1. Ice Sheet‐Albedo Feedback Estimated From Most Recent Deglaciation.
- Author
-
Booth, Alice, Goodwin, Philip, and Cael, B. B.
- Subjects
- *
ICE sheet thawing , *LAST Glacial Maximum , *CLIMATE feedbacks , *ICE sheets , *ATMOSPHERIC composition - Abstract
Ice sheet feedbacks are underrepresented in model assessments of climate sensitivity and their magnitudes are still poorly constrained. We combine a recently published record of Earth's Energy Imbalance (EEI) with existing reconstructions of temperature, atmospheric composition, and sea level to estimate both the magnitude and timescale of the ice sheet‐albedo feedback since the Last Glacial Maximum. This facilitates the first opportunity to quantify this feedback over the most recent deglaciation using a proxy data‐driven approach. We find the ice sheet‐albedo feedback to be amplifying, increasing the total climate feedback parameter by 42% and reaching an equilibrium magnitude of 0.55 Wm−2K−1, with a 66% confidence interval of 0.45–0.63 Wm−2K−1. The timescale to equilibrium is estimated as 3.6 ka (66% confidence: 1.9–5.5 ka). These results provide new evidence for the timescale and magnitude of the amplifying ice sheet‐albedo feedback that will drive anthropogenic warming for millennia to come. Plain Language Summary: During a deglacial transition, ice sheets melt and retreat, decreasing the reflectivity of the land surface and increasing the surface temperature, leading to further melting. It is agreed that this feedback amplifies global warming on millennial timescales, but the exact magnitude and timescale are still very uncertain. This is important because the stronger the feedback, the more sensitive Earth's climate is to carbon dioxide on long timescales. We use proxy data records of the past 25,000 years to quantify the ice sheet‐albedo feedback since the Last Glacial Maximum and estimate the time taken for the feedback to reach equilibrium and stabilize. We find that the ice sheet‐albedo feedback strongly amplifies warming over thousands of years, increasing our understanding of how human activity today will continue to influence our climate for generations into the future. Key Points: Novel proxy data‐driven assessment of the ice sheet‐albedo feedback for the last deglaciation is presentedIce sheet‐albedo feedback is amplifying during a deglacial transition with a best estimate of 0.55 Wm−2K−1 (0.45–0.63 Wm−2K−1)Ice sheet‐albedo feedback reaches equilibrium after approximately 3.6 ka (1.9–5.5 ka) [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF