Iyer, M, J, V, Jaafari, J, Jacob, L, Jafarzadeh, A, Jaggi, K, Jahanmehr, N, Jain, A, Jain, N, Jairoun, AA, Jaka, S, Jakovljevic, M, Jalilzadeh Yengejeh, R, Ahmed, H, Jamshidi, E, Janodia, MD, Jawaid, T, Jayapal, SK, Jayaram, S, Jayasinghe, RD, Jebai, R, Jee, SH, Jeswani, BM, Jiang, H, Ahmed, MB, Jokar, M, Jonas, JB, Joo, T, Joseph, N, Joshua, CE, Jozwiak, JJ, Jürisson, M, K, V, Kabir, A, Kabir, Z, Ahmed, S, Kadashetti, V, Kamarajah, SK, Kanaan, M, Kanmodi, KK, Kant, S, Kantar, RS, Karakasis, P, Karaye, IM, Karimi, SE, Karimi, Y, Ajami, M, Karimi Behnagh, A, Karkhah, S, Karki, P, Kashoo, FZ, Katikireddi, SV, Kaur, H, Kaur, N, Kazemian, S, Kazmi, TH, Keiyoro, PN, Akkaif, MA, Kesse-Guyot, E, Khader, YS, Khajuria, H, Khalaji, A, Khalilian, A, Khan, A, Khan, M, Khan, MJ, Khan, MAB, Khanmohammadi, S, Akter, E, Khatab, K, Khatatbeh, H, Khatatbeh, MM, Khater, AM, Kheirallah, KA, Khokhar, M, Khormali, M, Khosla, AA, Khosravi, S, Kim, K, Al Awaidy, S, Kim, MS, Kim, YJ, Kisa, A, Kolahi, A-A, Komaki, S, Kondlahalli, SKMM, Korja, M, Korzh, O, Kosen, S, Kostev, K, Al Hasan, SM, Krishan, K, Kuate Defo, B, Kuddus, M, Kujan, O, Kulimbet, M, Kumar, A, Kumar, GA, Kumar, N, Kumar, R, Kumar, V, Al-Ajlouni, Y, Kundu, A, Kundu, S, Kunutsor, SK, Kurmi, OP, Kusuma, D, Kyei-Arthur, F, Kytö, V, La Vecchia, C, Lahariya, C, Lai, DTC, Al-Aly, Z, Lai, H, Lalloo, R, Lallukka, T, Larijani, B, Lasrado, S, Lau, J, Lauriola, P, Le, TTT, Leasher, JL, Lee, M, Alam, K, Lee, SW, Lee, W-C, Lee, YH, Leong, E, Lerango, TL, Li, A, Li, W, Ligade, VS, Lim, SS, Lin, J, Alam, Z, Lindstedt, PA, Liu, G, Llanaj, E, López-Gil, JF, Lotufo, PA, Lucchetti, G, Lugo, A, Lusk, JB, M Amin, HI, Ma, ZF, Aldhaleei, WA, Machoy, M, Madadizadeh, F, Mahmoudi, E, Makram, AM, Makram, OM, Malhotra, K, Malik, AA, Malta, DC, Mamun, AA, Mansouri, P, Algammal, AM, Mansournia, MA, Manu, E, Marateb, HR, Martinez-Raga, J, Martorell, M, Marzo, RR, Mathangasinghe, Y, Mathews, E, Mathur, M, Mathur, N, Al-Gheethi, AAS, Mattiello, R, Maugeri, A, McKee, M, Mechili, EA, Mehrotra, R, Mekene Meto, T, Mekonnen, BD, Meles, HN, Mendoza, W, Menezes, RG, Alhabib, KF, Meo, SA, Meretoja, A, Meretoja, TJ, Mestrovic, T, Meyers, CCA, Michalek, IM, Miller, TR, Minervini, G, Mirghafourvand, M, Mirrakhimov, EM, Alhalaiqa, FN, Mishra, V, Misra, S, Mithra, P, Mohamed, AI, Mohamed, J, Mohamed, MFH, Mohamed, NS, Mohammad, AM, Mohammad-Alizadeh-Charandabi, 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Rawaf, S, Reddy, MMRK, Redwan, EMM, Rezaei, N, Rezaeian, M, Riad, A, Rodrigues, M, Rodrigues da Silva, TPR, Alsakarneh, S, Rodriguez, JAB, Roever, L, Root, KT, Roshandel, G, Ross, AG, Rout, HS, Roy, B, Roy, N, Roy, S, Ruela, GDA, Alshahrani, NZ, S N, C, Sabet, CJ, Sabour, S, Sadarangani, KP, Saddik, BA, Sadeghi, M, Saeb, MR, Saeed, U, Saeedi, P, Safi, SZ, Altaany, Z, Sagoe, D, Saheb Sharif-Askari, F, Sahebkar, A, Sahoo, SS, Sajib, MRUZ, Sajid, MR, Salaroli, LB, Saleh, MA, Salem, MZY, Salihu, D, Altaf, A, Samodra, YL, Samy, AM, Sanabria, J, Santric-Milicevic, MM, Sao Jose, BP, Saqib, MAN, Sarasmita, MA, Saravanan, A, Saravi, B, Sarikhani, Y, Alvis-Guzman, N, Sarkar, T, Sarode, GS, Sarode, SC, Sartorius, B, Sathian, B, Sathyanarayan, A, Satpathy, M, Sawhney, M, Saylan, M, Schaarschmidt, BM, Al-Wardat, M, Schaub, MP, Schlaich, MP, Schmidt, MI, Schuermans, A, Schumacher, AE, Selvaraj, S, Semreen, MH, Senthilkumaran, S, Sepanlou, SG, Sethi, Y, Al-Worafi, YM, Seyedi, SA, Seylani, A, Shafie, M, Shafiee, A, Shahbandi, A, Shahid, S, Shahsavari, HR, Shahwan, MJ, Shaikh, A, Shaikh, MA, Aly, H, Shalash, AS, Shamim, MA, Shamsi, A, Shamsutdinova, A, Shanawaz, M, Shankar, A, Shannawaz, M, Sharath, M, Sharifan, A, Sharma, M, Aly, S, Sharma, U, Sharma, V, Sheikh, A, Sheikhy, A, Shetty, M, Shetty, PH, Shetty, PK, Shiferaw, D, Shimels, T, Shiri, R, Alyahya, MSI, Shittu, A, Shiue, I, Shivarov, V, Shorofi, SA, Shrestha, S, Siddig, EE, Silva, JP, Singh, A, Singh, B, Singh, H, Alzoubi, KH, Singh, JA, Singh, P, Singh, S, Singh, V, Sitas, F, Smith, AE, Soboka, M, Solanki, R, Solmi, M, Al-Zyoud, WA, Soraneh, S, Soriano, JB, Soyiri, IN, Spartalis, M, Sreeramareddy, CT, Stachteas, P, Stein, DJ, Steiropoulos, P, Stevanović, A, Straif, K, Amani, R, Suleman, M, Sulo, G, Sun, Z, Suresh, V, Swain, CK, Szarpak, L, T Y, SS, Tabaee Damavandi, P, Tabatabaei Malazy, O, Tabatabaeizadeh, S-A, Amin, TT, Tabche, C, Tadakamadla, J, Tadakamadla, SK, Taiba, J, Talaat, IM, Talukder, A, Tampa, M, Tamuzi, JLJL, Tan, K-K, Tareke, M, Amiri, S, Tarigan, IU, Teimoori, M, Temsah, M-H, Temsah, RMH, Teramoto, M, Terefa, DR, Thangaraju, P, Thankappan, KR, Thapar, R, Thayakaran, R, Amu, H, Thomas, NK, Ticoalu, JHV, Tiwari, K, Topor-Madry, R, Tovani-Palone, MR, Trabelsi, K, Tran, AT, Tran, NH, Tran, TH, Tran Minh Duc, N, Amul, GGH, Trihandini, I, Tripathy, JP, Truyen, TTTT, Tsermpini, EE, Tualeka, AR, Udoakang, AJ, Udoh, A, Ullah, A, Ullah, S, Umair, M, Amusa, GA, Unim, B, Unnikrishnan, B, Usman, JS, Vahdati, S, Vaithinathan, AG, Van den Eynde, J, Vardavas, C, Vasankari, TJ, Vaziri, S, Vellingiri, B, Anand, T, Venketasubramanian, N, Verma, M, Villeneuve, PJ, Vinayak, M, Violante, FS, Vladimirov, SK, Volovat, SR, Wadood, A, Waheed, Y, Walde, MT, Anderlini, D, Wang, S, Wang, Y, Waqas, M, Wickramasinghe, ND, Willeit, P, Wojewodzic, MW, Wolde, AA, Wonde, TE, Xiao, H, Xu, S, Anderson, DB, Yadav, MK, Yamagishi, K, Yang, D, Yang, L, Yano, Y, Yarahmadi, A, Yesodharan, R, Yezli, S, Yi, X, Yiğit, A, Anderson, JA, Yin, D, Yon, DK, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S-J, Yu, C, Yuan, C-W, Zakham, F, Zeariya, MGM, Zhang, H, and Zhang, J
Published: 2024

7. Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance 1990–2021: a systematic analysis with forecasts to 2050

Author: Naghavi, M, Vollset, SE, Ikuta, KS, Swetschinski, LR, Gray, AP, Wool, EE, Robles Aguilar, G, Mestrovic, T, Smith, G, Han, C, Hsu, RL, Azzam, AY, Babaei, M, Babin, F-X, Badar, M, Baig, AA, Bajcetic, M, Baker, S, Bardhan, M, Barqawi, HJ, Basharat, Z, Chalek, J, Basiru, A, Bastard, M, Basu, S, Bayleyegn, NS, Belete, MA, Bello, OO, Beloukas, A, Berkley, JA, Bhagavathula, AS, Bhaskar, S, Araki, DT, Bhuyan, SS, Bielicki, JA, Briko, NI, Brown, CS, Browne, AJ, Buonsenso, D, Bustanji, Y, Carvalheiro, CG, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Cenderadewi, M, Chung, E, Chadwick, J, Chakraborty, S, Chandika, RM, Chandy, S, Chansamouth, V, Chattu, VK, Chaudhary, AA, Ching, PR, Chopra, H, Chowdhury, FR, Raggi, C, Chu, D-T, Chutiyami, M, Cruz-Martins, N, da Silva, AG, Dadras, O, Dai, X, Darcho, SD, Das, S, De la Hoz, FP, Dekker, DM, Gershberg Hayoon, A, Dhama, K, Diaz, D, Dickson, BFR, Djorie, SG, Dodangeh, M, Dohare, S, Dokova, KG, Doshi, OP, Dowou, RK, Dsouza, HL, Davis Weaver, N, Dunachie, SJ, Dziedzic, AM, Eckmanns, T, Ed-Dra, A, Eftekharimehrabad, A, Ekundayo, TC, El Sayed, I, Elhadi, M, El-Huneidi, W, Elias, C, Lindstedt, PA, Ellis, SJ, Elsheikh, R, Elsohaby, I, Eltaha, C, Eshrati, B, Eslami, M, Eyre, DW, Fadaka, AO, Fagbamigbe, AF, Fahim, A, Smith, AE, Fakhri-Demeshghieh, A, Fasina, FO, Fasina, MM, Fatehizadeh, A, Feasey, NA, Feizkhah, A, Fekadu, G, Fischer, F, Fitriana, I, Forrest, KM, Altay, U, Fortuna Rodrigues, C, Fuller, JE, Gadanya, MA, Gajdács, M, Gandhi, AP, Garcia-Gallo, EE, Garrett, DO, Gautam, RK, Gebregergis, MW, Gebrehiwot, M, Bhattacharjee, NV, Gebremeskel, TG, Geffers, C, Georgalis, L, Ghazy, RM, Golechha, M, Golinelli, D, Gordon, M, Gulati, S, Gupta, RD, Gupta, S, Giannakis, K, Gupta, VK, Habteyohannes, AD, Haller, S, Harapan, H, Harrison, ML, Hasaballah, AI, Hasan, I, Hasan, RS, Hasani, H, Haselbeck, AH, Fell, F, Hasnain, MS, Hassan, II, Hassan, S, Hassan Zadeh Tabatabaei, MS, Hayat, K, He, J, Hegazi, OE, Heidari, M, Hezam, K, Holla, R, McManigal, B, Holm, M, Hopkins, H, Hossain, MM, Hosseinzadeh, M, Hostiuc, S, Hussein, NR, Huy, LD, Ibáñez-Prada, ED, Ikiroma, A, Ilic, IM, Ekapirat, N, Islam, SMS, Ismail, F, Ismail, NE, Iwu, CD, Iwu-Jaja, CJ, Jafarzadeh, A, Jaiteh, F, Jalilzadeh Yengejeh, R, Jamora, RDG, Javidnia, J, Mendes, JA, Jawaid, T, Jenney, AWJ, Jeon, HJ, Jokar, M, Jomehzadeh, N, Joo, T, Joseph, N, Kamal, Z, Kanmodi, KK, Kantar, RS, Runghien, T, Kapisi, JA, Karaye, IM, Khader, YS, Khajuria, H, Khalid, N, Khamesipour, F, Khan, A, Khan, MJ, Khan, MT, Khanal, V, Srimokla, O, Khidri, FF, Khubchandani, J, Khusuwan, S, Kim, MS, Kisa, A, Korshunov, VA, Krapp, F, Krumkamp, R, Kuddus, M, Kulimbet, M, Abdelkader, A, Kumar, D, Kumaran, EAP, Kuttikkattu, A, Kyu, HH, Landires, I, Lawal, BK, Le, TTT, Lederer, IM, Lee, M, Lee, SW, Abd-Elsalam, S, Lepape, A, Lerango, TL, Ligade, VS, Lim, C, Lim, SS, Limenh, LW, Liu, C, Liu, X, Loftus, MJ, Aboagye, RG, M Amin, HI, Maass, KL, Maharaj, SB, Mahmoud, MA, Maikanti-Charalampous, P, Makram, OM, Malhotra, K, Malik, AA, Mandilara, GD, Marks, F, Abolhassani, H, Martinez-Guerra, BA, Martorell, M, Masoumi-Asl, H, Mathioudakis, AG, May, J, McHugh, TA, Meiring, J, Meles, HN, Melese, A, Melese, EB, Abualruz, H, Minervini, G, Mohamed, NS, Mohammed, S, Mohan, S, Mokdad, AH, Monasta, L, Moodi Ghalibaf, A, Moore, CE, Moradi, Y, Mossialos, E, Abubakar, U, Mougin, V, Mukoro, GD, Mulita, F, Muller-Pebody, B, Murillo-Zamora, E, Musa, S, Musicha, P, Musila, LA, Muthupandian, S, Nagarajan, AJ, Abukhadijah, HJ, Naghavi, P, Nainu, F, Nair, TS, Najmuldeen, HHR, Natto, ZS, Nauman, J, Nayak, BP, Nchanji, GT, Ndishimye, P, Negoi, I, Aburuz, S, Negoi, RI, Nejadghaderi, SA, Nguyen, QP, Noman, EA, Nwakanma, DC, O'Brien, S, Ochoa, TJ, Odetokun, IA, Ogundijo, OA, Ojo-Akosile, TR, Abu-Zaid, A, Okeke, SR, Okonji, OC, Olagunju, AT, Olivas-Martinez, A, Olorukooba, AA, Olwoch, P, Onyedibe, KI, Ortiz-Brizuela, E, Osuolale, O, Ounchanum, P, Achalapong, S, Oyeyemi, OT, P A, MP, Paredes, JL, Parikh, RR, Patel, J, Patil, S, Pawar, S, Peleg, AY, Peprah, P, Perdigão, J, Addo, IY, Perrone, C, Petcu, I-R, Phommasone, K, Piracha, ZZ, Poddighe, D, Pollard, AJ, Poluru, R, Ponce-De-Leon, A, Puvvula, J, Qamar, FN, Adekanmbi, V, Qasim, NH, Rafai, CD, Raghav, P, Rahbarnia, L, Rahim, F, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Rahman, MA, Ramadan, H, Ramasamy, SK, Adeyeoluwa, TE, Ramesh, PS, Ramteke, PW, Rana, RK, Rani, U, Rashidi, M-M, Rathish, D, Rattanavong, S, Rawaf, S, Redwan, EMM, Reyes, LF, Adnani, QES, Roberts, T, Robotham, JV, Rosenthal, VD, Ross, AG, Roy, N, Rudd, KE, Sabet, CJ, Saddik, BA, Saeb, MR, Saeed, U, Adzigbli, LA, Saeedi Moghaddam, S, Saengchan, W, Safaei, M, Saghazadeh, A, Saheb Sharif-Askari, N, Sahebkar, A, Sahoo, SS, Sahu, M, Saki, M, Salam, N, Afzal, MS, Saleem, Z, Saleh, MA, Samodra, YL, Samy, AM, Saravanan, A, Satpathy, M, Schumacher, AE, Sedighi, M, Seekaew, S, Shafie, M, Afzal, S, Shah, PA, Shahid, S, Shahwan, MJ, Shakoor, S, Shalev, N, Shamim, MA, Shamshirgaran, MA, Shamsi, A, Sharifan, A, Shastry, RP, Agodi, A, Shetty, M, Shittu, A, Shrestha, S, Siddig, EE, Sideroglou, T, Sifuentes-Osornio, J, Silva, LMLR, Simões, EAF, Simpson, AJH, Singh, A, Ahlstrom, AJ, Singh, S, Sinto, R, Soliman, SSM, Soraneh, S, Stoesser, N, Stoeva, TZ, Swain, CK, Szarpak, L, T Y, SS, Tabatabai, S, Ahmad, A, Tabche, C, Taha, ZM-A, Tan, K-K, Tasak, N, Tat, NY, Thaiprakong, A, Thangaraju, P, Tigoi, CC, Tiwari, K, Tovani-Palone, MR, Ahmad, S, Tran, TH, Tumurkhuu, M, Turner, P, Udoakang, AJ, Udoh, A, Ullah, N, Ullah, S, Vaithinathan, AG, Valenti, M, Vos, T, Ahmad, T, Vu, HTL, Waheed, Y, Walker, AS, Walson, JL, Wangrangsimakul, T, Weerakoon, KG, Wertheim, HFL, Williams, PCM, Wolde, AA, Wozniak, TM, Ahmadi, A, Wu, F, Wu, Z, Yadav, MKK, Yaghoubi, S, Yahaya, ZS, Yarahmadi, A, Yezli, S, Yismaw, YE, Yon, DK, Yuan, C-W, Ahmed, A, Yusuf, H, Zakham, F, Zamagni, G, Zhang, H, Zhang, Z-J, Zielińska, M, Zumla, A, Zyoud, SHH, Zyoud, SH, Hay, SI, Ahmed, H, Stergachis, A, Sartorius, B, Cooper, BS, Dolecek, C, Murray, CJL, Ahmed, I, Ahmed, M, Ahmed, S, Ahmed, SA, Akkaif, MA, Al Awaidy, S, Al Thaher, Y, Alalalmeh, SO, AlBataineh, MT, Aldhaleei, WA, Al-Gheethi, AAS, Alhaji, NB, Ali, A, Ali, L, Ali, SS, Ali, W, Allel, K, Al-Marwani, S, Alrawashdeh, A, Altaf, A, Al-Tammemi, AB, Al-Tawfiq, JA, Alzoubi, KH, Al-Zyoud, WA, Amos, B, Amuasi, JH, Ancuceanu, R, Andrews, JR, Anil, A, Anuoluwa, IA, Anvari, S, Anyasodor, AE, Apostol, GLC, Arabloo, J, Arafat, M, Aravkin, AY, Areda, D, Aremu, A, Artamonov, AA, Ashley, EA, Asika, MO, Athari, SS, Atout, MMW, Awoke, T, Azadnajafabad, S, Azam, JM, Aziz, S, Naghavi, M, Vollset, SE, Ikuta, KS, Swetschinski, LR, Gray, AP, Wool, EE, Robles Aguilar, G, Mestrovic, T, Smith, G, Han, C, Hsu, RL, Azzam, AY, Babaei, M, Babin, F-X, Badar, M, Baig, AA, Bajcetic, M, Baker, S, Bardhan, M, Barqawi, HJ, Basharat, Z, Chalek, J, Basiru, A, Bastard, M, Basu, S, Bayleyegn, NS, Belete, MA, Bello, OO, Beloukas, A, Berkley, JA, Bhagavathula, AS, Bhaskar, S, Araki, DT, Bhuyan, SS, Bielicki, JA, Briko, NI, Brown, CS, Browne, AJ, Buonsenso, D, Bustanji, Y, Carvalheiro, CG, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Cenderadewi, M, Chung, E, Chadwick, J, Chakraborty, S, Chandika, RM, Chandy, S, Chansamouth, V, Chattu, VK, Chaudhary, AA, Ching, PR, Chopra, H, Chowdhury, FR, Raggi, C, Chu, D-T, Chutiyami, M, Cruz-Martins, N, da Silva, AG, Dadras, O, Dai, X, Darcho, SD, Das, S, De la Hoz, FP, Dekker, DM, Gershberg Hayoon, A, Dhama, K, Diaz, D, Dickson, BFR, Djorie, SG, Dodangeh, M, Dohare, S, Dokova, KG, Doshi, OP, Dowou, RK, Dsouza, HL, Davis Weaver, N, Dunachie, SJ, Dziedzic, AM, Eckmanns, T, Ed-Dra, A, Eftekharimehrabad, A, Ekundayo, TC, El Sayed, I, Elhadi, M, El-Huneidi, W, Elias, C, Lindstedt, PA, Ellis, SJ, Elsheikh, R, Elsohaby, I, Eltaha, C, Eshrati, B, Eslami, M, Eyre, DW, Fadaka, AO, Fagbamigbe, AF, Fahim, A, Smith, AE, Fakhri-Demeshghieh, A, Fasina, FO, Fasina, MM, Fatehizadeh, A, Feasey, NA, Feizkhah, A, Fekadu, G, Fischer, F, Fitriana, I, Forrest, KM, Altay, U, Fortuna Rodrigues, C, Fuller, JE, Gadanya, MA, Gajdács, M, Gandhi, AP, Garcia-Gallo, EE, Garrett, DO, Gautam, RK, Gebregergis, MW, Gebrehiwot, M, Bhattacharjee, NV, Gebremeskel, TG, Geffers, C, Georgalis, L, Ghazy, RM, Golechha, M, Golinelli, D, Gordon, M, Gulati, S, Gupta, RD, Gupta, S, Giannakis, K, Gupta, VK, Habteyohannes, AD, Haller, S, Harapan, H, Harrison, ML, Hasaballah, AI, Hasan, I, Hasan, RS, Hasani, H, Haselbeck, AH, Fell, F, Hasnain, MS, Hassan, II, Hassan, S, Hassan Zadeh Tabatabaei, MS, Hayat, K, He, J, Hegazi, OE, Heidari, M, Hezam, K, Holla, R, McManigal, B, Holm, M, Hopkins, H, Hossain, MM, Hosseinzadeh, M, Hostiuc, S, Hussein, NR, Huy, LD, Ibáñez-Prada, ED, Ikiroma, A, Ilic, IM, Ekapirat, N, Islam, SMS, Ismail, F, Ismail, NE, Iwu, CD, Iwu-Jaja, CJ, Jafarzadeh, A, Jaiteh, F, Jalilzadeh Yengejeh, R, Jamora, RDG, Javidnia, J, Mendes, JA, Jawaid, T, Jenney, AWJ, Jeon, HJ, Jokar, M, Jomehzadeh, N, Joo, T, Joseph, N, Kamal, Z, Kanmodi, KK, Kantar, RS, Runghien, T, Kapisi, JA, Karaye, IM, Khader, YS, Khajuria, H, Khalid, N, Khamesipour, F, Khan, A, Khan, MJ, Khan, MT, Khanal, V, Srimokla, O, Khidri, FF, Khubchandani, J, Khusuwan, S, Kim, MS, Kisa, A, Korshunov, VA, Krapp, F, Krumkamp, R, Kuddus, M, Kulimbet, M, Abdelkader, A, Kumar, D, Kumaran, EAP, Kuttikkattu, A, Kyu, HH, Landires, I, Lawal, BK, Le, TTT, Lederer, IM, Lee, M, Lee, SW, Abd-Elsalam, S, Lepape, A, Lerango, TL, Ligade, VS, Lim, C, Lim, SS, Limenh, LW, Liu, C, Liu, X, Loftus, MJ, Aboagye, RG, M Amin, HI, Maass, KL, Maharaj, SB, Mahmoud, MA, Maikanti-Charalampous, P, Makram, OM, Malhotra, K, Malik, AA, Mandilara, GD, Marks, F, Abolhassani, H, Martinez-Guerra, BA, Martorell, M, Masoumi-Asl, H, Mathioudakis, AG, May, J, McHugh, TA, Meiring, J, Meles, HN, Melese, A, Melese, EB, Abualruz, H, Minervini, G, Mohamed, NS, Mohammed, S, Mohan, S, Mokdad, AH, Monasta, L, Moodi Ghalibaf, A, Moore, CE, Moradi, Y, Mossialos, E, Abubakar, U, Mougin, V, Mukoro, GD, Mulita, F, Muller-Pebody, B, Murillo-Zamora, E, Musa, S, Musicha, P, Musila, LA, Muthupandian, S, Nagarajan, AJ, Abukhadijah, HJ, Naghavi, P, Nainu, F, Nair, TS, Najmuldeen, HHR, Natto, ZS, Nauman, J, Nayak, BP, Nchanji, GT, Ndishimye, P, Negoi, I, Aburuz, S, Negoi, RI, Nejadghaderi, SA, Nguyen, QP, Noman, EA, Nwakanma, DC, O'Brien, S, Ochoa, TJ, Odetokun, IA, Ogundijo, OA, Ojo-Akosile, TR, Abu-Zaid, A, Okeke, SR, Okonji, OC, Olagunju, AT, Olivas-Martinez, A, Olorukooba, AA, Olwoch, P, Onyedibe, KI, Ortiz-Brizuela, E, Osuolale, O, Ounchanum, P, Achalapong, S, Oyeyemi, OT, P A, MP, Paredes, JL, Parikh, RR, Patel, J, Patil, S, Pawar, S, Peleg, AY, Peprah, P, Perdigão, J, Addo, IY, Perrone, C, Petcu, I-R, Phommasone, K, Piracha, ZZ, Poddighe, D, Pollard, AJ, Poluru, R, Ponce-De-Leon, A, Puvvula, J, Qamar, FN, Adekanmbi, V, Qasim, NH, Rafai, CD, Raghav, P, Rahbarnia, L, Rahim, F, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Rahman, MA, Ramadan, H, Ramasamy, SK, Adeyeoluwa, TE, Ramesh, PS, Ramteke, PW, Rana, RK, Rani, U, Rashidi, M-M, Rathish, D, Rattanavong, S, Rawaf, S, Redwan, EMM, Reyes, LF, Adnani, QES, Roberts, T, Robotham, JV, Rosenthal, VD, Ross, AG, Roy, N, Rudd, KE, Sabet, CJ, Saddik, BA, Saeb, MR, Saeed, U, Adzigbli, LA, Saeedi Moghaddam, S, Saengchan, W, Safaei, M, Saghazadeh, A, Saheb Sharif-Askari, N, Sahebkar, A, Sahoo, SS, Sahu, M, Saki, M, Salam, N, Afzal, MS, Saleem, Z, Saleh, MA, Samodra, YL, Samy, AM, Saravanan, A, Satpathy, M, Schumacher, AE, Sedighi, M, Seekaew, S, Shafie, M, Afzal, S, Shah, PA, Shahid, S, Shahwan, MJ, Shakoor, S, Shalev, N, Shamim, MA, Shamshirgaran, MA, Shamsi, A, Sharifan, A, Shastry, RP, Agodi, A, Shetty, M, Shittu, A, Shrestha, S, Siddig, EE, Sideroglou, T, Sifuentes-Osornio, J, Silva, LMLR, Simões, EAF, Simpson, AJH, Singh, A, Ahlstrom, AJ, Singh, S, Sinto, R, Soliman, SSM, Soraneh, S, Stoesser, N, Stoeva, TZ, Swain, CK, Szarpak, L, T Y, SS, Tabatabai, S, Ahmad, A, Tabche, C, Taha, ZM-A, Tan, K-K, Tasak, N, Tat, NY, Thaiprakong, A, Thangaraju, P, Tigoi, CC, Tiwari, K, Tovani-Palone, MR, Ahmad, S, Tran, TH, Tumurkhuu, M, Turner, P, Udoakang, AJ, Udoh, A, Ullah, N, Ullah, S, Vaithinathan, AG, Valenti, M, Vos, T, Ahmad, T, Vu, HTL, Waheed, Y, Walker, AS, Walson, JL, Wangrangsimakul, T, Weerakoon, KG, Wertheim, HFL, Williams, PCM, Wolde, AA, Wozniak, TM, Ahmadi, A, Wu, F, Wu, Z, Yadav, MKK, Yaghoubi, S, Yahaya, ZS, Yarahmadi, A, Yezli, S, Yismaw, YE, Yon, DK, Yuan, C-W, Ahmed, A, Yusuf, H, Zakham, F, Zamagni, G, Zhang, H, Zhang, Z-J, Zielińska, M, Zumla, A, Zyoud, SHH, Zyoud, SH, Hay, SI, Ahmed, H, Stergachis, A, Sartorius, B, Cooper, BS, Dolecek, C, Murray, CJL, Ahmed, I, Ahmed, M, Ahmed, S, Ahmed, SA, Akkaif, MA, Al Awaidy, S, Al Thaher, Y, Alalalmeh, SO, AlBataineh, MT, Aldhaleei, WA, Al-Gheethi, AAS, Alhaji, NB, Ali, A, Ali, L, Ali, SS, Ali, W, Allel, K, Al-Marwani, S, Alrawashdeh, A, Altaf, A, Al-Tammemi, AB, Al-Tawfiq, JA, Alzoubi, KH, Al-Zyoud, WA, Amos, B, Amuasi, JH, Ancuceanu, R, Andrews, JR, Anil, A, Anuoluwa, IA, Anvari, S, Anyasodor, AE, Apostol, GLC, Arabloo, J, Arafat, M, Aravkin, AY, Areda, D, Aremu, A, Artamonov, AA, Ashley, EA, Asika, MO, Athari, SS, Atout, MMW, Awoke, T, Azadnajafabad, S, Azam, JM, and Aziz, S
Published: 2024

8. Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance 1990–2021: a systematic analysis with forecasts to 2050

Author: Naghavi, M, Vollset, SE, Ikuta, KS, Swetschinski, LR, Gray, AP, Wool, EE, Robles Aguilar, G, Mestrovic, T, Smith, G, Han, C, Hsu, RL, Azzam, AY, Babaei, M, Babin, F-X, Badar, M, Baig, AA, Bajcetic, M, Baker, S, Bardhan, M, Barqawi, HJ, Basharat, Z, Chalek, J, Basiru, A, Bastard, M, Basu, S, Bayleyegn, NS, Belete, MA, Bello, OO, Beloukas, A, Berkley, JA, Bhagavathula, AS, Bhaskar, S, Araki, DT, Bhuyan, SS, Bielicki, JA, Briko, NI, Brown, CS, Browne, AJ, Buonsenso, D, Bustanji, Y, Carvalheiro, CG, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Cenderadewi, M, Chung, E, Chadwick, J, Chakraborty, S, Chandika, RM, Chandy, S, Chansamouth, V, Chattu, VK, Chaudhary, AA, Ching, PR, Chopra, H, Chowdhury, FR, Raggi, C, Chu, D-T, Chutiyami, M, Cruz-Martins, N, da Silva, AG, Dadras, O, Dai, X, Darcho, SD, Das, S, De la Hoz, FP, Dekker, DM, Gershberg Hayoon, A, Dhama, K, Diaz, D, Dickson, BFR, Djorie, SG, Dodangeh, M, Dohare, S, Dokova, KG, Doshi, OP, Dowou, RK, Dsouza, HL, Davis Weaver, N, Dunachie, SJ, Dziedzic, AM, Eckmanns, T, Ed-Dra, A, Eftekharimehrabad, A, Ekundayo, TC, El Sayed, I, Elhadi, M, El-Huneidi, W, Elias, C, Lindstedt, PA, Ellis, SJ, Elsheikh, R, Elsohaby, I, Eltaha, C, Eshrati, B, Eslami, M, Eyre, DW, Fadaka, AO, Fagbamigbe, AF, Fahim, A, Smith, AE, Fakhri-Demeshghieh, A, Fasina, FO, Fasina, MM, Fatehizadeh, A, Feasey, NA, Feizkhah, A, Fekadu, G, Fischer, F, Fitriana, I, Forrest, KM, Altay, U, Fortuna Rodrigues, C, Fuller, JE, Gadanya, MA, Gajdács, M, Gandhi, AP, Garcia-Gallo, EE, Garrett, DO, Gautam, RK, Gebregergis, MW, Gebrehiwot, M, Bhattacharjee, NV, Gebremeskel, TG, Geffers, C, Georgalis, L, Ghazy, RM, Golechha, M, Golinelli, D, Gordon, M, Gulati, S, Gupta, RD, Gupta, S, Giannakis, K, Gupta, VK, Habteyohannes, AD, Haller, S, Harapan, H, Harrison, ML, Hasaballah, AI, Hasan, I, Hasan, RS, Hasani, H, Haselbeck, AH, Fell, F, Hasnain, MS, Hassan, II, Hassan, S, Hassan Zadeh Tabatabaei, MS, Hayat, K, He, J, Hegazi, OE, Heidari, M, Hezam, K, Holla, R, McManigal, B, Holm, M, Hopkins, H, Hossain, MM, Hosseinzadeh, M, Hostiuc, S, Hussein, NR, Huy, LD, Ibáñez-Prada, ED, Ikiroma, A, Ilic, IM, Ekapirat, N, Islam, SMS, Ismail, F, Ismail, NE, Iwu, CD, Iwu-Jaja, CJ, Jafarzadeh, A, Jaiteh, F, Jalilzadeh Yengejeh, R, Jamora, RDG, Javidnia, J, Mendes, JA, Jawaid, T, Jenney, AWJ, Jeon, HJ, Jokar, M, Jomehzadeh, N, Joo, T, Joseph, N, Kamal, Z, Kanmodi, KK, Kantar, RS, Runghien, T, Kapisi, JA, Karaye, IM, Khader, YS, Khajuria, H, Khalid, N, Khamesipour, F, Khan, A, Khan, MJ, Khan, MT, Khanal, V, Srimokla, O, Khidri, FF, Khubchandani, J, Khusuwan, S, Kim, MS, Kisa, A, Korshunov, VA, Krapp, F, Krumkamp, R, Kuddus, M, Kulimbet, M, Abdelkader, A, Kumar, D, Kumaran, EAP, Kuttikkattu, A, Kyu, HH, Landires, I, Lawal, BK, Le, TTT, Lederer, IM, Lee, M, Lee, SW, Abd-Elsalam, S, Lepape, A, Lerango, TL, Ligade, VS, Lim, C, Lim, SS, Limenh, LW, Liu, C, Liu, X, Loftus, MJ, Aboagye, RG, M Amin, HI, Maass, KL, Maharaj, SB, Mahmoud, MA, Maikanti-Charalampous, P, Makram, OM, Malhotra, K, Malik, AA, Mandilara, GD, Marks, F, Abolhassani, H, Martinez-Guerra, BA, Martorell, M, Masoumi-Asl, H, Mathioudakis, AG, May, J, McHugh, TA, Meiring, J, Meles, HN, Melese, A, Melese, EB, Abualruz, H, Minervini, G, Mohamed, NS, Mohammed, S, Mohan, S, Mokdad, AH, Monasta, L, Moodi Ghalibaf, A, Moore, CE, Moradi, Y, Mossialos, E, Abubakar, U, Mougin, V, Mukoro, GD, Mulita, F, Muller-Pebody, B, Murillo-Zamora, E, Musa, S, Musicha, P, Musila, LA, Muthupandian, S, Nagarajan, AJ, Abukhadijah, HJ, Naghavi, P, Nainu, F, Nair, TS, Najmuldeen, HHR, Natto, ZS, Nauman, J, Nayak, BP, Nchanji, GT, Ndishimye, P, Negoi, I, Aburuz, S, Negoi, RI, Nejadghaderi, SA, Nguyen, QP, Noman, EA, Nwakanma, DC, O'Brien, S, Ochoa, TJ, Odetokun, IA, Ogundijo, OA, Ojo-Akosile, TR, Abu-Zaid, A, Okeke, SR, Okonji, OC, Olagunju, AT, Olivas-Martinez, A, Olorukooba, AA, Olwoch, P, Onyedibe, KI, Ortiz-Brizuela, E, Osuolale, O, Ounchanum, P, Achalapong, S, Oyeyemi, OT, P A, MP, Paredes, JL, Parikh, RR, Patel, J, Patil, S, Pawar, S, Peleg, AY, Peprah, P, Perdigão, J, Addo, IY, Perrone, C, Petcu, I-R, Phommasone, K, Piracha, ZZ, Poddighe, D, Pollard, AJ, Poluru, R, Ponce-De-Leon, A, Puvvula, J, Qamar, FN, Adekanmbi, V, Qasim, NH, Rafai, CD, Raghav, P, Rahbarnia, L, Rahim, F, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Rahman, MA, Ramadan, H, Ramasamy, SK, Adeyeoluwa, TE, Ramesh, PS, Ramteke, PW, Rana, RK, Rani, U, Rashidi, M-M, Rathish, D, Rattanavong, S, Rawaf, S, Redwan, EMM, Reyes, LF, Adnani, QES, Roberts, T, Robotham, JV, Rosenthal, VD, Ross, AG, Roy, N, Rudd, KE, Sabet, CJ, Saddik, BA, Saeb, MR, Saeed, U, Adzigbli, LA, Saeedi Moghaddam, S, Saengchan, W, Safaei, M, Saghazadeh, A, Saheb Sharif-Askari, N, Sahebkar, A, Sahoo, SS, Sahu, M, Saki, M, Salam, N, Afzal, MS, Saleem, Z, Saleh, MA, Samodra, YL, Samy, AM, Saravanan, A, Satpathy, M, Schumacher, AE, Sedighi, M, Seekaew, S, Shafie, M, Afzal, S, Shah, PA, Shahid, S, Shahwan, MJ, Shakoor, S, Shalev, N, Shamim, MA, Shamshirgaran, MA, Shamsi, A, Sharifan, A, Shastry, RP, Agodi, A, Shetty, M, Shittu, A, Shrestha, S, Siddig, EE, Sideroglou, T, Sifuentes-Osornio, J, Silva, LMLR, Simões, EAF, Simpson, AJH, Singh, A, Ahlstrom, AJ, Singh, S, Sinto, R, Soliman, SSM, Soraneh, S, Stoesser, N, Stoeva, TZ, Swain, CK, Szarpak, L, T Y, SS, Tabatabai, S, Ahmad, A, Tabche, C, Taha, ZM-A, Tan, K-K, Tasak, N, Tat, NY, Thaiprakong, A, Thangaraju, P, Tigoi, CC, Tiwari, K, Tovani-Palone, MR, Ahmad, S, Tran, TH, Tumurkhuu, M, Turner, P, Udoakang, AJ, Udoh, A, Ullah, N, Ullah, S, Vaithinathan, AG, Valenti, M, Vos, T, Ahmad, T, Vu, HTL, Waheed, Y, Walker, AS, Walson, JL, Wangrangsimakul, T, Weerakoon, KG, Wertheim, HFL, Williams, PCM, Wolde, AA, Wozniak, TM, Ahmadi, A, Wu, F, Wu, Z, Yadav, MKK, Yaghoubi, S, Yahaya, ZS, Yarahmadi, A, Yezli, S, Yismaw, YE, Yon, DK, Yuan, C-W, Ahmed, A, Yusuf, H, Zakham, F, Zamagni, G, Zhang, H, Zhang, Z-J, Zielińska, M, Zumla, A, Zyoud, SHH, Zyoud, SH, Hay, SI, Ahmed, H, Stergachis, A, Sartorius, B, Cooper, BS, Dolecek, C, Murray, CJL, Ahmed, I, Ahmed, M, Ahmed, S, Ahmed, SA, Akkaif, MA, Al Awaidy, S, Al Thaher, Y, Alalalmeh, SO, AlBataineh, MT, Aldhaleei, WA, Al-Gheethi, AAS, Alhaji, NB, Ali, A, Ali, L, Ali, SS, Ali, W, Allel, K, Al-Marwani, S, Alrawashdeh, A, Altaf, A, Al-Tammemi, AB, Al-Tawfiq, JA, Alzoubi, KH, Al-Zyoud, WA, Amos, B, Amuasi, JH, Ancuceanu, R, Andrews, JR, Anil, A, Anuoluwa, IA, Anvari, S, Anyasodor, AE, Apostol, GLC, Arabloo, J, Arafat, M, Aravkin, AY, Areda, D, Aremu, A, Artamonov, AA, Ashley, EA, Asika, MO, Athari, SS, Atout, MMW, Awoke, T, Azadnajafabad, S, Azam, JM, Aziz, S, Naghavi, M, Vollset, SE, Ikuta, KS, Swetschinski, LR, Gray, AP, Wool, EE, Robles Aguilar, G, Mestrovic, T, Smith, G, Han, C, Hsu, RL, Azzam, AY, Babaei, M, Babin, F-X, Badar, M, Baig, AA, Bajcetic, M, Baker, S, Bardhan, M, Barqawi, HJ, Basharat, Z, Chalek, J, Basiru, A, Bastard, M, Basu, S, Bayleyegn, NS, Belete, MA, Bello, OO, Beloukas, A, Berkley, JA, Bhagavathula, AS, Bhaskar, S, Araki, DT, Bhuyan, SS, Bielicki, JA, Briko, NI, Brown, CS, Browne, AJ, Buonsenso, D, Bustanji, Y, Carvalheiro, CG, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Cenderadewi, M, Chung, E, Chadwick, J, Chakraborty, S, Chandika, RM, Chandy, S, Chansamouth, V, Chattu, VK, Chaudhary, AA, Ching, PR, Chopra, H, Chowdhury, FR, Raggi, C, Chu, D-T, Chutiyami, M, Cruz-Martins, N, da Silva, AG, Dadras, O, Dai, X, Darcho, SD, Das, S, De la Hoz, FP, Dekker, DM, Gershberg Hayoon, A, Dhama, K, Diaz, D, Dickson, BFR, Djorie, SG, Dodangeh, M, Dohare, S, Dokova, KG, Doshi, OP, Dowou, RK, Dsouza, HL, Davis Weaver, N, Dunachie, SJ, Dziedzic, AM, Eckmanns, T, Ed-Dra, A, Eftekharimehrabad, A, Ekundayo, TC, El Sayed, I, Elhadi, M, El-Huneidi, W, Elias, C, Lindstedt, PA, Ellis, SJ, Elsheikh, R, Elsohaby, I, Eltaha, C, Eshrati, B, Eslami, M, Eyre, DW, Fadaka, AO, Fagbamigbe, AF, Fahim, A, Smith, AE, Fakhri-Demeshghieh, A, Fasina, FO, Fasina, MM, Fatehizadeh, A, Feasey, NA, Feizkhah, A, Fekadu, G, Fischer, F, Fitriana, I, Forrest, KM, Altay, U, Fortuna Rodrigues, C, Fuller, JE, Gadanya, MA, Gajdács, M, Gandhi, AP, Garcia-Gallo, EE, Garrett, DO, Gautam, RK, Gebregergis, MW, Gebrehiwot, M, Bhattacharjee, NV, Gebremeskel, TG, Geffers, C, Georgalis, L, Ghazy, RM, Golechha, M, Golinelli, D, Gordon, M, Gulati, S, Gupta, RD, Gupta, S, Giannakis, K, Gupta, VK, Habteyohannes, AD, Haller, S, Harapan, H, Harrison, ML, Hasaballah, AI, Hasan, I, Hasan, RS, Hasani, H, Haselbeck, AH, Fell, F, Hasnain, MS, Hassan, II, Hassan, S, Hassan Zadeh Tabatabaei, MS, Hayat, K, He, J, Hegazi, OE, Heidari, M, Hezam, K, Holla, R, McManigal, B, Holm, M, Hopkins, H, Hossain, MM, Hosseinzadeh, M, Hostiuc, S, Hussein, NR, Huy, LD, Ibáñez-Prada, ED, Ikiroma, A, Ilic, IM, Ekapirat, N, Islam, SMS, Ismail, F, Ismail, NE, Iwu, CD, Iwu-Jaja, CJ, Jafarzadeh, A, Jaiteh, F, Jalilzadeh Yengejeh, R, Jamora, RDG, Javidnia, J, Mendes, JA, Jawaid, T, Jenney, AWJ, Jeon, HJ, Jokar, M, Jomehzadeh, N, Joo, T, Joseph, N, Kamal, Z, Kanmodi, KK, Kantar, RS, Runghien, T, Kapisi, JA, Karaye, IM, Khader, YS, Khajuria, H, Khalid, N, Khamesipour, F, Khan, A, Khan, MJ, Khan, MT, Khanal, V, Srimokla, O, Khidri, FF, Khubchandani, J, Khusuwan, S, Kim, MS, Kisa, A, Korshunov, VA, Krapp, F, Krumkamp, R, Kuddus, M, Kulimbet, M, Abdelkader, A, Kumar, D, Kumaran, EAP, Kuttikkattu, A, Kyu, HH, Landires, I, Lawal, BK, Le, TTT, Lederer, IM, Lee, M, Lee, SW, Abd-Elsalam, S, Lepape, A, Lerango, TL, Ligade, VS, Lim, C, Lim, SS, Limenh, LW, Liu, C, Liu, X, Loftus, MJ, Aboagye, RG, M Amin, HI, Maass, KL, Maharaj, SB, Mahmoud, MA, Maikanti-Charalampous, P, Makram, OM, Malhotra, K, Malik, AA, Mandilara, GD, Marks, F, Abolhassani, H, Martinez-Guerra, BA, Martorell, M, Masoumi-Asl, H, Mathioudakis, AG, May, J, McHugh, TA, Meiring, J, Meles, HN, Melese, A, Melese, EB, Abualruz, H, Minervini, G, Mohamed, NS, Mohammed, S, Mohan, S, Mokdad, AH, Monasta, L, Moodi Ghalibaf, A, Moore, CE, Moradi, Y, Mossialos, E, Abubakar, U, Mougin, V, Mukoro, GD, Mulita, F, Muller-Pebody, B, Murillo-Zamora, E, Musa, S, Musicha, P, Musila, LA, Muthupandian, S, Nagarajan, AJ, Abukhadijah, HJ, Naghavi, P, Nainu, F, Nair, TS, Najmuldeen, HHR, Natto, ZS, Nauman, J, Nayak, BP, Nchanji, GT, Ndishimye, P, Negoi, I, Aburuz, S, Negoi, RI, Nejadghaderi, SA, Nguyen, QP, Noman, EA, Nwakanma, DC, O'Brien, S, Ochoa, TJ, Odetokun, IA, Ogundijo, OA, Ojo-Akosile, TR, Abu-Zaid, A, Okeke, SR, Okonji, OC, Olagunju, AT, Olivas-Martinez, A, Olorukooba, AA, Olwoch, P, Onyedibe, KI, Ortiz-Brizuela, E, Osuolale, O, Ounchanum, P, Achalapong, S, Oyeyemi, OT, P A, MP, Paredes, JL, Parikh, RR, Patel, J, Patil, S, Pawar, S, Peleg, AY, Peprah, P, Perdigão, J, Addo, IY, Perrone, C, Petcu, I-R, Phommasone, K, Piracha, ZZ, Poddighe, D, Pollard, AJ, Poluru, R, Ponce-De-Leon, A, Puvvula, J, Qamar, FN, Adekanmbi, V, Qasim, NH, Rafai, CD, Raghav, P, Rahbarnia, L, Rahim, F, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, M, Rahman, MA, Ramadan, H, Ramasamy, SK, Adeyeoluwa, TE, Ramesh, PS, Ramteke, PW, Rana, RK, Rani, U, Rashidi, M-M, Rathish, D, Rattanavong, S, Rawaf, S, Redwan, EMM, Reyes, LF, Adnani, QES, Roberts, T, Robotham, JV, Rosenthal, VD, Ross, AG, Roy, N, Rudd, KE, Sabet, CJ, Saddik, BA, Saeb, MR, Saeed, U, Adzigbli, LA, Saeedi Moghaddam, S, Saengchan, W, Safaei, M, Saghazadeh, A, Saheb Sharif-Askari, N, Sahebkar, A, Sahoo, SS, Sahu, M, Saki, M, Salam, N, Afzal, MS, Saleem, Z, Saleh, MA, Samodra, YL, Samy, AM, Saravanan, A, Satpathy, M, Schumacher, AE, Sedighi, M, Seekaew, S, Shafie, M, Afzal, S, Shah, PA, Shahid, S, Shahwan, MJ, Shakoor, S, Shalev, N, Shamim, MA, Shamshirgaran, MA, Shamsi, A, Sharifan, A, Shastry, RP, Agodi, A, Shetty, M, Shittu, A, Shrestha, S, Siddig, EE, Sideroglou, T, Sifuentes-Osornio, J, Silva, LMLR, Simões, EAF, Simpson, AJH, Singh, A, Ahlstrom, AJ, Singh, S, Sinto, R, Soliman, SSM, Soraneh, S, Stoesser, N, Stoeva, TZ, Swain, CK, Szarpak, L, T Y, SS, Tabatabai, S, Ahmad, A, Tabche, C, Taha, ZM-A, Tan, K-K, Tasak, N, Tat, NY, Thaiprakong, A, Thangaraju, P, Tigoi, CC, Tiwari, K, Tovani-Palone, MR, Ahmad, S, Tran, TH, Tumurkhuu, M, Turner, P, Udoakang, AJ, Udoh, A, Ullah, N, Ullah, S, Vaithinathan, AG, Valenti, M, Vos, T, Ahmad, T, Vu, HTL, Waheed, Y, Walker, AS, Walson, JL, Wangrangsimakul, T, Weerakoon, KG, Wertheim, HFL, Williams, PCM, Wolde, AA, Wozniak, TM, Ahmadi, A, Wu, F, Wu, Z, Yadav, MKK, Yaghoubi, S, Yahaya, ZS, Yarahmadi, A, Yezli, S, Yismaw, YE, Yon, DK, Yuan, C-W, Ahmed, A, Yusuf, H, Zakham, F, Zamagni, G, Zhang, H, Zhang, Z-J, Zielińska, M, Zumla, A, Zyoud, SHH, Zyoud, SH, Hay, SI, Ahmed, H, Stergachis, A, Sartorius, B, Cooper, BS, Dolecek, C, Murray, CJL, Ahmed, I, Ahmed, M, Ahmed, S, Ahmed, SA, Akkaif, MA, Al Awaidy, S, Al Thaher, Y, Alalalmeh, SO, AlBataineh, MT, Aldhaleei, WA, Al-Gheethi, AAS, Alhaji, NB, Ali, A, Ali, L, Ali, SS, Ali, W, Allel, K, Al-Marwani, S, Alrawashdeh, A, Altaf, A, Al-Tammemi, AB, Al-Tawfiq, JA, Alzoubi, KH, Al-Zyoud, WA, Amos, B, Amuasi, JH, Ancuceanu, R, Andrews, JR, Anil, A, Anuoluwa, IA, Anvari, S, Anyasodor, AE, Apostol, GLC, Arabloo, J, Arafat, M, Aravkin, AY, Areda, D, Aremu, A, Artamonov, AA, Ashley, EA, Asika, MO, Athari, SS, Atout, MMW, Awoke, T, Azadnajafabad, S, Azam, JM, and Aziz, S
Published: 2024

9. Forecasting the effects of smoking prevalence scenarios on years of life lost and life expectancy from 2022 to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Author: Bryazka, D, Reitsma, MB, Abate, YH, Abd Al Magied, AHA, Abdelkader, A, Abdollahi, A, Abdoun, M, Abdulkader, RS, Abeldaño Zuñiga, RA, Abhilash, ES, Abiodun, OO, Andrei, CL, Zhang, L, Zhong, CC, Zhou, SC, Zhu, B, Zielińska, M, Zoghi, G, Zyoud, SH, Vollset, SE, Gakidou, E, Andrei, T, Ansari, MT, Anuoluwa, IA, Anvari, S, Anwar, SL, Anyasodor, AE, Arabloo, J, Arafa, EA, Aravkin, AY, Abiodun, O, Areda, D, Aregawi, BB, Aremu, O, Artamonov, AA, Asgedom, AA, Asghari-Jafarabadi, M, Ashemo, MY, Ashraf, T, Astell-Burt, T, Athari, SS, Aboagye, RG, Atorkey, P, Atreya, A, Aujayeb, A, Awotidebe, AW, Ayano, G, Aychiluhm, SB, Azadnajafabad, S, Azzam, AY, Babu, GR, Bahrami Taghanaki, P, Abreu, LG, Bahramian, S, Bai, R, Bakkannavar, SM, Balakrishnan, S, Bam, K, Banach, M, Bandyopadhyay, S, Baran, MF, Barchitta, M, Bardhan, M, Abtahi, D, Barker-Collo, SL, Barrow, A, Bashiru, HA, Basiru, A, Bastan, M-M, Basu, S, Batra, K, Bayati, M, Behnoush, AH, Abualruz, H, Bell, SL, Belo, L, Beneke, AA, Bennett, DA, Bensenor, IM, Beran, A, Bermudez, ANC, Beyene, HB, Bhagat, DS, Bhagavathula, AS, Abubakar, B, Bhala, N, Bhardwaj, N, Bhardwaj, P, Bhaskar, S, Bhat, AN, Bhattacharjee, NV, Bhattacharjee, P, Bhatti, JS, Bilgin, C, Biswas, A, Abu-Rmeileh, NME, Biswas, B, Boachie, MK, Bogale, EK, Bora Basara, B, Borhany, H, Bosoka, SA, Bouaoud, S, Boyko, EJ, Brenner, H, Brunoni, AR, Aburuz, S, Bugiardini, R, Bulamu, NB, Bustanji, Y, Butt, ZA, Caetano dos Santos, FL, Calina, D, Cao, C, Cao, F, Capodici, A, Cárdenas, R, Abu-Zaid, A, Carreras, G, Castaldelli-Maia, JM, Cattaruzza, MS, Caye, A, Cegolon, L, Cenko, E, Cerrai, S, Chakraborty, S, Chandika, RM, Chandrasekar, EK, Adane, MM, Chattu, VK, Chaudhary, AA, Chaurasia, A, Chen, A-T, Chen, G, Chen, H, Chen, MX, Chen, S, Cheng, KJG, Chi, G, Adebiyi, AO, Chichagi, F, Chimoriya, R, Chirinos-Caceres, JL, Chitheer, A, Chong, B, Chong, CL, Chong, YY, Chopra, H, Choudhari, SG, Chu, D-T, Adegboye, OA, Chukwu, IS, Chung, S-C, Chutiyami, M, Conde, J, Corlateanu, A, Criqui, MH, Cruz-Martins, N, da Silva, AG, Dadras, O, Dai, S, Adekanmbi, V, Dai, X, Damiani, G, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Darcho, SD, Darvishi Cheshmeh Soltani, R, Das, S, Dash, NR, Davletov, K, Debele, AT, Adewuyi, HO, Debopadhaya, S, Demant, D, Desai, HD, Devegowda, D, Dewan, SMR, Dhali, A, Dhane, AS, Dhulipala, VR, Do, TC, Dodangeh, M, Adnani, QES, Doegah, PT, Dohare, S, Dongarwar, D, D'Oria, M, Doshi, OP, Doshi, RP, Dowou, RK, Dsouza, AC, Dsouza, HL, Dsouza, VS, Adzigbli, LA, Duncan, BB, Duraes, AR, Dziedzic, AM, E'mar, AR, Ebrahimi, A, Ebrahimi, N, Ebrahimi Kalan, M, Edvardsson, D, Edvardsson, K, Efendi, F, Afaghi, S, Effendi, DE, Eghbali, F, Ekholuenetale, M, El Arab, RA, El Bayoumy, IF, El Sayed, I, Elbarazi, I, Elhadi, M, El-Huneidi, W, Elmonem, MA, Afolabi, AA, ELNahas, G, Elsohaby, I, Eltaha, C, Eltahir, ME, Emamverdi, M, Emeto, TI, Erku, DA, Etaee, F, Ezenwankwo, EF, Fabin, N, Afzal, MS, Fagbamigbe, AF, Fagbule, OF, Faghani, S, Fahim, A, Fakhradiyev, IR, 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Ilic, MD, Immurana, M, Inbaraj, LR, Iqhrammullah, M, Ahmed, A, Irham, LM, Islam, MR, Islam, SMS, Islami, F, Isola, G, Itumalla, R, Iwagami, M, Iyer, M, J, V, Jaafari, J, Jacob, L, Jafarzadeh, A, Jaggi, K, Jahanmehr, N, Jain, A, Jain, N, Jairoun, AA, Jaka, S, Jakovljevic, M, Jalilzadeh Yengejeh, R, Ahmed, H, Jamshidi, E, Janodia, MD, Jawaid, T, Jayapal, SK, Jayaram, S, Jayasinghe, RD, Jebai, R, Jee, SH, Jeswani, BM, Jiang, H, Ahmed, MB, Jokar, M, Jonas, JB, Joo, T, Joseph, N, Joshua, CE, Jozwiak, JJ, Jürisson, M, K, V, Kabir, A, Kabir, Z, Ahmed, S, Kadashetti, V, Kamarajah, SK, Kanaan, M, Kanmodi, KK, Kant, S, Kantar, RS, Karakasis, P, Karaye, IM, Karimi, SE, Karimi, Y, Ajami, M, Karimi Behnagh, A, Karkhah, S, Karki, P, Kashoo, FZ, Katikireddi, SV, Kaur, H, Kaur, N, Kazemian, S, Kazmi, TH, Keiyoro, PN, Akkaif, MA, Kesse-Guyot, E, Khader, YS, Khajuria, H, Khalaji, A, Khalilian, A, Khan, A, Khan, M, Khan, MJ, Khan, MAB, Khanmohammadi, S, Akter, E, Khatab, K, Khatatbeh, H, Khatatbeh, MM, Khater, AM, Kheirallah, KA, Khokhar, M, Khormali, M, Khosla, AA, Khosravi, S, Kim, K, Al Awaidy, S, Kim, MS, Kim, YJ, Kisa, A, Kolahi, A-A, Komaki, S, Kondlahalli, SKMM, Korja, M, Korzh, O, Kosen, S, Kostev, K, Al Hasan, SM, Krishan, K, Kuate Defo, B, Kuddus, M, Kujan, O, Kulimbet, M, Kumar, A, Kumar, GA, Kumar, N, Kumar, R, Kumar, V, Al-Ajlouni, Y, Kundu, A, Kundu, S, Kunutsor, SK, Kurmi, OP, Kusuma, D, Kyei-Arthur, F, Kytö, V, La Vecchia, C, Lahariya, C, Lai, DTC, Al-Aly, Z, Lai, H, Lalloo, R, Lallukka, T, Larijani, B, Lasrado, S, Lau, J, Lauriola, P, Le, TTT, Leasher, JL, Lee, M, Alam, K, Lee, SW, Lee, W-C, Lee, YH, Leong, E, Lerango, TL, Li, A, Li, W, Ligade, VS, Lim, SS, Lin, J, Alam, Z, Lindstedt, PA, Liu, G, Llanaj, E, López-Gil, JF, Lotufo, PA, Lucchetti, G, Lugo, A, Lusk, JB, M Amin, HI, Ma, ZF, Aldhaleei, WA, Machoy, M, Madadizadeh, F, Mahmoudi, E, Makram, AM, Makram, OM, Malhotra, K, Malik, AA, Malta, DC, Mamun, AA, Mansouri, P, Algammal, AM, Mansournia, MA, Manu, E, 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JA, Yin, D, Yon, DK, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S-J, Yu, C, Yuan, C-W, Zakham, F, Zeariya, MGM, Zhang, H, and Zhang, J
Published: 2024

10. Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022-2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Author: Vollset, SE, Ababneh, HS, Abate, YH, Abbafati, C, Abbasgholizadeh, R, Abbasian, M, Abbastabar, H, Abd Al Magied, AHA, Abd ElHafeez, S, Abdelkader, A, Abdelmasseh, M, Abd-Elsalam, S, Abdi, P, Abdollahi, M, Abdoun, M, Abdullahi, A, Abebe, M, Abiodun, O, Aboagye, RG, Abolhassani, H, Abouzid, M, Aboye, GB, Abreu, LG, Absalan, A, Abualruz, H, Abubakar, B, Abukhadijah, HJJ, Addolorato, G, Adekanmbi, V, Adetunji, CO, Adetunji, JB, Adeyeoluwa, TE, Adha, R, Adhikary, RK, Adnani, QES, Adzigbli, LA, Afrashteh, F, Afzal, MS, Afzal, S, Agbozo, F, Agodi, A, Agrawal, A, Agyemang-Duah, W, Ahinkorah, BO, Ahlstrom, AJ, Ahmad, A, Ahmad, F, Ahmad, MM, Ahmad, S, Ahmed, A, Ahmed, H, Ahmed, S, Ahmed, SA, Akinosoglou, K, Akkaif, MA, Akrami, AE, Akter, E, Al Awaidy, S, Al Hasan, SM, Al Mosa, AS, Al Ta'ani, O, Al Zaabi, OAM, Alahdab, F, Alajlani, MM, Al-Ajlouni, Y, Alalalmeh, SO, Al-Aly, Z, Alam, K, Alam, N, Alam, T, Alam, Z, Al-Amer, RM, Alanezi, FM, Alanzi, TM, Albakri, A, Aldhaleei, WA, Aldridge, RW, Alemohammad, SY, Alemu, YM, Al-Gheethi, AAS, Al-Hanawi, MK, Ali, A, Ali, I, Ali, MU, Ali, R, Ali, SSS, Ali, VE, Ali, W, Al-Ibraheem, A, Alicandro, G, Alif, SM, Aljunid, SM, Alla, F, Almazan, JU, Al-Mekhlafi, HM, Alqutaibi, AY, Alrawashdeh, A, Alrousan, SM, Al-Sabah, SK, Alsabri, MA, Altaany, Z, Al-Tammemi, AB, Al-Tawfiq, JA, Altirkawi, KA, Aluh, DO, Alvis-Guzman, N, Al-Wardat, MS, Al-Worafi, YM, Aly, H, Alyahya, MS, Alzoubi, KH, Al-Zyoud, W, Amani, R, Ameyaw, EK, Amin, TT, Amindarolzarbi, A, Amiri, S, Amirzade-Iranaq, MH, Amu, H, Amugsi, DA, Ancuceanu, R, Anderlini, D, Anderson, DB, Andrade, PP, Andrei, CL, Andrei, T, Andrews, EA, Anil, A, Anil, S, Anoushiravani, A, Antony, CM, Antriyandarti, E, Anuoluwa, BS, Anvari, S, Anyasodor, AE, Appiah, F, Aquilano, M, Arab, JP, Arabloo, J, Arafa, EA, Arafat, M, Aravkin, AY, Ardekani, A, Areda, D, Aregawi, BB, Aremu, A, Ariffin, H, Arkew, M, Armani, K, Artamonov, AA, Arumugam, A, Asghari-Jafarabadi, M, Ashbaugh, C, Astell-Burt, T, Athari, SS, 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C, Boyko, EJ, Brady, OJ, Braithwaite, D, Brauer, M, Brazo-Sayavera, J, Brenner, H, Brown, CS, Browne, AJ, Brugha, T, Bryazka, D, Bulamu, NB, Buonsenso, D, Burkart, K, Burns, RA, Busse, R, Bustanji, Y, Butt, ZA, dos Santos, FLC, Barsbay, MC, Calina, D, Campos, LA, Cao, S, Capodici, A, Cardenas, R, Carreras, G, Carugno, A, Carvalho, M, Castaldelli-Maia, JM, Castelpietra, G, Cattaruzza, MS, Caye, A, Cegolon, L, Cembranel, F, Cenko, E, Cerin, E, Chadban, SJ, Chadwick, J, Chakraborty, C, Chakraborty, S, Chalek, J, Chan, JSK, Chandika, RM, Chandy, S, Charan, J, Chaudhary, AA, Chaurasia, A, Chen, A-T, Chen, H, Chen, MX, Chen, S, Cherbuin, N, Chi, G, Chichagi, F, Chimed-Ochir, O, Chimoriya, R, Ching, PR, Chirinos-Caceres, JL, Chitheer, A, Cho, DY, Cho, WCS, Choi, D-W, Chong, B, Chong, CL, Chopra, H, Chu, D-T, Chung, E, Chutiyami, M, Clayton, JT, Cogen, RM, Cohen, AJ, Columbus, A, Comfort, H, Conde, J, Connolly, JT, Cooper, EEK, Cortese, S, Cruz-Martins, N, da Silva, AG, Dadras, O, Dai, X, Dai, 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Abstract: BACKGROUND: Future trends in disease burden and drivers of health are of great interest to policy makers and the public at large. This information can be used for policy and long-term health investment, planning, and prioritisation. We have expanded and improved upon previous forecasts produced as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) and provide a reference forecast (the most likely future), and alternative scenarios assessing disease burden trajectories if selected sets of risk factors were eliminated from current levels by 2050. METHODS: Using forecasts of major drivers of health such as the Socio-demographic Index (SDI; a composite measure of lag-distributed income per capita, mean years of education, and total fertility under 25 years of age) and the full set of risk factor exposures captured by GBD, we provide cause-specific forecasts of mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) by age and sex from 2022 to 2050 for 204 countries and territories, 21 GBD regions, seven super-regions, and the world. All analyses were done at the cause-specific level so that only risk factors deemed causal by the GBD comparative risk assessment influenced future trajectories of mortality for each disease. Cause-specific mortality was modelled using mixed-effects models with SDI and time as the main covariates, and the combined impact of causal risk factors as an offset in the model. At the all-cause mortality level, we captured unexplained variation by modelling residuals with an autoregressive integrated moving average model with drift attenuation. These all-cause forecasts constrained the cause-specific forecasts at successively deeper levels of the GBD cause hierarchy using cascading mortality models, thus ensuring a robust estimate of cause-specific mortality. For non-fatal measures (eg, low back pain), incidence and prevalence were forecasted from mixed-effects m
Published: 2024

11. Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Author: Vollset, SE, Ababneh, HS, Abate, YH, Abbafati, C, Abbasgholizadeh, R, Abbasian, M, Abbastabar, H, Abd Al Magied, AHA, Abd ElHafeez, S, Abdelkader, A, Abdelmasseh, M, Alrousan, SM, Philip, AK, Phillips, MR, Pigeolet, M, Piradov, MA, Pisoni, E, Plotnikov, E, Poddighe, D, Polibin, RV, Poluru, R, Ponkilainen, VT, Al-Sabah, SK, Popovic, DS, Postma, MJ, Pour-Rashidi, A, Prabhu, D, Prada, SI, Pradhan, J, Pradhan, PMS, Prashant, A, Prates, EJS, Priscilla, T, Alsabri, MA, Purnobasuki, H, Purohit, BM, Puvvula, J, Qasim, NH, Qattea, I, Qazi, AS, Qian, G, Rabiee Rad, M, Radhakrishnan, V, Raeisi Shahraki, H, Altaany, Z, Rafferty, Q, Raggi, A, Raggi, C, Raheem, N, Rahim, F, Rahim, MJ, Rahimibarghani, S, Rahman, MMMR, Rahman, M, Rahman, MA, Al-Tammemi, AB, Rahman, T, Rahmani, AM, Rahmanian, M, Rahmanian, N, Rahmati, R, Rahmawaty, S, Raimondo, D, Raja, A, Rajput, P, Ramadan, M, Al-Tawfiq, JA, Ramasamy, SK, Ramazanu, S, Ramteke, PW, Rana, K, Rana, RK, Ranabhat, CL, Rane, A, Rao, CR, Rao, M, Rasella, D, Altirkawi, KA, Rashedi, V, Rashid, AM, Rasouli-Saravani, A, Rastogi, P, Rasul, A, Rathish, D, Rathnaiah Babu, G, Rauniyar, SK, Ravangard, R, Rawaf, DL, Aluh, DO, Rawaf, S, Raza, RZ, Redwan, EMM, Reifels, L, Reitsma, MB, Remuzzi, G, Rengasamy, KRR, Reshmi, B, Resnikoff, S, Restaino, S, Alvis-Guzman, N, Reyes, LF, Rezaei, N, Rezaei, ZS, Rezaeian, M, Rhee, TG, Rickard, J, Robalik, T, Robinson-Oden, HE, Rocha, HAL, Al-Wardat, MS, Rodrigues, M, Rodriguez, JAB, Roever, L, Romadlon, DS, Ronfani, L, Rony, MKK, Roshandel, G, Rotimi, K, Rout, HS, Roy, B, Abd-Elsalam, S, Al-Worafi, YM, Rubagotti, E, Ruela, GDA, Rumisha, SF, Runghien, T, Russo, M, Saad, AMA, Saber, K, Saber-Ayad, MM, Sabet, CJ, Sabour, S, Aly, H, Sachdev, PS, Saddler, A, Sadee, BA, Sadeghi, M, Saeb, MR, Saeed, U, Safi, SZ, Sagar, R, Saghafi, A, Sagoe, D, Alyahya, MS, Sahebkar, A, Sahoo, PM, Sajid, MR, Salam, N, Salamati, P, Salami, AA, Saleh, MA, Salehi, L, Salem, MR, Salemcity, AJ, Alzoubi, KH, Salimi, S, Samadi Kafil, H, Samargandy, S, Samodra, YL, Samy, AM, Sanabria, J, Sanna, F, Santric-Milicevic, MM, Sao Jose, BP, Saraswathy, SYI, Al-Zyoud, W, Saravanan, A, Sarmiento-Suárez, R, Sarode, GS, Sarode, SC, Sartorius, B, Satpathy, M, Sayeed, A, Scarmeas, N, Schaarschmidt, BM, Schinckus, C, Amani, R, Schuermans, A, Schumacher, AE, Schutte, AE, Schwebel, DC, Schwendicke, F, Selvaraj, S, Semreen, MH, Senapati, S, Sengupta, P, Senthilkumaran, S, Ameyaw, EK, Serban, D, Sethi, Y, Seylani, A, Shafie, M, Shah, PA, Shahbandi, A, Shahid, S, Shahid, W, Shahsavari, HR, Shahwan, MJ, Amin, TT, Shaikh, MA, Shalash, AS, Shamekh, A, Shamim, MA, Shanawaz, M, Shankar, A, Shannawaz, M, Sharath, M, Sharfaei, S, Sharifan, A, Amindarolzarbi, A, Sharifi-Rad, J, Sharma, A, Sharma, M, Sharma, S, Sharma, V, Shastry, RP, Shayan, M, Shekhar, S, Shenoy, RR, Shetty, M, Amiri, S, Shetty, PH, Shetty, PK, Shi, P, Shiani, A, Shigematsu, M, Shimels, T, Shiri, R, Shittu, A, Shiue, I, Shivakumar, KM, Abdi, P, Amirzade-Iranaq, MH, Shool, S, Shorofi, SA, Shrestha, S, Shuval, K, Si, Y, Siddig, EE, Sidhu, JK, Silva, JP, Silva, LMLR, Silva, S, Amu, H, Silva, TPR, Simpson, CR, Simpson, KE, Singh, A, Singh, BB, Singh, B, Singh, H, Singh, J, Singh, P, Amugsi, DA, Skou, ST, Smith, G, Sobia, F, Socea, B, Solanki, S, Soleimani, H, Soliman, SSM, Song, Y, Soyiri, IN, Spartalis, M, Ancuceanu, R, Spearman, S, Sreeramareddy, CT, Stanaway, JD, Stanikzai, MH, Starodubova, AV, Stein, DJ, Steiner, C, Steiropoulos, P, Stockfelt, L, Stokes, MA, Anderlini, D, Straif, K, Subedi, N, Suliankatchi Abdulkader, R, Sultana, A, Sun, J, Sundström, J, Swain, CK, Szarpak, L, Szeto, MD, Tabaee Damavandi, P, Anderson, DB, Tabarés-Seisdedos, R, Tabatabaei Malazy, O, Tabatabaeizadeh, S-A, Tabatabai, S, Tabb, KM, Tabche, C, Tabish, M, Taheri Abkenar, Y, Taheri Soodejani, M, Taiba, J, Andrade, PP, Talaat, IM, Tamuzi, JL, Tan, K-K, Tang, H, Tat, NY, Tavakoli Oliaee, R, Tavangar, SM, Taveira, N, Tbakhi, A, Tehrani, H, Andrei, CL, Temsah, M-H, Teramoto, M, Tesfaye, BT, Teye-Kwadjo, E, Thangaraju, P, Thankappan, KR, Thapar, R, Thayakaran, R, Thirunavukkarasu, S, Thomas, N, Andrei, T, Thygesen, LC, Ticoalu, JHV, Timalsena, D, Tiruye, TY, Tiwari, K, Tomo, S, Tonelli, M, Topor-Madry, R, Touvier, M, Tovani-Palone, MR, Andrews, EA, Tran, AT, Tran, JT, Tran, NM, Tran, TH, Trico, D, Tromans, SJ, Truyen, TTTT, Tsatsakis, A, Tsermpini, EE, Tumurkhuu, M, Abdollahi, M, Anil, A, Turnock, ST, Udoh, A, Ullah, A, Ullah, S, Umakanthan, S, Umar, M, Umar, SS, Unim, B, Unnikrishnan, B, Anil, S, Upadhyay, E, Usman, JS, Vahdati, S, Vaithinathan, AG, Vakili, O, Valizadeh, R, Van den Eynde, J, Vart, P, Varthya, SB, Vasankari, TJ, Anoushiravani, A, Vasic, M, Venketasubramanian, N, Veroux, M, Verras, G-I, Vervoort, D, Vijayageetha, M, Villafañe, JH, Vinayak, M, Violante, FS, Vladimirov, SK, Antony, CM, Vlassov, V, Vo, B, Vohra, K, Vos, T, Wadood, AW, Waheed, Y, Wang, F, Wang, S, Wang, Y, Antriyandarti, E, Wang, Y-P, Wanjau, MN, Waqas, M, Ward, P, 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Chimed-Ochir, O, Adetunji, CO, Chimoriya, R, Ching, PR, Chirinos-Caceres, JL, Chitheer, A, Cho, DY, Cho, WCS, Choi, D-W, Chong, B, Chong, CL, Chopra, H, Adetunji, JB, Chu, D-T, Chung, E, Chutiyami, M, Clayton, JT, Cogen, RM, Cohen, AJ, Columbus, A, Comfort, H, Conde, J, Connolly, JT, Adeyeoluwa, TE, Cooper, EEK, Cortese, S, Cruz-Martins, N, da Silva, AG, Dadras, O, Dai, X, Dai, Z, Dalton, BE, Damiani, G, Dandona, L, Adha, R, Dandona, R, Das, JK, Das, S, Dash, NR, Davletov, K, De la Hoz, FP, De Leo, D, Debopadhaya, S, Delgado-Enciso, I, Adhikary, RK, Denova-Gutiérrez, E, Dervenis, N, Desai, HD, Devanbu, VGC, Dewan, SMR, Dhama, K, Dhane, AS, Dhingra, S, Dias da Silva, D, Diaz, D, Adnani, QES, Diaz, LA, Diaz, MJ, Dima, A, Ding, DD, Do, THP, do Prado, CB, Dodangeh, M, Doegah, PT, Dohare, S, Adzigbli, LA, Dong, W, D'Oria, M, Doshi, R, Dowou, RK, Dsouza, HL, Dsouza, V, Dube, J, Dumith, SC, Duncan, BB, Duraes, AR, Afrashteh, F, Duraisamy, S, Durojaiye, OC, Dushpanova, A, Dutta, S, Dzianach, PA, Dziedzic, AM, Eboreime, E, Ebrahimi, A, Ebrahimi Kalan, M, Edinur, HA, Afzal, MS, Efendi, F, Eikemo, TA, Eini, E, Ekundayo, TC, El Arab, RA, El Sayed, I, Elamin, O, Elemam, NM, ElGohary, GMT, Elhadi, M, Afzal, S, Elmeligy, OAA, Elmoselhi, AB, Elshaer, M, Elsohaby, I, Eltahir, ME, Emeto, TI, Eshrati, B, Eslami, M, Esmaeili, Z, Fabin, N, Agbozo, F, Fagbamigbe, AF, Fagbule, OF, Falzone, L, Fareed, M, Farinha, CSES, Faris, MEM, Faro, A, Fasihi, K, Fatehizadeh, A, Fauk, NK, Agodi, A, Fazylov, T, Feigin, VL, Fekadu, G, Feng, X, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Ferrara, P, Ferreira, N, Firew, BS, Fischer, F, Fitriana, I, Agrawal, A, Flavel, J, Flor, LS, Folayan, MO, Foley, KM, Fonzo, M, Force, LM, Foschi, M, Freitas, A, Fridayani, NKY, Fukutaki, KG, Agyemang-Duah, W, Furtado, JM, Fux, B, Gaal, PA, Gadanya, MA, Gallus, S, Ganesan, B, Ganiyani, MA, Gautam, RK, Gebi, TG, Gebregergis, MW, Ahinkorah, BO, Gebrehiwot, M, Getacher, L, Getahun, GKA, Gething, PW, Ghadimi, DJ, Ghadirian, F, Ghafarian, S, Ghailan, KY, Ghasemi, M, Ghasempour Dabaghi, G, Ahlstrom, AJ, Ghazy, RM, Ghoba, S, Gholami, E, Gholamrezanezhad, A, Gholizadeh, N, Ghorbani, M, Ghorbani Vajargah, P, Ghotbi, E, Gil, AU, Gill, TK, Ahmad, A, Girmay, A, Glasbey, JC, Glushkova, EV, Gnedovskaya, EV, Göbölös, L, Goldust, M, Goleij, P, Golinelli, D, Gopalani, SV, Goulart, AC, Ahmad, F, Gouravani, M, Goyal, A, Grivna, M, Grosso, G, Guarducci, G, Gubari, MIM, Guicciardi, S, Guimarães, RA, Gulati, S, Gulisashvili, D, Ahmad, MM, Gunawardane, DA, Guo, C, Gupta, AK, Gupta, R, Gupta, S, Gupta, VK, Haakenstad, A, Hadi, NR, Ahmad, S, Haep, N, Hafiz, A, Haghmorad, D, Haile, D, Hajj Ali, A, Haj-Mirzaian, A, Halboub, ES, Haller, S, Halwani, R, Hamagharib Abdullah, K, Hamdy, NM, Hamoudi, R, Hanifi, N, Hankey, GJ, Haq, ZA, Haque, MR, Harapan, H, Hargono, A, Haro, JM, Ahmed, A, Hasaballah, AI, Hasan, SMM, Hasanian, M, Hasnain, MS, Hassan, A, Haubold, J, Hay, SI, Hebert, JJ, Hegazi, OE, Heidari, M, Hemmati, M, Henson, CA, Herrera-Serna, BY, Herteliu, C, Heydari, M, Hezam, K, Hidayana, I, Hiraike, Y, Hoan, NQ, Holla, R, Ahmed, H, Hoogar, P, Horita, N, Hossain, MM, Hosseinzadeh, H, Hosseinzadeh, M, Hostiuc, M, Hostiuc, S, Hu, C, Huang, J, Hultström, M, Ahmed, S, Hundie, TG, Hunt, AJ, Hushmandi, K, Hussain, J, Hussain, MA, Hussein, NR, Huynh, H-H, Hwang, B-F, Ibitoye, SE, Iftikhar, PM, Ahmed, SA, Ikiroma, AI, Ikwegbue, PC, Ilic, IM, Ilic, MD, Immurana, M, Isa, MA, Islam, MR, Islam, SMS, Ismail, F, Ismail, NE, Akinosoglou, K, Isola, G, Iwagami, M, Iyamu, IO, Jacob, L, Jacobsen, KH, Jafarinia, M, Jahankhani, K, Jahanmehr, N, Jain, N, Jairoun, AA, Akkaif, MA, Jakhmola Mani, DR, Jamil, S, Jamora, RDG, Jatau, AI, Javadov, S, Javaheri, T, Jayaram, S, Jee, SH, Jeganathan, J, Jiang, H, Akrami, AE, Jokar, M, Jonas, JB, Joseph, N, Joshua, CE, Jürisson, M, K, V, Kabir, A, Kabir, Z, Kadashetti, V, Kalankesh, LR, Akter, E, Kalra, S, Kamath, A, Kamath, R, Kamireddy, A, Kanaan, M, Kanchan, T, Kanmiki, EW, Kanmodi, KK, Kansal, SK, Karim, A, Al Awaidy, S, Karkhah, S, Kashoo, FZ, Kasraei, H, Kassel, MB, Katikireddi, SV, Kauppila, JH, Kaur, H, Kayode, GA, Kazemi, F, Kazemian, S, Al Hasan, SM, Kebede, F, Kendal, ES, Kesse-Guyot, E, Khademvatan, S, Khajuria, H, Khalaji, A, Khalid, A, Khalid, N, Khalilian, A, Khamesipour, F, Al Mosa, AS, Khan, F, Khan, MJ, Khan, MAB, Khanmohammadi, S, Khatab, K, Khatatbeh, H, Khatatbeh, MM, Khatib, MN, Khayat Kashani, HR, Kheirallah, KA, Al Ta'ani, O, Khokhar, M, Khormali, M, Khorrami, Z, Khosla, AA, Khosravi, M, Khosrowjerdi, M, Khubchandani, J, Kifle, ZD, Kim, G, Kim, JS, Al Zaabi, OAM, Kim, MS, Kim, YJ, Kimokoti, RW, Kisa, A, Kisa, S, Knibbs, LD, Knudsen, AKS, Kochhar, S, Kolahi, A-A, Kompani, F, Alahdab, F, Koren, G, Korzh, O, Krishan, K, Krishna, V, Krishnamoorthy, V, Kucuk Bicer, B, Kuddus, MA, Kuddus, M, Kuitunen, I, Kujan, O, Alajlani, MM, Kulimbet, M, Kulkarni, V, Kumar, GA, Kumar, H, Kumar, N, Kumar, R, Kumar, V, Kundu, A, Kusuma, D, Kyei-Arthur, F, Al-Ajlouni, Y, Kytö, V, Kyu, HH, La Vecchia, C, Lacey, B, Ladan, MA, Laflamme, L, Lahariya, C, Lai, DTC, Lalloo, R, Lallukka, T, Alalalmeh, SO, Lám, J, Lan, Q, Lan, T, Landires, I, Lanfranchi, F, Langguth, B, Lansingh, VC, Laplante-Lévesque, A, Larijani, B, Larsson, AO, Al-Aly, Z, Lasrado, S, Lauriola, P, Lawlor, HR, Le, H-H, Le, LKD, Le, NHH, Le, TTT, Le, TDT, Leasher, JL, Lee, DW, Alam, K, Lee, M, Lee, PH, Lee, S-W, Lee, SW, Lee, SWH, Lee, YH, Leigh, J, Leong, E, Li, M-C, Libra, M, Alam, N, Ligade, VS, Lim, L-L, Lim, SS, Limenh, LW, Lindholm, D, Lindstedt, PA, Listl, S, Liu, G, Liu, S, Alam, T, Liu, X, Llanaj, E, López-Bueno, R, López-Gil, JF, Loreche, AM, Lotufo, PA, Lozano, R, Lubinda, J, Lucchetti, G, Alam, Z, Luo, L, Lusk, JB, Lv, L, M Amin, HI, Ma, ZF, Maass, KL, Machairas, N, Machoy, M, Madureira-Carvalho, ÁM, Magdy Abd El Razek, H, Al-amer, RM, Maghazachi, AA, Mahadeshwara Prasad, DR, Mahalleh, M, Mahasha, PW, Mahmoud, MA, Mahmoudi, E, Mahmoudvand, G, Makama, M, Malakan Rad, E, Malhotra, K, Alanezi, FM, Malik, AA, Malta, DC, Manla, Y, Mansour, A, Mansouri, MH, Mansouri, P, Mansouri, V, Mansourian, M, Mansournia, MA, Marasini, BP, Alanzi, TM, Marateb, HR, Maravilla, JC, Mardi, P, Marjani, A, Markazi Moghadam, H, Marrugo Arnedo, CA, Martinez, G, Martinez-Piedra, R, Martins-Melo, FR, Martorell, M, Albakri, A, Marx, W, Marzo, RR, Masoudi, S, Mathangasinghe, Y, Mathioudakis, AG, Mathur, M, Mathur, N, Matozinhos, FP, Mattumpuram, J, Aldhaleei, WA, Maude, RJ, Maugeri, A, Mayeli, M, Mazidi, M, Mazzotti, A, McGrath, JJ, McKee, M, McKowen, ALW, McPhail, MA, McPhail, SM, Aldridge, RW, Mehmood, A, Mehrabani-Zeinabad, K, Mehravar, S, Mekene Meto, T, Melese, EB, Mendez-Lopez, MAM, Mendoza, W, Menezes, RG, Mensah, GA, Mensah, LG, Alemohammad, SY, Mentis, A-FA, Meo, SA, Meretoja, A, Meretoja, TJ, Mersha, AM, Mestrovic, T, Mettananda, KCD, Mettananda, S, Mhlanga, A, Mhlanga, L, Alemu, YM, Miazgowski, T, Michalek, IM, Micheletti Gomide Nogueira de Sá, AC, Miller, TR, Minh, LHN, Mirahmadi, 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Published: 2024

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11 results on '"Ahlstrom, AJ"'

1. Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

2. Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

3. Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance 1990–2021: a systematic analysis with forecasts to 2050

4. Forecasting the effects of smoking prevalence scenarios on years of life lost and life expectancy from 2022 to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

5. Forecasting the effects of smoking prevalence scenarios on years of life lost and life expectancy from 2022 to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

6. Forecasting the effects of smoking prevalence scenarios on years of life lost and life expectancy from 2022 to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

7. Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance 1990–2021: a systematic analysis with forecasts to 2050

8. Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance 1990–2021: a systematic analysis with forecasts to 2050

9. Forecasting the effects of smoking prevalence scenarios on years of life lost and life expectancy from 2022 to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

10. Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022-2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

11. Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

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