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Abstract Introduction Abdominal surgical emergencies have a high mortality rate. Effective management primarily relies on the early identification of patients at high risk of postoperative complications. The objective of our study was to determine the prognostic factors associated with poor outcomes from abdominal surgical emergencies in Senegal and to establish a predictive score for mortality for preoperative risk evaluation (NDAR (New Death Assessment Risk) score). Methodology This was a retrospective national cross-sectional study conducted over one year in 14 regions of Senegal. Adult patients (aged > 15 years) who presented with a traumatic or non-traumatic abdominal surgical emergency were included. The studied variables included clinical and paraclinical data. The variable of interest was death within 30 days of the surgery. Logistic regression was used to identify the factors independently associated with mortality. Risk factors identified after logistic regression analysis were weighted using odds ratio (OR) values rounded to the nearest whole number. The predictive capacity of the score was evaluated by analyzing the ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic) curve based on the area under the curve (AUC). Results A total of 1114 patient records were included, with a mortality rate of 4.4%. Diagnoses were observed in patients included appendicitis in 39.8% of cases (n = 444), followed by peritonitis in 22.3% (n = 249), intestinal obstruction in 18.5% (n = 205), strangulated hernias in 10.5% (n = 117), and abdominal trauma in 6.1%. Logistic regression, established the following scores: age > 40 years (score 2), ASA status grade 2 or higher (score 1), presence of a positive QSIRS score (score 2), diagnosis of peritonitis (score 2), diagnosis of intestinal obstruction (score 1), and the presence of intestinal necrosis (score 3). The score is positive if the total is strictly greater than 5, indicating a 17.7% risk of mortality. This score had a high predictive capacity with an AUC of 0.7397. Conclusion This study enabled the establishment of a score that allows for the early identification of at-risk patients, even in constrained resource settings, facilitating appropriate perioperative management and timely surgical intervention to reduce the risk of complications. This approach, focused on early recognition of high-risk patients, is crucial for improving clinical outcomes in abdominal surgical emergencies.

Les cancers des voies biliaires se répartissent en deux localisations principales: les cancers de la vésicule biliaire qui sont des adénocarcinomes et les cholangiocarcinomes de localisations intra et extra-hépatiques. Il s'agit étude rétrospective portant sur 20 cas de cancers biliaires entre Janvier 2006 et Octobre 2014 à la clinique chirurgicale de l'Hôpital Général de Grand- Yoff. Il s'agissait de 40% de cancer de la vésicule biliaire, 60% de cancer de la voie biliaire principale. Le sex-ratio était de 1. L'âge moyen de nos patients était de 58,1 ans. Le délai diagnostique moyen était de 3,77 mois. La symptomatologie était dominée par le syndrome ictérique et les douleurs de l'hypochondre droit. Tous les patients avaient présenté un syndrome de cholestase biologique. L'échographie abdominale a été réalisée dans 65% des cas, la TDM abdominale dans 85% des cas et L'IRM dans 35% des cas. Les formes avancées étaient prédominantes dans notre série (n=19).La majorité de nos patients a bénéficié d'une chirurgie palliative. Le geste le plus pratiqué était la dérivation biliaire chez 50% des patients. On notait une prédominance des cholangiocarcinomes. La morbidité opératoire globale était de 43,75%. La mortalité globale toutes localisations confondues était de 31,25%. La moyenne de survie est de 4 mois et demi. Les cancers des voies biliaires sont d'expression multiforme, se différenciant essentiellement en un cholangiocarcinome intra, extrahépatique et adénocarcinome de la vésicule biliaire dont l'évolution est globalement différente mais le pronostic spontanément mauvais.

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